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SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 3 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first, then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
Spy Road To $544 Target HIT Now WhatWell we finally hit our target a lot of us went heavy in shorts right before the bell rang in many Etf's SPY QQQ Tsla with massive amounts of money With Expirations Expiring 4/3 4/5 and also 2weeks out.... Don't Ever Miss Another Move in the stock market again stay up to date With JoeWtrades.... So I guess everyone wants to know what's next Bear Market Bull Market is the the bottom in ext.... Nope this is not the bottom, i already have a plan on what's going to happen price will continue to fall Friday Over the Weekend Resulting in a possible Dead Cat Bounce come Tuesday in my opinion back to $550ish, Wait what did you say yes $dead cat bounce to $550ish in the next few days possibly Tuesday so this means this is not the bottom JoeWtrades , Nope in my opinion its not Like and follow to see in my opinion on where price goes, if you need assistance and would like to take your trading and scalping to the next level You know what to do.... As Always safe trades and good luck
AMEX:SPYShort
by JoeWtrades
SPY’s Epic Crash: Bearish Flag Unleashed!Buckle up, trading fam, because the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) just pulled a move so wild, it’s giving Keeping Up with the Kardashians a run for its money. We’re talking a bearish flag breakdown on the 4-hour chart that’s got more twists than a Game of Thrones finale, more drama than a Bachelor rose ceremony, and more profit potential than a Shark Tank pitch gone viral. If you’re ready to laugh, learn, and maybe make some cash, then grab your popcorn—this 2,500-word rollercoaster is about to take you on a ride you won’t forget! 🎢 Act 1: SPY’s Golden Era—Living Its Best Barbie Life Let’s set the scene: it’s late October 2024, and SPY is strutting its stuff like it’s Margot Robbie in Barbie. The price climbs from $570 to a dazzling $607.98 by mid-January 2025—a 6.5% glow-up that’s got traders swooning harder than Ken at a Dreamhouse party. SPY’s basically saying, “I’m not just an ETF—I’m iconic,” as it basks in the glow of a bull market hotter than a Love Island villa. But here’s the tea: even the shiniest stars can fall. By mid-January, the Stochastic Oscillator at the bottom of the chart is flashing “overbought” signals louder than a Real Housewives reunion meltdown. It’s the first sign of trouble—like when you realize the DJ at the club just played “Sweet Caroline” for the third time, and the vibe’s about to go south. SPY’s living large, but the party’s about to get crashed, Jersey Shore style. Act 2: The Flagpole Plunge—SPY Sinks Faster Than the Titanic Cue the dramatic music, because mid-January 2025 is when SPY decides to pull a full-on Titanic. The price plummets from $607.98 to $566.77 in a matter of days—a $41.21 drop, or 6.8%, that’s got traders screaming “I’m not okay!” louder than a Euphoria episode. This sharp decline is the flagpole of our bearish flag pattern, and it’s a doozy. SPY’s sinking faster than Jack and Rose’s ship, and the bulls are left clinging to the wreckage like there’s no room on the door. 🚢 The Stochastic Oscillator dives into oversold territory (below 20), confirming the bearish momentum is stronger than the Hulk after a double espresso. It’s a bloodbath on Wall Street, and SPY’s the main character in this tragic plot twist. But just when you think the drama’s over, SPY decides to play coy—like a Bachelor contestant who says “I’m not here for the right reasons” but sticks around for the drama anyway. Enter the consolidation phase, aka the “flag” part of the bearish flag pattern. Let’s break it down, shall we? Act 3: The Flag—SPY’s Tease Game Is Stronger Than a Love Island Bombshell From late January to mid-February 2025, SPY enters a consolidation phase that’s more tantalizing than a Love Island bombshell walking into the villa. The price bounces between $566.77 and $577.74, forming a sneaky little upward-sloping channel. It’s like SPY’s playing hard to get, teasing traders with a “Will I rally? Will I crash?” vibe that’s got everyone on edge. The Stochastic Oscillator hovers below 50, like a villa couple who’s “just talking” but definitely not coupled up yet. This consolidation is the “flag” in the bearish flag pattern, and it’s a classic setup. Think of it as SPY taking a quick breather after its big fall, sipping a cocktail by the pool before diving back into the drama. Bearish flags are continuation patterns, meaning the price is likely to keep falling after this little flirt-fest. It’s like when you’re watching The Masked Singer—you know the reveal’s coming, but the suspense is what keeps you glued to the screen. And trust me, you won’t want to miss the next act. Act 4: The Breakout—SPY Says “I’m Out!” Like a RuPaul’s Drag Race Exit Mid-February 2025 arrives, and SPY decides it’s done with the games. The price breaks below the lower trendline of the flag at $566.77, and it’s like watching a RuPaul’s Drag Race queen sashay away after a lip-sync battle: dramatic, fierce, and leaving the bulls in the dust. The breakout confirms the bearish flag pattern, and the bears are strutting their stuff like they just won the crown. 👑 The price doesn’t just dip—it plunges to $546.33 by late March 2025, a further drop of $20.44 (or 3.6%) from the breakout point. The Stochastic Oscillator dives back into oversold territory, confirming the bearish momentum is back with a vengeance. SPY’s basically telling the bulls, “You better work—because I’m not!” as it leaves them gagging on the runway. Let’s talk about the measured move—the price target for this bearish flag. We take the length of the flagpole ($41.21) and project it downward from the breakout point ($566.77). That gives us a target of $525.56. SPY doesn’t quite hit that mark—it bottoms out at $546.33—but it gets close enough to make traders sweat harder than a Chopped contestant with 30 seconds left on the clock. It’s a solid performance, even if it didn’t stick the landing perfectly. Pop Culture Parallels: SPY’s Bearish Flag Is a Reality TV Showdown Let’s take a step back and look at this chart through a pop culture lens, because SPY’s bearish flag is basically a reality TV showdown. The initial uptrend from October to January is the honeymoon phase—think The Bachelor contestants on their first group date, all smiles and champagne. 🥂 The flagpole drop in mid-January is the drama bomb, like when a contestant gets caught kissing someone else in the hot tub. The consolidation phase is the confessional montage, where everyone’s talking smack and plotting their next move. And the breakout? That’s the rose ceremony—SPY’s handing out its final rose to the bears, and the bulls are sent packing with nothing but a suitcase and some tears. Trading Tips: How to Slay This Bearish Flag Like a Drag Race Superstar Now that we’ve had our fun, let’s get down to business. How can you trade this bearish flag like a Drag Race superstar? Here’s the tea, served piping hot: 1. Short the Breakout (Sashay, Don’t Shantay) When SPY broke below the flag at $566.77, that was your cue to short the stock faster than you can say “Sashay away!” A short position here could’ve netted you a $20.44 gain per share as the price dropped to $546.33—enough to buy yourself a new wig for the next challenge. 2. Set a Stop-Loss (Don’t Get Read for Filth) To avoid getting read for filth by a fake-out, set a stop-loss above the flag’s upper trendline at $577.74. That way, if the breakout flops harder than a Drag Race comedy challenge, you’re safe. 3. Target the Measured Move (Go for the Crown) The measured move target of $525.56 was the goal, but SPY stopped at $546.33. That’s still a win—like making it to the top 4 but not snatching the crown. If you’d shorted at the breakout, you’d be serving looks and profits. 4. Watch for a Bounce (Don’t Sleep on the Comeback) As of late March 2025, SPY’s at $546.33, and the Stochastic is oversold. This could mean a short-term bounce is coming, like a Drag Race queen returning for an All-Stars season. Keep an eye on resistance at $566.77 and $577.74—if SPY breaks above those, the bears might be in for a shady twist. The Bigger Picture: Is SPY’s Downtrend the New Black? Let’s zoom out for a hot second. Before this bearish flag, SPY was in a strong uptrend for months, living its best life like a Vogue cover star. This pattern marks a potential trend reversal, like when skinny jeans went out of style and baggy pants became the new black. If the downtrend continues, the next support level could be around $540—or even lower if things get really messy. But here’s the million-dollar question: is this the start of a bigger bear market, or just a temporary dip? It’s like trying to predict the winner of Survivor—nobody knows, but everyone’s got a theory. The Stochastic being oversold suggests a bounce might be near, but the overall trend is still bearish. So, keep your wits about you, because this market’s shadier than a Real Housewives dinner party. Why This Chart Is More Addictive Than a Love Is Blind Binge If you’re still here, you’re officially obsessed—and I don’t blame you! This SPY chart is more addictive than a Love Is Blind binge because it’s got all the elements of a great reality show: drama, suspense, and a cast of characters (the bulls and bears) who can’t stop fighting. The bearish flag is the villain we love to hate, and the price action is the love triangle we can’t stop watching. Plus, trading is a lot like reality TV. You’ve got your highs (the uptrend), your lows (the flagpole drop), and those messy in-between moments (the consolidation). But when the breakout happens, it’s like the finale episode where someone finally gets engaged—or in this case, the bears get their moment in the spotlight. 💍 Final Thoughts: Don’t Miss the Next Episode of SPY’s Reality Show SPY’s bearish flag breakdown is a masterclass in technical analysis, wrapped in a package of drama and sass that’d make even the most stoic trader crack a smile. Whether you’re a Wall Street pro or a newbie just here for the tea, this chart has something for everyone. So, what’s next for SPY? Will it hit that $525.56 target, or will the bulls stage a comeback like a Love Is Blind couple at the altar? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure: you won’t want to miss the next episode of this reality show. Keep your eyes on the chart, your finger on the trigger, and your sense of humor intact—because in the world of trading, you’ve got to laugh to keep from crying. 😜 Join the Trading Villa! If you loved this recap of SPY’s bearish flag drama, don’t ghost me like a Love Island ex! Drop a comment with your thoughts—are you shorting SPY, or are you waiting for a bounce? And if you want more trading tea, puns, and reality TV references, hit that follow button faster than you can say “I’m here to make friends.” Let’s spill the tea and make some money together! 🍵
AMEX:SPY
by RoadToAMillionClub
SPY: Last week of March ish Oh yeah, posting early because I had coffee this evening and am wired. Happy Friday! Hope you all had a safe and profitable trading week, if not, don't sweat it, the PA was pretty bad and pretty challenging for most. The worst part is the current PA requires a lot of patience. If you're a scalper, probably not so bad but I personally find there are a lot more scalp traps lately than usual, so I do advise against scalps. Doing another written post, just because I find I can organize my analysis and thoughts better and be more in-depth without wasting too much of your time. So let's start off with the summary for next week, adding some new variables that my stuff tracks but I generally don't share, but I should share because it may be helpful for you. Summary Here is the snapshot for SPY for next week: Best fit high target 567.96 with a probability of 29% (shown on the chart in white) Best fit low target is 553.95 with a probability of 73% (shown on the chart in white) Expected return on the week is -0.6% Expected High ATR Range from RSI is 3.20 (open to high) Expected Low ATR Range from RSI is -4.05 (open to low) Expected High ATR Range from MFI is 5.18 (open to high) Expected Low ATR Range from MFI is -3.01 (open to low) Expected High ATR Range from Stochastic is 3.38 (open to high) Expected Low ATR Range from Stochastic is -6.7 (open to low) SPY Remains below the EMA 200 on the day, having had multiple rejections, and multiple attempts at reclaiming but always failing to hold. We still have our outstanding 5% pullback from the cross below the EMA 200. The TP is approximately 533 ish. Overall, based on the summary, the outlook is bearish. 🐻 Volume Data Volume profile has shifted from a sea of selling to a lot of buying over the last 5 days. POC for the last 5 days (1 trading week) is now up to 564, so this will be an area to watch for consolidation and generally not an area to take a trade. This is a very important thing to keep in mind, you don't want to do anything if SPY is at 564 as this is consolidation zone based on volume!!!! Volume remains overall low. If we look at the last 25 trading days, we can see that sellers are very much there, it is likely that we have just dropped in volume this past week. Take a look at the 25 day (1 trading month) volume profile: If you read the description in the volume profile chart, you will understand the predicament, and also understand kind of, where the rangeyness and whipsaw come from. There is still a lot of panic in the market, a lot of fear, people are trapped and looking for exits. This translates to stark rejections of certain levels where bulls and bears are trapped. Leading into this week we only had trapped bulls, now we have trapped bulls and bears, so we are between a rock and a hard place in terms of making progress in a direction without seeing a lot of covering leading to some more volatility and whipsaw. Overall, the volume metrics are positive and I would rank them as bullish. 🐂 EMA Data We crossed below the EMA 200 on March 10th and closed below on the day. This historically leads to 5% pullback on average across both SPX, ES1! and SPY. The pullback of 5% is calculated from the close of the day, which was around 557. So, 557 - 5% is about 529 ish (I am rounding, the TP is more around 531 - 533). Currently we are holding the EMA 300 as support. We have had over 3 failed reclaims of the EMA 200. Overall, the EMA statistics are bearish 🐻. Time Series I haven't talked about time series in a hot minute. Like years acutually. So those of you who are long time followers, hi, how are you?! You will remember the sacred time series that carried us through the 2022 decline. As of right now, I am leaning heavily to the quadratic time series model. Leaning towards a quadratic model assumes bear market correction. This could be or couldn't be. We won't know for sure until the market makes a new ATH. However, it was my guiding light in 2022 and it is current guiding light right now. So let's just go over SPY's quadratic time mean, range and forecast very quickly. SPY's qudratic time series model can be expressed as y = trading days(-3.902e-02) + trading days squared(1.062e-05) + 1.109e+02 Sigma or residual error range is 39.32 Taking this into consideration, SPY's current quadratic range is between 529 and 451. 451 is the LCL or lower confidence level. The LCL is where SPY found a bottom in 2022. Historically in bear markets, only 1 bear market has exceeded the LCL, and that was in 2008, where it exceeded by around 5 points. Overall, the time series statistics are bearish 🐻. Quick side note, if you followed me during 2022 and you have a photographic memory, you will notice our sigma (error range) is the exact same as currently, +/- 39. Kind of cool because it tells us SPY is really not doing anything it hasn't done before. Forecast for Next Week Forecast using only this past week data Forecast using the entire downtrend period and this consolidation period Data input: Forecast result over the next 150 hours: Overall, the forecast is bearish 🐻. Verdict We have what? Four bears, 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 for 1 bull 🐂. To summarize Volume: Bullish Overall stats: Bearish Time series: Bearish Forecast: Bearish EMA Bearish My expectation is up towards 570 into Monday, before seeing a rejection and consolidation again. Currently, the EMA 200 is at 568, 570 would require another break of the ema 200 and fail. The bearish thesis would be tentatively invalidated if we were to break and hold above the EMA 200. In this case, we would be looking for a further bounce of around 5% more upside. Those are my thoughts, not advice of course. As always, safe trades! 🚀 Side note: We are all sick and tired of SPY. Leave a comment with a request for something more interesting and I will try to get around to it this weekend! Maybe TSLA or something different.
AMEX:SPY
by Steversteves
48
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-25-25 : Top PatternToday's Top Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will find resistance slightly above yesterday's closing price level and attempt to roll over into a bearish price trend. Watch today's video to see which levels I believe will be the top for the SPY & QQQ. I do expect metals to rally over the next 3+ weeks and I'm watching for this morning's bounce to carry onward and upward. Bitcoin should be rolling downward off that FWB:88K top level I predicted months ago. We are moving into a topping phase - so get ready for the markets to attempt to ROLL DOWNWARD over the next 5+ trading days into a deeper low price level. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
SPY Falling Wedge Into Support SPY forming a descending wedge after an extreme sell off, one of the fastest declines in recent history. This wedge style pattern tends to be the result of sharp move in a particular direction, in this case downward as temporary relief before continuiing in the direction of the larger trend. Ill be looking for liquidity to enter the market on the thursday / friday session for a potential bounce. If not, then its likely the market will be in for a rough spring.
AMEX:SPYLong
by afurs1
SPY Shows Strong BOS, But Faces Gamma Resistance at $563 (?)Market Structure (1H – SMC View): * Price rebounded after BOS at ~$552 and has since broken multiple minor structure levels to the upside. * Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirm bullish shift, with recent CHoCH validating demand zone below $550. * Price is consolidating near a supply zone around $561–$563 which acted as a prior CHoCH zone. Key Price Zones: * Demand Zone (Support): $546–$552 * Supply Zone (Resistance): $561–$563 (where price currently sits) * Macro Support: $550 = PUT wall + gamma support * Micro Resistance: $563 = strong GEX call resistance Trendlines + Price Action: * Clean stair-step move up into resistance. * Price approaching apex of recent flag-like structure; breakout confirmation needed. * Watch for either rejection at this gamma wall ($563) or breakout continuation above. Indicators: * MACD: Bullish crossover still intact but showing slight flattening—watch for histogram weakness. * Stoch RSI: Near overbought, curling—possible minor pullback or consolidation. * 9 EMA > 21 EMA: Trend remains bullish for now. Options Sentiment & GEX (from GEX Chart): * IVR: 41.8 — moderately elevated, shows short-term volatility interest. * IVx Avg: 25.4 — indicating steady option pricing. * Put/Call Ratio: 84.5% puts — extremely defensive positioning in options market. * GEX: 🚦Red, Yellow, Green — Neutral-to-bearish gamma zone. * Major GEX Levels: * Resistance / Gamma Wall: $563 – Highest positive NETGEX (major level to watch). * Support / Gamma Cushion: $550–$555 – Includes PUT wall and GEX support. Scenarios to Watch: 🟢 Bullish Case: * Break & hold above $563 → potential rally toward $568+ * Confirmation of continued structure shift and gamma squeeze likely if open interest reshuffles upward. 🔴 Bearish Case: * Rejection at $563 + failure to hold $560 → fast pullback to $555 or test of $550 demand zone. * Watch for bearish divergence in MACD or failure to maintain EMA trend alignment. Trade Ideas (Not Financial Advice): * Scalp Long: If price confirms breakout above $563 with volume, target $568+ * Put Credit Spread or Long Calls: If holding above $560 with strong tape. * Fade Setup: If SPY rejects $563 with bearish engulfing or momentum stalling, consider short to $555–$550. 🧠 Final Thoughts: SPY is at a decision point. Gamma wall at $563 could act as a ceiling unless there’s sufficient momentum + institutional call flow to drive a breakout. FOMC or macro catalysts could also be trigger points. Stay nimble. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY UpdateIt appears that intermediate (A) had OML to give us before it was finished. Price literally moved $0.08 cents below the larger 1.236 and then gave us a reaction. We also got better pos div completing the reqs for a healthier consolidation higher. If we have in fact bottomed, then I would expect the ensuing price action to resemble the dotted line I have drawn on the chart. This doesn't mean that price will follow this pattern to the T. It is just what a standard abc pattern would appear like. Don't forget that b waves are extremely complex more times than not, so that could alter the way this pattern gets carved out. Also, the dotted line may look straight, but the structure will be far from it. People often times forget that price doesn't move in one direction, and there will be choppy overlapping moves. Regardless on how the pattern turns out, if the (A) wave is in fact complete, then the target box is the standard place for intermediate (B) to terminate at. I expect this next move to take 2-4 months if it is to compare to the time duration of the (A) wave. There are no rules governing duration, though. Technically speaking, (B) could be over by the end of the week. The odds of that happening are extremely low, but it is possible.
AMEX:SPY
by TSuth
SPY is still on thin iceA month back I wouldn't have believed this post though I did expect 10% correction and exited my major position at the top. I post this as pure academic purpose and my own record. I find volume profile the most important tool in technical analysis. Whatever I present here is an educated guess and not pure speculation. Before doing the profile I did a VP study on major stocks, since VP shows more clarity on the stocks Based on Volume profile the sellers will have little resistance breaking through thin ice zone. We could still be looking at 514 easily. Then it starts facing some resistance Market is still breaking through bubble territory. The reason I call bubble territory is because the volume became significantly lower after May 24. Most of the large investors and funds had bought their major holding by then. If fact based on news Warren Buffet and Michael Burry started selling USA market in August and kept selling till end of Dec. WB sold his entire holding of American express, one of his favourite company Berkshire was holding largest cash balance in is history by Dec. Smart guy. So I just followed him. Then I ask If these heavy weights are selling will they back after 10% correction? No way, they would wait for at least 20% or more markdown This give me confidence in my analysis and economic environment supports that too The market will quick fall through low volume region or imbalances. These act like magnets for the price and stop or pause for a breath at High volume nodes and even bounce back to take back some the low volume nodes. These can create a flag structure. This what happened when the market bounced back from 5500 to 5790 and reversed again. I correctly said in a previous post it was a bear flag When the market is euphoric and in FOMO stage it will leave lots of volume gaps which attracts the market back to those levels
AMEX:SPYShort
by krisoz
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 28, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📊 Core PCE Inflation Data Release: The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for February is set to be released. Economists anticipate a 0.3% month-over-month increase and a 2.5% year-over-year growth, aligning with previous figures. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, this data could influence monetary policy decisions.​ 🇺🇸🛍️ Consumer Spending and Income Reports: February's personal income and spending reports are due, with forecasts indicating a 0.4% rise in personal income and a 0.5% increase in personal spending. These figures will provide insights into consumer behavior and economic momentum.​ 🇺🇸🏠 Pending Home Sales Data: The Pending Home Sales Index for February is scheduled for release, with expectations of a 2.0% increase, following a 1.0% rise in January. This index offers a forward-looking perspective on housing market activity.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, March 28: 💵 Personal Income (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.4%​ Previous: +0.9% Measures the change in income received from all sources by consumers.​ 🛍️ Personal Spending (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.5%​ Previous: -0.2%​ Tracks the change in the value of spending by consumers.​ 📈 PCE Price Index (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year​ Previous: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year​ Reflects changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.​ 🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: +2.0%​ Previous: +1.0%​ Indicates the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Market Cycle Analysis – Correction coming ?This chart presents a macro view of SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) on a bi-weekly timeframe, highlighting key market cycle corrections and potential upcoming trends. Key Observations: 🔴 Trendline Support: The price action has consistently respected a long-term ascending trendline, with previous corrections bouncing off similar levels. 📉 Historical Market Corrections: Red vertical lines mark significant past corrections (Feb 2020, Dec 2021), aligning with dips in the lower indicator, suggesting cyclical downturns. 📊 Momentum Indicator (Lower Panel): Past dips in this momentum indicator (highlighted with red arrows) coincided with major corrections in the SPY chart. The recent downward trend raises concerns about another potential market pullback. 🔮 Future Projection (March 2025?): Based on previous cycles, the next major correction could occur around March 2025, aligning with potential trendline retests. If history repeats, we may see a pullback before resuming the uptrend. Key Questions for Traders & Investors: ✅ Will SPY respect the trendline and recover, or are we heading for a deeper correction? ✅ Does the current market structure resemble past cycle downturns? ✅ How will macroeconomic conditions influence SPY’s next move? Let me know your thoughts! Are you preparing for a correction, or do you see more upside potential? 🚀📉 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade responsibly!
AMEX:SPYShort
by Brian_Heady
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 1, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI Release: The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) will release its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for March. A reading below 50 indicates contraction in the manufacturing sector, which could influence market sentiment.​ 🇺🇸🏗️ Construction Spending Data: The U.S. Census Bureau will report on February's construction spending, providing insights into the health of the construction industry and potential impacts on related sectors.​ 🇺🇸📄 Job Openings Report: The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for February will be released, offering a view into labor demand and potential implications for wage growth and consumer spending.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, April 1: 🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 49.5%​ Previous: 50.3% Assesses the health of the manufacturing sector; a reading below 50% suggests contraction.​ 🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 0.3%​ Previous: -0.2%​ Measures the total value of construction work done; indicates trends in the construction industry.​ 📄 Job Openings (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 7.7 million​ Previous: 7.7 million​ Provides insight into labor market demand by reporting the number of job vacancies.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
$SPY - Keep It SimpleAll about trend lines. Since 2020 to today, there have been three major trends. The first was the bull run from covid bottoms to the 2022 highs; a very distinct trend line being drawn. The second was the correct in 2022; another distinct trendline drawn. Recently, we have a break of the uptrend associated with a bear flag continuation pattern. Keeping it simple, we take the pole of the flag and we measure it; 515-520 is a potential target. It lines up with prior lows and also the 0.385 fib level.
AMEX:SPYShort
by KyleHuang5425299008d3470d
SPY: Yet another bearish SPY forecastLooking at the previous sell-off patterns, theres a strong possibility that if the downtrend continues, SPY will head to low 500's by mid-May before rebounding in the summer to retest current levels (540-560) before completing the final leg (or first) of a correction to the high mid-high 400 price level - or potentially low 400s in September. Its been a while since I've shared a predictive chart but the current market behavior makes it hard not to try to paint a picture. Heaps of salt to be taken - I've been wrong many times before
AMEX:SPYShort
by myceliium