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SPY trade ideas

$spyyieahhh Back after getting crushed last 2 months, but hey at least we are having fun 'they say'. Interesting set of patterns. long term uptrend. Looking at a dip to 563 over next month hopefully. Bunch of confluences there: 1. High volume at 560 (there's a volume gap right below 585 which would make this a quick move down. 2. Mid point of the long term parallel channel. 3. 61% fib of entire move down. You would expect next long term target to be the upper test of the channel, 620s. Let's see how this move down, if we have any goes. Yieahhhh
AMEX:SPYShort
by rubfigue
SPY Breakdown Watch – Smart Money Concepts (1H Chart)🔎 Chart: SPY | TradingView 1H At Wavervanir International LLC, our discretionary analysis on SPY (S&P 500 ETF) using SMC + ORB logic is signaling potential downside. 🔍 Market Structure: CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed after BOS (Break of Structure), suggesting buyer exhaustion. Premium zone rejection with multiple failed attempts to reclaim the weak high. Liquidity has shifted toward discount zones, aligning with volume imbalance and OB zones below. 🎯 Target Zones: Immediate liquidity pool: 579.85 Demand block confluence: 575–565 zone Deep mitigation OB: 560–557.50 zone 📊 Macro Context: Bond volatility rising (MOVE index) Fed holding rates steady, inflation stickiness remains Liquidity tightening into quarter-end 🧠 Strategic View: SPY looks poised to fill inefficiencies into the 575–565 range unless macro tailwinds emerge. Volume supports this as market seeks equilibrium post-premium rejection.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 5-30 : CRUSH PatternToday's CRUSH pattern should result in a continued downward price trend in my analysis is accurate. I have seen CRUSH pattern trend upward sometimes. So, please understand I'm reading the chart and pattern as a rolling top type of pattern leading to a CRUSH (downward) price trend today. I highlight the potential for a FAILED CRUSH (downward) price bar - whereas a reversion back to the upside is a potential. But, I estimate that potential at only 20-25% at this time. My analysis suggests the breakdown in price will likely continue, and we'll likely see the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin continue to try to trend downward. Gold and Silver are moving into a fairly solid Gap-Stall-Revert-Flush pattern that may see Gold attempt to rally back above $3400 today. Silver is currently trading very close to a STDDEV Reversion level, so Silver may not see a big move today (like Gold). I'm hopeful we start to see a big breakaway move in Gold/Silver today and carry into next week. My TTScanner algos generated new BUY triggers for GDX, GDXJ, and NUGT yesterday. That's a very good sign we are getting into a BUY/BULLISH mode in metals again. I got up late today. Somehow, my alarms got turned off. Happy Friday. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
12
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 30, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 30, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🤝 Debt-Ceiling Deal Advances The U.S. House passed a bipartisan framework extending the federal borrowing limit through September, easing immediate default fears and lifting risk assets. 📉 Bond Yields Retreat After surging above 4.6% earlier this week, the 10-year Treasury yield dipped back toward 4.5%, helping equities recover from recent rate-driven pullbacks. ⛽ Oil Inventories Jump API data showed a 5.2 million-barrel build in U.S. crude stocks last week, sending oil prices lower and weighing on energy sector names. 🚗 Tesla Price Cut Spurs EV Rally Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) cut Model 3 prices by 3% in the U.S., igniting a broader EV stock rally as investors priced in renewed demand ahead of summer driving season. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, May 30: 8:30 AM ET: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for April Measures core inflation trends—Fed’s preferred gauge of consumer-price pressures. 10:00 AM ET: Pending Home Sales for April Tracks signed contracts on existing homes; a leading indicator for the housing market. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
The TACO Trade Is Back!🌮 AMEX:SPY 📊 The Setup: The TACO trade ("Trump Always Chickens Out") continues to prove its resilience in the face of trade war headlines. The market dips sharply when tariffs are announced, and then surges back up as the news cycle turns, with Trump pausing or reversing his decisions. We’ve seen multiple examples of this year-to-date on the AMEX:SPY chart: 🔹 Trump Pauses Tariffs for Canada & Mexico – market bounces. 🔹 Trump Pauses Most Liberation Day Tariffs – another bounce. 🔹 Trump Floats Lowering Tariffs on China – bounce continues. 🔹 Trump Pushes Back EU Tariffs to July – market rips higher. It’s as if every tariff tantrum is followed by an inevitable rebound. Could this be the pattern to trade around for the next few months? At this point, it almost feels like we’re watching a predictable movie. Every new threat to impose tariffs or spark a trade war is just a scene in the “TACO” storyline, and the markets are starting to get used to the plot twist. Are we playing into an endless loop of fear and relief? Is this time different, or just the same old TACO? How much longer can we trust that the market will “chicken out” and bounce back every time tariffs are floated?
AMEX:SPY
by SmartSignalss
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-29 : Harami Inside patternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will stall within yesterday's body range and possibly trend a bit downward (after NVDA news/earnings). I don't see the markets really extending much higher today as we are moving into a sideways Harami pattern, then into a CRUSH pattern tomorrow. Gold and Silver are really making a big move higher this morning, which suggests traders are back to actively hedging against risk across the globe. BTCUSD is trading flat/sideways - looking for some direction and, obviously, NOT RALLYING right now. In my mind, the markets are struggling for direction, and Gold/Silver are showing that real risks are still elevated. I also highlight my new Pure Alpha TTScanner algo and the work I'm doing to try to help more traders. The best part about what I do is that I get to create solutions/tools for traders. I love it. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
8
Spy Monthly Close $595-$602📈 May is on track to close bullish with projected levels of $595–$602. This move is backed by the AlphaPulse™ Trading System: – Momentum signals confirm multi-timeframe strength – Anchored VWAP reclaimed from April highs – MACD bull cross + RSI holding strong (60–70 zone) – Price above SMA50/200 with elevated volume – Fibonacci 1.618 aligns with $602 target When anchored VWAP, MACD, RSI, volume, fibs, and AlphaPulse all align bullishly — and price structure supports clean higher lows — the probability of a May close between $595 and $602 becomes statistically favorable. 📈 Thesis Probability and Conditional Breakdown 🔷 Bullish Probability Estimate (May Close $595–$602): 📊 68% Probability of bullish continuation into $595–$602 Based on: Multi-timeframe confluence (MACD, RSI, AVWAP) No bearish divergences Volume + smart money alignment (AlphaPulse Bot) ✅ Bull Case (If $580 Holds): If price continues holding above $580, expect: Continuation wave toward $595 (local fib target) Acceleration into $602 (1.618 extension) if breakout holds above $596 Supported by: AVWAP control staying bullish MACD histogram expanding RSI maintaining >60 zone AlphaPulse breakout signal staying green 🎯 Target: $595–$602 📆 Timeframe: By May 30 close 🎯 Optional overshoot: $608 wick zone if volume spikes ⚠️ Bear Case Trigger (If $580 Breaks) If $580 fails on high volume or with RSI divergence, the setup shifts: Condition Bearish Implication Break below $580 Invalidates current higher low base MACD flips negative Signals momentum exhaustion RSI < 50 Enters bearish zone AlphaPulse Signal flips red Confirms structural breakdown 🔻 Downside Risk: If $580 fails, probability of bearish retrace to $567 = 75% $567 is the last demand support zone Also aligns with prior consolidation + rising SMA50 Below this, momentum cracks completely, and macro selling may accelerate 🧠 Final Note: “Above $580 = control remains with bulls. Below $580 = structure breaks, and $567 becomes the likely magnet.” AS always SafeTrades And JoeWtrades
AMEX:SPYLong
by JoeWtrades
3
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 29, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 29, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🚫 U.S. Trade Court Blocks Tariffs A federal trade court struck down key sections of President Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs, sending U.S. stock futures sharply higher as investors anticipate reduced input costs for industrials and manufacturers 🌐 Markets Drift on Lack of Fresh Catalysts Global equity markets showed muted moves today—stocks dipped and bond yields rose—as traders awaited new drivers of direction, with Nvidia’s ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) mixed earnings doing little to spark a decisive trend 📈 Bond Yields Climb, Pressuring Equities The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield pushed above 4.6%, its highest in a month, on concerns over federal borrowing and fading rate-cut expectations, dragging the S&P 500 down more than 1% by midday 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, May 29: 8:30 AM ET: Advance Q1 GDP Provides the first estimate of U.S. economic growth in Q1, a critical gauge of recession risk and Fed policy direction. 8:30 AM ET: Personal Income & Spending (April) Tracks household earnings and outlays, offering insight into consumer resilience amid rising living costs. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – 1H Smart Money Concepts Short SetupPublished by WaverVanir International LLC | 28 May 2025 🧠 Smart Money Concepts | Volume Profile | Fibonacci Retracements | ORB (0930-0945) 🔻 Trade Context: We positioned short around the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone near $588.50, aligning with a premium pricing zone and weak high rejection. Price structure has confirmed a Break of Structure (BOS) with a decisive move lower after liquidity sweep above previous highs. 🔍 Key Technicals: 📌 Positioned: $588.50–$589.00 zone 🔺 Weak High: $593.00+ 📉 Short Target Zone: TP1: $575.59 (0.886 retracement support) TP2: $568.00–$563.22 (1.382 extension zone) TP3: $558.61 (Volume cluster low and liquidity magnet) ⚖️ Equilibrium & Volume Confirmation: Notice how equilibrium aligns with the lower range compression. Volume divergence adds confluence for downside continuation. 🎯 Outlook: We're anticipating a move toward the 1.382–1.786 extension zones, with $563.22 as the primary short target. This aligns with internal liquidity pockets and previous consolidation zones. 📊 Strategy: High-conviction SMC short with FVG alignment, premium rejection, and structural confirmation. Risk is tightly managed above the weak high. DSS confirms bearish momentum build-up. 💼 Trade Ideas & DSS-backed Analysis by WaverVanir International LLC #SPY #TradingView #SMC #AlgoTrading #Fibonacci #ORB #SmartMoney #ShortSetup #WaverVanir #VolumeProfile #MarketStructure
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 5-28 : Calm Before The StormThis update is designed to help you understand why the SPY/QQQ/BCTUSD, as well as GOLD/SILVER and others, should stay rather FLAT today. Unless there is some major news event (or other event) before the NVDA earnings data, I suspect the markets will stay very muted/flat through the close of trading today. I hope you are all enjoying my 'Plan Your Trade' videos. Now that I've gotten through most of the family doctor/medical issues, it's back to work for me. I'm working on a BTCUSD Cycle Pattern system as well as more advanced algos/trade triggers for subscribers. Let me know how I'm doing. Is there something you want to see in these videos? Let me know. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-28 : Inside Breakaway PatternToday's Inside-Breakaway pattern suggests the markets may attempt to rally above yesterday's close on strong news or earnings. Today is the NVDA earnings day (after the close). I suspect trading will be somewhat flat ahead of these highly anticipated earnings. Traders would be smart to position into a HEDGE ahead of the NVDA earnings this afternoon. Obviously, if the earnings are good, the markets will react to the upside. If they are poor/weak, the markets could easily move aggressively downward. All I know is the tariff moves over the past few weeks pushed gamers and others into buying high-end graphics cards back in April/May because everyone thought prices would skyrocket 30-50% or more. So, maybe NVDA will report strong revenue while costs increase. It should be an interesting day after the close. Until then, I believe the markets will stay somewhat FLAT - anticipating NVDA data/comments. Gold and Silver are still working through the FLAG APEX. Silver is already beyond the FLAG APEX and could make a big move higher at any moment. Gold still has one small downward price move to complete before the FLAGGING pattern is complete. Overall, I believe Gold and Silver are forming a solid base near $3300/$33 for a strong rally in the future. BTCUSD is stalling. In fact, the SPY/QQQ/BTCUSD are all stalling near the 0.75% Fib level (as shown on my charts). We may be setting up for that big breakdown I've been warning about. But, until we actually SEE price break out of the upward EPP Flagging channel - don't get overly confident of a BIG BREAKDOWN move. My advice would be to HEDGE any aggressive trades you are trying to take right now. If you believe the markets are going to rally substantially, try to hedge that trade with some risk protection (longer-dated PUTS). Today could be a catalyst day. We may get a breakout/breakdown move after NVDA's earnings/data. Buckle up. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny