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$QQQ - Recap of April 14 2025Today, Monday April 14th we opened with a gap UP to the 30min 200MA and slightly above that. We closed the top of the gap (always a potential resistance and in the case here, paired with the 30min 200MA that was facing down we did get pulled back down to close the morning gap and the rest of the bear gap (combined it was an island gap) Once we closed the bear gap first from above we came back and closed the bull gap, we took another swing at the 30min 200, still facing down and got rejected back down into close. It was an easy trading range today. Rather predicable, in my opinion, with the downward facing 30min 200MA, the bear gap and the 35EMA still trading underneath the 30min 200MA. These are all things I drill in daily in the videos and even though we closed great a lot of the bearishness of this chart today played out to contain the upside. Also let's not forget that we had a green signal line today!! It looked weak but you can see the support, weak or not, it stayed green. How did you guys do??
NASDAQ:QQQ
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Bullish Setup for QQQ: Price Targets and Key Levels for Next Wee - Key Insights: QQQ exhibits strong bullish momentum, supported by technical setups, including cup-and-handle formations and golden crosses. Buyer sentiment remains robust, driven by tariff pauses on tech and chip stocks and a broader recovery in indices. Sustaining above key support at 444 will be critical for maintaining upward momentum, while geopolitical volatility should be monitored closely. - Price Targets: - Next Week Targets: T1 = 465, T2 = 478 - Stop Levels: S1 = 436, S2 = 421 - Recent Performance: QQQ has rallied 7.5% in its latest bullish phase and is currently trading at 446.18, outperforming major indices like SPY and ES. Short-term activity reveals consistent gains above last week’s and yesterday’s closing prices, underscoring the strength of buyer sentiment. - Expert Analysis: Technical indicators such as stochastic oscillators, golden crosses, and Fibonacci levels point toward sustained upside potential. However, experts urge caution due to heightened geopolitical risks and inflation concerns. Price action around the 444 support level will validate the reliability of QQQ's bullish case. - News Impact: Positive catalysts include a tariff pause on tech and semiconductor stocks, which benefits QQQ’s key holdings in the technology sector. Additionally, broad market recovery and renewed optimism have amplified fund flows into the NASDAQ 100. However, potential downside risks stem from trade tensions and inflationary pressures, making QQQ vulnerable to sudden volatility despite its promising technical structure.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
QQQ Coiling for a Breakout? Critical Zone Approaching📈 Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
QQQ is riding within a clean ascending channel since the April 9th reversal. The recent candles are forming higher lows and testing upper resistance near 454.00, with bullish volume stepping in during Thursday’s session. RSI is steadily climbing toward the 60–65 zone but not overbought yet, leaving room for an upward breakout. * Key Resistance: 468.31 (top of the channel + GEX wall) * Support Zones: 435.00 (put wall), 420.00 (gamma gap zone) Current consolidation around 454 suggests the market is deciding whether to push into the heavy call wall above or reject toward the lower channel boundary. 🔍 GEX (Gamma Exposure) + Options Sentiment
The options data offers a clear battleground: * GEX Resistance: The highest positive NET GEX is at 460–469, aligning with the 2nd and 3rd CALL Walls. This creates a strong gamma magnet but also potential resistance. * GEX Support: Strong PUT Support around 435, confirmed by -42.99% GEX Support Wall. * Options Oscillator: Extreme PUT bias at 83%. This could be positioning for protection or fuel for a short squeeze if price breaks higher. * IVR: 68.4 (Elevated) | IVx Avg: 46.8
This suggests high premium—buyers of options are paying up for volatility. 📊 Trade Outlooks Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above 455–460): * 📈 Entry: 455–456 breakout with confirmation * 🎯 Target 1: 460 * 🎯 Target 2: 468 * ⛔️ Stop Loss: Below 448 * 💡 Suggested Option: 460C or 465C (0DTE or 4/17), tight spreads required due to elevated IVR Bearish Scenario (Rejection at 455 and breakdown) * 📉 Entry: Below 450 on strong red candle * 🎯 Target 1: 445 * 🎯 Target 2: 435 (GEX support) * ⛔️ Stop Loss: Over 456 * 💡 Suggested Option: 445P or 440P (with defined risk, preferably spreads) 📌 Conclusion
QQQ is sitting in a high-tension coil—either we break above 455–460 and see a gamma squeeze to 468, or options flows pull us back to the 445–435 support zone. With IV elevated and options heavily tilted toward PUTs, watch for a potential contrarian breakout if bulls step in. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
Instructional for my brother. IThis is a bad swing trade, it is under the 180 day moving average. You wouldn't enter this using a swing trading system alone, its more advanced to identify. But you can see the yellow line I drew, that is strong resistance. That means the price don't want to go below that line. I put what a trade would look like on it. You see how in this trade there is much more green than red? That is a good risk to reward ration. Now here is CBOE. See how the green and red of this projected trade are nearly equal? Yeah, that is a bad risk to reward ration. At a 1:1 (that is for each dollar you can gain, you are risking) you are at a coin toss odds. Which is better than gambling but isn't trading. You pretty much have the gist of Bravo simple trading, these are more advanced things. IF you are trading, you want to know where you will set your stop loss and where you will set your take profit BEFORE you buy anything. And then set those with the trade. That way you know beforehand what a worse case scenario looks like. If you do this, you will very likely succeed in the long run.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by travis84
1
$QQQ Poised for Lift-Off: Flipping Resistance, Eyeing $470-$475!🚀 NASDAQ:QQQ Poised for Lift-Off: Flipping Resistance, Eyeing $470-$475! 🚀 As mentioned in my recent post, we’ve successfully flipped the $443.14 resistance into support—a key technical shift! 🔹 Momentum Building: - Wr% Indicator: Making higher lows and advancing steadily towards the Red Barrier. - Volume Gap: Still in play and ready to be filled. With a higher low now established, I believe we’re set up for a potential move to $470-$475 next week. 📈 Let’s see how this plays out—exciting times ahead! 💡 Have an amazing weekend, friends! Not financial advice
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by RonnieV29
Learning The Excess Phase Peak Pattern : How To Identify/Use ItThis new tutorial video is for all the new followers I have on TradingView who don't understand the Excess Phase Peak pattern (EPP) yet. I received a question from a new follower yesterday about the EPP patterns. He/She could not understand what they were or how to use/identify them. This video should help you understand what the EPP patterns are, how to identify them, how to trade with them, and how to identify/use proper expectations with them. I hope this video is informative and clear. Remember, price only does two things... FLAG or TREND - NOTHING ELSE And the EPP pattern is the CORE STRUCTURE of price that happens on all charts, all intervals, and all the time. The second pattern, the Cradle pattern, is part of the EPP pattern, but it acts as another price construct related to how to identify opportunities in price action. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-11 : Break-Away in CarryoverToday's Break-away pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move (break) away from yesterday's Body range. I believe this trend, after the recent Ultimate Low in price, will be to the upside. I know a lot of people are asking, "why do you think the markets are going to rally now - after you suggested the markets would trend downward?" Things have changed now that we have a 90-day pause in the tariff wars. Yes, China is still an issue - but the rest of the world seems to have a pause on the tariff wars as negotiations continue. I believe the removal of the tariff pressure on the markets will result in a moderate upward trend as we move into Q1:2025 earnings season. Still, I don't believe we will see new ATHs anytime soon. But I do believe the 580+ level on the SPY is a potential high price level that can be reached before the end of April 2025. Gold and Silver are moving into a GAP trend move today. I believe the GAP will be to the upside and I believe Gold and Silver will continue to rally. Silver is really low in terms of comparison to Gold. Silver could make a very big move to the upside over the next 30+ days. BTCUSD is still consolidating into the narrow range I suggested would happen before the bigger breakdown event near the end of April (into early May). Everything is playing out just as I expected. The big change is the removal of the tariffs for 75+ nations (for now). That will give the markets some room to the upside and we need to understand how price structure is playing out into an A-B-C wave structure. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by BradMatheny
22
4/8/25 - $qqq - Don't fall for the meme4/8/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ Don't fall for the meme So. You are following Trump on Truth Social. (strike 1) You are believing Dalio about the state of geopolitics. (strike 2) Jim Cramer is on in the background yelling (strike 3) Rando on X accounts "AI is a bubble" (strike 4) You can taper a USD ponzi scheme (strike 5) ... i could go on. Here's the reality. - The stock market is real money. "Money" being defined as "something that has productive value". It it the best money? Maybe. BTC is pretty good too. Each have their own properties. Is the USD "money"? Well. Yes, but mostly no. It's mostly a liability. - Is the global economy melting down? No. Have you not seen what AI can do beyond one-shotting prompts? This is far from what dotcom was. Dotcom never replaced people/ labor and services. So while there are a lot of meme companies out there attaching AI to their business descriptions, the core suspects are monetizing this today, and it's only getting more impressive (not by the week), but the *day* - Does the debt market matter more than stonks rn? Yes. Up until a few days ago, lower yields (on UST's) emboldened speech to not give a F. Well, that's changed. Back to "you can't taper a ponzi". So better own productive assets. Gold has sniffed this out. BTC usually follows 3-6 months on Gold (as a smaller asset class) unless China decides to go full retard Jerome (which they might). And historically, China stimmy is the trigger for BTC getting sent. Weird the moon bois don't track this. But put it in the back of your mental model. - So what do we do here? Productive assets that have visibility toward growth not just this year but into the next 3-5Y and are trading where cash yields and healthy balance sheets are >5% FCF's but ideally closer to 10%. - NASDAQ:NXT remains in a tough tide. Solar as a category has just been so scammy. And even tho US builders are sourcing mainly from Vietnam (not China) etc. etc. people don't do the work in a correlation 1 world. So do we retrace the $32/shr gap? Idk. But I sized up so hard today. And tmr I'll be updating if we gap lower. it's 33% of book today. i take to 40% if we get to sub $35. and i get to 50% (LEAPS!) if we close dat gap. - $OBTC. bitcoin at 8-10% off spot? lol. size manage, but definitely a good way to play the beta with larger size given the discount. almost like leverage without leverage. limits only. v illiquid. hence the discount. - I like NASDAQ:BLDE here at $2.5 the TL;DR is this. 1/ cash generative. 2/ main biz is organ transport, and consumer biz is cash generative ans mostly rich ppl Uber in the sky 3/ two-thirds of the valuation is net cash and 4/ you can sell august 15 2025 calls for 55-60c today (at $2.5/shr) locking in 20% yield with some downside production (where the stock would theoretically trade close to zero valuation and you'd honestly want to own the stock anyway). so i've sized this up to nearly 20% of book. - I like $UBER. 6% fcf yields. not tariff exposed. but it's defn travel-punching bag. I get it. Gap in the high 50s *shouldn't* fill, but i'm prepared if/when only because we're trading like everything is the same. That's what the room-temperature "I buy ETFs" crowd deserves. Pick and choose. So if we dump, this gets dumped and we go back there, I'd consider this an absolute gift. Flows vs. fundamentals already dominant. Better beta than mkt as we re-rip toward ATHs (my view remains) this year. - $GAMB. 15% fcf yields. not tariff exposed. normies r gonna gamble. they have founder-led beats/raises. M&A, low liquidity keeps this waffling but ultimately a winner. - $VST. trades like NASDAQ:NVDA (so does NASDAQ:NXT ) lol. it's a f'n utility that generates piles of cash, is insulated from the hyperscaler fall out (if/does happen... which is NOT my base case), but utimately has tons of power to serve up. $1.4M/MW cheap. 6% fcf yields. no brainer. - $NVO. honorable mention. Euro's can't seem to grow a pair and buy this obvious cash generative winner. GL. mm.. wealth isn't measured in USD's. <3 V PS - i think we go higher from here. avg. stock down 30% on my calculation from peak. index doesn't tell story. could be another 5-10% on index? yeah w/e. again back to point 1. in a ponzi scheme you own real things... and the USD is the biggest shit meme coin on the planet. it has value for a small period of time, but sooner than later you gotta put it to work. don't hold the USSA bag.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by VROCKSTAR
4
Foundation of Technical Trading: What Makes a Chart Tradable?The Foundation of Technical Trading There is an abundance of information on price charts, technical methods, indicators, and various tools. However, the required first step is to understand basic market structure. Without this foundational knowledge, technical applications risk becoming inconsistent and disconnected from broader market behavior. It is also important to question whether technical charts and tools are effective at all. What makes the market responsive to a trendline, a pattern, or an indicator? And why, at other times, do these tools seem entirely irrelevant? Is the market random? If certain events are predictable, under what conditions can such occurrences be expected? Experiment: Random Charts Here is an illustration of four charts; two showing real price data and two randomly generated. While some visual distortion gives away subtle differences, there are more refined methods to construct this experiment that makes telling the difference between real and random almost impossible. All these charts show viable patterns and possible applications. When presented with these, even experienced people tend to construct narratives, whether or not structure is present. This raises a fundamental question; how can one distinguish real occurrences from coincidental formations on a chart? In case all movements are considered random, then this should indicate that applied methods perform no better than coincidence? Bias and Distortion It’s also important to comprehend the influence our perception. As humans we are wired to find patterns, even in random data, which can lead to various cognitive biases that distort our interpretation. For example, confirmation bias may lead us to focus only on evidence that supports our expectations, while apophenia causes us to see patterns where none exist. Similarly, hindsight bias can trick us into believing past patterns were obvious, which can develop overconfidence in future decisions. Awareness of these biases allows us to approach technical tools and charts with greater objectivity, with more focus on probabilistic methods and calculated risks. Experiment: Random Levels Perform the following experiment; open a chart and hide the price data. Then draw a few horizontal lines at random levels. Then reveal the price again. You’ll notice that price can touch or reverse near these lines, as if they were relevant levels. The same thing can happen with various indicators and tools. This experiment shows how easy it is to find confluence by chance. It also raises an important question, is your equipment and approach to the markets more reliable than random? Market Disorder Financial markets consist of various participants including banks, funds, traders and algorithmic systems. These participants operate with different objectives and across multiple timeframes resulting in a wide range of interpretations of market behavior. Trades are executed for various reasons such as speculation, hedging, rebalancing, liquidation or automation; directional intent could be unclear. For instance, the prior may serve to offset exposure, and portfolio rebalancing could require the execution of large orders without directional intent. Technical and chart-based trading likely makes up a minor segment of the overall market; even within this subset, there is considerable variation in perception and interpretation. There could be differences in timeframe, reference points, pattern relevance and responses to similar information. The market is broader, more complex and less definitive than it appears. The point is that markets contain a high degree of structural disorder, which means most assumptions should be questioned and perceived as estimative. The effect of buying and selling pressure on multiple timeframes sets the foundation for oscillation in price movements, rather than linear and monotonic movements. This pattern of rising and falling in a series of waves sets the points for where the current structure transitions between balance and imbalance. An overall equilibrium between buying and selling pressure results in consolidative price movement, whereas dominance leads to trending or progressive movement. Volatility Distribution To answer the main question: What differentiates real market behavior and charts from random data, and ultimately makes it tradable, is the distribution of volatility. This forms the basis for the phenomenon of volatility clustering, where periods of high volatility tend to follow high volatility, and low volatility follows low volatility. It is rare for the market to shift into a volatile state and then immediately revert to inactivity without some degree of persistence. Research supports the presence of this volatility persistence, though with the important caveat that it does not imply directional intent. Volatility Cycles These phases tend to occur in alternation, known as volatility cycles, which set the foundation for tradable price structures. This sequence consists of a contractive phase, marked by compression in price movements, followed by an expansive phase, characterized by increased volatility and directional movement. The alternation reflects shifts in underlying buying and selling pressure. This behavior offers a practical approach to interpret market behavior. A more detailed explanation of the concept could be explored in a future post. Conclusion While the idea of profitability through technical trading is often questioned, it remains a viable approach when based on sound principles. The edges available to the average trader are smaller and less frequent than commonly presumed. The concepts of volatility and the ability to locate areas of imbalance forms the basis for identifying conditions where market behavior becomes less random and more structured. This sets the foundation for developing technical edges. The content in this post is adapted from the book The Art of Technical Trading for educational purposes.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by StockLeave
QQQ - The Time Is NowApril is wild. So take a deep breath and ... relax. Because for traders with a longer-term investment horizon, now may be THE time to buy. A look at the QQQ in the big picture shows that extremely strong bullish divergences have built up in the cumulative volume delta. Yes, the crash was fast and violent. But, as we know: Fast is fake. It can therefore be assumed that the QQQ will recover relatively soon. Times may remain exciting for day traders, but investors on the hunt for bargains will be happy about perfect entry prices.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by Ochlokrat
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-7 : POP In Counter Trend ModeToday's POP pattern in Counter Trend mode suggests the markets will find support and attempt to POP upward a bit. I expect the SPY to attempt to reach levels above 505 today. Possibly trying to peak near 510. The same thing will happen with the QQQ - a potential rally (POP) higher targeting the 420-425 level. Watch this video TWICE if you really want to understand what is taking place in the markets right now. The tariff issue will settle over the next 15+ days. The SPY/QQQ are moving into the EPP Consolidation Phase (just like I've been telling you for months now). BTCUSD is moving into a BREAKDOWN phase and will likely target $63k over the next 30+ days. Gold and Silver reacted to the breakdown of the SPY/QQQ as they always do - PANIC SELLING. Now that the panic selling pressure appears to be subsiding, Gold and Silver should build a base and begin an explosive move higher - targeting $4200-4500 for gold and targeting $41-44 for silver. We live in exciting times and I still believe the US markets will DOUBLE or TRIPLE over the next 5-10+ years. Get Some.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by BradMatheny
13