XLE trade ideas
$72.00level holding. (XLE) entering the buy zone.The pivot level at $72 is being tested and holding, for now.
I feel the line of least resistance is higher. I am looking for $84 eventually.
I will be looking to buy dips b/w 72-65.
A move under 65 and I would rethink my position.
No position at the moment.
Energy stocks might be overvalues against oil pricesThe break of the pennant within the possible head and shoulders complex could be the deciding factor. In terms of risk/rewad I prefer to short energy stocks against oil. But the way the chart is forming on a daily metric leads me to believe the trend of stronger energy stocks against oil prices will continue in the long term.
Corrective pullback in US Energy sector in the coming monthsWe have been bullish US Energy since early 2016, but price action in the past months is beginning to give us some cause for concern.
With the 50% retracement of the 2014-2016 fall now reached, but not decisively broken, and stochastics very overstretched, we believe a corrective pullback is now developing.
Additonally, the Energy sector is also showing signs of weakness relative to the SPX, suggesting Hedge Funds and other 'big players' could be moving assets into more promising sectors.
However, whilst we believe a correction is due, the longer-term charts continue to improve, and we view this pullback as a multi-month buy-into-dips strategy, as prices are expected to trade higher into 2017Q2+.