SPY trade ideas
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 29, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for April 29, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 Anticipation Builds for Key Economic Data: Investors are on edge as they await a series of critical economic reports this week, including GDP growth figures and the April jobs report. Concerns are mounting that recent tariff policies may have begun to weigh on economic performance, with forecasts suggesting a significant slowdown in growth.
💼 Earnings Season in Full Swing: Major corporations are set to report earnings today, including AstraZeneca, Honeywell, Regeneron, PayPal, PACCAR, Kraft Heinz, Ares Capital, SoFi, Zebra Technologies, Incyte, Repligen, and Commvault. Investors will be closely monitoring these reports for insights into how companies are navigating the current economic landscape.
📉 Market Volatility Persists Amid Trade Tensions: The stock market continues to experience volatility as investors grapple with the implications of ongoing trade disputes and tariff implementations. Analysts warn that prolonged trade tensions could further dampen economic growth and corporate profitability.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, April 29:
📦 Advance Economic Indicators (8:30 AM ET):
Includes data on international trade in goods, wholesale inventories, and retail inventories for March. These figures provide early insights into trade balances and inventory levels, which are critical for assessing economic momentum.
📊 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET):
Measures consumer sentiment regarding current and future economic conditions. A decline in confidence could signal reduced consumer spending, impacting overall economic growth.
💼 JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM ET):
Reports the number of job openings, indicating labor market demand. This data helps assess the health of the job market and potential wage pressures.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) 4-hour chartTrend: Bearish since late April (drop from $560.00 to $546.58). Red candles dominate.
Indicators:
Trend Strength: 13.87% (strong).
Volatility: Low.
Squeeze: Yes (imminent breakout).
Volume Sentiment: Bearish (selling pressure).
Volume: Rises on declines (red bars), confirms bearish trend.
Support/Resistance: Broke support at $550.00, next support near $540.00.
Patterns: Recent consolidation with small candles, squeeze suggests strong move soon, likely downward.
Conclusion: Bearish trend confirmed, selling pressure and squeeze indicate potential further drop to $540.00.
SmartTrend Indicator @tradingbauhaus
SPY Watchlist 4/28 - 5/2The Goal here is to analyze how price will react. We are already heading into the gap meaning our targets are around $563.19.
We must always wait for a confirmation candle when approaching and heading into higher highs from the previous dump
what goes down quick must come up quicker, when it comes to ETFs. This is what Majority of the working class have their 401ks.
SPY EARNINGS WEELY AAPL AMZN MSTR METASPY WEELY - Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta will report earnings.
This week we have important earnings from Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, and Meta. We believe there could be a strong move in the SPY driven by the earnings reports, as well as by key economic data like unemployment figures, GDP, and Consumer Confidence. Based on these factors, we expect high volatility and see the potential for the SPY to move within the range of 530–520 on the downside and 560–580 on the upside.
Will this holdI published this yesterday as note and it didn't update my 509ish idea:
Seems to be a battle
ORB Breakout PullbackWaiting for SPY to break my 15 min ORB on the 5 and/or 15 min time-frame then I'll enter on pullback if it holds, especially if it hold at the 9 EMA, Volume supports and the VIX is inline as well. If VIX up SPY down and vice versa. Also, will confirm on 30 min timeframe for more confirmation. Let's see. Patience is key.
Opening (IRA): SPY June 20th 490 Short Put... for a 5.26 credit.
Comments: Targeting the strike that is both at 16 delta or below and that is paying 1% of the strike price in credit ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 484.72
Max Profit: 5.26
ROC at Max: 1.09%
Will generally look to ladder out at intervals, assuming I can get in at prices better than what I currently have on, roll out at 50% max ... .
SPYTime to make a decision! Looks like it wants to come back and tap the trend line one more time before bull run. Good luck!
TRAP RALLY?AMEX:SPY trade, watching this pivot level for 2nd flag continuation into 560's or a break down to retest lows.
Overall trend is bearish, so until bulls show themselves, the continues voice that yells buy this dip, is nulled by the sense of, FOMO temptation. never plays out well.
No actual trade deals made, no actual announcements. just headlines and people retweeting post. Price>everything.
Short - SPYPut option 4/30/25
PT1 $498.80
PT2 $485.68
Entry: $518 - consolidating in this range and the short confirmation will be the price rejection
Stop loss: $522.7
PY has bottomedWhat Price Action Says:
SPY has bottomed, support now at 510, up from 485!
Strong resistances at 550 & 585, but AMEX:SPY is likely to break through these levels in the second half of the year.
In the short term, it remains within a range.
Watch 510/550 closely.
bullish SPY (pitchfork based)SPY reached the bottom of one pitchfork and the middle of the second one and bounced back up. I expect the bounce to continue
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 23 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today, April 23, 2025, and will not be valid for the next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below.
Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these.
White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-23 : Rally-111 PatternToday's RALLY pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will continue to push higher, possibly breaking upper resistance near $550/493.
As I suggested in this video, I believe the upward price trend bias will continue into Friday (4-25) and suddenly shift into a BEARISH price trend/bias early next week.
The May 2-5 Major Bottom cycle low, my research predicts, will happen and should prompt a fairly strong downward price trend as we near the end of April and head into early May.
Gold and Silver will likely consolidate a bit over the next 24-48 hours. So, this is a great time to pick lower entry price levels for LONGS/CALLS.
Ultimately, I'm still expecting Gold to rally above $3750 before the end of May and attempt to target $4500++ before the end of June.
BTCUSD is moving into a potential "INVALIDATION" phase. Although I'm currently estimating the probability of that invalidation at about 20-30%, it is still a valid price trend.
I believe BTCUSD will shift into a downward price trend as the markets continue to unwind excesses through the May, July, and October lows, according to my cycles.
The big opportunity for traders over the next 48 hours is playing the upward trend bias in the SPY/QQQ - then moving into a mode of preparation for next week's breakdown/downward price trend in the SPY/QQQ.
So, play it smart. Follow the chart and don't try to be a superhero.
Play what is in front of you and prepare for the bigger price swings headed into next week and beyond.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPY Setting Up for a Breakout? Gamma, Liquidity & TA Aligning 🔍GEX Analysis (Options Sentiment)
SPY is showing an impressive surge off the 508 HVL zone, with a clean stair-step climb supported by options flow. Gamma exposure is shifting favorably:
* Strongest Call Wall sits at 528–530, where we see the highest positive NETGEX—aka the Gamma Wall.
* Price is currently testing the 536 level, and the bulls are targeting 549 and potentially 561+ if momentum continues.
* Options Oscillator shows notable GEX alignment (🟢🟢🟢) and IVR 48.8, suggesting room for more expansion.
➡️ Calls are in control (48.6%), and no major PUT pressure remains above 508. With IV contraction, theta decay is less brutal. This opens the door for short-dated call entries (0DTE to 3DTE) above 530.31 with stops below 526.61.
Price Action & Trading Plan
On the 1H chart, SPY has broken out from a CHoCH + BOS structure, and we’re currently in a bullish continuation move.
* Trend Strength: Strong Bullish
* Market Structure: In premium but bullish hold.
* Candle Volume: Thin, but breakout is supported by prior strong demand.
* Setup: Long is forming – waiting for follow-through.
🔑 Key Levels:
* Entry: Above 530.31
* Targets: 549 (RRR 1), 561.53 (RRR 2)
* Invalidation: Below 526.61
🧠 My Thoughts
SPY is building momentum and options are reinforcing the move. The breakout through the HVL zone, combined with SMC-confirmed structure and GEX tailwinds, tells me the path of least resistance is up. Volume isn’t overly strong yet, so we need to monitor follow-through and not get trapped if a reversal forms near 540–549. If bulls defend 530, this could turn into a "home run" leg into the week.
🚨 Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage your risk accordingly.
SPY INV C&H Right at the 50% fib retracement & the trendline. We are not out of the woods just yet. Careful tomorrow.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 23, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 U.S.–China Trade Tensions Ease: President Trump announced plans to "substantially" reduce tariffs on Chinese imports, signaling a potential de-escalation in the trade war. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent labeled the current tariffs as "unsustainable," and the IMF warned of a "major negative shock" to global growth due to the ongoing trade conflict.
📉 Tesla's Profit Decline: Tesla reported a 71% drop in Q1 profits, attributing the decline to backlash over CEO Elon Musk's involvement in government affairs. Musk announced plans to reduce his role in the "Department of Government Efficiency" (Doge) starting in May.
🛫 Boeing's Earnings Under Scrutiny: Boeing is set to report earnings, with investors closely watching for impacts of trade tensions on Chinese plane deliveries. The company's performance is seen as a bellwether for the aerospace sector amid global economic uncertainties.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, April 23:
🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 675,000
Previous: 662,000
Measures the annualized number of newly constructed homes sold, indicating housing market strength.
📈 S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (9:45 AM ET):
Manufacturing Forecast: 49.5
Services Forecast: 51.0
Provides insight into the economic health of the manufacturing and services sectors.
🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report (10:30 AM ET):
Reports on the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by U.S. firms, influencing oil prices and energy sector performance.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Back of trendline on Hourly look for profit takingon the daily it's bullish for uptrend, however in the hourly chart it looks like we can see some profit taking. a small short there.
SPY Falling Wedge Into Support SPY forming a descending wedge after an extreme sell off, one of the fastest declines in recent history.
This wedge style pattern tends to be the result of sharp move in a particular direction, in this case downward as temporary relief before continuiing in the direction of the larger trend.
Ill be looking for liquidity to enter the market on the thursday / friday session for a potential bounce. If not, then its likely the market will be in for a rough spring.
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 22 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today, April 22, 2025, and will not be valid for the next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below.
Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these.
White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them.
SPY loving the C&H Pattern right nowSpy seems to be loving the C&H pattern right now. Wait for your conformations
SPY Plan Your Trade For 4-22 : Breakaway In Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests the markets are moving in a counter-trend mode and that we may see a Breakaway type of price bar.
The current trend is Bearish. Thus, I believe the current Counter-Trend is Bullish.
As many of you already know. I picked up some Calls off the lows yesterday after noticing a complete EPP pattern (Ultimate Low) setup about 75 minutes before the end of the regular trading day on 4-21.
My opinion, overall, is that we are still stuck within a consolidation phase. But that doesn't mean we can't see the SPY/QQQ move higher (toward the upper consolidation high) or roll back downward (toward the lower consolidation low).
I do believe we are moving into a moderate upward price trend over the next 3-4+ days where price will attempt to retest the 525-535+ level on the SPY, then ROLL into a top and start a sharp downtrend.
This volatility presents an incredible opportunity for traders. Staying ahead of these trends is key to improved success.
The SPY Cycle Patterns are fairly clear. We've moved into consolidation, and the price is very volatile. The Counter Trend pattern today may setup a 3-4+ day minor rally in the SPY/QQQ.
But, ultimately, I believe the SPY/QQQ will roll downward into the May Cycle lows - just as I have been predicting for the past 45+ days.
Don't get greedy. Play the immediate trend and learn to identify the EPP patterns on 5-minute charts.
Today should be a very good day for traders.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
