Tech Giants of China - when will they see their glorious days?We can see a similar pattern for Alibaba and Tencent shares in the daily chart. Both are in a consolidation stage and the resistance is hampering the price action to rally further.
I am watching closely this level and any breakup with a bullish signal could be a potential trend reversal to the bullish side.
Patience
AHLA trade ideas
Alibaba Holdings UpdateA few positive things did happen for Alibaba. The removal of Daniel Zhang and being replaced by Joseph Tsai. So far, I like what Jospeh has done for the company, making it leaner and removing excess fats that are stalling its growth.
They have also started to declare dividends and shares purchase buyback, boosting investors confidence. We have seen the share price pretty stable at 70 price mark although the recent days has seen it gone to a low of 67.30.
Like Tencent, I am in no hurry to accumulate and keep myself updated with the news happening in the industry and the regulatory moves in China.
Your window of opportunity to get Alibaba is here!Alibaba, once the talk of the town some years back had suffered a lot of backlash with news saying the disappearance of Jack Ma, how he offended the government, rumours he retired in Thailand, etc.
From the day chart, we can see a nice trend reversal pattern that is being played out with HL and HH patterns. This signify a trend reversal and it is breaking out from the bearish trend line, another strong indicator.
I like how the management is centering its focus on its core business - Ecommerce and Cloud and investing on AI which is the next pillar of growth , both for China and globally. It is doing the right things - doing shares buybacks , offering dividends to shareholders, divesting non-core businesses, letting the younger ones to run the business and retires the old guards, etc.
I am vested so please DYODD
BABA: Two situations: Trading RangeOn BABA we are in a trading range situation. Initially, if the resistance line is broken forcefully by a large green candle we would have a high probability of seeing the market go higher. Secondly, if it is the support line which is broken forcefully by a large red candle it goes without saying that we would have a high probability of seeing the market go down.
CHINA WILL DOMINATE AI AND EVs (at some point)The Strategic Imperative of AI and China's Leading Role
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is an undeniable force shaping the future of technology. Whether one embraces it or not, AI is here to stay and will continue to evolve. In the global landscape, while the United States might attempt to decelerate technological progress and the European Union may impose stringent regulations on AI, China emerges as a frontrunner in the AI and electric vehicle (EV) sectors. China's strategic focus and regulatory environment provide fertile ground for these advancements.
Valuation Insights: Alibaba's Undervalued Potential
Currently, Alibaba's market valuation is strikingly low, a fact that has not gone unnoticed by prominent investors such as Michael Burry and other value investment icons. A detailed examination of Alibaba's financial statements reveals a strong underlying value proposition, making it an attractive investment.
Addressing Perceptions and Market Skepticism
Concerns about the reliability of China's economic data and the governance of its companies are often cited by skeptics, particularly those influenced by Western narratives. It’s important to approach these concerns with a nuanced understanding. China is a vast and diverse nation, with a significant portion of its population embracing elements of capitalism and democratic ideals. Although historical complexities and geopolitical tensions may create a veil of mistrust, investors should consider China's substantial economic growth and technological advancements.
Global Liquidity Trends and China's Focused Growth
Global liquidity is on the rise, bolstering economic activity worldwide. China, with its considerable economic momentum and focus on technological innovation, remains a formidable player on the global stage. The nation's unified commitment to progress, unencumbered by distractions that often preoccupy Western societies, positions it well for future technological leadership. The vision of widespread AI integration, from household robots to advanced automation, is rapidly becoming a reality in China.
Investment Strategy: Balancing Risk and Opportunity
In light of these dynamics, it is prudent to consider investments in key Chinese tech giants like Tencent and Alibaba. These companies represent different facets of China's tech industry and offer substantial growth potential. However, it’s essential to maintain a balanced approach. Given the inherent risks associated with investing in emerging technologies, such positions should constitute no more than 10-30% of a diversified portfolio.
Despite short-term market decouplings from indices like the S&P 500, correlations are likely to realign over time. Patience and strategic positioning are crucial, particularly in light of potential geopolitical shifts post-elections and the eventual easing of global tensions. As an investor, being attuned to these broader narratives and maintaining a calculated exposure to high-growth sectors can yield significant rewards.
Alibaba - Back to bearish (not)?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
After Alibaba broke below the major support trendline in 2021 we saw a massive correction of -75% towards the downside. Alibaba was then retesting another major level, this time a previous support area which is at $60. So far Alibaba stock is still respecting the bearish trendline, but it is just a matter of time until we will see a bullish trading opportunity on this stock.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba Long Term Analysis. 1st Target 134, 2nd Target 308This is my Long Term Analysis _ "Alibaba".
Downtrend is Breakout in monthly time frame and retested. So, from now on, the market will move to a Bullish Trend. And 1st Target is 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement (134), 2nd Target is (308).
I want to help people to Make Profit all over the "World".
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 25 - BABA - (8th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing Alibaba (BABA), starting from the 6-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my other videos on TradingView or on YT.
If you are interested in private coaching, feel free to get in touch via one of my socials.
BABA - A potential setup for a swing tradeRemain vigilant for daily reversal candles occurring near the support area. In the event of a daily closing breach of the support levels (red lines), there is a possibility of further downward movement, emphasizing the importance of implementing risk management strategies.
Alibaba - Don't forget chinese stocks!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Back in 2020 Alibaba stock created a textbook breakout of an ascending triangle formation which was followed by more continuation towards the upside. Then Alibaba stock topped out in 2021 and we saw a massive decline of -80% from the previous highs. At the moment Alibaba is still in a very bearish market but there is a chance that we will see a reversal in the near future.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BABA : Added 2 positions summing upto about 1.25% of the capitalFundamentals:
The stock appears deeply undervalued, with promising growth prospects driven by a substantial population of middle-aged individuals in China who could potentially become Alibaba's customer base. Notably, within China, Alibaba enjoys a monopoly, and although there is a decline in revenue, the increasing cash flow is viewed as a positive sign. This positive trend in cash flow, as opposed to declining revenue, is reassuring.
While trade tensions between the US and China persist, particularly given global circumstances, the expectation is that these tensions will gradually settle. It's crucial to note that Alibaba's primary focus is on the Chinese market rather than the rest of the world. Notably, the involvement of notable investors such as Michael Burry and Charlie Munger adds credibility to the stock's potential.
Charlie Munger, despite acknowledging a relatively high purchase price, believes that the risk is justified by the potential reward, especially if acquired at a fair valuation. Presently, the stock price is significantly lower than when Charlie initiated his positions. Despite risks associated with geopolitical tensions, issues involving Jack Ma and the Chinese Communist Party, and the potential for delisting, the overall upward potential, both fundamentally and technically, is deemed to outweigh the risks.
Technicals:
Having made two entries at various levels, the total position size currently represents approximately 1.25% of the total capital. There's a consideration to increase the position if the price falls to the all-time low levels indicated within the chart. Anticipating a minimum upward movement of about 60% from the current average levels, the technical analysis supports a favorable outlook for the stock.
Alibaba also seems severely undervaluedAlibaba looks to be a severely undervalued stock, however I am aware of the risks and the Chinese govenrment.
I think that the risk is worth the potential returns.
Everything I see in stores in Europe comes from Alibaba. More and more people I know are importing via AliBaba.