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SPY trade ideas

Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 💱 Dollar Slides on Trade Truce Hopes & Fed Outlook The U.S. dollar dropped 0.4%—its lowest level since April 22—after President Trump signaled flexibility on a July 8 trade deadline and U.S.–China talks showed renewed progress, boosting expectations for Fed rate cuts 📊 S&P Shiller CAPE Hints at Overvaluation Risk Stocks and bonds rallied following rebound, but valuation metrics flash caution: the S&P 500 now sits in the 94th percentile of Shiller CAPE, and equity risk premium has dropped to zero. Analysts warn these levels often precede corrections 🛢️ Oil Holds at Seven-Week Highs Oil prices remain near seven-week highs (~$66–67/barrel), supported by gradual OPEC+ output increases and hopes that easing trade tensions will aid demand 📈 CPI Cools Again, Bonds Climb U.S. consumer inflation rose just 0.1% in May (2.4% YoY), easing expectations for tighter Fed policy. Consequently, Treasury yields softened and bond markets outperformed equities 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, June 12: 8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (May) An early gauge of inflation at the wholesale level—may reinforce the cooling trend seen in CPI. 8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims Weekly updates on unemployment filings. Key to monitor for labor-market tightening or softening. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This report is for educational and informational purposes only—it does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE| ✅SPY went up to retest A horizontal resistance of 610$ Which is also an All-Time-High So its a very strong level Which makes me locally bearish biased And I think that we will see a pullback And a move down from the level Towards the target below at 596.43$ SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ProSignalsFx
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🤝 Cautious Optimism on U.S.–China Trade Progress Markets responded positively to fresh developments in ongoing U.S.–China trade talks, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing ~0.6% higher — the third straight day of gains — on hopes of easing trade barriers 📉 Treasury Yields Climb as Auction Approaches Bond investors grew cautious ahead of a key Treasury debt auction and incoming U.S. inflation data. The 10-year yield stayed elevated, weighing modestly on equities . 💹 Global Markets Showing Resilience Asian and European markets tracked U.S. gains midweek, driven by trade-talk optimism, despite lingering concerns over slower global growth and debt levels . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, June 11: (No major U.S. releases — focus remains on market reactions to trade talks and Treasury auctions.) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 9–13, 2025 🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 9–13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📱 Apple WWDC & Tech Momentum Apple’s annual Worldwide Developers Conference kicks off Monday with CEO Tim Cook set to discuss new products, services, and likely AI initiatives—tracks should watch include impacts on NASDAQ:AAPL and AI-related stocks 🧨 GameStop Eyed for Crypto Pivot GameStop (a meme-stock darling) reports earnings Tuesday. Markets are watching for updates on its $500M bitcoin investment and potential pivot toward crypto-driven revenue streams 🇨🇳 U.S.–China Trade Talks in London High-level trade dialogue begins Monday between U.S. and Chinese representatives in London, offering possible relief to trade tensions and providing a lift to risk assets 📉 Key Inflation Data Midweek Wednesday brings the May CPI release—crucial for assessing tariff-driven inflation trends and likely to influence Fed policy outlook ahead of next month’s meeting 💹 Oil Markets React to Trade Uncertainty Oil prices are stable to slightly up ahead of trade talks, as Brent holds around $66/barrel—reflecting balanced supply concerns and hopes for easing global tensions 🌐 G7 Summit and Global Policy Risks G7 finance ministers convene in Canada (50th anniversary), tackling trade strains, Russia–Ukraine, and inflation. Global macrospoilers could trigger renewed volatility 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Monday, June 9 Apple WWDC begins (CEO keynote) U.S.–China trade talks start in London 📅 Tuesday, June 10 GameStop Q2 earnings (+ bitcoin update) NFIB Small Business Index (6:00 AM ET) 📅 Wednesday, June 11 8:30 AM ET – Consumer Price Index (May) Watch for inflation signal from tariffs. 8:30 AM ET – Core CPI (May) Core inflation trend under scrutiny. 📅 Thursday, June 12 8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (May) Early check on wholesale inflation 8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims 📅 Friday, June 13 10:00 AM ET – University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (June, preliminary) Consumer mood and tariff impact insights ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for informational/educational purposes only. Not financial advice. See a licensed advisor before making investing decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Price Attempting Breakout Above ResistanceSPY (S&P500 ETF) price is attempting to breakout above Daily resistance levels of $594 and $597. SPY ETF has been in an uptrend since May 2025. A Golden Cross also occured on May 19th 2025, signaling that a potential longer term bullish rally could occur. Friday's candle closed as a Doji signaling some potential indecision after recent price volatility. SPY price is not at any extreme level on the Daily chart. If SPY price ever gaps up and rallies up to the $612 to $620 resistance zone, price could sell off stronger (short-term). In June 2025, trade deal and inflation news will most likely be the catalyst for further volatility, in addition to government news announcements.
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
SPY CHANNEL JUNSPY ( AMEX:SPY ) – Multi-Timeframe Volatility Channel Analysis SPY remains inside a well-defined ascending volatility channel across all key timeframes (2h, 4h, Daily, Weekly), confirming a strong bullish structure with clear institutional control. 🔸 Short-Term (2h – 4h): Consolidating between 590 and 605, with recent rejection from upper bounds. Multiple PUT positions triggered near 599 and 603, suggesting institutional hedging. Key support: 590. Below that, watch for downside toward 586 or 576. 🔸 Mid-Term (Daily): Bullish channel still intact. As long as price holds above EMA20 at 585.77, the trend remains bullish. Breakout above 608 opens targets toward 611 (gap) and then 617–620. 🔸 Long-Term (Weekly): Weekly channel projects targets up to 635 if structure holds. Strong institutional resistance zone between 607 and 611.
AMEX:SPYLong
by alexpv73
SPY Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06📈 SPY Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06 Bias: Moderately Bullish Timeframe: 3–4 weeks Catalysts: Strong institutional flows, trade talk optimism, solid jobs report Trade Type: Long equity position 🧠 Model Summary Table Model Bias Entry Stop Loss Take Profit Holding Period Confidence DS Moderately Bullish $600.02 $595.54 $618.02 3 weeks 65% LM Moderately Bullish $598.50 $586.70 $616–618 3–4 weeks 75% GK Strongly Bullish $600.02 $592.00 $610.00 4 weeks 72% GM Moderately Bullish ~$600.50 $587.50 $627.50 3–4 weeks 70% CD Moderately Bullish $600–600.50 $585.00 $620 / $635 3–4 weeks 72% ✅ Consensus: SPY is in a bullish trend across timeframes ⚠️ Disagreements: MACD momentum and entry/pullback levels 🔍 Technical & Sentiment Summary Trend: SPY above 10/50/200 EMAs on all models RSI: 60–61 → bullish but not overbought MACD: Mostly positive, DS cautious on daily histogram Support Levels: $591.06, $595.54, $597.26 Resistance Zones: $600.83, $605.21, $610 VIX: 17.6 (declining), supports risk-on sentiment News: Trade talk optimism and strong jobs data fueling momentum ✅ Final Trade Setup Parameter Value Instrument SPY Strategy LONG Entry Price $600.00 Stop Loss $588.00 Take Profit $625.00 Position Size 83 shares (1% risk on $100K) Entry Timing At market open Confidence 70% 💡 Rationale: Aligned bullish signals across timeframes, falling VIX, and strong macro sentiment favor a trend continuation move toward $625. Position sized for conservative risk management. ⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations MACD divergence could signal near-term stall Resistance zone at $605 may act as a cap Macro volatility: Strong jobs could raise rate expectations VIX Watch: A spike above 20 could reverse market trend Exit Protocol: Consider closing if SPY closes below the 10-day EMA (~$591) 📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT 🎯 Instrument: SPY 📈 Direction: LONG 💰 Entry Price: 600.0 🛑 Stop Loss: 588.0 🎯 Take Profit: 625.0 📊 Size: 83 shares 💪 Confidence: 70% ⏰ Entry Timing: Open
AMEX:SPYLong
by quantsignals
SPY Macro Analysis: Premium-Discount Dynamics, Trade Setup etc..Macro Perspective: The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is currently consolidating in a critical premium zone, with a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Economic uncertainty and broader market sentiment suggest a cautious approach, particularly with upcoming economic events (e.g., Fed policy updates, inflation data). The equilibrium level (~599) appears to be pivotal for directional bias. Technical Breakdown Premium Zone (599.80–606.19): Price is testing key resistance levels near Fibonacci 0.886 and 2.618 extensions. A failure here could signal a bearish reversal. A sustained breakout beyond 606.19 would open doors to higher targets (612–617.50). Discount Zone (585–577): A retracement into this zone could attract buyers looking for value entries. Key support: 565.51 (swing low, potential liquidity grab). Volume Dynamics: Noticeable spikes at resistance levels, suggesting potential liquidity sweeps before a decisive move. Trade Setup Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation Entry: Upon breakout and close above 606.19. Stop-Loss: Below 604 (to avoid fakeouts). Targets: 612 (initial), 617.50 (extended). Risk-Reward: Maintain at least 1:3. Scenario 2: Bearish Reversal Entry: Upon rejection from the premium zone (~599–606). Stop-Loss: Above 607. Targets: 585 (initial), 577 (secondary). Risk-Reward: At least 1:4. Scenario 3: Discount Rebound Entry: Bullish price action confirmation within the 585–577 range (e.g., engulfing candle, double bottom). Stop-Loss: Below 575. Targets: 599 (initial), 606.19 (secondary). Risk-Reward: Adjust based on entry levels. Risk Management Position Sizing: Use no more than 2% of your account per trade. Confirmation: Wait for clear price action signals or key volume levels to confirm entries. Trailing Stop: Consider trailing stops to lock in profits during trending moves. Macro Insights Keep an eye on macroeconomic drivers like inflation data, job reports, and Federal Reserve commentary. Correlation with bond yields and volatility (e.g., VIX) could provide additional cues for market sentiment. 💡 Pro Tip: Patience pays—let the price come to you. Always stick to your plan and maintain discipline in both entries and exits.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings Surprise to Upside U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose to 7.39 million in April—well above forecasts—indicating that labor demand remains robust despite macro headwinds and trade-policy uncertainty 🛢️ OPEC+ Greenlights July Supply Increase OPEC+ agreed to boost production by 411 K barrels per day starting in July, adding downward pressure to oil prices and weighing on energy equities 📈 Fed’s John Williams Signals Patience New York Fed President John Williams reiterated that the Fed sees no urgency to cut rates, citing mixed inflation signals and a balanced labor market—keeping investors cautious on rate-cut timing 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, June 5: 8:30 AM ET – JOLTS Job Openings (April) Measures total U.S. job vacancies, a leading indicator of labor-market strength. 10:00 AM ET – OPEC+ Press Conference (Post-Meeting) Details on production quotas for July, guiding energy market supply expectations. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
$SPY market COULD trend till nov25' (confirmation this month)I like to write today, I see AMEX:SPY at a critical point right now, Im ultra long stocks and hedged today with a short AMEX:SPY , because: We reached the target of a quarterly trend and didnt go higher for a long time. We have a strange political situation which news affect the markets (more than usually) (positive and negative). Were coiling at the top again after an insane rally from the lows. But there are reasons to be bullish: If we stay up this month we can form another longterm signal (6 month) until end of october and see an insane continuation rally. Target would be about 720 in AMEX:SPY and I guess its above all targets from US Banks for S&P. Lets see whats coming and play it safe and with some calculated risks, its not safe out there but there are many oppurtunities. 1 step better every day, every week, every month and every year - my wish for you.
AMEX:SPY
by TiMMiT
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : BreakAway In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move into a Breakaway type of pattern. I believe that Breakaway may be to the downside, but I could be wrong. Price has been struggling in a sideways consolidated range over the past 2+ weeks. I believe this range sets up an "Island" type of price formation that is indicative of a topping type of pattern. Currently, I'm tracking layers of different TA techniques to try to see how price may react in the future. Right now, price appears to be trapped within a range, has recently broken below the STDDEV channel, and may be moving into a very volatile FAILURE/REJECTION phase. This is where price may attempt to resume trending (up or down) and I believe the move logical move is to the downside at this point. Gold/Silver had a HUGE MOVE yesterday and are not contracting a bit. I still believe Metals will rally higher and attempt to break to new ATH levels. BTCUSD is trapped in a sideways price range after reaching new ATH levels recently. Many of you are aware I'm expecting a rollover-top pattern to setup in BTCUSD (and the US markets) and I believe it is just a matter of time to see how the markets react to policies, news, and economic function/data. Should be an interesting (possibly sideways) day today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Price Testing Resistance Trendline - DailySPY (S&P500 ETF) price is currently testing a resistance trendline above ($593 to $595 price levels). SPY price in the medium-term has been uptrending since April and May 2025. SPY price in the short-term has been consolidating sideways, and a large volume breakout or breakdown has not occurred yet. The 12EMA (blue line) has been holding as support for 5 trading days. Resistance targets to the upside would be $598 to $600. The grey gap and the 26EMA (purple line) are downside support targets if a rally does not occur this month ($576 to $567). Breaking news and tariff trade deals are supposed to occur in June and July 2025.
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 3, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 3, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏭 U.S. Manufacturing Slump Persists U.S. manufacturing contracted for the third consecutive month in May, with new orders, backlogs, production, and employment all declining. Trade-war disruptions and elevated input costs continue to squeeze factory margins, setting the stage for today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI release 🌐 Global Trade Tensions Weigh on Stocks Renewed U.S.–China tariff threats sent the S&P 500 lower overnight, as investors fear higher costs for exporters and slower global growth. Futures pointed to another rough open for $SPY/ SP:SPX 📈 China Caixin PMI Exceeds Expectations China’s May Caixin Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose to 50.8, signaling stabilization in export-oriented factories despite ongoing trade uncertainty. That positive surprise may offer some support to Asian equities today 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, June 3: 8:30 AM ET – ISM Manufacturing PMI (May) Measures U.S. factory-sector health; readings below 50 indicate contraction. Today’s survey will confirm if the May downturn persists. 10:00 AM ET – Construction Spending (April) Tracks monthly change in total construction outlays—an important gauge of housing and infrastructure investment trends. 1:00 PM ET – 10-Year Treasury Note Auction Benchmark auction that influences the yield curve. Weak demand or higher yields here can pressure equities, especially growth-oriented sectors. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao