XLF trade ideas
GoNoGo Charts sees Financials playing catch upThe financials sector looks as though its finally started to catch up with the overall stock market. This is a daily GoNoGo chart of XLF.
You can see that it has had a much longer, more drawn out recovery than most of the S&P sectors and has still yet to make up more than about half the fall.
Compare that to the tech sector which is right back, close to the highs of February.
The GoNoGo chart reflects this, with the GoNoGo Trend indicator flagging a “Go” most recently on May 26th.
The GoNoGo Oscillator is also now strongly positive and has been for several bars.
New Relative Lows For Fins & Utes vs $SPY - What's Next?Hearing much buzz about the fresh relative lows for Utilities and Financials vs the S&P 500 $SPY this week... these relative trends typically don't move together so at some point one is likely to give...
Considering the underlying downtrend in Financials vs Utes, my bets on Fins underperforming and $XLF breaking to new lows vs $XLU... This is likely to happen in an environment where stocks in general are not doing too well.
Check out the chart of Broker-Dealers & Exchanges $IAI trapped beneath long-term resistance in the "related ideas" below - This also does not bode well for Financials as even their strongest subsector is currently trading below significant overhead supply.
Look out below. Financial sector is sending huge warningThe financial sector is sending a huge warning to all skilled technical traders. You think this big rally in the NQ, ES, YM and other is really the bottom of the market?
The stock market is based on perceived forward earnings, guidance and performance of individual stocks/companies. The COVID-19 virus event has blown a huge hole in the bottom of our boat. 40+ million US working out of jobs. Income levels dropping. Stocks rallying? WTH?
The reality is that risks are quite high that a broader economic collapse will take place over the next 6+ months as the real collateral damage comes into view.
TRAN and XLF are showing that the markets are not stable. HUGE risks continue just below the surface.
You have been warned.
Weekly bear flag playing out on banksboth tech stocks and spx are going sideways but xlf is in a strong downtrend. I am personally long faz, the banks have the most downside fundamentally. They loaned money at cheap interest rates below inflation to a bunch of over leveraged broke Americans. We will have to wait to see just how bad default rates get with highest unemployment ever. I expect the default rates to break records. These guys are gonna need another bailout.
