TSLA trade ideas
TSLA : Technical Analysis Report - 30 June 2025Trend:
The primary trend (big picture) is upward. Bullish momentum is weak.
Short Term Trend : sideways / consolidation. Regardless of the larger trend, momentum within a sideways range is typically neutral or flat, reflecting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers.
Pattern : Symmetrical Triangle Patte rn
A symmetrical triangle is like a market catching its breath. It's a temporary pause in a trend. Once the price breaks out of the triangle, it usually continues in the same direction it was going before. Until that breakout, it's a neutral pattern.
Key levels :
R2 - 366
R1 - 356
S1 - 315 -The price is facing the support 215.
S2 - 275
Tips for Trading
Wait for a confirmed breakout (e.g., a daily candlestick close above/below the trendline) to avoid false signals
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Note :
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TSLA Elliott Wave Analysis | Bullish Scenario UnfoldingThis chart presents a detailed Elliott Wave analysis on Tesla (TSLA) in the 4-hour timeframe.
The price structure from the April low suggests a completed corrective ABC pattern, forming a solid wave (4) base.
A new bullish impulse appears to be underway, with wave (1) and (2) of wave (5) already confirmed.
We are now tracking the development of wave (3), which has the potential to extend toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone around $426, with intermediate resistance at $406.84 (1.414 Fib).
The projected wave (5) could complete near $440, marking the end of a larger degree 5-wave impulse structure.
Key levels to watch: support near $320.47 (0.5 retracement level of wave 1–3) and resistance at $360–380 before the next leg higher.
Two possible scenarios are outlined:
Primary Path (solid lines): Strong bullish continuation toward wave D and (5).
Alternate Path (dotted lines): Short-term correction back to the trendline support before resuming the uptrend.
The chart also highlights the breakout from a long-term descending trendline and a potential cup-and-handle continuation pattern, supporting the bullish thesis.
📈 Trade Plan: Watching for confirmation above $360 to target $406 and $426+ in the coming weeks. Stops should be considered below $310 depending on risk tolerance.
NFA
Tesla (TSLA) -Bullish Reaccumulation Setup | Smart Money conceptTesla shows a clean CHoCH followed by BOS structure, indicating a potential bullish continuation. The market is forming equal lows into a demand zone (green box), suggesting a possible liquidity sweep before a move higher.
Key Technical Points:
CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed on strong bullish impulse.
BOS (Break of Structure) signals market intent to continue upward.
Ascending triangle structure with multiple support tests (marked "S").
Anticipated sweep into demand zone: $308–$312 area.
Potential upside target: $365–$375 supply zone.
Bias: Bullish on confirmation of demand reaction.
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before investing.
Tesla (TSLA) 1H Chart – Wyckoff Cycle in ActionThis chart reflects a textbook Wyckoff pattern unfolding on TSLA’s 1-hour timeframe:
🔹 Accumulation Phase observed early May
🔹 Followed by Manipulation & Distribution – classic trap before markdown
🔹 Sharp selloff led to another Accumulation zone around $305
🔹 Further manipulation wicks indicate smart money involvement
🔹 Now projecting a move towards $360–$370 distribution zone
📌 Structure breakdown:
Smart Money Accumulation ➡️ Manipulation ➡️ Distribution
Bullish momentum building from $306 support
Eyes on reaction near the marked green distribution box 📦
📅 As of June 15, 2025 – chart aligns with Wyckoff theory and institutional behavior.
V-Bottom + Apocalypse news => Going UpV bottom was formed.
News are clearly bearish in a conclusive way =>> fool the public to sell shares to the big fish while the market will go up...
Overall market sentiment under the hood is bullish. Public is in huge fear of banks that collapsed and will continue to collapse, so the masses will sell stocks on an up wave fearing it will go down.
How else you will make the mass public sell their stocks? if there is no apocalypse on the way...? think about it...
Safe Entry Zone TeslaGreen Zone is Safe Entry Zone.
Target is Take Profit line.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Will the Robotaxi euphoria continue to push TSLA higher?NASDAQ:TSLA pushing higher the last few days thanks to the start robotaxis. Will this rally continue? the answer is yes until the LIS gets broken.
LIS is at 311, any break below will give a retrace. If you are long, get out and get back in when the next LIS gets broken on the upside. This is efficient investing. Don't waste time doing HODL.
LIS is evolving over time, I will keep you updated on it.
This is really simple trading based on important levels. Keep following my post, so you can see it by yourself.
TSLA Intraday Reversal Setup | Smart Money Buy Zone HitTesla just tapped into a deep discount + strong demand confluence with SMC confirmation.
📍 Buy Zone: $311–$324
📍 Target Zone: $372.16 – $374.16 (liquidity above weak high)
📍 Midpoint (EQ/TP1): $336.23 – $345
Trade Thesis:
BOS confirmed after internal CHoCH
Price swept lows into premium discount zone
Volume spike + divergence near key Fibonacci (0.236–0.382)
Bullish intent visible if PA reclaims 336.23 (EQ)
🎯 Targeting ~15%+ intraday swing from reaccumulation. Ideal for scalpers with asymmetric R/R profiles.
🧠 Wait for confirmation – this is where Smart Money steps in.
⚠️ Not financial advice. Educational content only.
#TSLA #Tesla #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #LiquiditySweep #Equilibrium #Fibonacci #DayTrading #Scalping #VolumeProfile #WaverVanir #TradingView #IntradayEdge
TSLA: GEX Points to Bounce Setup. Is This the Dip to Load Calls?📊 GEX-Based Options Suggestion
Gamma Exposure (GEX) data paints a bullish opportunity if TSLA holds the critical support zones:
* ✅ Key GEX Levels:
* $338: Near current price, minor GEX flip zone.
* $345–$350: Strong upward magnets (3rd Call Wall + GEX build-up).
* $359: Gamma Wall + Highest Net Positive GEX — market makers may pin price near this into end of week if bulls hold.
* 🛡️ Below Support:
* $330: Light PUT defense.
* $320: Major Put Support (-67.5%) — strong bounce zone if downside accelerates.
🔔 Option Trade Idea Based on GEX:
With TSLA near the $338 zone and GEX showing stacked resistance above + positive net exposure, a high-risk/reward call entry is forming.
* Play: Buy 345C or 350C expiring 06/28 or 07/05
* Trigger: Only if price holds $335+ and shows strength with volume bounce
* Target: $345 → $350 → potential pin near $359 (Gamma Wall)
* Stop: Close under $332 invalidates the bounce setup
🧠 Trading Setup – 1H Chart (Second Image)
From the second image, we analyze price action and structure to validate the GEX idea:
📉 Market Structure:
* Price is pulling back into a prior demand zone from $335–$338.
* Trendline support + Fair Value Gap zone + SMC CHoCH aligning at this base.
* Multiple bullish CHoCHs suggest potential reaccumulation if support holds.
🎯 Trading Plan Based on Price Action:
Bullish Case (Base Holds):
* Entry: $335–$338 zone (bounce off trendline and demand zone)
* Target: $345 (GEX level) → $348 → $350
* Stop-Loss: $331
High confluence with GEX option play. Use volume spike for confirmation.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
* Trigger: Loss of $331 + trendline break
* Target: $325 → $320 (strong PUT wall support)
* Put Options: 325P or 320P if breakdown triggers with momentum
⚠️ Summary:
TSLA is entering a decision zone — GEX shows bullish opportunity if $335 support holds, with upside targets toward $350–$359. But if price breaks under $330, expect a flush toward PUT support.
Patience is key — let price confirm the bounce or the break.
This setup is for educational purposes only. Trade with discipline and use stops. Always do your own research.
Tesla on the Edge – Key Support or Deeper Drop?📉 Tesla on the Edge – Key Support or Deeper Drop? 🔥🔍
Tesla is in freefall, dropping nearly 9% today. The stock has plummeted from its highs near $500, now testing the critical $220-$200 support zone.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Holding $220 could trigger a relief bounce towards $275+.
📌 A breakdown below $200 could open doors to $160-$180, or worse.
🔎 What’s Happening?
Tesla, along with X and SpaceX, is under intense scrutiny amid political pressure, regulatory battles, and even cyberattacks. This aligns with the broader market uncertainty, as Bitcoin struggles to reclaim $79,478.
👀 Elon Musk is in the spotlight, facing global resistance, from social media wars to business challenges. Could this spell opportunity or more downside for Tesla?
⚡️ Will TSLA rebound, or is it heading even lower? Let me know your thoughts below!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
#Tesla #TSLA #ElonMusk #StockMarket #Trading #TechStocks
Tesla's Self-Inflicted Crisis of ConfidenceInvestors wanted Elon Musk to double down on EVs. Instead, they got a new political party and another reason to sell the stock.
Musk vs Trump: A Fight Investors Didn’t Ask For
Tesla’s latest sell-off has little to do with earnings or electric vehicles. Shares dropped 6.8% on Monday after Elon Musk announced plans to launch a new US political party, escalating his feud with Donald Trump and reigniting investor concerns about distraction at the top.
The fallout from Musk’s political re-entry has been swift. Tesla’s valuation has lost over $200 billion since late May, when Musk’s role in Trump’s short-lived government efficiency task force came to an end. His renewed focus on political activism contradicts April’s pledge to spend “far more” time on Tesla, and comes at a moment when the business is already under pressure from slowing EV sales and collapsing regulatory tailwinds.
Politics, Profits and a Shrinking Mandate
Trump’s so-called “big, beautiful bill” is slashing support for electric vehicles across the board. Gone is the $7,500 federal tax credit, set to expire in September. Gone too are the emissions penalties that allowed Tesla to bank billions in regulatory credits from legacy automakers. William Blair analysts estimate that over $2 billion in high-margin profit is now at risk.
The political clash is getting personal. Trump has mocked Musk’s behaviour as a “train wreck”, suggested deportation, and floated nationalising SpaceX. Investors, meanwhile, are left questioning whether Musk’s growing list of battles is starting to erode Tesla’s long-term advantage. The distraction risk is real, and the market is responding.
Technical Breakdown: Key Levels in Play
Tesla’s share price has woefully underperformed this year. The stock is down 22% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 is up 6%. Recent price action highlights just how vulnerable Tesla has become to the political whims of its CEO. The public fallout with Trump helped define a new swing high in May, which now acts as clear resistance. A new swing low was formed in early June, and that is now the short-term level bulls need to defend.
Adding Keltner Channels to the chart puts the recent volatility into perspective. The sideways bands and price bouncing between them show a market stuck in broad equilibrium. There’s little directional conviction, but that may be changing. Monday’s sell-off pushed Tesla below the volume-weighted average price anchored to the April lows. If the shares remain below this VWAP and break under the June swing lows, it would confirm the attempted recovery has failed and signal that the bears are back in control.
For now, Tesla isn’t trading like a high-growth innovator. It’s trading like a politically charged meme stock with no clear trend and no adult supervision.
Tesla (TSLA) Daily Candle Chart
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TSLA · Potential Double-Top Breakdown Idea Toward $255 → $225Rounded / double-top: Two rounded peaks formed at ≈ $335-340 with a clean neckline at $295-297 (yellow arcs on my chart).
Break confirmed: Friday’s candle closed below the neckline on above-average volume, triggering the pattern.
Measured-move math: Height of the top (≈ $40) projected beneath the neckline points to $255 for a full 100 % target.
Volume-profile “void”: VPVR shows a sharp volume vacuum between $260 and $230; once below $260, price often “slides” quickly to the next demand shelf around $225-230 — my purple “1st-target” box.
TSLA Options GEX Outlook: Bearish Pressure with Limited Support The GEX (Gamma Exposure) chart signals heavy PUT-dominant sentiment:
* Highest Negative NetGEX / PUT Support is stacked tightly around 295, with major Put Walls between 290 and 275.
* GEX clusters:
* -98.4% at $285
* -74.9% at $280
* -46% at $270
* On the upside, CALL resistance begins around 310–320, with GEX cooling off at 330.
🔍 Interpretation:
* Market makers are likely to hedge against upward price moves, increasing resistance near 310–320.
* Downside movement toward 285–280 could accelerate gamma momentum, causing a potential drop toward 270.
📉 Options Setup Suggestion:
* If price rejects at $297–300, buying PUTS (1–2 DTE) with target at 285 could benefit from GEX tailwinds.
* Avoid CALLs unless price breaks above 310 with volume.
TSLA 1-Hour Chart Technicals: Compression & Reaction Zone at Key Structure
The 1H chart shows:
* A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) near 290–295, indicating an attempt to reverse short-term bearish trend.
* Price is consolidating within a small demand zone (green box) and trying to retest the 295–297 region.
* However, TSLA remains under a macro downtrend with the descending channel intact.
🎯 Key Zones:
* Resistance: $297 → $305 → $310
* Support: $288.77 (LTF BOS) → $285 → $280
* Volume shows weak bullish momentum so far, not strong enough to push through resistance decisively.
⚠️ Trade Setup Ideas:
* PUT Scenario: If price fails to reclaim 297, consider entering near 296–297 with stop above 300. Target: 288 → 285.
* CALL Scenario (Risky): Only consider Calls above close + hold over 300, aiming for 310 with tight stop below 297.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
* Bias: Bearish to Neutral until price shows strong reclaim above 300.
* GEX setup favors PUT plays, especially on weakness below 295.
* If shorting, watch for reaction at 285 — this is the last solid gamma level before an air pocket to 270.
* Stay nimble, use stops, and respect trendline pressure overhead.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.