Microsoft Trading A Complex Corrective CycleIn this update we review the recent price action in Microsoft and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target01:43by TickmillPublished 116
stdev retracesI'm looking for mean reversion opportunities based on monthly adj. close return data. The sample size is 5 years and the monthly avg stdev is updated monthly. I don't use stop losses. I consider exiting the trade if stock drops 50%, but i filter the stocks i play based on expected return averages. This usually imply strong fundamentals.Longby jackypackyPublished 118
Long to $260 by End of FebruaryTake a look at the chart! I got a feeling tech will make a decent little rip up in the next few weeks after this most recent beating. by Trading_Mafia_Published 220
MSFT headed to 200200 is its primary trendline.. Gravity naturally at work here... Drop saved by weekly 200sma at 222.. Wait for a close below 222 for a short, target 200 or trendlineShortby ContraryTraderPublished 117
MSFT Finished W4 - THETA PLAYDoesn't get easier than this set up. Shorts are too crowded. The risk/reward for out of the money calls are outstanding. 10K = 350K If 2nd Target reached by Aprilby Bentley_wPublished 112
Elliott Wave View: Microsoft (MSFT) Looking to Extend the Next LCycle from 12.13.2022 high is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 12.13.2022 high, wave 1 ended at 233.87 and rally in wave 2 ended at 245.77. Internal subdivision of wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag structure. Up from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 240.87 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 233.94. Final leg higher wave ((c)) ended at 245.77 which also completed wave 2. Wave ((c)) unfolded as a 5 waves diagonal where wave (i) ended at 240.8 and wave (ii) ended at 233.94. Wave (iii) higher ended at 241.92, pullback in wave (iv) ended at 236.66 and final leg higher wave (v) ended at 245.77. The stock has resumed lower in wave 3. Down from wave 2, wave (i) ended at 237.40 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 241. The stock resumed lower in wave (iii) towards 225.96 and rally in wave (iv) ended at 229.89. Wave (v) lower is expected to end soon which should end wave ((i)) in higher degree. Afterwards, expect wave ((ii)) rally to correct cycle from 1.3.2023 high before the decline resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 245.77 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside. Potential target lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from 1.3.2023 high which comes at 195.9 – 215.by Elliottwave-ForecastPublished 5
MSFT shortHey traders, MSFT has been tanking the last few days. Unfortunately, I don't think it's going to stop until we hit the 200-price tag. MSFT is in a downtrend like the rest of the market. RSI & MACD are both in a bearish divergence. MACD just crossed the 0 plane into negative territory. With important economic news coming up in the next few days, I think MSFT will react in the same manner that the market is going to. With this assessment I believe MSFT as well as the SPY and QQQ, will have downside ahead. Unemployment doesn't seem to be increasing, which is bad for the fed. Also earning reports will show a lot more misses than I think people assume. Rates have increased too much too fast. The earnings reports will be the first indicator that this is true as well. Good luck to everyone trading, All feedback is welcome, even you crabby traders also I wish you well! ;)Shortby ATX2014Published 0
Four wave downA historical third wave has ended, and its length is less than one historical wave, because the extension occurred in one wave. Currently, we expect that wave 4 will be made in any area of the above, and then a fifth wave will be made that will be less in height than wave three, so that wave three does not become the smallest of waves, of course, according to the rules EliotShortby KhaldHegazyPublished 4
MSFT UP ! Hello again ! a new position on microsoft , My analysis predictsup an up move during the next week . NASDAQ:MSFTLongby Omar0khascnadar0Published 1
MSFT 185-195 buy point30+ years of trendline support show a buy point around 185-195 for MSFT (assuming the long-term trend holds). This is ~15-20% below where we are at today. 185 corresponds to the pre-COVID high, though we could go lower and still stay with the 30+ year trend (though I tend to like the probabilities around where 2 key levels meet). If that long-term trendline breaks, the thesis is flipped. Consider a stop loss around 175-180.Longby HandsomeSlothPublished 1
Gap fill down completed, back to 240sI posted an idea back in October where I predicted MSFT would hit an initial target of 265 (bottom of yellow box). It reached low 260s and fell just shy of that, leaving a gap open. It pulled back to fill that gap today. Market is setup for a bounce in the coming weeks, and MSFT will follow. For MSFT I see the pop post Oct earnings as a sign of strength (SoS) after accumulating - this pullback is the backup/retest of support. From here it will run to fill gap at min (237) and likely continue into the 240s by Jan 20. Will re-eval there. The play on this discount today is the Jan 20 235 calls.Longby JerryMandersPublished 2
MSFT: Crashing? Yes. Scary? Nope.• MSFT just hit our target at $228, as it did exactly what we expected since our previous public analysis on it, almost a month ago (the link is below this post, as usual); • Despite the high volatility, this movement is very technical and not surprising at all, but in order to bounce again, MSFT has to react as soon as possible; • The problem is that any bounce will face at least two resistance levels in the daily chart: First the $238, second the 21 ema; • Only if MSFT breaks these key resistances it might do a clear reversal structure; • If not, we can expect a continuation of this bearish sentiment all the way down to $212, the next technical support level; • Therefore, let’s pay attention to the $228 support, as now would be the best time for a reaction. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses! by Nathan_BlackPublished 229
Channel BrokenChannel broken. The lower channel line is now resistance. Support and resistance as well as trendlines were made to be broken. Downgraded by analysts. Which analysts did this to one of my fave stocks, I have no clue. They are just a generic group called "analysts" who try to control the market. If they were super good at this, seems they would be running their own hedge fund by now but who knows? Not me. I was not in the market for buying this yet anyway, As I have stated many times before, there are so many Rising Wedges below MSFT it would make you head spin and I am not in the mood to draw each one of them as they date back to years ago since the Covid low. You can put MSFT in the "filter ideas" under my name and you will see several MSFT posts. To reach the lowest wedge on this chart MSFT will need to hit the 200 level or less and it will activate the lowest wedge that I see. There is an oversupply there along with other levels above this level. No recommendation by lauraleaPublished 0
Accumulating Microsoft shares tonight !Yesterday rally pushes the share price of MSFT to have a bullish candle close. This is a nice reversal pattern and if rally continues today, last trading day of 2022, I might want to accumulate more of MSFT shares! Profit target is 281.72 , a 18% returns which I believe can be achieved by next year.Longby dchua1969Updated 0
MSFT, 10d+/-21.27%falling cycle -21.27% more than 10 days. ================================================================================================================================================================== This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only. Shortby TonyderPublished 0
MSFT | Bearish trend to continue till support zone around 213 t#Week10-11-Strategy-1&2 BEARISH INDICATOR (DEC 30) 1. Bearish LH and LLs 2. On Fib of recent Swing High and Low, Price action is staying between FIB level 38.2% and 23.6% 3. Price is expected to test significant support line @ 213. 4. RSI does not show any divergence so a Bearish trend is expected in a short term BULLISH INDICATOR (DEC 30) 1. The bearish upped trend line got broken but the pervious LH didn't get broken 2. Price may test the support level of 232 - 233 at a Fib level of 23.6%. If successful then the price can try to reverse here. PREDICTIONS 1. Bearish trend is expected to continue and may test Support regions around 232, then 219 and finally test significant support of 213.80. 2. Will SHORT with trailing SL and prepare for trend reversal around Significant Support of 213.80. BIAS 1 = SHORT - PLAN 1 (Buy @ Market price) BIAS 2 = Check whether Long or Short around a price of 213 to 215 - PLAN B. TRADE PLAN ————————— PLAN A: SHORT EN1: 238.82 (@ Market) SL1: 246.20 TP1: 229.84 - RR: 1.0 - Lt: 0.5 EN2: 238.71 (@ Market) SL2: 248.28 TP2: 223.87 - RR: 1.4 - Lt: 0.5 PLAN B: Long @ Market price (Will wait for Plan-A to conclude first) EN1: 215 (Check the entry Long or Short option before entry) Shortby haroonraeesPublished 0