AMC: Breakout Brewing? Earnings, FOMC, and Trump Rate Cut HypeAMC is heating up, and the chart is screaming potential! Let’s dive into the current price action and why this meme stock might be gearing up for a move.
Price Action & Technicals
AMC’s daily chart is teasing a breakout. The stock is currently trading at $2.67, hugging a key resistance around $2.70-$2.80. We’ve seen it consolidate tightly after a month of grinding between $2.61-$2.92. The 50-day moving average (~$3.00) is looming as the next hurdle, and a strong close above $2.80 could spark bullish momentum. Volume has been picking up, hinting buyers are stepping in. The last notable “squeeze” on May 13, 2024, rocketed AMC to $11.87 from similar consolidation levels. Looking at the chart, $5.80 (a strong high from late 2024) is a realistic first target, but a squeeze could push higher if momentum kicks in—who knows how high?
Earnings Buzz on X
The upcoming Q1 2025 earnings on May 7, 2025, are generating chatter on X. @Ryan__Rigg
posted about the earnings date, signaling retail excitement. @StockRetail
highlighted AMC’s improving revenue and low price-to-sales ratio (~0.23), suggesting Q2 could surprise given strong box office trends. @biotech_moose
is hyped about the box office results fueling a solid earnings call. Even @CEOAdam
’s hint at potential news (per @xMarketNews
) has retail investors speculating about mergers or acquisitions. The sentiment is bullish, and options activity is ramping up, with @simulationchess
noting heavy call buying at $3-$5 strikes, which could trigger a gamma squeeze if earnings deliver.
FOMC & Trump’s Rate Cut Push
The FOMC meeting on May 6-7, 2025, is another catalyst to watch. Trump’s vocal push for rate cuts could pressure the Fed, especially with markets pricing only a 9% chance of a 25 bps cut . A dovish surprise or Trump-driven optimism could boost risk assets like AMC, especially given its meme stock sensitivity. Lower rates could fuel retail FOMO, potentially igniting a short squeeze—13.94% of the float is shorted . While nobody can predict the ceiling, the May 2024 run to $11.87 shows what’s possible when the stars align.
Squeeze Potential & Strategy
With earnings, FOMC, and Trump’s influence converging, AMC could see a volatile move. Options buying is picking up, and a breakout above $2.80-$3.00 could trigger a gamma squeeze as dealers hedge ITM calls. First target: $5.80. If momentum builds, $11.87 or beyond isn’t out of the question, but don’t get greedy—$1000 dreams are fun, but locking in profits is smarter. Always use tight stops and position sizing. This is a meme stock, so volatility is wild, and risk management is non-negotiable.
Final Thoughts
AMC’s daily chart is coiling for a breakout, earnings hype is real, and FOMC plus Trump’s rate cut narrative could light a fire. Whether it’s a quick scalp to $5.80 or a squeeze to $11.87+, the setup is intriguing. But stay disciplined—take profits when you’ve got them, and never bet the farm.
This is my personal opinion and analysis, not trading advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk carefully.
AH91 trade ideas
A New Beginning AMC’s story is far from over! From where I’m standing, the stock is simmering in an accumulation zone, quietly building momentum like a sleeping giant ready to roar. Are these rock-bottom prices at $2.68 the last we’ll see before this titan wakes? What’s the vibe from your side of the street? Drop your take below! #AMC #ToTheMoon
New Moon Fade Final Sand for Sqeeze!I like to call this the new moon fade, basically when we are in the new moon the market starts too sell (they use the news to inject fear, they understand that the moon effects are emotions.
We are in an area where a lot of investors will sell do to fear.
I give the two more weeks before a squeeze due to the critical point we are in. This new moon fade does not occur very often, I would say once or twice a year. Remember to take your some profits.
You gotta do what's best for you
AMC Bouncing Back Up Offf Support. AMCThis appears to be a A Wave of a new zigzag that sent us to low of lows at 3.00 . Now well and truly back out of thee OBOS territory. Generally speaking, A waves do not produce momentum divergences, and this appears to be the case here as well. AB trendline, along with MIDAS has been crossed, BB%PCT crossed zero line a few candles ago and we are bullish otherwise technically.
AMC - The Last BottomI've left this chart as big as possible so you can play around with it and see what I see as much as possible.
We're bouncing off the $3.00 resistance level.
There's one more resistance below us.
$2.50. Anywhere much below that and we reach another new all-time low.
Considering we're on a bear rally (no consistent higher-highs and higher-lows in months - greatly part to capitalizing on whatever bull rally available by offering shares to reduce debt)
But considering AMC doesn't plan on offering new shares soon and the stock price is threatening to hit new all-time lows: the stock will have to decide whether this is the last bottom, or if the company is worth less than ever.
I could see a retest of the the 2.50 range. After all, every single time we've hit a bottom, we've hit it again and then dropped even lower.
There just needs one time where the stock can bounce fro an all-time low and go past "old lows".
The price popped above the 200EMA on the 4-hour chart in May of last year, which led the stock to soar from 3.57 to 13.30 in a matter of a couple candles.
I'm still waiting to see the price get pinched between the 200EMA on the daily chart (5.56 right now) and the bottom (2.40 right now).
Earnings could be a catalyst. Some Trump decision could be a catalyst. Ken Griffin having a heart attack could be a catalyst (I don't wish any pain on anyone, but some deserve what's coming more than others). It doesn't matter.
AMC is making leaps towards being a profitable business and the spring can only be wound so tight.
Break above 8 month resistanceThis Green trend line has been AMC's resistance since the May run-up of last year.
Right now, the price action is bouncing between it and the Red support line.
With the 4th anniversary of the first sneeze coming up, the BOJ rumored to increase interest rates to the highest level in 17 years on Friday morning, and the first FOMC meeting of the year and new Presidency being next Wednesday, I think the perfect storm is brewing for hedge funds to have to close their short positions.
If we close the week above 3.50/above the green resistance line, I am expecting volatility to the upside.
Also important to remember that at 5.66, AMC can clear $400M worth of debt, which would bring the company closer to $3.5B.
Compared to the high of $5.88B in debt it had at the end of September 2020, that is great progress.
Let's see what happens in the next couple days/week.
APES will like this, AMC to $4My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at or near bottom channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Price at or near 2.618 Fibonacci level
Bought 1/17 call $3.50 strike for $0.09
AMC - Possible Short Sqeeze Coming!This looks like a bottom for AMC. The shorts aren't running yet, but it looks like it's setting up to squeeze them.
The financials are still horrible, but this is just a technical play on a meme stock.
This is the key to this play: AMC Hldgs's short percent of float has risen 7.31% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 53.05 million shares sold short, which is 13.94% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Based on its trading volume, it would take traders 2.53 days to cover their short positions on average.
Remember: there's a debt conversion to stock at $5.66 so if it does get to $5.55 reverse and go short.
This is not investment advice, I'm just a village idiot that likes to think out loud.
AMC Entertainment Holdings | AMC | Long at $3.66First, I'm not an " NYSE:AMC APE" and have zero interest in becoming one. Second, don't trade NYSE:AMC unless you are fully aware the investment could go to zero or the company may devalue your trade via share dilution or other means (i.e., don't simply do as I do or blindly follow anyone else's moves, for the matter).
With that aside, I started a position/gambling play today in NYSE:AMC at $3.66. The reason is 80% technical analysis and 20% fundamentals.
Technical Analysis:
The blue line on the chart represents an average true range (ATR) from a historical simple moving average (SMA) that I use for trading. For simplicity, the historical SMA is not show on the chart - just the ATR. This blue ATR line has historically been a major line of resistance and support. When it breaks through and holds, the stock goes bull - but history may not repeat. The price recently broke the blue ATR line, fell below, and the broke out again today. This may be a sign that the downward trend (overall) is changing - perhaps furthering the accumulation phase in the $3s or a gradual rise from here. And with today's breakout, I grabbed shares at $3.66.
Fundamentals
Since 2020, NYSE:AMC has shown major gains in revenue and net income (loss reduction, that is). Revenu: $1.24 billion (2020); $2.53 billion (2021); $3.91 billion (2022); 4.81 billion (2023); $4.4 billion (2024, Q1-3 only). Net Income: -$4.5 billion (2020); -$1.27 billion (2021); -$973 million (2022); -$396 million (2023); -$399 million (2024, Q1-3 only). The company is not expected to become profitable until Q4 of 2026 , but the improvements are what one would like to see.
Counter-arguments and statements the stock is junk are totally valid. But the chart is quite interesting as the company moves toward profitability (maybe...).
Targets:
$4.30
$6.00
Squeeze/mass hysteria: $18.00, $40.00, and ridiculousness: $85.00
Double bottom forming on the 15 min chart this morning?AMC has done nothing but gone down, since Roaring Kitty pumped GME in early December, and AMC traders thought they were supposed to go along for the ride.
AMC is trading at all time lows and it's not looking great long term. There's a possible short squeeze here if meme stocks make a comeback in 2025, but I wouldn't hold my breath.
At $5.66 there's a debt to stock conversion that will probably limit the upside. Plus management has a track record of diluting shares when the stock tries to move up.
AMC may not go bankrupt, but the financials look horrible and if meme traders abandon it, it's going to remain a penny stock.
Here's the news from this morning.
AMC short percent of float has risen 7.31% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 53.05 million shares sold short, which is 13.94% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Based on its trading volume, it would take traders 2.53 days to cover their short positions on average.
This is not financial advice.
AMC: A Fresh Perspective on the Next Bullish SurgeAMC stock has captivated the market with its dramatic price movements and retail-driven interest. Earlier, we projected a bottom at $4, predicting a robust rise to $18 and potentially $40. While AMC reached $5.50, this was later identified as an X-wave within a complex WXYXZ corrective pattern based on Elliott Wave Theory.
Our renewed analysis now suggests that AMC may form a definitive bottom around $3.70. This correction phase has been a challenging journey, but it aligns with a textbook double-three pattern, signaling the groundwork for an explosive rally. From $3.70, we foresee AMC embarking on a significant upward trajectory, with an initial target of $18, followed by a climb to $40. The potential for even greater heights remains firmly on the table, especially as investor sentiment and technical indicators align.
Why This Could Be the Turning Point
The significance of the $3.70 level cannot be overstated—it represents the culmination of an exhaustive corrective phase. This area serves as a psychological and technical pivot, where the bullish scenario becomes increasingly viable. Key market dynamics, including trading volume, correlation with meme stocks, and broader market sentiment, support the case for a strong upward move.
As AMC approaches this critical juncture, we remain optimistic about its ability to break free from the prolonged corrective pattern. Investors should keep a close eye on this stock, as the potential for significant gains looms large.
Broadening RangeAfter the heavy fluctuations in May we are trading in a range. Since November this range is broadening but within a rising bias. After the short term rise last week which can be considered as a signal we have corrected downward again.
We are close to the bottom of the range again now and if the stock will really rise then this may be the chance of an entry.
01/02 AMC long Hi traders,
It looks like AMC has found a bottom and is poised for an upward move. While AMC’s fundamentals may not be as strong as before the rise of online streaming platforms, this giant movie monopoly isn’t entirely out of the game. Technical analysis suggests a bounce from current levels.
My initial target is the $4.70 area, but we’ll need to watch momentum closely to see where it leads next.
May the trend be with you.
AP