TSLA trade ideas
Tesla Share Price at Key Technical LevelTesla’s share price has returned to a well-established upward trendline. The key question now is: will this trendline act as support and trigger a bounce, or will it be breached, attracting further selling pressure and pushing the price lower?
We’d love to hear your thoughts — will the bulls defend this level, or are the bears gaining ground?
$TSLA: Battleground stock. There’re better way to make money. In this bull market where almost all the stocks are working, NASDAQ:TSLA seems to be still in the penalty box. When NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:MSFT are at ATH and most of the Mag7 are near to the ATH. NASDAQ:TSLA is still 33% below its ATH of 484 $. And the price action is not particularly bullish. This week NASDAQ:AVGO crossed NASDAQ:TSLA with a larger Market Cap cos. May be NASDAQ:AVGO should replace NASDAQ:TSLA in MAG7. A food for thought.
With such poor price action and the price stuck within the 0.618 and 0.382 Fib retracement levels the stock has not looked bullish recently. IN this recent market reversal all the speculative sectors like Quantum, Space stocks and Drone stocks are working, NASDAQ:TSLA is still searching for direction. In my opinion NASDAQ:TSLA has a great future with a visionary leader, but it might end up being a good company but not a good stock. With controversy surrounding the leadership it has become a battle ground stock. There are many large cap liquid stocks where the positive momentum is working. Until the stock breaks out of this consolidating pattern it’s better to make money somewhere else.
Verdict: Stay on sidelines for NASDAQ:TSLA stock. Accumulate if you need to. Buy it above 400 $ once momentum is back.
TSLA at Critical Compression – Will 300 Break or Reject Again?🔍 Options Sentiment (GEX) Insight:
TSLA is currently sitting just below the $300 call wall — a key resistance level with 71.83% call gamma. This makes $300 a battleground where dealers are likely to defend against upward movement unless there's a significant catalyst or volume thrust. The highest positive call gamma is stacked at $320, making that the next magnet level if $300 is breached with strength.
Below, the $290 level is critical, hosting a major PUT wall and high-volume liquidity (HVL). A break below could trigger acceleration toward $285–$280, where the strongest negative NET GEX exists — signaling potential dealer hedging flows in favor of downside momentum.
Options Trade Ideas:
* Bullish Scenario (Breakout):
* Buy CALL if TSLA breaks and holds above $300, targeting the $310–$317.5 range.
* Ideal setup: Use 310c or 315c, 1–2 weeks out, looking for gamma squeeze.
* Bearish Scenario (Breakdown):
* Buy PUT if TSLA breaks and holds below $290, targeting $285 → $280.
* Ideal contracts: 280p or 285p, especially if IV remains low (IVR is at 21.3).
* Be cautious of chop inside the $290–$300 zone — it's gamma neutral.
📈 1-Hour Technical Structure:
TSLA is trading inside a descending wedge with a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) confirming near the lower boundary of the wedge. There is a visible bullish OB (order block) between $288–$290, which acted as support in the last two sessions.
* Trendline Resistance from recent highs still caps upward movement unless $300 is reclaimed decisively.
* A strong bullish breakout above $300 could flip the structure fully bullish and initiate trend continuation toward $320.
* Failure to hold $290 could invalidate the CHoCH and confirm a BOS (Break of Structure) back to the downside.
Intraday Trade Scenarios:
* Scalp Long:
* Entry: $297.50 (if holds and reclaims above $300)
* Target: $307 / $310
* Stop: $293.94 (below last swing)
* Scalp Short:
* Entry: Break below $288.77
* Target: $285 → $280
* Stop: $293.94
Final Thoughts:
TSLA is consolidating near a major decision zone. $300 remains the trigger level for a directional move, and option flows suggest an explosive resolution if either side breaks. Stay nimble, wait for confirmation, and trade with clear invalidation in mind.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
Tesla on the Edge – Key Support or Deeper Drop?📉 Tesla on the Edge – Key Support or Deeper Drop? 🔥🔍
Tesla is in freefall, dropping nearly 9% today. The stock has plummeted from its highs near $500, now testing the critical $220-$200 support zone.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Holding $220 could trigger a relief bounce towards $275+.
📌 A breakdown below $200 could open doors to $160-$180, or worse.
🔎 What’s Happening?
Tesla, along with X and SpaceX, is under intense scrutiny amid political pressure, regulatory battles, and even cyberattacks. This aligns with the broader market uncertainty, as Bitcoin struggles to reclaim $79,478.
👀 Elon Musk is in the spotlight, facing global resistance, from social media wars to business challenges. Could this spell opportunity or more downside for Tesla?
⚡️ Will TSLA rebound, or is it heading even lower? Let me know your thoughts below!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
#Tesla #TSLA #ElonMusk #StockMarket #Trading #TechStocks
Tesla's Self-Inflicted Crisis of ConfidenceInvestors wanted Elon Musk to double down on EVs. Instead, they got a new political party and another reason to sell the stock.
Musk vs Trump: A Fight Investors Didn’t Ask For
Tesla’s latest sell-off has little to do with earnings or electric vehicles. Shares dropped 6.8% on Monday after Elon Musk announced plans to launch a new US political party, escalating his feud with Donald Trump and reigniting investor concerns about distraction at the top.
The fallout from Musk’s political re-entry has been swift. Tesla’s valuation has lost over $200 billion since late May, when Musk’s role in Trump’s short-lived government efficiency task force came to an end. His renewed focus on political activism contradicts April’s pledge to spend “far more” time on Tesla, and comes at a moment when the business is already under pressure from slowing EV sales and collapsing regulatory tailwinds.
Politics, Profits and a Shrinking Mandate
Trump’s so-called “big, beautiful bill” is slashing support for electric vehicles across the board. Gone is the $7,500 federal tax credit, set to expire in September. Gone too are the emissions penalties that allowed Tesla to bank billions in regulatory credits from legacy automakers. William Blair analysts estimate that over $2 billion in high-margin profit is now at risk.
The political clash is getting personal. Trump has mocked Musk’s behaviour as a “train wreck”, suggested deportation, and floated nationalising SpaceX. Investors, meanwhile, are left questioning whether Musk’s growing list of battles is starting to erode Tesla’s long-term advantage. The distraction risk is real, and the market is responding.
Technical Breakdown: Key Levels in Play
Tesla’s share price has woefully underperformed this year. The stock is down 22% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 is up 6%. Recent price action highlights just how vulnerable Tesla has become to the political whims of its CEO. The public fallout with Trump helped define a new swing high in May, which now acts as clear resistance. A new swing low was formed in early June, and that is now the short-term level bulls need to defend.
Adding Keltner Channels to the chart puts the recent volatility into perspective. The sideways bands and price bouncing between them show a market stuck in broad equilibrium. There’s little directional conviction, but that may be changing. Monday’s sell-off pushed Tesla below the volume-weighted average price anchored to the April lows. If the shares remain below this VWAP and break under the June swing lows, it would confirm the attempted recovery has failed and signal that the bears are back in control.
For now, Tesla isn’t trading like a high-growth innovator. It’s trading like a politically charged meme stock with no clear trend and no adult supervision.
Tesla (TSLA) Daily Candle Chart
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Tesla (TSLA) Leads Declines in the Equity MarketTesla (TSLA) Leads Declines in the Equity Market
Yesterday, President Trump announced that letters had been sent to the United States’ trading partners regarding the imposition of new tariffs — for instance, a 25% tariff on goods from Japan and South Korea. This marks a return to “trade diplomacy” under the America First strategy. The tariffs are scheduled to take effect on 1 August, though the date remains subject to revision.
As we highlighted yesterday, bearish signals had begun to emerge in the US equity market. In response to the fresh wave of tariff-related headlines, the major indices moved lower. Leading the decline — and posting the worst performance among S&P 500 constituents — were shares of Tesla (TSLA). The sell-off followed news of a new initiative by Elon Musk, who now appears serious about launching a political “America Party” to challenge both the Republicans and Democrats.
Trump criticised his former ally’s move on his Truth Social platform, and investors are increasingly concerned about the potential impact on Tesla’s business. Tesla shares (TSLA) fell by more than 6.5% yesterday, accompanied by a broad bearish gap.
Technical Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Stock Chart
On 2 July, our technical outlook for TSLA anticipated the formation of a broad contracting triangle in the near term. Yesterday’s price action appears to confirm this scenario:
→ The sharp move highlighted the lower boundary of the triangle (marked in red);
→ The $317 level — where the previously rising channel (marked in blue) was broken — acted as resistance.
It is worth noting that during yesterday’s session, TSLA did not fall further following the gap down. In other words, the bears were unable to extend the sell-off, suggesting that the stock may attempt a recovery towards the $317 level. This area could potentially act as a central axis within the developing triangle pattern.
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Long TSLA with a quick stop if we break back below 290.I have followed NASDAQ:TSLA for a while now and this 290 level has been huge. We have tried to test it a couple of times and failed, and you can see how price was stuck in a range below that level for almost 4 months earlier this year. The one thing that worries me is that there are a lot of people on social media calling for a pop here because of the drop we just saw and a lot of people are watching that 290 level. I think the market might punish the majority and dump this but the R:R is too great to ignore a trade here.
I would stop out of this if price closes back below 290 (on the 1H or D timeframe depending on your risk). If we don't stop out I would target 300, 310, 325. Break/hold above 333/5 and I would press longs for 360, 400.
If price does break/hold below 290 I would be short to target 280, 275. 275 should be another big support level as you can see the other white box/range on the chart has a top there. A look below and fail of 275 would be another good long entry and that would be the level I would watch if they decide to punish the 290 crowd.
I will post again if we see 275 otherwise look for upside with a quick stop as detailed above.
TSLA · Potential Double-Top Breakdown Idea Toward $255 → $225Rounded / double-top: Two rounded peaks formed at ≈ $335-340 with a clean neckline at $295-297 (yellow arcs on my chart).
Break confirmed: Friday’s candle closed below the neckline on above-average volume, triggering the pattern.
Measured-move math: Height of the top (≈ $40) projected beneath the neckline points to $255 for a full 100 % target.
Volume-profile “void”: VPVR shows a sharp volume vacuum between $260 and $230; once below $260, price often “slides” quickly to the next demand shelf around $225-230 — my purple “1st-target” box.
TESLA Reached The Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
TESLA gaped down on
Monday but the move was
Held up by a massive support
Area ending around 272$ and
As the support is strong we
Will be expecting a rebound and
A move up from the level
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TSLA: Triangle PatternResearching the market through structural lens, particularly the topology of trapped liquidity buildup and compression of volatility, that leads to a proportionally heavier move once a breakout occurs.
Raw compression area derived from waves of higher degrees (2nd, 3rd)
The longer price consolidates within boundaries of a triangular formation, the more significant the breakout tends to be.
TSLA Options GEX Outlook: Bearish Pressure with Limited Support The GEX (Gamma Exposure) chart signals heavy PUT-dominant sentiment:
* Highest Negative NetGEX / PUT Support is stacked tightly around 295, with major Put Walls between 290 and 275.
* GEX clusters:
* -98.4% at $285
* -74.9% at $280
* -46% at $270
* On the upside, CALL resistance begins around 310–320, with GEX cooling off at 330.
🔍 Interpretation:
* Market makers are likely to hedge against upward price moves, increasing resistance near 310–320.
* Downside movement toward 285–280 could accelerate gamma momentum, causing a potential drop toward 270.
📉 Options Setup Suggestion:
* If price rejects at $297–300, buying PUTS (1–2 DTE) with target at 285 could benefit from GEX tailwinds.
* Avoid CALLs unless price breaks above 310 with volume.
TSLA 1-Hour Chart Technicals: Compression & Reaction Zone at Key Structure
The 1H chart shows:
* A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) near 290–295, indicating an attempt to reverse short-term bearish trend.
* Price is consolidating within a small demand zone (green box) and trying to retest the 295–297 region.
* However, TSLA remains under a macro downtrend with the descending channel intact.
🎯 Key Zones:
* Resistance: $297 → $305 → $310
* Support: $288.77 (LTF BOS) → $285 → $280
* Volume shows weak bullish momentum so far, not strong enough to push through resistance decisively.
⚠️ Trade Setup Ideas:
* PUT Scenario: If price fails to reclaim 297, consider entering near 296–297 with stop above 300. Target: 288 → 285.
* CALL Scenario (Risky): Only consider Calls above close + hold over 300, aiming for 310 with tight stop below 297.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
* Bias: Bearish to Neutral until price shows strong reclaim above 300.
* GEX setup favors PUT plays, especially on weakness below 295.
* If shorting, watch for reaction at 285 — this is the last solid gamma level before an air pocket to 270.
* Stay nimble, use stops, and respect trendline pressure overhead.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
TSLA consolidation before expansionTesla despite being effected once again by fud is ready to pop. Average volume is up, a bear flag has played out, and oscillators reset. This 55 EMA on the weekly is a nice DCA zone. A bounce here or around 270 is likely. I think we see another try at 350 in coming weeks.
My plan:
Averaging down on TSLL, in CSP, already captured a few rounds of covered calls
TESLA 4HS Tesla broke below the triangle formation, signaling a bearish continuation.
Trend: Bearish breakdown from consolidation triangle.
Key Support (SUP): $300 (now resistance on retest).
Next Demand Zone: Strong block between $284–285.
Accumulation Zone: $250–220, identified for potential long-term institutional accumulation.
Resistance (RES): $300–350 remains a significant supply zone.
Projection Channel: Downward channel in play; price action respects descending pressure.