Berkshire Hathaway: Time to consider exitsHello,
Despite recent market volatility, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) has demonstrated resilience, with its stock rising approximately 16% year-to-date in 2025, significantly outperforming the S&P 500’s 2% decline. This performance has fueled speculation about Warren Buffett’s strategy, particularly whether the “Oracle of Omaha” is capitalizing on the recent market correction to deploy Berkshire’s record $334 billion cash reserve. Let’s examine Berkshire’s current position
Berkshire Hathaway operates a diversified portfolio anchored by its world-class insurance operations, including GEICO. The company also owns Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railroad, a robust energy division, and a wide range of manufacturing, service, and retail businesses. Its $284 billion equity portfolio, featuring long-term holdings like Coca-Cola, American Express, and a reduced but still significant stake in Apple, continues to generate substantial investment income. In 2024, Berkshire reported approximately $30 billion in operating cash flow, underscoring its financial fortress status.
This diversified revenue stream and immense liquidity position Berkshire as a safe haven for investors during turbulent times. Buffett’s reputation for capitalizing on market downturns—evidenced by his $26 billion in deals during the 2008-2009 financial crisis—further bolsters confidence in the company’s ability to navigate corrections.
Recent market corrections, driven by concerns over President Donald Trump’s tariff policies and fears of a global trade war, have seen the S&P 500 drop over 11% from its February 2025 high. Many investors are watching Buffett, expecting him to deploy Berkshire’s massive cash pile to scoop up undervalued assets, as he famously advises to “be greedy when others are fearful.” However, evidence suggests Buffett has been cautious.
In 2024, Berkshire was a net seller of equities for nine consecutive quarters, offloading $134 billion in stocks, including significant reductions in its Apple (67% cut) and Bank of America (34% cut) holdings. Buffett also halted Berkshire’s stock buyback program in the third and fourth quarters of 2024, despite having repurchased $77.8 billion of its own stock since 2018. This pause, combined with a record cash hoard of $334 billion, indicates Buffett may believe valuations remain elevated or that greater opportunities lie ahead.
That said, Buffett has made selective purchases. In Q4 2024, Berkshire initiated new positions in Constellation Brands, Pool Corporation, Domino’s Pizza, Occidental Petroleum, VeriSign, and Sirius XM, with investments like VeriSign ($73 million) and Constellation Brands ($1.24 billion) reflecting Buffett’s preference for companies with strong fundamentals and competitive moats. These moves suggest Buffett is cautiously optimistic about specific sectors, particularly those tied to consumer spending and stable cash flows, but is not yet aggressively buying the broader market dip.
Berkshire’s stock has delivered a compounded annual return of 19.9% since 1965, nearly doubling the S&P 500’s performance over the same period. However, with a market capitalization exceeding $1 trillion and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.67 (a 34% premium to its 10-year average), significant near-term upside may be limited. The conglomerate’s size makes it challenging to find needle-moving investments, and Buffett’s recent restraint in buybacks suggests he views Berkshire’s stock as fully valued at current levels.
For long-term investors, Berkshire remains a compelling hold due to its diversified business model, strong cash flow, and Buffett’s disciplined capital allocation, now transitioning to designated successor Greg Abel. However, those expecting rapid gains should temper expectations, as Berkshire’s scale limits its ability to achieve exponential growth. Investors seeking to emulate Buffett’s strategy might consider his recent picks, such as VeriSign, which benefits from a near-monopoly in internet domain registries, or stalwarts like Coca-Cola, a Dividend King with a 3% yield.
For those considering new positions, waiting for a deeper market pullback could align with Buffett’s value investing principles, especially given his current cash-hoarding stance.
BRK/B trade ideas
U.S. Stock Swing TradeBRK.B
This stock remains one of the few in the U.S. market that continues to exhibit technical strength, maintaining a well-defined uptrend.
Current price action suggests a potential buy-on-dip opportunity near key support levels.
Entry Zone: 494 – 501
Take-Profit Target: 518 – 530
Stop Loss: 488
That said, it remains essential to closely monitor the S&P 500 index, along with prevailing macroeconomic developments, which continue to exert significant influence on market sentiment.
Berkshire Hathaway | No More Apple Pie & Bank Bread!No More Apple Pie and Bank Bread | Buffett’s Recipe for Market Caution
Berkshire Hathaway has recently disclosed its earnings amid fluctuating around a $1 trillion valuation. A notable update is its continued reduction of stakes in overvalued assets, including a 20% decrease in holdings of Apple and Bank of America, boosting its cash reserves to $325 billion
Although Warren Buffett himself isn't favoring share buybacks at present, Berkshire Hathaway stands as a compelling investment option
Why Berkshire Hathaway's $325 Billion Cash Pile Signals Market Caution
The company's net earnings remain subject to significant fluctuations due to rules requiring valuation changes of investment holdings. However, there was a slight decline in operating earnings, mainly driven by lower insurance underwriting income. Despite this, that segment is historically volatile, and year over year aka YoY, the company has maintained strong performance.
Yea2date aka YTD, operating earnings have risen over 10%, totaling just under $33 billion compared to just below $29 billion last year. This points to an annualized earnings estimate of approximately $44 billion, implying a price2earnings aka P/E ratio of about 22, without factoring in over $320 billion in cash and significant investment holdings.
Excluding cash and investments, the adjusted P/E ratio is closer to single digits. Share buybacks have paused, reflected in a ~1% decrease in the outstanding shares YoY, signaling Berkshire's assessment of current market valuations.
Segment Highlights
The various business units within Berkshire Hathaway showcase its robust asset base and earning capacity. Insurance underwriting income saw a sharp YoY drop, but other business areas performed strongly. Income from insurance investments remained solid, and BNSF, its railroad subsidiary, also showed strong results despite a double digit YoY decline.
Berkshire Hathaway Energy continues its growth, cementing its position in the utility sector with significant renewable energy ventures. For context, NextEra Energy (NEE), with a market capitalization of $160 billion, posted quarterly earnings around 10% higher.
Berkshire's other controlled and non-controlled businesses contribute over $13 billion annually, underpinning its diversification and consistent earnings performance. This strength across segments underscores its formidable financial health.
Market Context
Currently, market valuations are elevated by historical standards.
Excluding periods of earnings dips, market enthusiasm is exceptionally high, with the S&P 500 P/E ratio nearing 30x, approaching levels last seen in 1999. Buffett and Berkshire appear to view a 3% yield from such a P/E as unattractive, especially when bonds offer higher returns.
The 2008 Playbook
Berkshire's track record of effectively utilizing its cash reserves is notable. Excluding its insurance float, the company still holds $150 billion in cash.
During the 2008 financial crisis, Berkshire leveraged its liquidity for strategic investments in companies like General Electric, Swiss Re, Dow Chemical, and Bank of America, as well as finalizing the full acquisition of BNSF in 2010. This proactive use of capital proved advantageous.
The current strategic sale of assets suggests Berkshire is preparing for potential market downturns. Given high S&P 500 valuations, reallocating part of an S&P 500 position into Berkshire Hathaway could be wise, ensuring exposure to a cash-rich portfolio capable of seizing future opportunities. Meanwhile, Berkshire’s earnings are valued lower than the broader market, potentially minimizing major downturn risks.
Investment Risks
A key risk is that timing the market is inherently challenging, with the adage "time in the market beats timing the market" serving as a caution. If Berkshire's market outlook is incorrect, its $300+ billion in cash could underperform while broader markets remain strong, which would diminish its appeal as an investment.
Final Thoughts
Berkshire Hathaway has taken the bold step of liquidating some of its most significant and priciest holdings, opting to incur capital gains taxes to increase liquidity. This move has bolstered its cash position to $325 billion, $150 billion above its float level. Meanwhile, its strong operational businesses continue generating healthy cash flow.
Drawing on its successful strategies during the 2008 crisis, Berkshire appears to be positioning itself for another downturn amid current high market valuations. We advise investors to consider shifting part of their S&P 500 exposure into Berkshire Hathaway for enhanced diversification and potential benefits in a market correction, long story short Berkshire Hathaway remains a robust investment opportunity but wont make millionaire!
What do you think moonypto fam?
BRK.B - Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (2 hours chart, NASDAQ) - LongBRK.B - Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (2 hours chart, NASDAQ) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volume structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.38
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 519
Entry limit ~ 517 on April 11, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 532 (+2.90%; +15 points)
2. Target limit ~ 536 (+3.68%; +19 points)
Stop order limit ~ 509 (-1.55%; -8 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented here is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless MindHere you have Charles Thomas Munger, the permanent vice president of one of the most successful companies in the world, Berkshire Hathaway. He was not at the origins of this business, but it was Charles, together with Warren Buffett, who turned a dying enterprise into a star of the world stock market. It didn't take a Master's degree in Business Administration or incredible luck. As Mr. Munger said, to succeed you don't necessarily have to strive to be the smartest, you just have to be not stupid and avoid the standard ways of failure. He worked as a meteorologist, then a lawyer, and finally as someone we know well - an investor who inspired many to take a smart approach to business and their own lives.
“I don’t think you should become president or a billionaire because the odds are too great against you. It is much better to set achievable goals. I didn't set out to become rich, I set out to be independent. I just went a little overboard”, Charles joked. Wake up every morning, work hard, be disciplined and surprisingly, everything will work out very well. This commandment sounds a little archaic in times of rapid rise and easy money. However, for anyone who thinks years and decades ahead, it is difficult to come up with something better.
Speaking to students at his hometown University of Michigan, Mr. Munger said the most important decision you make in life is not your business career, but your marriage. It will do more good or bad for you than anything else. He attached such great importance to human relationships. This correlates strongly with a study of human happiness that has been ongoing for over 85 years under the auspices of Harvard University. The scientists' main conclusion was that everything we build (portfolios, businesses, strategies) is worthless if there is no person in our lives to whom we can say a simple “I'm here”. Or “Thank you”. Or “I love you”.
The healthiest and happiest in old age were not those subjects who earned the most. And those who have maintained good, trusting relationships. Marital. Friendly. Related. And in this light, Charles Munger's words about caution, moderation and common-sense sound quite different. It's not about money. It's about a life that can be lived with the feeling that you have enough. That you don't have to be a hero. That you can just be a reasonable person. Loving. Healthy. Calm.
Perhaps this is the main secret of Mr. Munger's success in the stock market? In the long run, the one who has already won achieves a positive result.
November 28th, 2023, was the last day of the cheerful Charlie's life. There were 34 days left until his 100th birthday.
BRK.B Share Price Reaches All-Time HighBRK.B Share Price Reaches All-Time High
As shown on the chart, the Class B shares of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) have surpassed $520 for the first time in history. Notably, US stock indices remain below their record highs, further highlighting Warren Buffett’s investment acumen.
In late December, we noted that:
→ Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) had significantly reduced its position in Apple (AAPL) and refrained from making new purchases.
→ This suggested that Warren Buffett believed US stocks were overvalued and that a market correction was likely.
Once again, Buffett has been proven right. The Telegraph reports that the legendary investor correctly anticipated that Donald Trump would send Wall Street tumbling.
Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway’s latest earnings report, released yesterday, revealed that the company has been investing in the Japanese stock market—likely contributing to the optimism surrounding BRK.B shares.
Technical Analysis of BRK.B Shares
Key points for constructing the upward price channel are marked in blue, with:
→ The median line shifting from resistance to support (as indicated by arrows).
→ The price approaching the upper boundary of the channel, which could act as resistance.
→ The price action following the breakout above the psychological $500 level displaying strong bullish confidence.
Given these factors, if BRK.B shares enter a correction phase after the sharp rally (potentially reversing from the upper channel boundary), the $500 level is likely to act as support.
Another key support level is $483, which served as resistance in 2024 but has yet to be tested following the bullish breakout.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Berkshire Hathaway - Gearing Up for a Bullish RallyNYSE:BRK.B is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, supported by consistent price strength and a clear uptrend. Recent price action confirms buyers' dominance, with the stock pushing higher and breaking through key levels, signaling further upside potential.
With no significant resistance ahead, the next logical target is $519.50, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY ($BRK.A) Q4—INSURANCE & CASH SHINEBERKSHIRE HATHAWAY ( NYSE:BRK.A ) Q4—INSURANCE & CASH SHINE
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradingView! Berkshire Hathaway ( NYSE:BRK.A ) is humming—Q4 operating earnings soared 71% to $ 14.5B 📈🔥. Insurance and a record cash pile spark buzz—let’s unpack this titan! 🚀
(2/9) – EARNINGS SURGE
• Q4 Ops: $ 14.5B—up from $ 8.5B last year 💥
• Full ‘24: Insurance jumps 51%—key driver 📊
• Net: $ 19.7B Q4—profit stays juicy
NYSE:BRK.A ’s flexing—steady as she goes!
(3/9) – BIG MOVES
• Cash Hoard: $ 334B—up from $ 270B mid-year 🌍
• No Buybacks: Q4 skips—$ 7B spent earlier 🚗
• Apple Trim: Half sold off—cash king 🌟
Buffett’s stacking bucks—ready for action!
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• Market Cap: ~$ 1.075T—top tier 📈
• P/B: 1.55—vs. JPM’s 1.9, Allstate’s 1.3
• Outrun: 25.5% ‘24 vs. S&P’s 25% 🌍
NYSE:BRK.A ’s a beast—value or peak?
(5/9) – RISKS IN SIGHT
• Stocks: Apple, Chevron swings—volatility nips ⚠️
• Succession: Buffett’s exit looms—jitters? 🏛️
• Economy: Rail, retail soften if cash tightens 📉
Solid, but not ironclad—watch out!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Diverse: Insurance leads—51% growth 🌟
• Cash: $ 334B—ultimate cushion 🔍
• Track: 19.8% CAGR—beats S&P’s 10.2% 🚦
NYSE:BRK.A ’s a fortress—built tough!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Insurance lean, cash sits 💸
• Opportunities: Deals, yields lift—$ 14.5B zing 🌍
Can NYSE:BRK.A zap the next big win?
(8/9) – NYSE:BRK.A ’s Q4 surge—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—Cash rules, value shines.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, risks balance.
3️⃣ Bearish—Growth stalls, succession bites.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NYSE:BRK.A ’s $ 14.5B Q4 and $ 334B cash spark zing—insurance flexes 🌍. Premium P/B, but steady wins—champ or chill?
Berkshire Soars to New Heights: Q4 Results Smash Records◉ Q4 Result Highlights:
● Berkshire Hathaway reported record operating earnings of $14.5 billion, driven by higher interest rates and a strong performance in its insurance business.
● Insurance investment income soared by 48% to $4.1 billion.
● The company's cash reserves hit an all-time high of $334.2 billion, reflecting Warren Buffett's cautious yet strategic approach to investments in a volatile market.
● Net earnings for Q4 2024 stood at 19.7billion ,down from 19.7billion, down from 37.6 billion in Q4 2023, primarily due to lower gains from its investment portfolio.
● Book value per share rose by 1% sequentially and 16% year-over-year, reaching $451,507, underscoring the company's consistent value creation.
◉ Technical Observations:
● The stock is currently in a strong uptrend, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows.
● After a period of consolidation, the price has broken out decisively and is now trading at all-time highs.
● This bullish momentum is expected to continue, potentially driving the stock price even higher in the near term.
What makes a good director?This analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research—sign up for their Substack to receive the latest market insights straight to your inbox.
I’ve been spending a lot of time thinking about good governance and good boards. There is a lot that can be said about bad boards, but a lot less is said about what makes a good director. So what makes a good director? I'll start with a quote from Grandpa Buffett’s recent letter (published yesterday):
During the 2019-23 period, I have used the words “mistake” or “error” 16 times in my letters to you. Many other huge companies have never used either word over that span. Amazon, I should acknowledge, made some brutally candid observations in its 2021 letter. Elsewhere, it has generally been happy talk and pictures.
I have also been a director of large public companies at which “mistake” or “wrong” were forbidden words at board meetings or analyst calls. That taboo, implying managerial perfection, always made me nervous (though, at times, there could be legal issues that make limited discussion advisable. We live in a very litigious society.)
Also worth his thoughts on CEOs and schooling (I have never really understood the point of an MBA:
One further point in our CEO selections: I never look at where a candidate has gone to school. Never!
Of course, there are great managers who attended the most famous schools. But there are plenty such as Pete who may have benefitted by attending a less prestigious institution or even by not bothering to finish school. Look at my friend, Bill Gates, who decided that it was far more important to get underway in an exploding industry that would change the world than it was to stick around for a parchment that he could hang on the wall. (Read his new book, Source Code.)
Not long ago, I met – by phone – Jessica Toonkel, whose step-grandfather, Ben Rosner, long ago ran a business for Charlie and me. Ben was a retailing genius and, in preparing for this report, I checked with Jessica to confirm Ben’s schooling, which I remembered as limited. Jessica’s reply: “Ben never went past 6th grade.”
Anyway — some thoughts on what makes a good director, from observation:
Accountants and lawyers rarely make a good director. There are exceptions¹, but often I think a “professional” is conflated with a “good businessperson”. Think of the “professionals” who have sat on the board of Fletcher Building and added dubious value.
Founders, and owner-operators (or former owner-operators) often make a good director because they innately understand what makes a business tick. To quote the Druck’s former boss — “it’s all cash in, cash out, son”
Trust is crucial. To paraphrase St. Charlie Munger — “a web of trust is important…and be careful whom you trust”
The tick boxes that many boards do these days are rarely useful. There is an inordinate amount of focus on tick boxes, and not enough on the actual business activities.
Directors who see their duty to the shareholders and company tend to be best. This seems obvious, but is not always put into practice.
Industry experience, funnily enough, is also important. You need to understand what you sell, who your customer is, and how you make a buck.
A strong CEO is also important — think about Buffett, Gates, or Jobs. A board should provide guidance, but the CEO should be the guiding light.
If you have the fortune of having a great CEO, you ought to let them do their thing and not micro-manage them. Micro-management has never worked out, and is the domain of mediocre mid-level executives who eat depressing food.
Equally, a strong board is important — while you want your CEO to be an all-star, you don’t want those little dogs that live in handbags as board members — that defeats the point.
Sadly, not many CEOs are too amenable to pit bulls.
High compensation is not important. Ideally your board members should be independently wealthy. If a large part of their income is derived from their board comp, you will find they magically seem to have roles on five different boards — all in different industries.
To wit, from Buffett (quoting him a lot today, I know!): “Over the years, board “independence” has become a new area of emphasis. One key point relating to this topic, though, is almost invariably overlooked: Director compensation has now soared to a level that inevitably makes pay a subconscious factor affecting the behaviour of many non-wealthy members. Think, for a moment, of the director earning $250,000–300,000 for board meetings consuming a pleasant couple of days six or so times a year. Frequently, the possession of one such directorship bestows on its holder three to four times the annual median income of U.S. households.”
To that effect, just because a board member is on another board is not an endorsement.
Buying stock in a company with your own money, if you are a director, is a good thing. Being “truly independent” and having no stock is a warning sign — the director’s interests are aligned with his or her director’s fees, rather than the trajectory of the company.
¹ If you are one of my lawyer or accountant friends — you know who you are — you are the exception.
Warren Buffett Sells Bank SharesWarren Buffett Sells Bank Shares
On Friday, Berkshire Hathaway’s 13F filing (a quarterly report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission from institutional investment managers overseeing more than $100 million in assets) revealed that Warren Buffett’s company:
→ Maintained its Apple (AAPL) position at 300 million shares;
→ Continued selling Bank of America (BAC), reducing its stake by 15%;
→ Cut its holding in Citigroup (C) by 75%.
The legendary investor may believe Trump’s policies will challenge U.S. banks, potentially triggering a short-term bearish impulse for these bank stocks when trading resumes on Tuesday after the Presidents' Day holiday.
Technical Analysis of BRK.B Shares
Berkshire Hathaway’s own shares (BRK.B) also face growth challenges, with resistance around the $484 level hindering upward movement within the blue-marked ascending trend channel:
→ The price reversed twice from this level (in September and November 2024);
→ BRK.B is currently near this resistance, forming a Bearish Engulfing pattern that could signal a larger Triple Top bearish pattern.
Given this outlook, bearish pressure may lead to a pullback, potentially towards the lower boundary of the trend channel, where key support sits at $455.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
At least a 10% market gain for Berkshire in 2025.Berkshire is one of the smart companies that has been actively selling overvalued stocks and investing in more promising sectors lately.
Political changes could also positively impact the company, as potential tariffs from Trump would benefit Buffett's furniture industry. It’s no secret that the U.S. imports massive amounts of furniture.
Another part of the company’s operations is insurance, which accounts for about 26% of the company’s profit. It hasn’t entered any risky sectors related to the famous cases in Los Angeles.
The company expects around $92 billion in revenue for Q4, and if this is achieved, Berkshire will close another record-breaking year.
Thus, at least a 10% market gain for Berkshire in 2025.
BRK.B Gann FanNYSE:BRK.B
Using this Gann Fan on the Berkshire Hathaway Class B chart noticed this blue range that the stock is moving very nicely in. Multiple high touch points in this range and consolidation touch points on the bottom of the range. Looking to get back to the blue line for another nice high touch point. Marked the area with a "Star"
Watch for the "Star"
Measuring the uptrend in the beginning of the year and in August of 2024 noticed both were around $80 uptrends. Looking for similar move but could expect some more than $80 due to the volatility increasing. Marked the area with a "Star"
NYSE:BRK.B
A short-term rally for BRK.B to get to the weekly FVG and fadeBRK.B has been falling for the last two weeks.
On the weekly interval, there is a bearish fair value gap. We saw an up-close bar on Friday. I believe price will continue to go lower and it will do that from the weekly FVG. The ultimate target is the intermediate term low at 437.90.
Will Berkshire Hathaway hit $525 before a healthy correction?📈 Introduction Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) has shown a consistent pattern of growth over the past years, forming well-defined bullish channels with predictable wave lengths. The current price action suggests a potential healthy correction before another upward rally that could see prices reach the $525 mark.
💡 Key Observations from the Chart
1 - Channel Dynamics:
The price has respected two major ascending channels over the last few years. Each channel has shown waves of sustained upward momentum, lasting approximately 731 days and 790 days, respectively. This consistent cyclicity points to a reliable trend structure.
2 - Correction Phase Ahead?
Based on historical patterns and technical indicators, we might see a short-term correction into the $450-$460 range. This is supported by:
Overbought signals from the Stochastic Oscillator (75/77).
A potential test of the lower boundary of the current ascending channel.
3 - Upside Potential to $525 ~ $550+
After the correction, the next bullish phase could see prices push toward key resistance levels at $491.67 and ultimately $525.90. The confluence of the SMA and VWAP levels reinforces this projection, with strong support near $457.51 acting as a springboard for the next rally.
What’s Next?
The stock remains in a long-term uptrend, and the current dip should be seen as an opportunity rather than a threat. With volatility at 9.63%, the market appears poised for a calculated breakout in the medium term.
What do you think?
Berkshire Hathaway - Breaking Trade 12/3/2024There was a great breakout trade opportunity on Berkshire Hathaway's stock, enhanced by a refined entry strategy. The red zone highlights a key support level where the price struggled to break through. Eventually, a breakout occurred with a strong bearish candlestick, confirming sellers' strength. However, instead of entering immediately at the breakout, the ideal entry point would be on the pullback to the red zone.
After the breakout, the price retraced back to the support zone, which then acted as resistance. Notice how the price tested this zone but failed to close above it, indicating that sellers remained in control. The optimal entry would occur when the price breaks below the low of the retracement candle, confirming the continuation of the bearish move.
This approach allows for a more precise entry, reduces risk by setting a stop-loss above the resistance zone, and offers a better reward-to-risk ratio as the trend resumes downward. It’s a textbook example of a breakout-retest setup with confirmation.
Thank you for reading! If you found this content helpful, don’t forget to like, comment, and share the idea. Follow me on TradingView!
Warren Buffett Moves to CashWarren Buffett Moves to Cash
On August 30, when the price of Berkshire Hathaway's Class B shares (BRK.B) surpassed $465, we noted that:
→ the stock was forming an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ as the price neared $475, the likelihood of a slowdown in the bullish trend increased.
Since then (indicated by the arrow):
→ the price hit the upper channel boundary,
→ reversed downward after briefly exceeding $475,
→ and dropped to around $455 by November 1, when Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway reported Q3 earnings.
Analyst forecasts were close to the report’s actual figures:
→ Earnings per share: forecast = $4.9, actual = $4.7.
→ Revenue: forecast = $92.2 billion, actual = $92.9 billion.
→ Berkshire Hathaway’s investment income more than doubled year-over-year, reaching $3.5 billion for the quarter.
Meanwhile, some noteworthy news includes:
→ Berkshire significantly reduced its Apple (AAPL) holdings and refrained from new investments, even as stock indexes hover near historical highs.
→ Cash reserves reached a record $325 billion.
This has led to speculation that Buffett may believe:
→ stock prices are overvalued;
→ a market correction could be imminent.
Interestingly, Berkshire Hathaway is also holding off on buybacks—could Buffett be expecting a further price drop?
Technical analysis of the BRK.B chart suggests:
→ The price has fallen into the lower half of the blue channel, which remains relevant.
→ It’s possible that after a bearish reversal from $475 at the upper channel boundary, the stock has been in a correction phase since September (indicated by red lines), resembling the period from February 26 to July 10.
Traders may want to watch for demand around:
→ $445 (previous resistance in July),
→ the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.