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WMT trade ideas

WALMART testing its 1D MA50! Will it bounce?Walmart (WMT) hit yesterday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 21. It appears that the rebound from the Trade War Low has turned sideways on a Double Top formation and the 1D MA50 is the first Support to be tested, with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) following. This pattern resembles the August - September 2022 Bull Flag, which despite breaking below its 1D MA50, it resumed the uptrend shortly after and hit the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next 1D MA50 pull-back. As a result, we expect the stock to reach $110.00 (Fib 1.382) by the end of the Summer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:WMT
by TradingShot
Walmart (WMT): Building Momentum, Targets in SightLong-Term Trend Break : Walmart (WMT) was in a strong, sustained uptrend until early 2025, indicated by the thick green channel, but then experienced a significant correction in March that broke this primary ascending channel. Established Support Zones : Following the March decline, WMT has established a "Good support" area near 91 to 93, with "Immediate Support" now identified at 96, indicating buying interest at these levels. Current Price Action & Recovery Attempt : The stock is currently trading around 97.70, showing a bounce from its recent lows, suggesting an attempt to regain upward momentum after forming a potential bottom. Defined Upside Targets : Two sequential bullish targets: a "1st Target" at 100, and a "2nd Target" at 104, which coincides with the previous resistance area and potentially the upper boundary of the long-term channel. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
NYSE:WMTLong
by ManiMarkets
Shorting Walmart at $90 Strike: Viking Technical Raid Wielding the axe of strict technical analysis and guided by the ravens of market intuition, I’m see short potential for Walmart (WMT) targeting a $90 strike price within 1-2 weeks (by June 20-27, 2025) . Key runes of the charts foretell a storm of downside momentum . Recent price sagas reveal faltering bullish spirits, with a double top signaling weakness in the enemy’s ranks. My Viking strategy strikes with precision to shield against counterattacks. Join my Trading Den for updates on this bold raid and more technical conquests! Skål! Not financial advice; trade at your own risk.
NYSE:WMT
by Odinstradingden
Three U.S. Retail Kings, Three Tariff StrategiesIn an environment of trade tensions and tariffs threatening to raise costs, America’s retail giants have taken very different paths to protect their profitability. Below, we analyze how Home Depot, Costco, and Walmart have managed the latest tariffs and how this shows up in their net profits for the two most recent fiscal years. 1. Home Depot: Absorbing the Cost and Diversifying Supply o Net profit 2023: USD 17,105 M o Net profit 2024: USD 14,806 M (–13.5 %) In an unusual move for the sector, Home Depot refused to pass Trump’s tariff costs onto consumers, declaring “no way” they would raise prices. Instead, they bolstered their network of professional contractors and acquired SRS Distribution, allowing them to handle large volumes at lower cost and more competitive prices. Their geographic diversification now means no country outside the U.S. accounts for more than 10 % of their sourcing. o Q1 FY25 sales: USD 39,860 M (↑ 9 % YoY) o Q1 FY25 net profit: USD 3,400 M (–5.6 % YoY) o Q2 FY25 guide: sales growth +2.8 %, maintaining solid EBITDA without price hikes. o Current share price (20/05/25): USD 377.05 (YTD +2.45 %) o 12-month forecast range: USD 360–475; consensus target: USD 427.50. 2. Costco: Memberships as an Inflation Shield o Net profit 2023: USD 6,292 M o Net profit 2024: USD 7,367 M (+17.1 %) Rather than splashy headlines, Costco sticks to its tried-and-true formula: razor-thin margins and membership fees. By keeping margins tight on high-turnover goods and offsetting with subscription revenue, the company has boosted its member base and renewals, and optimized its internal supply chain to minimize external cost impacts. o Q1 FY25 sales: USD 60,990 M (↑ 7.5 % YoY) o Q1 FY25 net profit: USD 1,798 M (↑ 13.1 % YoY) o Q2 FY25 (12 weeks): sales USD 62,530 M (↑ 9.1 % YoY); net profit USD 1,788 M o Current share price (20/05/25): USD 1,036.82 (YTD +13.43 %) o 12-month forecast range: USD 907–1,205; consensus target: USD 1,082.14. 3. Walmart: Selective Price Tweaks and Omnichannel Push o Net profit 2023: USD 13,670 M o Net profit 2024: USD 15,500 M (+13.4 %) Unlike Home Depot, Walmart has been more willing to adjust prices on tariff-hit categories, drawing some White House criticism. Still, they closed Q1 FY25 with sales of USD 165,600 M (↑ 2.5 % YoY) and net profit of USD 4,480 M (–12.1 % YoY). For Q2, they anticipate sales growth of 3.5–4.5 % versus USD 167,800 M a year ago, thanks to their e-commerce and subscription services push. Their omnichannel strategy doubles down on platform investment, “click & collect,” and expanding digital delivery and subscription offerings. o Current share price (20/05/25): USD 97.80 (YTD +8.81 %) o 12-month forecast range: USD 91–120; consensus target: USD 109.33. Conclusion Peering out the windows of their vast megastores, Home Depot, Costco, and Walmart face the same tariff storm with very different navigational charts. Home Depot chose to resist price increases, absorbing extra costs and reengineering its supply chain to limit any single foreign supplier to under 10 %—a temporary margin sacrifice for long-term stability. At the other extreme, Costco has built an impenetrable dam with its membership model and razor-thin margins, where member loyalty and a fine-tuned internal logistics engine act as a natural shield against inflation and tariffs. And in between, Walmart sharpens its selective pricing knife on tariff-hit goods while flexing full omnichannel muscle—from “click & collect” to beefing up digital subscription and delivery services. Three distinct survival stories, yet one shared endpoint: weathering the tariff tempest without losing the rhythm of their financial performance. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NYSE:WMTLong
by ActivTrades
Analysing the Spike in Volatility on the Walmart (WMT) ChartAnalysing the Spike in Volatility on the Walmart (WMT) Share Price Chart On Thursday, the US retail giant reported its quarterly results — which turned out to be broadly better than expected. While total revenue was roughly in line with analysts’ forecasts, earnings per share came in higher at $0.61 versus the expected $0.57. At the same time, Walmart CEO Doug McMillon stated on Thursday: "We will do everything we can to keep our prices as low as possible. But given the scale of the tariffs, even at reduced levels, we won't be able to absorb all the pressure, considering the reality of tight retail margins." This statement may have raised concerns among market participants about the company’s future earnings, contributing to Friday’s drop in the share price to $92. It also drew the attention of the US President. On Saturday, Donald Trump said that Walmart (WMT) should “swallow the tariffs” instead of blaming them and raising prices. In response, Walmart reiterated that it will keep prices as low as possible for as long as it can — which has always been the company’s approach. Technical Analysis of the WMT Stock Price Chart Looking at the broader market context, we can see that price fluctuations formed a narrowing triangle in late April — a sign that buyers and sellers had reached some agreement around a fair value of approximately $95.50. In early May, sentiment shifted in favour of the bulls, with this level acting as support (marked by an arrow). The earnings release triggered a spike in volatility — the ATR indicator is now at a one-month high. The Walmart stock price extremes seen at the end of last week suggest two key levels, roughly equidistant from the $95.50 axis: → resistance around $99 (reinforced by the psychological level of $100); → support around $92. Given the above, it is reasonable to suggest that once the market has digested the news, price movements may calm down again. In that case, we may well see another narrowing triangle form on the WMT chart — slightly above the previous one. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:WMT
by FXOpen
April 2025 Market Crash: Causes, Impact, and Strategic ResponseApril 2025 will go down in financial history as one of the most turbulent months of the past decade. A large-scale market crash, triggered by geopolitical escalation and intensified trade tensions, revealed just how fragile the global investment landscape remains—even after a relatively stable start to the year. What Happened? On April 6, 2025, the U.S. administration announced sweeping tariffs of up to 145% on all Chinese imports. This decision, though preceded by months of political strain, took the markets by surprise. Panic-selling ensued almost immediately. The Dow Jones plummeted over 4,000 points within two days—the steepest decline since the COVID-era crash of 2020. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq followed suit, dropping 6–9% in a matter of hours. Asian and European indices mirrored the collapse: Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell by 7.8%, and Germany’s DAX dropped by 5.4%. The synchronized reaction emphasized the ongoing interdependence of global markets, even in an era of growing protectionism. Why It Matters For GeldVision clients and institutional investors worldwide, such events highlight the importance of risk-managed portfolio strategies. The April crash wasn’t solely a reaction to tariffs—it was also driven by fears of a potential recession and uncertainty surrounding central bank policies. Another destabilizing factor was the automatic response of algorithmic trading systems, which exited positions en masse as technical indicators were breached—amplifying volatility and accelerating the selloff. How GeldVision Responded Since early 2025, we at GeldVision have implemented a strategy of “adaptive conservatism,” gradually reducing equity exposure in client portfolios and reinforcing positions in defensive assets such as gold, investment-grade bonds, and liquid currency instruments. During the height of the market turmoil, our team activated internal stress protocols, including temporary order freezes on automated buy-ins and direct client communications for real-time portfolio reviews. This proactive approach allowed us to minimize losses and maintain client confidence. What’s Next? We expect volatility to persist at least through Q3. For investors, the key is to avoid reactive decisions and maintain a long-term perspective. GeldVision will continue to expand its macroeconomic monitoring, enhance risk models, and provide clients with the tools needed to navigate uncertain markets safely.
NYSE:WMTEducation
by HCN-News12
Quantum's Walmart (WMT) Trading Guide 4/28/25WMT’s weekly outlook balances its defensive resilience against macroeconomic headwinds, with a comprehensive synthesis of technical, market, and strategic factors guiding its trajectory for weekly options contracts. The FAME framework underscores WMT’s long-term bullish potential, driven by robust fundamentals (+5% revenue, $0.58 EPS, 21% e-commerce growth) and adaptability (AI, Walmart+), positioning it as a resilient player in a risk-off regime. However, elevated yields (10-year 4.255%, 20-year 4.738%, 30-year 4.721%) and a stable DXY at 99.58 amplify tariff pressures and margin concerns, capping upside and reinforcing a cautious stance. A tactical long bias is favored for weekly contracts, targeting a bounce from $94.36 to $96.47–$98.50, with a short stance viable below $88.50 if support fails. Technical implications highlight bullish momentum on daily (RSI ~40, Stochastic ~28) and weekly (RSI ~44, Stochastic ~32) timeframes, with oversold conditions signaling a rebound potential for weekly contracts if $94.36 holds. Monthly neutral momentum (RSI ~50) suggests consolidation, requiring a breakout above $96.47 to confirm bullish strength. This supports a short-term bounce but advises monitoring for sustained moves. Market influence implications reflect a risk-off environment, with high yields and a stable DXY increasing import costs, particularly amid tariff uncertainty from WMT’s upcoming Trump meeting. The VIX at 24.84 amplifies volatility, favoring WMT’s defensive appeal but heightening risks. WMT’s Q3 FY25 strength and e-commerce growth provide stability, supporting resilience near $94.36. OFD summary and implications reveal bearish pressure from Vanna (-$0.04), Charm (-$0.02), and DEX (-$0.06), driven by put-heavy flow and hedging demand tied to tariff fears. However, GEX (+$0.08) at the $95 strike pins price, stabilizing volatility and supporting a neutral-to-bullish bounce for weekly contracts if $94.36 holds, aligning with oversold technicals. Edge insights bolster the case for a bounce, with institutional buying at $94–$95 signaling accumulation, defensive retail sector strength outperforming cyclicals, and low short interest (1.4%) offering squeeze potential above $96.47. These factors enhance confidence in a tactical long bias for weekly contracts, provided support holds. Strategic outlook implications emphasize consolidation near $95.09, with $94.36 as a critical pivot. A break below risks $88.50, driven by tariff fears and bearish options flow, while a move above $96.47 targets $98.50, fueled by oversold signals and institutional support. The VIX at 24.84 and put-heavy options flow underscore volatility, but WMT’s defensive positioning mitigates downside, favoring a bounce in a risk-off regime. In summary, WMT’s weekly outlook hinges on defending $94.36, with oversold technicals, GEX pinning, and institutional buying supporting a bounce to $96.47–$98.50 for weekly contracts. Tariff risks, high yields, and DXY stability maintain a risk-off backdrop, capping upside and requiring vigilance for a break below support, which could shift bias to bearish. This balanced approach leverages WMT’s defensive strengths while navigating weekly volatility, aligning with Buffett’s preference for resilient businesses with tactical opportunities.
NYSE:WMT
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
WALMART 1W MA50 rebound makes a solid long-term investment.Walmart (WMT) ended its 2 month correction with an emphatic rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This is the first time it touches the 1W MA50 since December 11 2023 but it's not uncommon at all within its 10-year Channel Up. Every time the stock hi its 1W MA50 while the 1W RSI was this low, it was the most common long-term buy opportunity. Better than that was only the one time it hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) during the 2022 Inflation Crisis. As a result, we expect at least a 2.0 Fibonacci extension rebound similar to the May 2018 Low, and our long-term Target is now $135.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:WMTLong
by TradingShot
Walmart (WMT) shares reach highest level since early MarchWalmart (WMT) shares reach highest level since early March As shown on the chart of Walmart (WMT) shares, trading closed yesterday above the $94 mark – a level not seen since the beginning of March. This means that since the start of 2025, Walmart’s share price has risen by approximately 5.5%. This positive trend stands in stark contrast to the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), which has declined by more than 8% over the same period. Why are Walmart (WMT) shares outperforming the index? Apparently, from the market’s point of view, this is due to the fact that Walmart’s supermarkets are a source of essential goods for Americans, giving the company an advantage in a scenario where the US economy may slide into recession. According to Mizuho Bank analyst David Bellinger, Walmart is a sensible choice for investors trying to stay afloat in a volatile market. He forecasts that WMT’s share price could rise to $105 – around 15% higher than its current level. Bellinger notes that Walmart continues to attract price-conscious shoppers and has made significant progress in e-commerce, helping the company remain resilient even amid the prospect of economic slowdown. Technical analysis of Walmart (WMT) shares The chart shows that the share price is moving within a long-term upward trend. The black dashed line, which had acted as support for many months, has been broken: - This suggests that the line may now act as a median. - Allowed us to widen the channel and find its lower boundary, which is expected to offer support. Indeed, the lower boundary of the expanded channel provided support in the first half of April, with particular attention drawn to the large bullish candlestick on 9 April (marked with an arrow). According to the NYSE, over 46 million shares were traded on that day – more than twice the average volume. This highlights the strength of demand. It is possible that WMT shares may continue to outperform the index going forward, forming fluctuations while: - receiving support from the psychological $90 level (previously a resistance point); - gradually approaching the median of the aforementioned channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:WMT
by FXOpen
1
Walmart Holds Strong and Ends the Week Up More Than 15%Shares of retail giant Walmart have risen more than 15% over the past five trading sessions, despite growing tensions over reciprocal tariffs between China and the United States. The bullish bias has remained intact, primarily because the company stated this week that it is prepared for scenarios with tariffs of up to 125% on Chinese imports and is currently negotiating with suppliers to secure better pricing in the coming weeks. This has helped preserve investor confidence and positioned Walmart as one of the few stocks that has withstood the volatility of the renewed trade war. Building Bullish Momentum This week’s price action showed a sustained upward bias, suggesting the beginning of a new short-term bullish trend. However, Walmart's stock still faces resistance from a key Fibonacci retracement level, which it must overcome to confirm a strong buying momentum and possibly maintain a bullish trend in the coming weeks. MACD Indicator The MACD currently favors the bulls, as the histogram has expanded significantly, reinforcing the upward momentum above the zero line in the short term. As long as no divergence emerges between price action and the MACD, there’s little room for meaningful selling corrections in the immediate sessions. ADX Indicator The ADX line is beginning to show some indecision, as it gradually descends toward the neutral 20 level, just as the price approaches key resistance zones. If this downward trend continues, the market could shift into a more neutral phase. However, for now, the indicator still supports the idea that the recent upward moves reflect a solid directional bias. Key Levels to Watch: $95: Likely the most important nearby resistance, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. A decisive move above this area could open the door to a stronger bullish phase. $104: A long-term resistance, representing the recent highs reached in the past few months. A return to this level could revive the broader bullish trend that had been dominant in the past months. $85: A key support level, aligned with the 200-period moving average. If price retraces back to this level, it could reactivate the bearish bias seen in previous weeks. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
NYSE:WMT
by FOREXcom
Walmart Withdraws Earnings Guidance Amid Tariff UncertaintyWalmart (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) has withdrawn its operating profit forecast for the current quarter. The company cited tariff-related uncertainties as the reason. Rising import duties from countries like China and Vietnam have impacted cost structures. Walmart aims to keep pricing flexible to protect margins. Despite the near-term challenges, Walmart reaffirmed its full-year guidance. The retailer expects net sales to grow between 3% and 4%. It also sees adjusted operating profit growth between 3.5% and 5.5% for the year. Walmart highlighted additional concerns, including insurance-related costs and shifts in consumer behavior. Shoppers are spending more on low-margin essentials due to inflation. This change in product mix has also pressured the company’s margins. CEO Doug McMillon said Walmart will continue focusing on pricing discipline, inventory efficiency, and expense control. He admitted that the current environment remains unpredictable. However, the company will stick to its long-term strategy. Technical Analysis Walmart’s stock is currently trading at $90.46, up 10.53%, with a high of $90.80. The price has bounced from a strong support zone near $82, forming a bullish momentum candle. NYSE:WMT is now testing a resistance area at $89, previously a demand zone. A successful break and retest could lead to a rally toward the $105.30 previous high. However, rejection at this level could see the price fall back to the $82 support. But with the recent bullish momentum, a breakout at $89 is possible.
NYSE:WMTLong
by DEXWireNews
WMT Approaching Key Resistance! Will It Break Above $90?🧠 Price Action & Market Structure: WMT has made a powerful push off the $84 demand zone after forming a CHoCH reversal and strong impulsive candles. The 1-hour chart shows a clean breakout from the falling wedge structure, confirming bullish intent. Price is consolidating inside a smaller green SMC supply zone just under $89. Watch closely for either a clean break above $89.11 or rejection from this level. 🔍 Key Support and Resistance: * Immediate Resistance: $89.11 (local high) * Next Resistance: $90.00 psychological + Gamma wall * Support 1: $87.00 * Major Demand Zone: $84.00–$85.00 📈 Indicator Insights: * MACD is neutral after prior bullish momentum. * Stoch RSI shows slight cooling, nearing midrange after previously being overbought. * EMAs are stacked bullishly with 9 EMA above 21 EMA – trend remains intact. 📊 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown: * Highest Positive GEX: $90.00 — CALL Resistance / Gamma Wall * Highest Negative GEX: $91.00 — PUT Wall * Options Flow Sentiment: * IVR: 58 * IVx avg: 29.5 * GEX: 🟢🟢🟢 (very bullish) * Put/Call $ Flow: Only 0.2% in PUTs — very bullish 📌 Trade Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: * Entry above $89.20 * Target: $90.50 → $93 * Stop Loss: Below $88.25 Rejection Play (Fade Gamma Wall): * Short from $89.00–$90.00 if candles weaken * Target: $87 * Stop Loss: Above $90.50 🔮 Outlook:
WMT is showing strength and positive sentiment in the options chain. As long as $87 holds, the bias remains bullish. Break and close above $90 could lead to gamma squeezing toward $92–$93. ⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NYSE:WMT
by BullBearInsights