XLE trade ideas
Approaching daily sell zone63-64$ is a potential sell zone that includes Fibonacci level (61.8), minor structure and the 200 days MA.
Previous candle closed a bearish engulfing or as Outside Bar pattern.
A close below 62$ will probably trigger selling towards 60$ and 58$ (final target zone)
Tomer, The MarketZone
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XLE Energy SectorWhile its not a done deal, I would be lightening up in the energy sector. I Bearish Bat formation could be forming. Typically they go to 0.886 retracement. We are not there yet, but getting close. Volume is dropping off some. RSI is making a lower high. Look to get back in around $59. I wouldnt try to short this but I wouldn't be going long either. Neutral.
Two trading scenarios to monitor during FOMC week $XLE reached the final target zone of the last bullish setup I published for it.
AB=CD pattern was complete and now the price is testing a daily downtrend line.
As we will open FOMC week, the first thing to monitor is where the price is related to 63$ (current resistance structure zone).
If it'll be below it, we may see a short term pullback towards 60$ and potentially even to 58$.
If it'll close above the trend line, we may see it continue towards the 66$, there it'll meet the 200 days MA.
The two potential scenarios are shown in the chart.
I'd much rather see $XLE declines to levels that will allow me to buy it before the price's next bullish wave.
Tomer, The MarketZone
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$XLE - Energy sector looking for a jump?Perfect triangle formation in the making of $XLE
Breaking strong resistance today. Would be perfect if it closes above resistance.
If it does not jump tomorrow I'm going to look for lower entries.
Entry: 58.50
Target: 63.00
S/L: 53.80 (Gradually bringing it up as the trade goes)
If it goes under entry, will try to get some more shares at 56.00
Continues to climb towards 60$. This is what you have to watch$XLE continues to climb towards 60$
I was covering $XLE throughout the last month and mentioned the AB=CD pattern completion near 60$ that the price was aiming for.
Now, $XLE is struggling with the Fast SMA line that stands in its way and keeping it from reaching 58$ and 60$.
My focus now shifts to 59.5$ and 60$ as potential sell zones for a pullback move.
I'm still bullish Oil, but 60$ can lead to a 5-10% correction in the Energy sector with the two bearish harmonics combination.
Tomer, The MarketZone
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XLE -- MARCH 18TH 43/47/60/64 IRON CONDORWith an implied volatility rank of 83 and an implied volatility of 46, XLE represents a good, non earnings premium selling play here.
March 18th XLE 43/47/60/64 Iron Condor
Probability of Profit: 66%
Max Profit: $94/contract
Buying Power Effect: $306/contract
Potential Aggressive C buy - Harmonics setup towards FOMCThe Head and Shoulders pattern I mentioned on my latest analysis for XLE has reached its final target level and now we have an option for an Aggressive Bullish C entry in a bearish Bat pattern (yellow).
This setup basically means that you buy the C point in what could turn out to be a bearish Bat pattern, aiming towards the D point (near 80$) as longer term setup. The 65-68$ zone must be considered also as target zone as the price should meet the downtrend line there if indeed it'll rally from the 60$ support zone.
Stop loss should be with some safety distance below the A point. In the chart I'm showing an example of 3.5% Risk with potential 10% reward (almost 3 R/R ratio).
Despite the potential bullish setup, we don't know that the price indeed intend to rally towards the D point so there's definitely a good chance that $XLE will continue lower and break below 58$ so you have to consider this risk.
Tomer, The MarketZone
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