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AMERICAN AIRL.GP

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A1G trade ideas

ANALYSIS ON W1 Airline stocks have see a massive hit since the current economic downturn but could it be the climax basing for the next cycle The 13-year cycle from 2008 completed a 661 week trend and market is forming a base for a 5-year bull market. Repeating market patterns give us a clue of what we can project after completion of the cycle 1896 - 1903 7-year cycle 10/2004 - 05/2005 7- months cycle 06/1994 - 12/1994 6-months cycle In the 3 occurrences there was a bull market that followed averaging 5 years Giving that the next cycle node is in 2028 we can expect the bottom anywhere between now and March 2023
NASDAQ:AALLong
by Fairmont-Markets
AAL - 3 Long scenarios - Fly little bird, fly 3 Long scenarios Fundamentals - General One scenario developing doenst invalidate the other. Would trade one after another if it should happen - or all at the same time. Scenario 1 (Green arrow) Target Next resistance level (level 1). Confluence with the 50% level of a monthly range. Requirements - Price closes above buy zone 1 Invalidation / SL - No break under buy zone 1 AND creating lower swings Time duration Days, weeks, months, years... ;) Scenario 2 (Orange arrow) Target Next resistance level (level 1). Confluence with the 50% level of a monthly range. Requirements - Price dto buy zone 2 Invalidation / SL - None, this is a possible longterm hold Time duration Days, weeks, months, years... ;) Scenario 3 (Blue arrow) Target Next big resistance level Requirements - Break above level 1 Invalidation / SL - None, this is a possible longterm hold Time duration Days, weeks, months, years... ;) Good luck
NASDAQ:AALLong
by a_tale_of_bulls_and_bears
AAL Bullish inclined naked puts 20 May expiry (May Track 1)Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought My original intention was to leverage the volatility from the rate increases to enter VXX. However the BP (Buying Power) requirements were pretty high. Making IT less attractive in risk and reward The airlines sector are seeing signs or recovery with surges over pre-pandemic level in March. United Airlines (21 April) have forecasted a profit this year. Looking at the Airline stocks with similar prices movements. I decided to sell puts with AAL as I expected traders to jump into this sector with obvious recovery elements. Especially since Tech companies have been victim number 1 with the rising interest rates. I also saw markets rising after Powell’s address and I figured the volatility was all done. Boy was I wrong haha I Feel I’m entering this post entering the trade. Hence my views now are slightly impacted with what has transpired on Thursday and Friday. I feel I have made the right decision based on the information I had. However Given that my overall stance was that it was a bearish sideways market. 2/3 of my trades should not be bullish. I am not good at predicting the market, so I must be aware of the probabilities across all my trades and not just each individual trade In my reflection, how I could have also structured this is, riskier trades should be tied to closer expiry dates Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side Right now post entry, post 5,6 May blood bath. It must feel pretty sweet Imagine Yourself As A Neutral Observer In all states (Bullish, Bearish and Neutral). We all agree that the market is ranging and is highly volatile. As such the trade currently is not moving entirely unexpectedly. I think was was unexpected was the Bullish market wide move, followed by two red days Look For New Information Current bearish price action is a market wide drop. There could be recovery or it could continue dropping. We have some allowance, but it’s getting tighter How Do I Feel Now A little worried about Monday, but I know this trade individually is made of sound decision elements. However as part of an overall monthly trade structure, this new trade weakens it Trade Specs Sold 350 Puts @ 0.13 - Strike 15.5 % to Strike is 17.5% ATR IS 5% BP used 54k Max Gain: 4322.5
NASDAQ:AALLong
by Ronin_trader
AAL - Bullish reversalNASDAQ:AAL had been in a downtrend since march 2018. After the significant dip in march 2020, buyers shown good interest in it and kept the price above 10 for couple of months, making a strong support level. Bullish shark harmonic pattern has also been formed and price reversed from PRZ(Price Reversal Zone) level. Price marched up to meet the demand of buyers and faced resistance around 25.80 which was a previous support level. Price retraced for couple of months but with low volume. Finally, in march 2022, price did a strong reversal from 16$ support level with a significant volume making bullish hammer. That marks a higher swing low and is a strong indication of a bullish reversal and price is likely to go up to 26$ for a short term target. If it break 26$ level, then a strong bullish trend can be seen.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by PriceActionTrader1
Inverted Head And Shoulders also on #ALLso yesterday i posted a few ideas of some very clear inverted head and shoulder patterns that are present in the airline companies see also #UAL #LUV both are clearly set up and showing massive opportunities to the top side the biggest being UAL with the measure of a possible 19% upside brining it into the mid 60's price range with in the next. Heading into earnings this we be another play that I will be watching for that possible breakout to the upside!!!
NASDAQ:AALLong
by Stock_Hustle21