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Shorts Trapped Into Insider Selling | DELL I've been actively trading DELL with my private community members and I believe the company is gearing up for another positive run. Despite the news about Michael Dell selling more shares, which may have trapped some short-sellers, DELL is making strategic moves such as reducing costs, rejoining the S&P500, and aiming to capture market share from SMCI. With this in mind, I see two potential entry points: a. Enter the trade above $121.50, aiming for $127. b. Enter the trade once it breaks $127, targeting $138. Personally, I prefer the second option. DM me with any questions!
NYSE:DELLLong
by MysticMads
Dell Triumphant Return to the S&P 500: What’s Driving the Rally?Dell Technologies (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) has made headlines with its upcoming re-inclusion in the S&P 500 Index, effective September 23. This marks a significant milestone for the tech giant, which was previously part of the S&P 500 from 1996 until 2013 before going private. The announcement has sent Dell’s stock price soaring, with shares jumping 6.1% in premarket trading on Monday. The re-entry into the S&P 500 is more than just symbolic; it represents renewed market confidence and a bright outlook for the company’s future. Strong Market Position and Growth Drivers Dell’s re-inclusion in the S&P 500 is not just about index rebalancing; it signals a broader positive trajectory fueled by several key factors. According to analysts at Citi Research, Dell’s fundamentals are strong, and the company is positioned to capitalize on multiple growth levers, making it a compelling buy. 1. Recovery in Enterprise Infrastructure Demand: Dell’s enterprise hardware products, including servers and storage solutions, are expected to benefit as businesses reinvest in critical infrastructure. After a period of constrained IT spending, Dell stands ready to capture significant market share as economic conditions improve. 2. PC Refresh Cycle: Dell is poised to gain from an upcoming global PC refresh cycle, expected to drive demand into 2025. As businesses and households upgrade aging PC systems, Dell’s personal computing segment is set to experience substantial sales growth. This cycle represents a critical growth driver for Dell’s core business. 3. AI Momentum: Dell’s focus on AI solutions positions it as a key player in the rapidly expanding AI market. As companies increasingly adopt AI workloads that require robust compute and storage resources, Dell’s expanding AI product portfolio could lead to significant revenue growth. The company’s expertise in providing the necessary hardware for AI applications aligns perfectly with emerging market needs. 4. Capital Returns and Valuation: Citi has set a target price of $160 for Dell, based on a 9.8x EV/EBITDA multiple applied to projected earnings over the next 24 months. This valuation reflects the company’s ability to execute and capitalize on growth opportunities. Compared to peers in the large enterprise hardware sector, Dell’s valuation strikes a balance that reflects both potential upside and inherent risks. 5. Challenges to Watch: While the outlook is positive, Dell faces challenges, including competition from hyperscalers and cloud computing solutions that pressure traditional enterprise hardware demand. The evolving landscape of cloud-enabled infrastructure and potential delays in the PC refresh cycle could impact Dell’s near-term growth prospects. Additionally, there is uncertainty around the pace at which Dell’s AI backlog will convert into tangible revenue. Technical Outlook Currently, Dell stock is up 4.48%, trading with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 4.83%, which suggests room for further growth. 1. Bullish Flag Pattern: Dell’s daily price chart shows a bullish flag pattern, a continuation formation that signals a potential upward breakout. If the stock price reaches the $150 pivot point, it would confirm a bullish reversal, setting the stage for a sustained rally. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Dell is trading just below its 200-day moving average, a key resistance level. A decisive break above this level would reinforce the bullish trend and attract further buying interest. 3. Volume and Momentum Indicators: Increased trading volume accompanying the recent price surge adds conviction to the bullish outlook. Momentum indicators suggest that Dell is on the cusp of a significant move higher, particularly with the backdrop of strong fundamentals and market sentiment. Looking Ahead Dell’s upcoming S&P 500 re-inclusion, combined with its strategic positioning in key growth areas, presents a compelling case for investors. The company’s ability to navigate the complexities of the evolving enterprise hardware market while capitalizing on the AI boom and PC upgrade cycle underpins its long-term growth potential. While challenges remain, Dell’s re-entry into the S&P 500 is a testament to its resilience and strategic execution. With strong fundamentals, technical momentum, and multiple growth levers at play, Dell is well-positioned for continued success in the coming years. For investors, the current setup presents a unique opportunity to participate in the resurgence of a tech powerhouse.
NYSE:DELLLong
by DEXWireNews
Dell Bears May Look for More DownsideDell Technologies fell sharply in late May, and some traders may see further downside risk. The first pattern on today’s chart is the selloff between mid-July and early August. DELL has been unable to climb past a 50 percent retracement of that move, which may suggest its direction is lower. That level around $113-114 is also near the 200-day simple moving average and April’s monthly low. It was additionally a brief consolidation area in late July. Those further points may boost the importance of a potential move below this zone. Next, stochastics are retreating from an overbought condition. Finally, the PC maker tried to stage a feeble rally after earnings last week but didn’t go far. The resulting failed breakout could also be viewed as a negative signal. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:DELL
by TradeStation
2
$DELL - Page Up or Page Down?The bull run that CAPITALCOM:DELL has experienced since March of last year came to an abrupt stop end of May this year, with an ATH. Since, the stock has been falling. It has formed a downward channel, although with price rising lately. If you look closely, you will see that the rise was only for about a week, and it has since consolidated. It is now approaching the roof of the channel, as well as an area of resistance from April. Recent price action can be argued to form a Flag formation, with trend continuation (down) as the most likely outcome. Yesterday, Aug 30, price gapped up on the open and formed a hammer candle. This is a bullish candle, and the gap makes it even more bullish. Also, volume was higher than recent average the last couple days, reinforcing the move, and MACD is on the rise. We can expect a bounce off the falling trend line, however I believe this will only be a pullback, before a move up and breach of resistance. Entry would be confirmation of resistance breach, in the form of a big green candle, or a few consecutive green candles, preferably with solid volume. Target would be $136, where we had a gap down back in mid July and price might be looking to fill the gap. This is also an area of resistance. Stop loss below recent swing low, $107.
CAPITALCOM:DELLLong
by WeRideAtDawn
2
Dell Stock Rises After Company Reports Strong EarningsKey Takeaways: - Dell's Q2 earnings surpassed expectations on both top and bottom lines, driven by strong AI-optimized server sales. - Server and networking revenue rose 80% to a record $7.7 billion, with AI server demand increasing 23% sequentially. - Dell stock (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) rose over 5% in Friday's premarket trading, highlighting technical momentum. Fundamental Analysis: Dell Technologies (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) has solidified its position as a leading player in the AI server market, a rapidly expanding segment fueled by increasing investments from businesses and cloud providers in next-generation AI infrastructure. In its fiscal second-quarter earnings report, Dell posted revenues of $25.06 billion, exceeding analysts’ expectations of $24.53 billion. The company's adjusted EPS of $1.89 also outperformed forecasts, underscoring strong execution in the current market environment. The standout performance came from Dell’s Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), which includes servers and networking equipment. ISG revenue jumped 38% year-over-year to $11.65 billion, driven by an 80% surge in server and networking revenue to $7.76 billion, marking a record high. This was propelled by significant demand for AI-optimized servers, primarily those integrating Nvidia and AMD chips. AI Sales Fuel Growth: Dell (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) has emerged as a top vendor for AI-oriented servers, benefiting from the industry's ongoing shift towards AI-driven solutions. AI server sales soared to $3.1 billion in the quarter, up from $1.7 billion in the previous quarter, highlighting robust sequential growth. According to Chief Operating Officer Jeff Clarke, Dell is actively competing and winning large-scale AI deals, further expanding its market share in this high-growth segment. The AI-driven demand surge is not only boosting Dell’s top line but also creating a backlog of $3.8 billion in AI server orders and a multibillion-dollar pipeline of potential deals yet to be finalized. Despite a decline in Dell’s storage business, down 5% to $4 billion, and a 4% drop in its Client Solutions Group revenue, the explosive growth in AI servers has positioned Dell as a key player in the tech industry’s AI boom. Guidance and Market Sentiment: Dell’s slight upward revision of its full-year revenue guidance to $95.5 billion - $98.5 billion, up from the previous $93.5 billion - $97.5 billion, reflects management's confidence in sustaining growth momentum, particularly in its ISG division. Despite a 34% decline in Dell's stock since its last report, shares have rebounded strongly, gaining 48% year-to-date, supported by its robust earnings performance and growing AI server market share. Technical Analysis: On the technical front, Dell stock (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) is showing promising signals of a bullish reversal. The stock surged over 5% in premarket trading on Friday, positioning the RSI (Relative Strength Index) at approximately 53, up from 49 on Thursday. This upward RSI movement suggests growing buying momentum, with a potential target zone of 60-65, which would confirm a bullish reversal. The daily price chart displays a fading bullish flag pattern, an indicator of potential upward price movement if momentum continues. A breakout above the flag pattern, supported by sustained buying pressure, could propel the stock towards higher price targets, making Dell a strong candidate for further gains in the short to medium term. Bullish Catalysts: - The 80% year-over-year surge in server and networking revenue demonstrates Dell's effective capitalizing on AI-driven demand, particularly for servers optimized for advanced AI workloads. - Dell's strategic focus on AI servers is generating substantial backlog and deal pipelines, positioning the company for sustained revenue growth. - The company’s ongoing share repurchase and dividend strategy, with $1 billion spent in the quarter, enhances shareholder value and supports the stock’s upside potential. Conclusion: Dell's strong earnings report highlights its strategic pivot towards AI infrastructure, driving substantial gains in its ISG division and positioning the company as a leader in the AI server market. The fundamental strength, combined with positive technical indicators, sets the stage for continued upward momentum in Dell stock. Investors should watch for further confirmation of a bullish reversal, as rising RSI and potential breakouts in price patterns could signal additional upside for Dell shares in the near term.
NYSE:DELLLong
by DEXWireNews
Dell Potential Downtrend Line Breakout At $109.22 29.08.2024Apply risk management Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure. BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd. BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene. BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350) Disclaimer
NYSE:DELLLong
by Stuart_Cowell
8/28/24 - $dell - Spec buy at $110 into print8/28/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DELL Spec buy at $110 into print - about 100 bn dollar company doing 6-7 bn in FCF (that's real FCF) so great yield here for a biz that's a full-suite enterprise tooler - in light of the NASDAQ:SMCI accusations, while NYSE:DELL is quite a bit broader of a biz model, they would stand to benefit from a tainted player (I'd *like* to buy NASDAQ:SMCI , but am out of the stock, thankfully and don't think in this environment I'd neck out given I agree the CF dynamics are a little hard to understand and this is the core of the accusation). - back to $DELL. so great FCF yield. add the debt to the stock price (so gross it up by 25%) and you go from $110 to about $140. on $9 of EPS power that's ~15x. And the CAGR of these EPS results is about 15%. - so while it might not be a table pounding buy here, it offers a nice tangential way of playing NASDAQ:NVDA EPS (beta) while protecting a bit on the downside. This is the main reason I own NYSE:TSM (diff beta but similar logic). LMK what you think. given results tmr, I might play a small 25 bps and keep it on the short list in case we get a dumpity doo dah in the next weeks back toward the 80s (which i'd not "expect" but where you've got great support). I think the stock in the low $100's is already pretty good value. $110 is probably a 7/10 entry. closer to $100 is a 8-9/10 entry and anything toward 90s and 80s again would be a 10/10 entry and probably worth a 2%+ set and forget position. thoughts? V
NYSE:DELLLong
by VROCKSTAR
Dell (DELL): About the wild ride - what's next after a 31% pump?No way Dell follows the analysis like this for months 😳 We told you about the wave B at the top, the wave ((ii)) a little lower, and our must-hold zone was just barely tagged—and now it’s pumped 31%... Incredibly accurate, but we didn't enter as this stock is too volatile for us personally. Still, we’re going to monitor it from time to time for you because it remains highly interesting. After the latest surge, we’re expecting a pullback for wave ((ii)). The best case for this pullback would be the golden pocket between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. That said, this stock is very volatile, and it could pump even more before coming down to make this essential pullback.
NYSE:DELLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
4