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SPY trade ideas

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : BreakAway In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move into a Breakaway type of pattern. I believe that Breakaway may be to the downside, but I could be wrong. Price has been struggling in a sideways consolidated range over the past 2+ weeks. I believe this range sets up an "Island" type of price formation that is indicative of a topping type of pattern. Currently, I'm tracking layers of different TA techniques to try to see how price may react in the future. Right now, price appears to be trapped within a range, has recently broken below the STDDEV channel, and may be moving into a very volatile FAILURE/REJECTION phase. This is where price may attempt to resume trending (up or down) and I believe the move logical move is to the downside at this point. Gold/Silver had a HUGE MOVE yesterday and are not contracting a bit. I still believe Metals will rally higher and attempt to break to new ATH levels. BTCUSD is trapped in a sideways price range after reaching new ATH levels recently. Many of you are aware I'm expecting a rollover-top pattern to setup in BTCUSD (and the US markets) and I believe it is just a matter of time to see how the markets react to policies, news, and economic function/data. Should be an interesting (possibly sideways) day today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY 1HR Pullback to Volume Buy Zone Before Bullish ContinuationI’m watching the 588.52–589.94 range as a high-probability buy zone on the SPY 1-hour chart. This zone aligns with a strong volume shelf, indicating prior institutional accumulation and heavy transaction flow. After a sharp move into the 591s, we’re seeing some hesitation and potential for a healthy pullback. The plan is to wait for price action to return to the buy zone, show signs of strength (e.g., hammer candle, strong bounce), and look for a continuation toward the previous high of 593.46 and possibly higher. 🔹 Buy Zone: 588.52–589.94 🔹 Volume Profile Support: High node at ~589 🔹 Resistance: 591.12 short-term, then 593.46 🔹 Stop Loss: Below 586.76 to avoid false breakouts 🔹 Target: 593.50+ with higher timeframe continuation in mind
AMEX:SPYLong
by boiigtg
2
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Price Testing Resistance Trendline - DailySPY (S&P500 ETF) price is currently testing a resistance trendline above ($593 to $595 price levels). SPY price in the medium-term has been uptrending since April and May 2025. SPY price in the short-term has been consolidating sideways, and a large volume breakout or breakdown has not occurred yet. The 12EMA (blue line) has been holding as support for 5 trading days. Resistance targets to the upside would be $598 to $600. The grey gap and the 26EMA (purple line) are downside support targets if a rally does not occur this month ($576 to $567). Breaking news and tariff trade deals are supposed to occur in June and July 2025.
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
600 before 580?, Jolts, Jobs Data, calling China🎮 What’s Happening Now: 1. The market trades like a simulation. Levels get hit to the penny and reverse. Fake breakouts, engineered sweeps, and chop-fests designed to trigger stops and crush premium. It’s like trading inside a casino that reads your mind and moves the exit every five minutes. 2. AI + HFT firms front-run sentiment and order flow. They scan Reddit, Discord, X, TradingView, and even order book imbalances in real time. The second you find an edge, they’re already there—front-running or fading it. 3. Implied volatility and option decay weaponized. They bait you in with movement, then nuke premiums before you can cash out. If you're not closing green trades fast, they flip red—"correct trades, wrong time frame" syndrome. ⚖️ What Retail Is Up Against: Smart order routers sniffing your orders. Liquidity gaps intentionally created then filled. Volume surges that mean nothing—just decoys. AI-driven volume clusters that draw you in and dump you out. 💡 What some traders are doing to adapt: Selling premium with iron condors, calendars, butterflies—less directional, more probability-based. Trading futures or futures options, where fills are better and data is cleaner. Sniping high-R:R setups, holding nothing overnight unless it's ironclad. Using AI to fight AI—some build their own bots to scan volume shifts, OI skews, or gamma pins.
AMEX:SPYShort
by mispell
2
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 3, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 3, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏭 U.S. Manufacturing Slump Persists U.S. manufacturing contracted for the third consecutive month in May, with new orders, backlogs, production, and employment all declining. Trade-war disruptions and elevated input costs continue to squeeze factory margins, setting the stage for today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI release 🌐 Global Trade Tensions Weigh on Stocks Renewed U.S.–China tariff threats sent the S&P 500 lower overnight, as investors fear higher costs for exporters and slower global growth. Futures pointed to another rough open for $SPY/ SP:SPX 📈 China Caixin PMI Exceeds Expectations China’s May Caixin Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose to 50.8, signaling stabilization in export-oriented factories despite ongoing trade uncertainty. That positive surprise may offer some support to Asian equities today 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, June 3: 8:30 AM ET – ISM Manufacturing PMI (May) Measures U.S. factory-sector health; readings below 50 indicate contraction. Today’s survey will confirm if the May downturn persists. 10:00 AM ET – Construction Spending (April) Tracks monthly change in total construction outlays—an important gauge of housing and infrastructure investment trends. 1:00 PM ET – 10-Year Treasury Note Auction Benchmark auction that influences the yield curve. Weak demand or higher yields here can pressure equities, especially growth-oriented sectors. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Post Market UpdateHuge move for metals today. Absolutely incredible. Hope you GOT SOME. BTCUSD and the SPY/QQQ stalled somewhat flat today. SPY was up 0.50% - nothing huge. Going to be interesting to see how things play out in the Asian/European markets tonight. Buckle up. Could be some very big moves hitting this week. GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
7
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Inflection at Fib Resistance | Dual-Scenario🗓️ June 2, 2025 | 📈 1H Chart | ⚠️ Risk-Off Signal Building? 🔹 Current Price: $592.98 🔺 Key Resistance: $595.54–$597.36 (1.0–1.236 Fib Extension) 🔻 Gap Support: $565.51 🎯 Bullish Target: $604.05–$604.90 (1.382–1.618 Extension) 🔎 Technical Structure: Trendline Rejection Zone: SPY is pressing into a multi-tap descending resistance. Any failure to break convincingly could invite strong selling. Fibonacci Overlap: $595–597 aligns with major Fib extensions—potential exhaustion zone. Gap Unfilled: The $565.51 gap remains untested and could magnet price in the event of a rejection. Volatility Funnel Forming: Narrowing structure implies imminent directional move. 🌐 Macro Landscape: Fed Watch: The June 12 FOMC is the next volatility trigger. Fed Funds Futures are pricing in only a ~10% probability of a cut. Hawkish hold expected. Earnings Season Winds Down: Lack of new fundamental catalysts could increase technical relevance. Liquidity: Reverse repo balances are falling, suggesting reduced short-term liquidity—typically bearish for risk assets. Inflation Watch: Sticky Core PCE remains above 2.75% YoY—Fed unlikely to ease aggressively. 📉 Risk Management: Short Bias Setup: Entry: $595–597 rejection Stop: $598.5–599 (Above 1.236 Fib) Target: $577 (mid-Fib) → $565.51 (gap close) R:R ~3:1 Bullish Breakout Plan: Entry: Confirmed breakout + hold above $598 Stop: $593.50 Target: $604–605 R:R ~2.5:1 Volatility Hedge: Consider using VIX calls or SPX put spreads to hedge directional risk around key Fed dates. 🎲 Probabilities: Scenario Chance Commentary Pullback to $565 Gap 65% Strong resistance + weakening breadth + macro headwinds Breakout to $604 35% Requires bullish macro surprise or liquidity-driven melt-up 🔔 Action Plan: Fade rallies into resistance unless a high-volume breakout confirms. Use stop discipline and hedge exposure into macro events. Stay nimble. 💬 Thoughts? Are we due for a flush or prepping for a face-ripper?
AMEX:SPY
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Gap Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY may attempt a GAP Breakaway in Trend mode (likely BULLISH). But, the Russia/Ukraine war is overshadowing that potential pattern as big news this morning. From what I can tell, Russia is mounting a large-scale attack after Ukraine launched a big drone attack targeting Russian aircraft. No matter how you slide and dice this news, it means this conflict is entering a new phase. A possibly much more destructive phase for all involved. Gold and Silver are reacting to this news by skyrocketing higher. I believe this upward move in metals could continue for many days/weeks as long as this conflict continues to grow. BTCUSD is trading slightly downward right now, but not as much as I would have expected based on the news. We'll see how BTCUSD plays out this week and if we get a bigger breakdown over time. Currently, if you had actively hedged your positions, I believe you will be OK this week as Metals seem to be the big movers right now. The SPY/QQQ should react to this war news, but being somewhat isolated from this conflict economically, we may not see any huge moves in the US markets today. Overall, hedge your positions to protect against surprise news/risks and try to prepare for the longer-term swings. Volatility will stay elevated over the next few weeks.. So, GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
6
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 2–6, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 2–6, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏭 U.S. Manufacturing Slump Ahead of June PMI Markets are bracing for Tuesday’s ISM Manufacturing PMI (June 3), with economists forecasting a reading below 50.0, signaling continued factory contraction amid slowing global demand and lingering tariff uncertainty. 🛢️ OPEC+ Meeting to Determine Output Path On Thursday, OPEC+ convenes to decide production levels for July. Expectations center on a modest output cut extension to support prices, with Brent crude trading near $65/bbl ahead of the decision. 💻 Tech Stocks Eye Semiconductor Legislation Investors are monitoring Congress’s debate over the Chips Act extension. Senate committee hearings this week could accelerate funding for U.S. chip manufacturing—an upside catalyst for NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , and $MU. 🌐 China’s Caixin PMI Signals Pivot China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI (June 6) is expected to edge above 50.0, indicating a stabilization in smaller export-focused factories. A better-than-expected print could lift global risk sentiment. 🏢 Fed Officials Remain Dovish Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and New York Fed President John Williams speak this week, reiterating that rate hikes are “on pause.” Their remarks should clarify the Fed’s view on inflation cooling and potential rate cuts late 2025. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Monday, June 2: 10:00 AM ET: Factory Orders (April) Tracks dollar volume of new orders for manufactured goods—an early gauge of industrial demand. 📅 Tuesday, June 3: 8:30 AM ET: ISM Manufacturing PMI (May) Measures U.S. factory-sector health. A reading below 50 indicates contraction. 10:00 AM ET: Construction Spending (April) Reports monthly change in total construction outlays—key for housing and infrastructure trends. 1:00 PM ET: 10-Year Treasury Note Auction Benchmark auction that can shift yield curve and influence $SPY/ SP:SPX positioning. 📅 Wednesday, June 4: 10:00 AM ET: Factory Orders (April) Dollar volume of new orders for manufactured goods. (Repeat for emphasis on industrial slowdown.) 2:00 PM ET: Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Speaks Comments on inflation and monetary policy outlook. 📅 Thursday, June 5: 8:30 AM ET: JOLTS Job Openings (April) Tracks number of unfilled positions—a barometer of labor-market tightness. 10:00 AM ET: OPEC+ Press Conference (Post-Meeting) Details on production quotas—critical for energy-sector flow. 📅 Friday, June 6: 8:30 AM ET: Nonfarm Payrolls (May) Monthly change in U.S. employment—core for Fed policy outlook. 8:30 AM ET: Unemployment Rate (May) Percentage of labor force unemployed—key gauge of labor-market health. 8:30 AM ET: Average Hourly Earnings (May) Tracks wage trends—important for consumer spending and inflation. 10:00 AM ET: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (May, preliminary) Measures health of China’s smaller export-oriented factories. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY dowsing roadmap for this weekI've been posting the weekly readings my dowsing has given for SPY's potential price movement the past couple months and it's really interesting. I go week by week, but am starting to include each day of the week looking forward. I left on the chart the prior notations from those ideas I've posted & you can reference what I had versus what actually occurred. This week is quite negative. I've had the number around $562-62 coming up for a while, & beyond that, around the $542-48 area as I recall. I don't really get any positive gain over last week's close. We'll see what happens.
AMEX:SPYShort
by JenRz
Spy Road To $600 🔥 SPY Price Thesis – Breakout or Breakdown Setup SPY is setting up for a potential breakout above the $595 extension level, with upside to $602–$608. However, $582 remains a key support. A break below $582 could trigger a momentum flush to $567. Level 🔵 $595.60 – Fib Extension (161.8%) from the March → April swing High-probability breakout trigger 🟢 $602.40 – $608.20 – Fib 200% and exhaustion zone from the same swing Final extension if bullish momentum sustains 🟡 $582.00 – Institutional VWAP reaccumulation zone Strong demand/support 🔴 $567.40 – Prior weekly pivot low + anchored VWAP bounce level Breakdown target if $582 fails Trend Signal: Bullish bias confirmed — Higher Highs + EMA Cloud still pointing up Momentum: MACD Histogram turning back up, crossover brewing Volume: Above average on green days; no true distribution yet Supertrend Zone: Still green on 4H and 1D Custom Signal Confluence Score: > 75% (Strong Buy Zone aligning above $588) 🔁 Fibonacci Analysis Measured from April swing low (~$505) to May high (~$573): 🔹 161.8% = $595.60 🔹 200% = $602.40 🔹 261.8% = $608.20 (max extension target) 📉 On Breakdown: From $573 high to $558 retracement low: 0.618 retrace = $582.00 ← Current support zone Full retrace & bear trap zone = $567.40 Smart Money Strategy: Above $595: Long breakout entries (Calls, zero DTE) Below $582: Hedge with Puts or inverse ETF Key Catalyst Triggers: Jobs data, CPI, or Fed commentary could force the move As Always Safe Trades and JoeWtrades
AMEX:SPYLong
by JoeWtrades
579 gap will be filled.Happens all the time. Chart shows an incredibly large gap. if you lower the deviation on your gap indicator a small gap can appear below this very large gap. i have seen on numerous... NUMEROUS occasions when this gap gets filled and then has a nice rebound(not necessarily sustained). I don't know if it will happen tomorrow, but if there starts to be a sustained selloff in the days ahead i will feel confident that this is the target. 579 is the price. again, it could happen on monday or it could happen next monday. i have no idea what the market is going to do from day to day, but keep this level in mind.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Fraggle_Rock
$spyyieahhh Back after getting crushed last 2 months, but hey at least we are having fun 'they say'. Interesting set of patterns. long term uptrend. Looking at a dip to 563 over next month hopefully. Bunch of confluences there: 1. High volume at 560 (there's a volume gap right below 585 which would make this a quick move down. 2. Mid point of the long term parallel channel. 3. 61% fib of entire move down. You would expect next long term target to be the upper test of the channel, 620s. Let's see how this move down, if we have any goes. Yieahhhh
AMEX:SPYShort
by rubfigue
SPY Trapped in Gamma – Big Move Loading or Just Dealer Chop? 📊 SPY GEX Daily (Options Sentiment Breakdown) SPY closed at $589.39, and we’re now seeing tight compression between call resistance at 592–595 and heavy put walls down at 586 and 580. Gamma is stacked on both sides — a dealer tug-of-war. Unless we break cleanly above or below this zone, expect whipsaw chop. GEX Breakdown: 🟩 Call wall at 595, with strong dealer hedging from 592 up to 600. 🟥 Massive negative GEX starting at 586 → 580 → 575, all with dense put walls (–79.88% at PUT Support). 🔻 IVR is 18 and falling – nobody’s paying up for protection yet, but things could move fast once they do. 💡 Options Playbook (Based on GEX): Neutral-to-Bearish: Fade pops near 592–595, use 595c/600c credit spread or play 585p/575p vertical if 586 breaks. Bullish Flip: If we break and hold over 595, gamma flips positive fast → play Jul 19 600c or 595/605 spread. This is a gamma box — price likely stuck 586–595 unless volume shifts dealer hedging or macro breaks out. 🕵️‍♂️ 1H Price Structure (Swing & Intraday Planning) SPY 1H still showing weak structure. Multiple CHoCHs and BOSs bouncing around the same zone. Price got rejected from the purple supply at 592, and is now hovering around 589–590, still trapped under a descending trendline. What stands out: 📉 Structure = lower highs + broken BOS → short-term bearish. 📦 Supply pressure between 590.5–593.9, demand sits down at 573–576. 💣 Bearish readings across BBP, MACD, Stoch — and market breadth thinning. 📈 Swing Bias: Short under 590–592 → target 586 first, then 580 if momentum kicks in. Bullish case only resumes on clean break above 595. 📊 Intraday Plan: Fade pop to 590.5–592 for scalp short (look for lower highs). Bounce off 586 is playable for scalp long — but keep stops tight. Until SPY breaks out of this gamma trap, you want to scalp or spread trade with discipline. No need to swing for home runs here. 🧠 Final Thoughts SPY is pinned between high call resistance and aggressive put support. The GEX box says: "Be patient or get chopped." We need either macro news or volume spike to break the hedging stalemate. IV is low, so positioning ahead of a breakout (via spreads or small directional bets) could pay off — just manage size tightly. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is educational commentary only. Always manage your own risk, and never trade based on someone else’s analysis alone.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025📉 SPY Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025 🚨 AI Model Consensus: Moderately Bearish into June 6 Expiry 🧠 AI Model Breakdown 🔹 Grok (xAI) Bias: Moderately Bearish Technical: Price below 10-EMA, RSI cooling, MACD divergence. Trade: Buy $589P @ $4.72 → PT +50%, SL if SPY > $591 🔹 Claude (Anthropic) Bias: Moderately Bearish Technical: Short-term cooling, daily trend still intact. Trade: Buy $573P @ $0.94 → PT 100%, SL 50%, exit by Wed 🔹 Gemini (Google) Bias: Neutral Technical: M5 bearish, daily bullish = mixed. Trade: No trade today due to inconclusive bias 🔹 Llama (Meta) Bias: Slightly Bullish Technical: M5 bullish EMAs, daily MACD bearish Trade: Buy $590C @ $5.20 → PT +20%, SL −50% 🔹 DeepSeek Bias: Moderately Bearish Technical: Breakdown below support, MACD/RSI bearish Trade: Buy $588P @ $4.27 → PT near $585, SL at $590.50 ✅ Consensus Takeaways 4 of 5 models favor bearish or moderately bearish direction Max Pain at $585 = common gravitational level Momentum showing weakness, especially intraday Only Llama sees upside bias; Gemini stays out due to signal conflict 🎯 Recommended Trade Setup 💡 Strategy: Bearish Naked Weekly Put 🔘 Ticker: SPY 📉 Direction: PUT 🎯 Strike: $588 💵 Entry: $4.32 (ask) 🎯 Profit Target: $6.00 (+39%) 🛑 Stop Loss: $2.16 (−50%) 📏 Size: 1 contract 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06 ⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open 📈 Confidence: 70% ⚠️ Key Risks to Monitor ⚖️ Daily uptrend still intact — bounce possible at support 📉 Low VIX = limited volatility expansion (slower premium growth) 🔺 Watch for quick reversals or news spikes above $590 that can hit stop-loss ⌛ Theta ramps midweek — trade must move early 📊 TRADE DETAILS (JSON) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "SPY", "direction": "put", "strike": 588.0, "expiry": "2025-06-06", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 6.00, "stop_loss": 2.16, "size": 1, "entry_price": 4.32, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-06-02 09:30:00 UTC-04:00" }
AMEX:SPYShort
by quantsignals
Bullish on SPY!What I have understand is that market negatively reacts to Tariff implementation. This is the market sentiment. Since Tariffs have been paused, cut off, or delayed to another time. Most courts are suspending the Trump Tariff. Market has been behaving positively, It has also broken the previous small resistance at the price $575. And has also retracement. If you put moving average of 10, you can see it has retested below level but closes above the MA which is a good signal. I believe SPY will touch $607 within 2 weeks from now, and hopefully a fundamental news will break the $610 level. And it is common sense if SPY moves rapidly upwards, almost all of the SP500 companies will go up ( not all). And I think buying stocks that are already at the high resistance level is good if what I think will happen.
AMEX:SPYLong
by FinExcel
Here's what we've got going into next weekSo here's what I see going into next week, The SPY is in a tight little area and what that means is expect extreme volatility, we break to the downside were heading to the gap, if we break to the upside we're going to new all time highs, my bias is to the down side because we've got a lot of bad news coming in especially with China Looking at Taiwan, also it seems market sentiment Is to the downside, but darn it this thing still keeps climbing higher. I'm going to be going short and buying put options,,this is in my opinion, and what I am doing for myself,, you do you, do your own analysis and research. I blame no one for my mistakes, Even though I would like to, but nobody makes me buy or sell, I am the one that must enter that order and I take responsibility for my actions, I have come to learn that I am gifted with making money on the short term scalping markets, but will quickly become a loss because I hold on longer, my education has costed me thousands and thousands of dollars over the decades, And I am still learning, Praise be to God.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Following1