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SPY trade ideas

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-29 : GAP ReversalToday's pattern suggests the markets are going to start off with a bit of a bang. Although I expect the markets to try to hold up with some support, I believe, ultimately, the markets will break downward - continuing into the Deep-V Feb 9-10 bottom my cycles are projecting. Gold and Silver are acting to attempt to hedge the global risks and could explode much higher over the next 30 - 60+ days. Bitcoin looks like it will continue to move downward, first to 98k, then to 92k. I'm seeing lots of Excess Phase Peak patterns in price action. This suggests the markets are struggling for direction right now and could move aggressively into a downward cycle phase before the Feb 9-10 Deep-V base/bottom. Either way, we are going to find a lot of opportunities over the next 30+ days as traders. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Uptrend for the next 10 days The market will go up for the next 10 days. I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks as they: 1) show more of a directional movement within candlesticks, 2) they tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better, 3) it reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer, and 4) gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading. I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am anticipating a bull trend for the next while as the 30 min, 1 hour, 2 hour, 3 hour and 4 hour indicators are already looking bullish. The rest of the time frame indicators should change shortly. I have a few targets. In the past I have said the market is usually moving about 34 points, but I think it will make a less of a move this time due to the Stock RSI only being slightly lower as it is not starting close to 0. If you look at some of the past moves, the market moved around 20 points such as from July 1 to July 16, Oct 7 to Oct 17 and Nov. 20 to Dec 6th. As well, if you look at the Stock RSI on the daily charts, it has only declined a little. So even with it turning soon, it only has a little way to go upward. Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. I still tend to switch back and forth between Heinkin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks is what I was using since I started trading and there are still some benefits I get from regular candlesticks. The targets I have in place are: 22 point move = 616 1.618 Fibonacci move = 619.35 10 day move = Feb 12 If it hits one of these targets, I am out of my trade. My stops are: 1) the low of the previous candlestick, 2) 2 red Heikin Ashi candlesticks, 3) a specific dollar amount of a total loss for my trade or 4) a specific dollar amount of the contract. Happy trading everyone!
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
SPY Faces Key Support Test! A Reversal or Breakdown Ahead? Jan3Technical Analysis: 1. Trend Overview: * SPY is consolidating within an ascending wedge pattern but is now testing critical support levels near $598. * MACD shows bearish momentum as the histogram dives deeper into negative territory. * Stochastic RSI has entered oversold territory, hinting at a potential bounce but no confirmation yet. 2. Support and Resistance: * Immediate Support: $598. * Key Resistance: $610, aligned with the highest positive NETGEX wall. 3. Volume: * The recent decline is supported by increasing volume, signaling strong selling pressure. GEX and Options Perspective: 1. Gamma Levels: * Resistance: $610 (highest positive NETGEX), followed by $615. * Support: $598 and $595 as critical PUT walls with -59.64% and -67.37% negative gamma concentrations, respectively. * Extreme Bearish Zone: Below $590, where PUT dominance may accelerate downside moves. 2. Implied Volatility and Sentiment: * IVR: 19.4 indicates moderate volatility. * IVx average: 15.7, showing slightly elevated implied volatility compared to historical norms. * PUT$ dominance at 70.3% highlights bearish sentiment in the options market. Trade Scenarios: 1. Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $601 with confirmation of strong buying volume. * Target: $610, with a stretch target at $615. * Stop-Loss: Below $598. 2. Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $598, confirming a breakdown from support. * Target: $590, with an extended target at $585. * Stop-Loss: Above $601. Actionable Suggestion: * Watch for a reversal signal at $598, potentially confirmed by bullish divergence on MACD and Stochastic RSI. * In case of a breakdown, consider aligning trades with PUT-heavy zones below $595 for downside continuation. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and manage your risk effectively.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
As Goes January So Goes the YearI have written and talked about this statistical superstition born out of trading almanacs of the "January Effect" which proposes that the month of January's direction (a green bar or a red bar) will determine the final close of the year as a whole. I plugged the data into a spreadsheet this year mid-January to get the updated statistic and for the last 97 years this adage has held true 68% of the time. Like all statistics when studying markets "nothing is 100%" but it is safe to say "more often than not" this is true. The January 2025 Monthly open is -3.03% from the Friday close... SPY is going to open -2.19% as of writing this morning. We still have a whole week of trading days left in January to see how 2025 will MOST PROBABLY play out. There's a lot of "reasons" talk this morning about some Chinese AI being the culprit of the selloff. I never take heed of the need for the media to publish digestible stories to give such reasons: they are never tradable prior to the event they claim and each is a one-off so knowing the "reason" (if even true) is totally worthless for making money. The more logical answer according to price which is far more actionable to traders is the failed breakout last Friday. While SPY made a new All Time High the Weekly itself failed to close to confirm it. Not following through on such a move is a clear bearish signal going into a weekend. Now THAT is a much better "reason" to be focused on this week (and every time it happens in the future).
AMEX:SPY
by norok
3
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 5 2025AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders We are sitting right at the 35EMA above the 30min 200MA which is still bullish. We have a green signal line, and we are above the 50 Day Moving Average. We do have a bearish signal which is the 1hr 200MA trading underneath the 50 Day moving Average So we are have mixed signals today, leaning bullish but not fully bullish. Implied move on the day is 596 to 607 - let’s go, y’all
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-28 : Temp Bottom PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Temp Bottom. After yesterday's big breakdown and consolidation, I believe the SPY will attempt to identify support, possibly near 597, and attempt to move higher a bit today. Ultimately, a Temp Bottom pattern is where the price seeks out support (moving downward or retesting recent support levels) and then rolls to the upside, creating a base/bottom type of pattern. The QQQ should follow the same pattern. Gold and Silver seem trapped for the next 2-3 days (possibly melting a bit higher as the US Dollar appears to be moving downward a bit). I don't see Gold/Silver starting to make any big moves until Jan 31 or in early Feb. Bitcoin will likely stall out, just like the SPY/QQQ, over the next 2-3 days, then move into a downward price phase - attempting to move back towards $92k. I believe the markets are stalling and in a bit of shock at the moment. Don't get too aggressive in any trades unless you are confident in your ability to manage risk levels. Some sectors/symbols will trend. But the SPY/QQQ will likely stall out for another 2-3 days before making another big move. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY Technical Analysis: for Jan. 31Market Structure Analysis: SPY is trading within a symmetrical wedge, suggesting consolidation with a potential breakout approaching. Recent price action indicates higher lows, creating an upward bias, but resistance around $610 needs to be cleared for confirmation of further upside. Support and Resistance Levels: * Immediate Support: $600 * Key Support: $590 (aligned with the PUT Support Zone) * Immediate Resistance: $610 * Major Resistance: $620 (Gamma Wall with strong Call resistance) Indicators Analysis: * MACD: Momentum is slightly bullish but flattening, signaling caution for overextension. * Stochastic RSI: Currently overbought, which could lead to a short-term pullback or pause in the rally. Gamma Exposure (GEX) and Options Insights: * Positive Gamma is dominant, with the highest Call Resistance at $620. * Put support is strong around $590, creating a likely floor unless broader market sentiment shifts. Trade Setup Suggestions: 1. Bullish Breakout: * Entry: Above $610 * Target: $620 * Stop Loss: Below $600 2. Bearish Rejection: * Entry: Below $600 * Target: $590 * Stop Loss: Above $610 Outlook: Today, SPY is likely to test the upper boundary of the wedge. A breakout above $610 could lead to strong bullish momentum targeting $620. However, if rejected, SPY may retrace towards $600 or even $590, especially if market sentiment weakens. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Rally Over? The Perfect Storm for a Major Pullback—Not Forever Two years of relentless upside just met its first real threat: 25% tariffs on Mexico & Canada, 10% on China, and global backlash that isn’t fading anytime soon. Friday’s pause wasn’t hesitation—it was the market bracing for impact. I hope I'm wrong but this does seem like the perfect setup for a multi-week (or longer) correction. Most stocks won’t be spared, just some will bleed slower. While short-term turbulence looks inevitable, the long-term picture remains strong. The U.S. is tackling its debt aggressively, and once the dust settles, we’ll likely see the economy emerge stronger—setting the stage for another leg higher. #S&P500 #MarketShift #BearishShortTerm #BullishLongTerm
AMEX:SPY
by Papi_Jammin
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-27 : Consolidation PatternToday is an incredible day in my world. I have been warning of a major peak/top near Jan 20-23 for more than 45+ days. I have continued to warn traders of a major top/peak near the Inauguration and how I believe the markets would suddenly shift downward - targeting the Feb 9-11 Deep-V bottom. All of my predictive analysis is based on Gann, Tesla (Energy frequency, amplitude, vibration) and Fibonacci research. The reason I state this is because I want you to start thinking of price action in terms of energy expulsion and consolidation. Price is the ultimate indicator. My research proves we can attempt to predict future price moves (tops, bottoms, strength, weakness, and others) with a moderate degree of accuracy. As I continue to expand my research, tools, and resources, I will continue to improve my analysis/predictive capabilities. To me, this is very exciting. Today, I would expect the markets to consolidate in a fairly wide/volatile range. Gold and Silver will likely continue to try to recover/rally out of these flagging/pennant formations. Silver is set in more of a range-bound price channel, whereas Gold is clearly moving into a Pennant/Flag setup. BTCUSD appears to have broken the EPP Flag channel and should attempt to move down to GETTEX:92K over the next 5+ days. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Symmetrical Triangle Formation – Breakout Imminent?📊 Chart Analysis: A symmetrical triangle pattern has formed on the chart, signaling a potential breakout soon. This pattern is characterized by lower highs and higher lows, converging into a tightening range. Such formations indicate price consolidation before a strong directional move. 🔍 Key Observations: The price is approaching the apex of the triangle, where a breakout or breakdown is likely to occur. Volume contraction suggests that a significant move is on the horizon. The previous trend was bullish, increasing the probability of an upward breakout, but confirmation is necessary. 📈 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the upper trendline with strong volume could trigger a continuation of the uptrend. Potential targets can be calculated by measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it upwards. Target if breaks above: $610 📉 Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the lower trendline may indicate trend reversal or a deeper correction. Watching for volume confirmation and key support levels will be crucial. Target if it breaks below: $585
AMEX:SPY
by Wtfguysgetout
Technical Analysis for SPY (30-Minute Chart) - February 5Market Structure Analysis * SPY is consolidating near the $599-$600 level after a recent bounce off the $590 support zone. This indicates a short-term range between $595 and $601. * The MACD is flat and slightly bullish, suggesting indecision but with a potential upward momentum if buyers sustain pressure above $600. * The Stochastic RSI is near the overbought zone, signaling caution for potential pullbacks or consolidation. GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights * Put Wall: Significant put support at $590, indicating strong downside protection. * Call Resistance: Notable resistance at $610 and $615, suggesting a challenging path for SPY to break above these levels in the current session. * Gamma Bias: With 71.8% puts, the market sentiment leans bearish, but the strong gamma support at $590 suggests limited downside. Directional Bias * The GEX data and technical levels indicate a neutral-to-slightly-bullish bias as long as SPY holds above $595. If the price breaks below this level, expect increased bearish momentum. Trading Suggestions 1. Call Option Strategy: * Buy a 7 DTE call option if SPY breaks above $601 with strong volume. * Entry: Above $601 * Target: $605-$610 * Stop-Loss: Below $599 2. Put Option Strategy: * Buy a put option if SPY breaks below $595 with increased selling volume. * Entry: Below $595 * Target: $590-$585 * Stop-Loss: Above $597 Key Levels to Watch * Resistance Levels: $601, $605, $610 * Support Levels: $595, $590, $580 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research, manage your risk, and consult a financial advisor before trading. The GEX indicator updates every 15 minutes; check real-time data for informed decision-making.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights