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XLE trade ideas

Opened (IRA): XLE August 16th 85 Monied Covered Call... for an 83.77 debit. Comments: Some of the only red on my ETF board ... . Here, selling the -75 delta call against a one lot to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. There is also a divvy to be had some time in June, with the last distribution being .73. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 83.77 Max Profit: 1.23 ($123) ROC at Max: 1.47% 50% Max: .62 ($62) ROC at 50% Max: .74%
AMEX:XLELong
by NaughtyPines
Energy - which way are we headed?Energy does not look good right now. XLE+XOP has an inverse correlation to the gold/oil ratio. The two only move into neutral and positive correlations for brief periods before one of them changes direction. Additionally, when the gold/oil ratio crosses 30 we’ve seen energy prices begin to fall to more extreme lows. The technicals above indicate gold is continuing higher . If we’re patient, this should lead to a very strong buying opportunity in energy. Oil recently tested and rejected the 200SMA. This makes it more likely that we see another test of the green AVWAP tied to the covid low than a retest of the red one from the March 2022 high.
AMEX:XLELong
by Ben_1148x2
May Market Outlook, Sectors Rotation, Relative Strength AnalysisSince February, the commodities asset class has surged ahead, overshadowing the S&P 500's faltering performance. This notable shift in market dynamics underscores the resilience and strength exhibited by commodities during this period. Of particular interest are the XLE and XLU sectors, which have emerged as frontrunners since early March. This transition coincided with the decline in momentum of previously dominant sectors like XLK and SMH (refer to Fig. 2). Notably, XLE and XLU, characterized as growth defensive sectors, have thrived amidst market downturns. Investing in commodities and energy/utility sectors during these phases could have yielded significant profits, with select energy stocks boasting returns exceeding 25%, while the S&P 500 experienced an approximate 10% decline. Looking ahead to May, it's anticipated that XLE and XLU will maintain their market leadership, albeit with a slight loss in momentum. However, investors are advised to remain vigilant as these sectors may soon witness a change in dynamics. It's crucial to employ stop limit orders to safeguard profits in such volatile conditions. Following the current trajectory, XLY, XLRE, and XLF are poised to emerge as significant players in the market cycle (refer to Fig. 3&4). However, it's important to note that these sectors are susceptible to rapid momentum shifts, particularly when XLK and XLC regain momentum. Looking towards June, indications suggest that XLK and XLC will likely regain prominence in the market. For buy-and-hold investors, this presents an opportune moment to consider purchasing assets during market dips. Considering these market dynamics, my top investment picks are (TSLA), (GOOG), (AAPL), (ORCL), and Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO). These companies demonstrate strong growth potential, especially when timed strategically to align with sector rotation leadership shifts.
AMEX:XLELong
by MESHANL
Opened (IRA): XLE April 19th 88 Covered Call... for a 85.43 debit. Comments: Looking to attempt to grab the March dividend, which has been averaging around .80 over the past four distributions. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even/Cost Basis in Shares: 85.43 Max Profit: 2.57 ($257) ROC at Max (ex. dividend): 3.01% ROC at Max (w/dividend): 3.94% (assuming an .80 distribution) ROC at 50% Max (ex. dividend): 1.50% ROC at 50% Max (w/dividend): 2.44% (assuming an .80 distribution)
AMEX:XLELong
by NaughtyPines