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IWM trade ideas

Did a bearish D leg just complete? Today I have decided that I, like everyone else, will be an IWM expert! Everyone is talking about how impressive the spike was. Not a lot of people talking about the ABC structure before it and the fact when we have a spike out of there - that can be trouble. Here's a little bit of trivia for anyone who wasn't paying attention to it in 2021. During 2021 everything ripped - except this. It traded flat in a range. Ironic, given the meme mania was mainly in this index. Then it did this; And that was the end of the 2021 bull market. This spike also brings us to the zone of a typical bull trap. Something I've been waiting months for. Very interested in fading this RUT spike. And if the harmonic reversal failed - would be incredibly bullish.
AMEX:IWMShort
by holeyprofit
5
Opened (IRA): IWM August 16th 191 Monied Covered Call... for a 187.46 debit. Comments: (Late Post). Sold the -75 call against a one lot to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 187.46. Max Profit: 3.54 ($354) ROC at Max: 1.89% ROC at 50% Max: .94% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max on the entire setup (stock + short call) as a unit, but won't hesitate to roll out the short call if in profit to keep my break even at or near where the underlying is currently trading.
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines
SMALL CAPS READY TO SOARIn this video I go over a Russell setup that I want to get login as soon as I see a pullback onto support or somewhere meaningful so I can set up a good risk to reward ratio for a long. The small caps have been getting beaten down for a long time and getting cheap while the mega caps and tech stocks have been getting expensive to a point where nobody wants to buy them anymore. This morning, I closed out all my mega cap tech and NASDAQ longs for a good profit and I'm sitting flat waiting for my next set up.
AMEX:IWMLong
by PappyTrading
6
7/10/24 - $iwm - setup to repeat '21s RIP??? o- look at SPY/SPXEW to get a sense of the weighted AMEX:SPY (tech-heavy led by 10 companies) vs. the equal weight SPY ( INDEX:SPXEW ) to get a sense for how rarely we reach such extremes. these are MONTHLY bars i'm showing - when the general start to fade THIS DOESN'T MEAN THE MARKET TANKS. it could mean a 5-10% pullback. but what happened last time this occurred in '21 after a big rally of quality out of the covid lows (tech... remember? then everything else) was AMEX:IWM (the yellow line)... the "everything else market" got massively bid. - history often rhymes and doesn't repeat. RATES WERE GOING TO ZERO HERE. And now they're not. that's a MASSIVE wrinkle to be aware of. however, if the expectation is lower rates, at least in the 6-12 month context, small cap that is getting decimated because of a. funding/ cost of capital b. lack of bid and c. more economically sensitive... will get bid, sooner - in order to not over extend myself and buy some time in developing this thesis, i've gone WAY out and bought some ATM (at the money) AMEX:IWM 200C for Dec 18, 2026. 28% implied volatility is too low given what we've seen in the past and given how much money could theoretically rotate from these generals into small caps. - still developing this view, but have made these C's 2% of my book which means the gross value is about a 10% position. i'm willing to neck out here even into extended territory here (on general risk mkts) bc 1. the IV on these options remains sub 30% 2. the expiry is SO FAR out and 3. i remain very cashy - so this is a way for me to get more gross exposure without necessarily deploying a lot of cash. LMK what you think. will be developing this thinking over the coming months. V
AMEX:IWMLong
by VROCKSTAR
Understanding Technical Indicators - Avoid FaultsI received a question from a member today related to Divergence on RSI or Stochastics. I've been lucky to actually sit down with the creator of Stochastics, George C. Lane, to discuss his indicator and how he used it to trade. I've also been luck to be able to attend multiple industry conferences over the past 20+ years where I've been able to watch and listen to dozens of the best technicians and analysts explain their techniques. Boy, those were the days - right? This video is going to help you understand most technical indicators are designed based on a RANGE of bars (usually 14 or so). This means they are measuring price trend/direction/strength/other over the past 14 bars - not longer. And because of that you need to understand any trend lasting more than 14+ bars could result in FAILURE of the technical indicator. Watch this video. I hope it helps. Get some.
AMEX:IWMEducation
by BradMatheny
The Russell 2000 is heading downtown to chinatown The IWM is currently in a bear flag that has been forming for the past 2 weeks now, withing a bigger head and shoulders pattern that topped out on May 15th @ 209.77. I expect the bear flag to break sometime next week if not friday this week. First target is the neckline of the H&S at $195. If this breaks that will activate the H & S and target for this, depending on when the pattern is activated, would be around $180-$170 area. AMEX:IWM
AMEX:IWMShort
by bradc1984
1
How I improved my Situational Awareness - Market Update 6/23/202This weekend I pulled up the sleeves and did a lot of post-trade analysis to realize what my biggest weakness was in trading: situational awareness. I developed a market timing model, backtested it on my own trades and on the market and the results were shocking to me. If I had only been trading in good periods, I would have already been profitable. This is despite the fact that I still make a TON of mistakes in execution and risk management. After all the saying is true - anyone can make money in a good market. Now that I know how to identify a good market for my strategy, I developed rules around it in terms of risk management. This will not only help me to reach profitability, but probably also have more peace of mind as I won't be swimming against the currents. Markets are still not the best for longer term swing trading, so I will focus on shorter trends and potentially risk reversal trades, of which my strategy is still to be developed.
AMEX:IWMEducation
by BenedekBokor
Small Caps won't turn around until Gold doesGold and small caps are correlated at .5 - gold double topped and is going lower, I anticipate this will hit the red, jog a little, and if the FED doesn't cut rates, we will go down a run every FOMC meeting until the FED cuts rates or they go down because BOJ is selling our treasuries to shore up their currency that's always competing with China's Yuan (whose trying to shore up their real estate bubble popping which is the largest asset in the world).
AMEX:IWMShort
by EmptyEternity