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NVDA trade ideas

NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🚀💻 NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🔥🧠 Hey everyone! Back in 2021, I called NVIDIA the best buy of the decade, and in 2023, we followed up as NVDA rocketed to my target of $143. Now in 2025, it’s time for Part 3 — and the case for NVDA being a generational play just got even stronger. 💪 ✅ On April 4th, I re-entered around $96.85, right at my alert level. The setup? A rounded bottom reversal pattern forming with 4 strong bullish divergences on key indicators (Stoch, CCI, MOM, MFI). Target levels ahead: 📍 $143 📍 $182 📍 $227 📉 Yes, Nvidia took a 6% hit after announcing a $5.5B impact from U.S. export restrictions on its H20 chip to China — a reminder that macro & geopolitical factors still matter. But… 💡 The company just launched DGX Spark and DGX Station, bringing AI supercomputing to the desktop — powered by Grace Blackwell architecture. That’s next-level innovation, not just for enterprises, but for developers, students, and researchers alike. A true desktop AI revolution. 🇺🇸 And most importantly: NVIDIA will now manufacture AI supercomputers on U.S. soil — in Arizona and Texas — aiming to produce $500 billion worth over the next four years. This initiative is a bold move toward supply chain resilience, economic growth, and cementing NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI arms race. ⚠️ If we lose the $96 level, I’ll re-evaluate. But for now? The technical and fundamentals still say: Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now we will revisit this chart). 💬 What’s your outlook? Are you buying the dip or waiting on clarity? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FX_Professor
11
NVIDIA Nvidia Stock Correlation with 10-Year Bond Yields, Bond Prices, and Interest Rates 1. Correlation with Bond Yields and Interest Rates 10-Year Bond Yields: Nvidia’s stock (NVDA) has shown mixed sensitivity to bond yields. Rising yields (e.g., 30-year yields surpassing 5% in May 2025) historically pressured tech stocks by increasing discount rates for future earnings. However, Nvidia’s AI-driven growth narrative has partially offset this, as seen in its 69% YoY revenue surge in Q1 2025 despite bond market volatility. Interest Rates: The Fed’s rate cut expectations (priced for September 2024 and beyond) have supported risk assets like Nvidia. Lower rates reduce borrowing costs for AI infrastructure investments, indirectly benefiting NVDA. 2. Factors Driving Revenue Growth in 2025 AI Infrastructure Spending: Cloud providers (Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet) invested $50B+ in Q2 2025 on AI infrastructure, with Nvidia capturing 70–95% of the AI chip market. Data center revenue hit $39.1B in Q1 2025 (+142% YoY), driven by demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs. Blackwell GPU Launch: The Blackwell GB200 GPU, offering 30x faster AI inference, is projected to generate $45B+ in FY2025 revenue as production scales. Market Share Expansion: Nvidia’s semiconductor market share tripled since 2020 to 7.3%, overtaking Intel and Samsung in key segments. 3. Upcoming Challenges Export Restrictions in China: Export controls cost Nvidia $8B in Q1 2025 revenue and could erase $15B annually if unresolved. The H20 chip’s limited performance further strains China-market competitiveness. Competition and Market Saturation: AMD and Intel are accelerating AI chip development, while cloud providers design in-house alternatives (e.g., Google’s TPU). Valuation and Volatility: NVDA’s 30% stock correction in July 2024 highlighted sensitivity to AI spending concerns. Analysts warn of “exuberance fatigue” as earnings growth slows from triple-digit to 45% YoY. Macro Risks: Rising Treasury yields (e.g., 10-year at 4.54%) and federal debt concerns ($36T) could divert capital from tech to bonds. Summary Table Factor Impact on Nvidia Stock (NVDA) Source Citations 10-Year Yield ↑ Mixed (pressure from discount rates vs. AI growth) Interest Rate Cuts Positive (supports tech spending) AI Spending Major revenue driver ($115B data center sales) China Export Curbs $8B–$15B annual revenue risk Competition Threatens market share (AMD, in-house chips) Nvidia's stock (NVDA) currently shows a mixed correlation with 10-year US Treasury bond yields amid recent market shifts. While rising bond yields typically pressure high-growth tech stocks like Nvidia by increasing discount rates on future earnings, Nvidia’s strong earnings and dominant position in AI hardware have helped it partially decouple from this trend. Recent Data: Nvidia’s stock price is around $135 (down ~3% on the day), reflecting some volatility after a strong rally earlier in 2025 fueled by stellar AI-driven revenue growth. Bond Yields Context: The US 10-year Treasury yield recently hovered near 4.49% to 4.54%, with 30-year yields surpassing 5% amid fiscal concerns. Rising yields generally increase borrowing costs and discount future earnings, which can weigh on Nvidia’s valuation. Market Reaction: Despite higher yields, Nvidia’s shares rallied after strong earnings and optimistic guidance, suggesting investor confidence in its AI growth story offsets some bond market pressure. Volatility and Risks: The stock remains sensitive to macroeconomic factors such as rising yields, trade tensions, and export restrictions impacting China sales. Nvidia’s price movements often reflect the balance between its growth prospects and broader market risk sentiment influenced by bond yields. In summary, Nvidia’s stock and bond yields currently exhibit a partial inverse correlation, but Nvidia’s unique growth drivers in AI technology have softened the typical negative impact of rising yields on its stock price. Investors continue to watch bond yield trends closely, as sustained increases could cap further gains or increase volatility in Nvidia shares. Conclusion Nvidia’s stock remains buoyed by AI demand and Fed rate cut optimism but faces headwinds from bond yield volatility, China restrictions, and competition. While its $44.1B Q1 2025 revenue underscores dominance, sustaining growth requires navigating export rules and proving Blackwell’s long-term profitability. Investors should monitor bond market shifts and AI spending trends for directional cues. #NVIDIA #STOCKS #BONDS #DOLLAR
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Shavyfxhub
SHORT | NVDANASDAQ:NVDA Key Observations: Current Price Action: Price: $131.80 Recent Drop: -2.58 (-1.92%) Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $134.70 to $138.83 This red zone represents a strong supply area where the price has historically faced selling pressure. Immediate Support: $122.74 (Target Price 1) Further Supports: Target Price 2: $116.65 (Aligned with 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement) Target Price 3: $108.38 (Previous structural low) Trendlines: Red Uptrend Line: Recently broken, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Green Downtrend Line: Long-term resistance trendline from the previous Lower Highs (LH) is still intact and respected. The break below the minor trendline suggests a corrective wave (4) might be in motion. Fibonacci Levels: 0.382 Fib Retracement: $121.22 0.5 Fib Retracement: $116.22 These levels align with potential targets in a wave (4) corrective phase according to Elliott Wave theory. Target Prices: Target Price 1: $122.74 This is the closest demand zone and aligns with the 0.382 retracement—high-probability support. Target Price 2: $116.65 Aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and previous consolidation. Target Price 3: $108.38 A major structural support and potential wave (4) bottom if market turns sharply bearish. Summary: NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is showing early signs of a corrective phase after failing to break through strong resistance in the $134–$138 range. The price rejected the resistance zone and is likely entering wave (4) correction. Key support levels to monitor are $122.74, $116.65, and $108.38, corresponding with Fibonacci retracement levels and historical price structure. A break below the short-term trendline increases the probability of a continued pullback before potentially resuming the uptrend in wave (5).
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by shkspr
NVDA ..The nvidia levels of interesting worthiness ^^See my other idea on how the lines work and how I use them to see about the worthiness or V-bounces or to determine if flags are forming... only addition i will put here...is the application of a basic Fib retrace from the top start of the trend in descending pattern to the first breach of the line, after the second pivot point. So the yellow markers show the retrace and the green show the trend line of two worth pivots. A nice X forms on that candle between the lines and the fib retrace...
NASDAQ:NVDA
by CYQOTEK
NVIDIA The 1W MA100 rebound is targeting $225 at least.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke last week above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2.5 months and all this is generated by April's bottom rebound on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). The 1W MA100 has been intact since January 23 2023, so this rebound technically initiates a new Bullish Leg. Since the December 2018 bottom (previous U.S. - China Trade War), the minimum rise on such a Bullish Leg has been +156.11%. As a result, NVIDIA can now target $225 at least before the end of 2025. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
NVDA Still a Monster, But I’m Not Chasing It Just YetNVIDIA is sitting around $135.57 right now, and yeah—fundamentally, it’s crushing it. Revenue growth is off the charts (over 114% YoY) and the data center segment alone pulled in $35B+ last quarter. AI is the fuel, and NVDA is the engine. That said… we’re getting into overheated territory. Technically, price is way above its 50/100/200 EMAs, and the RSI is up in the 70s, so we’re clearly in overbought land. Can it push higher? Sure. But I’m not a fan of chasing candles when the chart is screaming “cooldown incoming.” If we get any weakness or macro jitters (tariffs, earnings nerves, etc.), I’ll be watching for potential entries in the $125–98zone. If we drop into that range with strong volume reaction, I’ll start scaling in. On the geopolitical front: yeah, the FWB:15B impact from U.S.–China restrictions isn’t nothing—but NVDA’s already moving to offset that with partnerships (like the Saudi AI deal). This isn’t a company sitting still. 📌 Bottom Line: Long-term, I’m bullish. Short-term, I’m cautious. I’d rather miss a little upside than buy the top and get trapped in a pullback. Let the trade come to you. Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice—just sharing my own playbook. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Robert_V12
FOMO, FOMO, FOMO , all rushing in to buy NVDASo CEO of NVDA has given an impressive speech recently. Read here And the forum is full of optimism and hype about the share price going to the moon. We have seen this before and it is anyone guess what happens after it reaches the resistance level at 149.28. Will it break out and continue the rally much to the excitement and bet of many investors/traders? Or would there be some form of retracement perhaps due to the downgrading of the US ratings to AA? I will not chase the high price as it it 3/4 to the top , leaving little meat to the profits and probability of going higher remains unknown but probability of it reversing half or towards support at 91.44 is a possibility. Thus, I will not be looking at this counter for now. However, I am invested in the VOO ETF (replicating SPX) so indirectly, I am vested in Nvidia. Fundamentally, this company is also overvalued from looking at its balance sheet. Of course, if the earning growth could match up, the share price can still continue to rally especially it is also a popular stock amongst many retail investors.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by dchua1969
Options Trade Idea: NVDA $135 PUT – Exp. May 23, 2025 -SwingI'm entering a NVDA $135 PUT expiring May 23, 2025, as a short-term swing trade based on my technical analysis. Type: Put Option (ITM) Strike Price: $135 Expiration: May 23, 2025 (this Friday) Rationale: I see signs of a potential downside move in NVDA: bearish RSI divergence, weakening momentum, and rejection at key resistance. I chose the in-the-money (ITM) $135 strike PUT because it has higher delta and holds value better, especially with strong theta decay favoring fast profits ahead of expiration this Friday.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Beau2600
3
NVIDIA Breaks Out - Is a Bigger Rally Coming?NVIDIA Breaks Out - Is a Bigger Rally Coming? NVIDIA has broken out of a bullish triangle pattern, signaling that it might be ready to climb higher. In my view, the bottom was reached at 86.00, as even market pressures from Trump couldn't push it down further. NVIDIA seems to be waiting for more details on the US-China trade deal before making a stronger upward move. If positive developments emerge, it could trigger a bigger bullish wave, lifting the stock even higher. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by KlejdiCuni
1
NVDA Just Broke Structure – Bounce or Breakdown Incoming?📊 NVDA GEX Daily (Options Sentiment Overview) NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) closed at $135.13, down nearly 3% on Friday, and has now pulled back from the gamma resistance cluster between 140–145. GEX sentiment is cooling, and the chart shows we just lost the HVL (High Volume Level) around 137.5, putting bulls in a tricky spot. GEX Levels to Know: * 🟢 Positive gamma stack at 140 → 145 → 150, with 143.9 as the next key magnet IF price recovers. * 🟥 Heavy dealer put interest below 134 → 130 → 125; GEX sharply negative down there. * 🧊 IVR 10.2 = super cheap options → ideal setup for directional trades using debit spreads. 💡 Options Strategy: * Bullish: If NVDA reclaims 137.5, play for bounce back to 140–143. Look at Jul 19 140c or 137.5/145c spread. * Bearish: If it fails to reclaim 135 and breaks 133.25, play toward 130–131. Look at Jul 19 132p/125p vertical. Dealers may flip short under 133, increasing the chance of acceleration if support breaks. 🕵️‍♂️ 1H Chart Breakdown (Swing/Intraday View) The 1-hour chart tells a clear story: NVDA broke short-term structure with CHoCH and BOS under 135, and is now channeling downward with a falling wedge-type pattern. The SMC supply at 143–145 held strong. Key Notes: * ⚠️ Breakdown from rising structure, now forming new bearish channel. * 🟩 Short-term CHoCH support near 133.25 is key — if lost, opens 130 fast. * 🟣 Momentum + RSI screaming overbought → likely a lower high if it bounces to 138 area. 📈 Swing Setup: * Short bias while under 137.5. * Entry: rejection near 136–137 * Target: 133.2, then 130.4 * Bull case only resumes if we reclaim 138 clean → invalidates the breakdown. 📊 Intraday Playbook: * Short bounce into 136.25–137.5 (previous BOS zone). * Long scalp bounce off 133.25, but only for short-term risk-controlled play. Bias = Bearish unless 137.5 is reclaimed. Don’t fight the momentum. 🧠 Final Thoughts NVDA has shifted from leader to potential drag — at least near term. The structure is broken, and GEX is aligning with downside momentum. IV is cheap, making this a great week for defined-risk option plays, whether you’re looking to fade pops or scalp breakdowns. ⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025📉 TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025 🚨 AI Consensus: Bearish Momentum Ahead of June 6 Expiry 🧠 Summary of AI Model Signals 🔹 Grok (xAI) Technicals: Below EMAs, RSI deeply oversold (26.95), MACD bearish. Sentiment: VIX steady, max pain at $340 implies downside. Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.25 → Target $9.08 (+10%) / Stop $6.60 (−20%) Confidence: 65% 🔹 Claude (Anthropic) Technicals: Bearish EMAs/MACD, volume spike on red bars. Sentiment: Negative sales buzz, falling VIX, max pain $340. Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.20 → Target +50–100% / Stop $5.74 Confidence: 72% 🔹 Llama (Meta) Technicals: Bearish M5 EMA stack; support at $345 zone. Trade: Buy $342.5P @ $9.40 → Target +20% / Stop −50% Confidence: 70% 🔹 Gemini (Google) Technicals: Strong bearish momentum, RSI oversold. Trade: Buy $305P @ $0.95 → Target $1.90 / Stop $0.47 (Day trade) Confidence: 75% 🔹 DeepSeek Technicals: Breakdown in progress, momentum fading. Sentiment: Weak China/Europe news; max pain support at $340. Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.25 → Target $12.38 (+50%) / Stop $5.78 Confidence: 70% ✅ Consensus Takeaways 🔻 Bearish technical setup on all timeframes 🔄 Max Pain at $340 = potential price magnet 📉 Strong directional momentum + oversold RSI across models 📆 Preferred strategy: Buy weekly naked puts, enter Monday open 🎯 Recommended Trade Setup 💡 Strategy: Bearish Single-Leg Weekly Put 📈 Ticker: TSLA 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: $340 💵 Entry Price: $8.25 🎯 Target: $9.08 (+10%) 🛑 Stop: $6.60 (−20%) 📏 Size: 1 Contract 📆 Expiry: 2025-06-06 ⏰ Entry: At Market Open 📊 Confidence: 70% ⚠️ Key Risks to Watch 📉 RSI is oversold — potential for a short-term bounce 🕒 Time decay accelerates midweek — don’t hold too long 🚀 Unexpected bullish catalyst (e.g., SpaceX PR, macro rally) 💵 Liquidity fine (4.4k OI), but wide spreads in fast markets 📊 TRADE DETAILS (JSON) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "put", "strike": 340.0, "expiry": "2025-06-06", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 9.08, "stop_loss": 6.60, "size": 1, "entry_price": 8.25, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-06-02 09:30:00 UTC-04:00" }
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by quantsignals
NVDA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025📉 NVDA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025 🚨 AI Model Consensus: Lean Bearish Into 6/6 Expiry 🧠 Model Breakdown 🔹 Grok (xAI) Bias: Short-term bullish (above 10/50 EMA on M5), but below 200 EMA. Indicators: RSI ~63, MACD weakening on daily. Sentiment: Falling VIX + AI buzz, but $133 max pain caps upside. Trade: Buy $141C @ ~$0.94 → Target +50%, SL 50% Confidence: 70% 🔹 Claude (Anthropic) Bias: Slightly bullish. Indicators: Price above 10EMA, below 200EMA; MACD weak, RSI neutral. Sentiment: Call/put OI split, max pain $133. Trade: Buy $140C @ $0.96 → Target +55–75%, SL $0.50 Confidence: 72% 🔹 Gemini (Google) Bias: Bearish. Indicators: Bearish MACD crossover; upper Bollinger rejection. Sentiment: Positive news priced in. Trade: Buy $128P @ $0.73 → Target +75–100%, SL 50% Confidence: 65% 🔹 Llama (Meta) Bias: Moderately bearish. Indicators: MACD fading; under EMAs on M5. Trade: Buy $133P → Target +50%, SL above $136.35 Confidence: 70% 🔹 DeepSeek Bias: Bearish. Indicators: MACD bearish crossover; momentum fading. Trade: Buy $132P @ $1.65 → Target +100%, SL 50% Confidence: 65% ✅ Consensus Takeaways 🎯 Max Pain: $133 is the focal level across all models. 🟢 VIX down; sentiment positive, but momentum fading. 📉 Daily MACD across models turning bearish. ⚠️ Bullish calls (Grok/Claude) vs. bearish puts (Gemini/Llama/DeepSeek). 🔍 Recommended Trade This Week 💡 Bearish Play: NVDA Weekly Put (Exp: 2025-06-06) 💵 Entry: $1.66 🎯 Target: $2.49 (+50%) 🛑 Stop: $0.83 (−50%) 🔢 Size: 1 contract ⏰ Entry Timing: Market open (Monday) 📈 Confidence: 65% ⚠️ Risks to Watch 🚀 AI catalyst could reverse thesis and rally price fast ⏳ Time decay will eat premium—move needed early 🕳️ Opening gaps could get filled fast—use limit orders 🔄 Max pain ≠ magnetic level—watch price action around $133 closely 📊 TRADE DETAILS (JSON) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "put", "strike": 132.0, "expiry": "2025-06-06", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 2.49, "stop_loss": 0.83, "size": 1, "entry_price": 1.66, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-06-02 09:30:00 UTC-04:00" }
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by quantsignals
NVDA Trade Idea – Weekly Structure Opening for 385-Day Cycle 🕒 Weekly Pattern Outlook NVDA is believed to be entering a new structural phase within a 385-day cycle, with the $129–$135 range acting as a potential entry zone. This zone allows risk management through a stop loss if the bullish structure fails to materialize. 📊 Volume/Float Ratio & Market Sentiment Vol/Float Ratio: 1.45% – weak, but not bearish. Market is leaning bullish, not bearish, despite current sideways consolidation. This weakness may be caused by retail hesitation, waiting for macro news or market reaction before entering. 📈 Technical View (TA): On the daily timeframe, NVDA is currently retesting previous zones. A short-term drop followed by a bounce is highly probable — which could lead to a breakout targeting $153. High-probability scenario: NVDA reaches $191 within the next 31 days if structure holds and volatility increases. ⚠️ Gap & Momentum Considerations: Current Gap % = 1.45% → indicates low volatility and neutral/bullish sideways phase. If Gaps expand to 100–200%, expect explosive movement and breakout behavior. For now, the sideways structure dominates, not a bear trend. 💡 Trading Strategy: Avoid buyer strategy for now due to weak volatility. Option sellers (premium collectors) will benefit more in current conditions. If you're trading positionally, set a trailing stop loss to manage risk in case of a false breakout or pullback. Disclaimer: This trade idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always use capital you can afford to lose and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TWRTEAM
Setting the Stage for a New Bull Cycle- The theoretical price cycle has ended and appears to be initiating a new one — naturally beginning with an impulsive move. - While the company is perceived as evolving into a cash cow, it still remains the leader of a high-growth market. This makes it an exceptional portfolio asset. - The peak of the new trend could reach the 261.8% level. A minor correction trend might follow, but it's not considered significant. - Unless there is a downward revision in analyst forecasts, the stock should be held for the long term, with additional entries recommended at each correction wave.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Tolgaun6
Nvidia —Resistance Turns Support Support Confirmed—ATH 260-194This week closes as a full green candle. A rising window or gap was left along the way. This is a bullish development. The full green candle comes after a rounded bottom and double-bottom long-term. Coming from a resistance level turned strong long-term support. Keeping it simple, NVDA has been rising and the chart shows potential for additional growth. There can be retraces and corrections; Any retraces and corrections are an opportunity to buy-up, rebuy and reload. In the case of a strong correction, always, we will end up with a higher low compared to the 7-April weekly session. This session marks the bottom of the correction. A higher low means the bullish structure remains intact. A bullish structure means a bullish trend. A bullish trend means rising prices which will end up with a new All-Time High in late 2025. Two new All-Time Highs possible and highly probable in 2025. 194 (mid-term) & 260 (long-term). Thank you for reading. Support boost and follow. Namaste.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MasterAnanda
1