MICROSTRATEGY stock forum
That’s dilution by design.
But the market's catching on.
If confidence breaks, the downside could accelerate fast — especially with thin weekend liquidity.
Watch out: we might see massive selling pressure this weekend as reality starts to reprice the story.
This isn’t resilience — it’s fragility wearing a Bitcoin costume. ⚠️📉
From a capital structure and valuation perspective,
MSTR presents increasing downside asymmetry.
The firm’s aggressive use of leverage to acquire a volatile, non-yielding asset (Bitcoin) introduces significant duration and liquidity risk.
Ongoing equity dilution through at-the-market offerings further erodes shareholder value, especially as the market assigns lower marginal utility to each BTC added to the balance sheet.
Meanwhile, regulatory scrutiny over digital asset accounting and fair value impairment could further constrain access to capital markets.
With rising real rates, waning ETF enthusiasm, and Bitcoin’s volatility resurfacing, the business model begins to resemble leveraged optionality — with declining intrinsic support.
If Bitcoin retraces or macro liquidity deteriorates further,
MSTR’s valuation could face a rapid repricing.
There’s no floor when dilution outpaces growth and liabilities remain mark-to-market. ⚠️📉
The firm’s aggressive use of leverage to acquire a volatile, non-yielding asset (Bitcoin) introduces significant duration and liquidity risk.
Ongoing equity dilution through at-the-market offerings further erodes shareholder value, especially as the market assigns lower marginal utility to each BTC added to the balance sheet.
Meanwhile, regulatory scrutiny over digital asset accounting and fair value impairment could further constrain access to capital markets.
With rising real rates, waning ETF enthusiasm, and Bitcoin’s volatility resurfacing, the business model begins to resemble leveraged optionality — with declining intrinsic support.
If Bitcoin retraces or macro liquidity deteriorates further,
There’s no floor when dilution outpaces growth and liabilities remain mark-to-market. ⚠️📉
Each time they tank, it’s ever so helpful for our short entries.Truly selfless behaviour in a market otherwise full of ego.
Such generosity in a market this daft is genuinely rare. Of course, the moonboys still believe it’s “early” — best of luck to them.
Meanwhile, we quietly say thank you and collect. 📉☕️😎