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Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index

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BTC Macro OutlookI still believe us to be in a macro wave 4. Sadly this wave 4 has been massive and nearly a year long so far. The wave one's 1.618 extension and the current wave three's 0.236 retrace happen to overlap. This should and will be strong area of support. If this holds then we are either experiencing an A-B-Truncated C for the wave 4 retrace or some sort of ABCDE that is yet to end playing out. Alternatively, we could fall to the 0.382 retrace at around 22k. This would be a more standard ABC correction. I don't believe we have had a wave 5 top yet for a few reasons. Firstly, the waves to the current ATH were an ABC up. The A and C legs are roughly 1:1 extensions. Following the first point, there is no discernable 5 wave structure. Also, there has been no 'blow off top'. Finally, there was no fibonacci area of resistance. It simply stopped in between the 1.618 - 2.618 extensions of the first wave. I'd also like to make clear I have done no time analysis. The lines are complete conjecture as to where they land in time frame.
BITMEX:XBT
by thekevin
Bitcoin's historical trend is comparedThe xbt is a bitcoin futures contract launched by the bitmex, and I chose him as the analysis target because his data was adopted by the cme. In this market with hundreds of exchanges, the price of the bitcoin is defined differently, and we have to find a relatively stable reference, so I chose the xbt as the analysis target. xbt biggest problem is his short timethere is limited history we can refer to. But in the past four years, lithium, bitcoin trend, can still find some valuable reference. Compared to the current position, we see that this is a big level decline, and in history, there are three same trends, from June-December 2018, June-December 2019, April-July 2021, and now, from November 2021 to now. Among the four trends, the first three times are six months, six months and three months respectively, which is very conspicuous. If the first two times are defined as a major level adjustment, then April last year is the secondary level adjustment.And now is it three months old, or six months old? In theory, after falling below ma144, the market should rebound and confirm, then decide direction.Now look, the first two have appeared a significant rebound, however, once again down the trend.But the third time did not appear, and this time, there was a rebound in ma144 in December. If we believe in the rules, then the situation looks more like the one of the previous two than the one of April last April. The first two final adjustments were 12 months and 9 months respectively, meaning that they took the abc triple-wave structure respectively, and the final adjustment goal was to step back to confirm the ma144-week line support.So now it may be at the end of the first wave of decline, but even into the bottom stage, it doesn't mean that buy now can profit, maybe there will be a bigger drop here, may shock for a period of time.So the best strategy to avoid risk is to wait for the right signal to buy, rather than predict price lows, and wait for a rise after buying. Tip, the above analysis, only with the chart as a reference, does not involve the fundamentals.
BITMEX:XBT
by peter-l
Same Story 2 different explanation!It does not matter if you look at it as a head and shoulder or a quadratic regression (function)! The most important thing is that it is moving toward 30K once again..! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BITMEX:XBTShort
by Moshkelgosha
7
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis 3/3 #BTCUSDSHORTS are pushing up been at 37.38% from previous Resistance Conclusion: What Bitcoiners want is to see DXY Drop below actual support level at 94.70 to become resistance in the near future Remember if DXY goes up BTC is going down and vice versa My personal opinion is that we're going further down to the mids 30K or even further to find support at green box #3 at 30K (CHECK CHART #1/3) I Believe that at the end of Q1 price will initiate a recovery in price reaching previous ATH in Q3 NFA PLEASE, DYOR/MYOD!! Hope to See your Likes 👍 to Support My Work To Follow All My Ideas, Go to My Profile and Select the Follow Green button 😁 Please Re-Examine Before Make Your Last Decisions
BITFINEX:BTCUSDSHORTS
by InsightMarket
1
Short TheKing ? - ADX was always a strong indicator about Trends movements and strength, so read carefully the graph, this is a 2 Week view, in comments i will post 1 Month view. - Just Check ADX Overbought Zone and you will understand, for now, i can tell you that 82% of retailers are shorting TheKing and believe it will crash. - That said i can tell you that 86% of institutional investors and assets managers are Long on BTC. - So what i want to explain clearly is : - Whales are just waiting for a big dip to buy your Bitcoins, they always cumulate BTC, they move them out from exchanges and keep in their wallets. no matter if BTC falls to 1000$, they will buy more. - TheKing is still Alive because Whales never dropped their BTC, they dropped a bit for living, but this new nerd generation understood about the meaning of freedom in the "Satoshi Whitepaper". - Most of the Whales are not driving a Lambo but drive a small car, they fly coach, they visit the planet, and they go supermarket like you and me. - Retailers try to win money in the Both Ways because they are just greedy, Long and Short BTC, the problem is when you Short BTC you don't have your coins... you have your "Short Contract" (x2 at least). - When you are shorting a disinflation technology, it means you are fighting with something made for a best future, less poverty, more equitability, better world for your family. - When you are shorting BTC you are taking the risk that the exchange you are using close or get a hack, you cannot move a contract in an hardcore Wallet, but if you buy BTC, you can move coins in your Ledger. - When you are shorting BTC, you own nothing. Not your coins. Not your Key. just the wind. - i hope this makes some people's open eyes about a greedy financial system. - Believe in TheKing! Happy Tr4ding !
BITFINEX:BTCUSDSHORTSLong
by thecryer
23
Longs vs. Shorts, Important support level soon, will it hold?I've been studying Long/Short for guidance on where (or if) Bitcoin will rebound. The following is my opinion based on what I perceive. I welcome contrary, corrective and constructive points of view. None of this is financial advice. At this time there is an obvious bias towards the shorts. We should have confirmation as soon as Jan 11. In summer 2021 when we turned our bias more towards short positions, long positions declined as sentiment pivoted that direction. Interestingly, there was not an immediate shift towards short positions as the market attempted to determine which direction the market was headed. The bottom was accented by a spike in short positions. This past summer we broke through an upper support level, touched the bottom upward trendline and bounced back up. If we do not do so here, then likely we will see a further capitulation.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGS
by chillcrypto
4