Covid 2023 - Profiting from CorruptionHello everyone Josh here again. I’m sure by now you’ve already heard mumblings of Covid’s imminent return. We are seeing everything from colleges to hospitals start to implement Covid policies. The news cycle is starting to warn of a dangerous flu season/Covid return. Governments around the world are now updating their Covid policies and sleepy Joe’s White House is still pushing for the mass vaccination and experimentation on of human guinea pigs around the world.
With all this being said, it is my idea that we are about to go back into lockdown/full Covid policy mode. Although I wish this was not the case, I do intend to profit from it.
Illustrated is the Moderna chart, I use this, as it was one of the first assets I made money off of during the last pandemic, in fact, you can still go back and see my old idea on my page about Moderna when I called it at around sub $60. However, this could’ve been any chart from Amazon and Netflix to hospital sectors, to e-commerce platforms like Shopify. Basically, anything that will go up during a full-scale, pandemic/lockdown.
If my gut feeling is right, and we are going to go into a full-scale lock down, it might be one of the easiest plays of the century.
During the last pandemic, we saw airlines, cruise lines, casinos and resorts and a myriad of other sectors collapse to unprecedented lows. I expect something similar to happen this time around, to varying degrees of severity. Many people made millions by shorting assets last pandemic, I think we are setting ourselves up for the perfect storm to profit.
Look for stocks to long and short. Ignore the noise and make your money off of the lies of the global elite.
Below is an AI rendered breakdown of this idea.
Thank you so much for reading.
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Investment Thesis: Navigating Pandemic-Related Market Trends
I. Introduction:
The investment thesis centers around capitalizing on potential market shifts resulting from pandemic-related policies enacted by governments and corporations globally.
II. Market Outlook:
Anticipating the implementation of pandemic-related rules and regulations, which could include mask mandates, lockdowns, and travel restrictions.
III. Asset Allocation Strategy:
A. Long Positions:
E-commerce Dominance: As witnessed during the previous pandemic, e-commerce platforms like Amazon thrived. This trend is likely to persist as people turn to online shopping for convenience and safety.
Entertainment Streaming: Companies like Netflix benefited from increased demand for home entertainment. Expect this trend to continue, making streaming platforms potentially profitable investments.
Pharmaceutical Giants: Pfizer and Moderna played pivotal roles in vaccine development during the Covid pandemic. Their expertise positions them well for potential future vaccine requirements or pharmaceutical innovations.
Healthcare Stocks: Hospital and healthcare-related stocks may experience increased demand as health services remain crucial during pandemic periods.
B. Short Positions:
Travel and Hospitality Sectors: Historical data shows that airlines, cruise liners, resorts, and casinos experienced significant declines during the last pandemic due to travel restrictions and reduced consumer spending.
IV. Risk Considerations:
While historical patterns suggest certain sectors will benefit and others may decline during pandemics, unforeseen variables can impact market dynamics. Careful monitoring and adaptability are essential.
V. Diversification and Hedging:
To mitigate risks, consider diversifying your portfolio across industries and asset types. This approach helps balance potential losses from short positions with gains from long positions.
VI. Exit Strategy:
Regularly reassess the investment landscape, keeping an eye on shifts in policies, vaccination rates, and economic indicators. Be prepared to adjust your positions accordingly to optimize gains or minimize losses.
VII. Conclusion:
In light of potential pandemic-related policies, a strategic investment approach involves capitalizing on e-commerce, streaming, pharmaceutical, and healthcare sectors, while shorting travel and hospitality sectors. Prudent risk management, diversification, and a proactive exit strategy will be pivotal in navigating the ever-evolving market landscape.
Please note that investment decisions involve inherent risks, and it's advisable to consult with a qualified financial advisor before executing any investment strategy.
MRNA trade ideas
my levels to write MRNA put optionswhat is its story in 2024 and beyond?
The potential administrative and compliance benefit of Moderna’s combination respiratory vaccine against COVID-19, flu, and RSV, which we expect to launch as early as 2025.
Moderna has multiple shots on goal with its late-stage pipeline.
While Moderna increased 2023 revenue guidance to $7B, guidance is dependent on increasing US vaccination rates.
MRNA earnings setupMRNA earnings are on Thursday 8/3 pre-market. July 26 (Reuters) - Moderna (MRNA.O) and its partner Merck (MRK.N) said on Wednesday that they had begun enrolling patients in a late-stage study testing their personalized mRNA-based skin cancer vaccine in combination with the immunotherapy Keytruda. Data from a mid-stage study in 157 patients had shown that the vaccine combination cut the risk of recurrence or death by 44% in patients with melanoma, the most deadly form of skin cancer, when compared with Keytruda alone.
I'm posting this as a long for MRNA because of the technical entry setup heading into earnings on Thursday. MRNA future earnings guidance should be much better than the bad earnings results for Q2 2023. Technically speaking, 115 is a very good place to start a MRNA dca share or far dated expiry calls long position. 145 is MRNA anchored VWAP for 2023, so that is my upside target area for 2023.
Q2 June 2023 Consensus:
EPS: -3.84
Revenue: 319.64 M
MRNA options data:
8/18/23 expiry
Put Volume Total 118
Call Volume Total 306
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.39
Put Open Interest Total 13,153
Call Open Interest Total 16,143
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.81
1/19/2024 LEAPS
Put Volume Total 54
Call Volume Total 109
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.50
Put Open Interest Total 56,492
Call Open Interest Total 64,044
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.88
MRNA a medical Technology Stock LONG MRNA is a medical technology company. It is in the vaccine sector and competes ( well) with
NVAX and PFE among others. Earnings are upcoming on 8/3 in about a week.
On the 30 minute chart it appears to be in a descending wedge pattern which is typically
a bottoming with a breakout over and beyond the descending trendline. The relative
trend indicator shows the downtrend to be a slow grinding type trend with some minor
corrections along the way. As might be expected the RS lines are low in the indicator's
channel. I see this as a setup for a pre-earnings play with the expectation that MRNA
could breakout above the resistance trend line and move toward the horizontal resistance
of the triple top earlier in mid-July. I see medical stocks as a good alternative to technology
stocks that may be overextended and stressed by the current financial chaos pressuring
the markets. Another approach is a two call options targeting $ 125 expiring 8/11
and running the first until 100% profit or 8/2, the day before the expiration whichever
comes first and letting the other run through earnings into the middle of the following
week at 8/9. I always like to cut these short of expiration by a few days to diminish the
effects of time decay.
$MRNA - Possible ReversalNASDAQ:MRNA Is basing inside descending broadening wedge and starting to break out.
Both RSI and MACD is displaying bullish divergence. $126 - $127 is POC resistance and breaking above that area will be bullish.
Notice that the stock is in Stage 1 bottoming process. So it has a lot of room to run. I will be building a position in the coming week.
Targets - $160, $180, $210
Risk - $100, $60
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MRNA // Falling Wedge at DailyHello Folks,
We can see Falling Wedge pattern clearly at MRNA with RSI positive divergence.
I consider it important that this image is formed at a significant level of horizontal support.
As a condition to enter the position, it would be reasonable to wait for the formation of a new high.
Downtrend Continuation for $MRNA :-)The hype of elixir ability of mRNA vaccines by Moderna has reached a peak in Aug 2021
Price reached as high as 500 dollar.
But it turns negative after that.
after a massive plunge, price has been consolidating between 118 - 208 for more than 1.5 years, it looks like price has been hovering around 118 to go lower.
If the downtrend continues after the consolidation, chances are high that in the next 1.5 years or so, price will fall back between 50 - 80
I am prone towards more downside, although i could be wrong
This is just my own research and should never be construed as buy or sell call