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SPY trade ideas

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 8-8 : A Volatile Harami PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Harami/Inside. Because of the recent price volatility and the current price FLAG setup, I expect today's Harami pattern to include a fairly large high/low price range. That means we may see very solid price trending (up/down) throughout the day - whereas today's open/close range should stay within yesterday's open/close range. If you've been following my research, I expect the SPY to attempt to mount a fairly strong rally over the next 10+ days (possibly longer). After the recent bout of volatility (the Kamala-Crush), I believe the US markets will attempt to move into what I'm calling a Vortex Rally based on simple fundamentals. In order for this to happen, we need to see a few things happen: - the US dollar continues to strengthen - crude oil should continue to slide downward (possibly targeting $65) - IYT (TRAN) should stay somewhat muted into the end of this year - Gold/Silver should continue to move upward - Global markets should continue to struggle If this happens, it will strengthen my Vortex Rally expectations into 2025 and beyond. Remember, the SPY Cycle Patterns are not always 100% accurate. But they can provide a very clear context for expectations, and when used with other TA techniques and proper risk management - they can be incredibly helpful. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
SPY and Gaps: Essential Data for Traders and Investors🔍 Research Data: Analysis Period: 12/31/1999 to 08/02/2024 Target Asset: ETF SPY Time Frame: 1 Week Total Candles: 1284 Candles with Gaps: 241 Percentage of Gaps: 18.77% However, only 33 of these gaps, or 13.69% of the gaps, remained by the end of the week. What is a Gap? Gaps are spaces on the chart where no trading occurred. They form when the opening of a candle is higher than the previous candle’s high or lower than the previous candle’s low. Gaps are usually caused by significant news or events that occur outside of normal trading hours. Why is this Important? For traders and investors, understanding the occurrence of gaps is crucial. This data reveals that although 18.77% of weekly candles present gaps, the majority of these gaps do not persist until the end of the week. This can be used to adjust positions and create specific strategies that take advantage of the potential return to previous gap levels. Possible Strategy: Condition: Candle opens below the previous candle's low Entry: Buy at market Target: Previous candle's low Exit: Candle close if the target is not hit; Disclaimer ⚠️ Important Notice: Personal Data: The above research is based on my personal data and analysis of the weekly chart of the ETF SPY. Independent Verification: I strongly recommend that you conduct your own research to confirm this scenario before using this information. Strategy Testing: Always test your strategies in simulated environments or with capital that you can afford to lose before applying them in the real market. If you found this information useful, give this post a boost! Don't forget to follow me for more trading insights and strategies. Let's connect – drop your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! 🚀📈
AMEX:SPY
by LuccasChartRoom
3
$SPY August 8,2024AMEX:SPY August 8,2024 15 Minutes Gap up was not able to sustain. And 529-533 was resistance as expected. Now for the day i will take 2 numbers. The rise 510.28 to 531.59 The fall 531.59 to 518.05 The rise has retraced 61.8%So holding 514 levels is crucial for the day. And for the fall 526 level could be resistance on a retrace. So, i will sell below 514 and buy above 529 for the day. This gives a 15$ gap. So based on close of bar in 14 minutes during the day if i get a chance to enter above 522 levels, and moving average 9 is above 21 then I might go for a trade for 527-529 levels. AMEX:SPY is weak as it is below all moving averages. So, any buy is only a contra trade with strict stop loss.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your trade For 8-7 : Perfect Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat/Down pattern played out perfectly. Now, as price nears support, we should be looking to position our trading for the next big move higher over the next 5+ trading days. If my research is accurate, the SPY/QQQ should begin to setup a base mid/late tomorrow and start to rally into Friday - carrying into early next week. Watch the video I created this morning to learn more. This short follow-up video will help you understand how my SPY Cycle Patterns work and how you can benefit from their interpretive capabilities. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
Watch me read and trade the market like youve never seen before.Long video but WELL worth the watch if you're trying to learn how I do what I do. In this video I walk through every candle on a 1 minute chart prior to the impending drop - and I explain how and why I am expecting the drop. There is simply no other way to read the market with this much certainty and confidence! And whatever I do here on the 1 minute chart can be identically correlated to the 5 min, 15 min, 1HR, 1D, 1M, etc. All time frames work together and it's important to use them all to tell the story and pick the best entries. Feel free to ask questions in the comments or let me know if you found this helpful, cool, or anything! Happy Trading :)
AMEX:SPY
by ReigningTrades
3
SPY: Dead Cat Bounce? D&W Charts.After reaching a critical turning point, the SPY seems to be trying to react, and we see a decent recovery. In previous studies, we successfully identified the top signal on the weekly chart, the featured Bearish Engulfing, which culminated in a sharp drop to the support point at $510. The link to our latest public study here on TradingView is below this post. Now, we see that the price has left some gaps on the daily chart, and the first of them was closed yesterday, which makes it an Exhaustion Gap, one of the four types of gap. In theory, the SPY should recover in the medium term, but we don't yet see a reversal chart structure suggesting a change in sentiment. For now, SPY is still making downward tops and bottoms, and is still below the 21-day EMA, so we need to stay alert, as it is still a bear trend, despite the short/mid-term bullish outlook. I'll keep you updated. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. All the best, Nathan.
AMEX:SPY
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
Massive US Growth Will Decouple Many Global MarketsPlease watch this video to learn my viewpoint on where real opportunities exist for traders. For many months, I've suggested that the US markets could double or triple over the next 5 to 7+ years. Some people laugh at my expectations, but others seem to "get it." In this video, I try to explain why my expectations are valid and why I believe the "crash-dummies" will continue to trap traders into believing each new high reached is a fantastic selling opportunity. Please watch this video and listen to what I'm trying to share. I don't see the markets as a risk related to a massive financial or global crisis (although it could happen). I see the markets as shifting/changing related to a post-COVID coupling/decoupling event - very similar to what happened, briefly, in the 1990s. A decoupling event would shift global economics to a point where global assets move away from determined risk factors and towards safety/security. That means the US stock market, as long as the US Dollar & US economy stays relatively strong, would be the most logical in-demand asset for the next 2~5+ years. It is straightforward when you consider what is happening. I hope this helps you understand where opportunities exist and how important it is to rethink what is unfolding right now. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-7 : SPY Settles - Gold RalliesThis video highlights what I believe will be the best opportunities for the SPY/QQQ over the next 7+ trading days while highlighting how Gold is setup for a dual-leg rally phase (possibly moving up above $2550) over the next 7+ days. My continued efforts to deliver pertinent and actionable trade data to my followers are based on the concept that "I do the research—you make all the decisions." I'm not trying to tell you what to do or when to trade. I'm just showing you what I see on the charts using my skills and understanding of advanced price theories and technical analysis. If it helps you out - perfect. If not, then forget about my research and move on to something/someone else. Overall, my real objective is to provide very high-quality content (it doesn't matter if I'm right or wrong—I'll stand by my research/data every day). Today's video is very important. Please understand there are two or three big setups taking place in the SPY/QQQ and Gold over the next 7 to 10+ days. If my research is correct, this is a wonderful time to plan/prepare for these big moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
$SPY Trading Range for Today, August 7th 2024AMEX:SPY Trading Range for Today, August 7th 2024 Ok. Last night I feel asleep without getting the second part of my video done. I have been exHAUTed this past week but next week I will have more energy and a lot of sleep is on the books for me. So today’s implied move is between 514-540 Tomorrow’s implied move 511-532 To the upside, look out to the 35EMA on the 30min timeframe. Look for signs of support and if we get above it than the target to the upside today on the day is 530. The 4hr 200MA is at the very top of the implied move and it smacked us down yesterday. At the top of the trading range we have the rest of that bear gap from the gap we opened the week with. To the downside, we have a bull gap from yesterdays gap up, the bottom of that gap is at 5186, and then the bottom of the implied move for today is 517. The WEEKLY 35EMA is our support and it’s just outside of the implied move and within tomorrow’s implied move.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
3
Is This the Start of a Recession? Why You Shouldn’t PanicMarkets have been selling off amid the latest fears of a recession, with the NASDAQ dropping over 10% and Bitcoin dropping over 20% in just a matter of days. Last Friday’s unemployment report further affirmed investors’ sentiment, exceeding expectations by 0.2% and sparking one of the biggest rotations of capital since the COVID crash. Investors are gearing up for tough times by flocking to bonds and panic-selling risky assets, but has a recession really begun? Should you panic? Understanding the Economic Data Recent unemployment numbers have triggered the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator, created by Claudia Sahm in 2019 to identify recessions as they start. This indicator is triggered when the three-month simple moving average (SMA) of the US unemployment rate rises by 0.5% above the lowest rate observed over the past year. Despite its growing popularity, it’s important to note that this tool has never actually identified any recessions in real time, except for the 2020 recession. In contrast, more established indicators like the Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities, developed by Marcelle Chauvet and James Hamilton in 1998, have not indicated that the economy is currently in a recession. Unlike the Sahm Rule, this nearly 26-year-old tool, which relies on complex calculations and various datasets, accurately identified the 2001 and 2008 recessions in real time. Moreover, recessions in the US typically occur when the US Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) is on a downward trend, which hasn’t happened yet. This further suggests that other indicators besides the unemployment rate aren’t currently showing signs of concern. Even though the unemployment rate has risen sharply, other leading unemployment indicators, such as initial claims and continued claims, remain at historically low levels. Typically, these leading indicators rise sharply before a substantial increase in the unemployment rate, not the other way around. With the market pricing in substantial rate cuts following the unemployment numbers, yields have dropped, increasing the spread between the short and long ends of the yield curve. Historically, recessions haven’t usually unfolded during inverted yield curves. Additionally, expected looser monetary policy from the Fed combined with surprisingly tighter monetary policy from the BOJ pushed the DXY substantially lower. This resulted in a breakout in global liquidity, which is inversely correlated with the DXY and serves as a helpful indicator of future trends in risk assets. Understanding the Market Trends While the real economy hints that we are likely not currently in a recession, it’s crucial to examine the charts to better understand the downside risks and how to position oneself in order to stay on the right side of market risk. The spike in the VIX and the put-to-call ratio on Monday indicated extremely fearful sentiment, which historically suggests limited downside risk and the potential for a short-term rebound. The sudden surge in fear was reflected in the sharp increase in bond prices as investors shifted from high-risk to low-risk assets. With bullish short-term and long-term trends since early June, bond prices have reached overbought conditions, suggesting they are likely to slow down in the short term but continue outperforming in the long term, aligning with market expectations of future rate cuts. The inverse can be observed in the equity markets, with US indices in oversold conditions and exhibiting recent bearish short-term and long-term trends. This suggests that equities are likely to experience a short-term bounce but will continue to decline in the long term, providing a potential opportunity to sell. The cryptocurrency market tells a similar but much more pronounced story, with bearish short-term and long-term trends evident since late June. Despite being oversold, the future outlook for the cryptomarket remains pessimistic and is likely to underperform equities, especially if investors continue to reduce risk. This flight to the relative safety of mega caps has been a recurring theme since March 2021, when both the small cap and mid cap to mega cap ratios turned bearish, a trend that remains unbroken and is likely to continue unless a recession materializes and forces a shift to looser monetary policy. Similar trends are likely to continue in the cryptocurrency markets, as evidenced by the breakout in Bitcoin dominance, which currently positions Bitcoin’s market cap at 62% of the entire cryptocurrency market when stable coins are excluded from the calculation. Concluding Thoughts While the market is starting to panic amid recessionary fears, the data does not yet confirm that the economy is currently entering a recession. Investors should avoid panic selling, as a rebound is likely to occur in the short term given the current overextended conditions. For the mid to long term, the situation calls for a cautious approach, focusing on managing risk and gradually shifting from riskier to less risky assets, as indicated by longer-term trends in asset markets. Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
AMEX:SPY
by ingeforberg
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-6 : Caution Over The Next 48 HoursMy research suggests the SPY/QQQ will stall into a sideways upward-sloping price channel over the next 1~2 day before attempting to rally further. Watch this video to learn more. The Top-Resistance Pattern today may prove very accurate if the SPY rolls downward after filling the GAP. Get ready; The Vortex Rally is just starting after this Deep-V Bottom. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1