Apple – More Pain to come? Apple’s NASDAQ:AAPL chart right now? Honestly, it’s a mess. It’s one of those setups where you can’t confidently say much with conviction , but one thing feels clear to me: it should go lower before it gets better.
Zooming out to the 3-day timeframe , you can spot something interesting: the downtrend from 2022 to 2023 looks almost identical to the one we’ve seen from July 2023 to April 2024 — same structure, same slow bleed, and almost the exact same duration. That kind of symmetry doesn’t happen by accident.
After that, we had a massive rally from April/May 2024 , but now we’re already seeing a sharp retracement — down over 35%. My take? We probably need one more leg lower to really shake things out before Apple makes a meaningful move higher, maybe toward $250–$260 .
To get there, I think we still need to retest the $160–$150 zone. If we break below that and head toward $120, then we’re in real trouble structurally — that would shift the whole outlook.
Yes, the recent bounce from the VWAP level was clean , and it looked strong — but I wouldn’t rule out one more flush before we get the real recovery. Apple is in no-man’s-land right now, and until we hit key levels or reclaim broken structure, it’s caution over confidence.
APC trade ideas
SPX and AAPL. A breakdown of key levels and potential trades.If this is a repeat of 2020, then I am going with the bulls on this. In this video I walk through what I am seeing in the overall market and how I chart my stocks. I have personally been in and out of trades and it was chipping away at my profits, so it was time to reset! The best way for me to do that is to to walk through my charts, update my levels as needed, and remember that my plan is my plan bc it works!
$AAPL This is going to burst... $220 target.NASDAQ:AAPL : Expecting a move to $210 easy off the $200 zone then to the target of $220. Lots of testing in that area. I think $210 is a clear "gimme." Not even close to overbought, with the volatility this can ramp up. Technically look great to me. Push up to 200EMA/SMA located above $220 zone ($221 and $228).
wsl.
Apple gap fill potential - Grok Ai sees option activity Grok ai analyzed the option chain for me:
Call Volume Strike Price Put Volume
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* 155.00 *
* 160.00 *
* 165.00 ****
* 170.00 ******
* 175.00 *****
** 180.00 *******
* 185.00 ****
* 190.00 *****
***** 195.00 ***
********* 200.00 ***
****** 205.00 *
********* 210.00 *
***** 215.00 *
*********** 220.00 *
****** 225.00 *
******************** 230.00 *
** 235.00 *
*** 240.00 ***
* 245.00 *
***** 250.00 *
Ai found lots of in interest upward call strikes.
Gap, on the chart may be the thesis.
Get apple right, and youll understand qqq , spy, dia, its so big.
Fundamentally, Im not a long term fan of apple, but cant ignore the mag seven large caps giants.
APPLE Best buy opportunity of the last 6 years.Back in August 02 2024 (see chart below), we introduced this model on Apple Inc. (AAPL) that had high probabilities of success at predicting Cycle peaks:
We may have not hit $280 but $260 is close enough especially if you are a long-term investor that values buying low and selling high.
Now that the price has corrected by -35% and just hit the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 10 years (since July 2016), it is time to revisit this macro-model once again.
As you can see, -35% corrections have been present on every Cycle since the January 2009 bottom of the Housing Crisis. The pattern that the stock follows is very specific and it starts with a prolonged correction, the Bear Cycle essentially, which is a lengthy correction phase, such as the 2008 Housing Crisis, the 2015/16 China slowdown and the 2022 Inflation Crisis.
Then a very structured uptrend phase starts in the form of a Channel Up that leads the market to its first peak, followed by a shorter, quicker correction phase that tests the 1M MA50 and rebounds. The rebound is the final bull phase of the Cycle, usually strong and sharp and leads to the eventual Cycle Top and then starts then new Bear Cycle (prolonged correction).
Right now the current 4-month correction is technically, based on this model, the new shorter correction. Being more than -35% in size, the last one larger than this was the previous short correction of the last Trade War in October 2018 - January 2019 (-38%).
The similarities don't stop here but extend to the 1M RSI as well, which just entered its 25-year mega Buy Zone that has been holding since December 2000 and the Dotcom Crash! In fact the last time Apple's 1M RSI was this low was in June 2013, which was the bottom of the 1st short correction on our chart.
This remarkable symmetry just shows how similar the current phase is with its previous ones and if the symmetry continues to hold, we should be expecting a strong recovery to start. Even if the price makes a slightly deeper low as -38% (like the January 2019 bottom), we may still expect the minimum rise that it had all those years shown on the chart, +145%, which translates to a potential $390 Target long-term.
It is in times like this, that patient long-term investors filter out the news noise, make their unbiased moves and maximize their profit.
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Apple ($AAPL): Shares Jump After Tariff Exemption on ElectronicsApple Inc. (AAPL) experienced a significant rally on Monday, climbing as high as $212.94 before settling around $206.05 as of writing, reflecting a 4.5% intraday gain. The spike followed the U.S. government's decision over the weekend to exclude smartphones and other electronics from the latest round of tariffs on Chinese imports. This move provided relief for tech companies like Apple that rely on global supply chains.
As of 3:38 PM EDT, Apple shares Volume reached 258.63 million shares, indicating heightened investor interest. The favorable news also triggered substantial profits for derivatives traders. One bullish options trade worth $5 million, opened on Friday, was reportedly valued at around $14 million by Monday morning—a 180% gain as per Reuters.
According to Capital Market Laboratories CEO Ophir Gottlieb, the trade may have been a calculated bet anticipating favorable policy moves affecting Apple or broader China-related tariffs.
Technical Analysis
The 2-day chart shows a strong bullish reaction from a major support zone near $172, where the price rebounded sharply following the news. The current price at $206 is trading slightly below key moving averages, including the 50-day at $231.81, 100-day MA at $228.36, and 200-day MA at $205.91
Price action also broke above a previous resistance area of $196, turning that level into new support. If momentum holds, Apple could aim for a move toward the $260.10 recent high. However, technical structure suggests a possible pullback before further upside continuation. Overall, the rebound and volume surge indicate strong buyer interest in the wake of the tariff announcement.
APPLE: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
APPLE
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy APPLE
Entry - 198.05
Stop - 191.79
Take - 216.53
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
AAPLAAPL is in a correction phase. The price still has a chance to test the support zone of 154.3-137.3. If the price cannot break through the 137.3 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
APPLE On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 198.05
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 214.26
Recommended Stop Loss - 187.76
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Apple - no useful dataThis now is just speculation, since we do not have any data to work with. The market is confused, big boys are confused, everybody is confuse. But atm we have a slightly news leaded more bullish sentiment, after China gave their first living signs friday and yesterday saying they are not fans of the tarrifs from every side. Which I coun`t as slightly more bullish than what a Trump related person said the Tech tarrif excemption was only temporary. Which means most of the world and China do not like tarrifs and I do think China will drop or at least sink their tarrifs to a minimum, if the US will drop their tarrifs. And in my opinion Trump´s brain is still working because the only rational decision is to completely drop the tarrifs. Of course not immediatly to first get deals done.
What Trump did not expect is that people not only don´t want to buy stocks, but they also dont want to buy bonds from the US. Which makes the Tarrifs a lot worse.
AAPL should you wait out the chop? Still overall downtrendWhen in doubt, leave it out < I remember being in a training class for my first job out of college and my teacher said that. She was talking about dress codes, and that if we had a doubt like...is this work appropriate, then the answer was no. This quote has stayed with me and even proven useful in trading. Right now we are in indecision on a lot of names. No clear uptrends, and still most stocks remain in overall downtrends.
Most of us are impatient, we want to catch the bottom, even though we know when we wait for a clear direction the profits flow effortlessly.
It's ok to put on a small position, but just know where we are at in the trend and range.
What's your position on AAPL for the next few days or weeks?
For me, I am really leaning sideways, but am testing small positions. It is important to wait after the morning noise dies down before committing. In fact, yesterday I broke my 11am rule of no decisions or trades til after 11am, and closed a put on another name. Then within the hour, the position flipped. Talk about regret. What was worse was that I had hedged it the day before with a call, and closed the call at a loss too. Amateur moves, but hey, new day and fresh eyes will make a killing.
Apple, Will we see 150$ ???Hello traders, Hope you're doing great. What are your thoughts about
AAPL ?
Our last analysis went exactly as we predicted and hit our target; But what's the next target ?
For upcoming weeks, I expect an upward correction at first and after that I expect another SELL OFF situation in the market that causes a huge drop in stock market, my first Target is 157$.
This post will be Updated.
Trade Safe and have a great week.
(AAPL) Crumbling in Chaos? Here's How Smart Traders Might Pivot 🔍 Market Mood: Everything’s Broken, Or Is It?
We're not just watching candles here — we're watching psychology unravel. This isn't your average downtrend. The current chart screams capitulation, and the market isn't following textbook TA. EMAs, Fibs, CHoCH, BOS — they’re all being run over by macro fear.
But chaos is a signal too — if you know how to listen.
🔍 Technical View — The Breakdown Inside the Breakdown
* Trendlines? Crushed. The clean diagonal resistance failed to offer a bounce. Instead, AAPL dropped like a rock off a cliff.
* Structure: AAPL attempted a weak pullback but immediately rejected lower, forming new lows. There’s no confirmation of CHoCH or any reclaim.
* Current support: $170.56 (barely holding). Below this? It’s an air pocket to $165 and possibly $150 based on historical liquidity voids.
* MACD: Turning down again — bearish crossover is alive.
* Stoch RSI: Also curling lower, suggesting momentum is building for further downside.
🧠 Insight — When TA Fails, Price Memory Doesn't
TA isn’t “failing” — it’s evolving. In chaotic environments, price memory becomes king.
* Price memory zones: Think about levels where mass volume occurred before consolidation — not just lines. These zones become magnets.
* Liquidity pockets between $175–$165 suggest algos will keep hunting stops there.
So what should traders do when TA doesn’t give clear answers?
📊 TrendInfo Snapshot:
* MA, DMI, RSI, MACD, Stoch, BBP — All Bearish
* Fear Index: -21.68
* Recommendation: Sell (50%)
This isn’t just a red dashboard — it’s a sentiment echo. Most retail traders are now too scared to buy, and that’s usually when big money starts accumulating slowly under everyone’s nose.
🧨 Options GEX — Gamma Exposure Tells The Hidden Story
* Highest Negative GEX / PUT Support: $170 — A strong defense line… for now.
* Put Positioning: 44.8% of the chain leans bearish.
* Call Resistance: $195–$202 range — thick walls.
* IVR: 113.5 — volatility is premium-priced.
* Options Oscillator: Red blocks dominate — no sign of bullish reversal, yet.
The takeaway? Market makers are likely short gamma, which means they’re forced sellers into dips. This creates momentum cascades unless a liquidity event reverses the flow.
🧭 Strategy — Don’t Predict, Prepare
1. If AAPL Reclaims $175+ with Volume: That’s the first sign big buyers stepped in. Look for confirmation via a CHoCH and MACD cross-up.
2. If $170 breaks with momentum: It's not just retail panic — institutions may be offloading too. Watch for a flush into $165 or even $150 for a fast scalp or long-term buy zone.
3. No-man’s zone ($170–$175): This is where patience pays off. Let price prove itself.
💭 Final Thoughts: Adapt Your Lens
In chaotic times, don’t rely on indicators alone. Use a confluence of TA, sentiment, and price behavior. This is the moment where reactive trading — not predictive gambling — separates pros from the rest.
This chaos isn’t the end — it’s the forge. The next rally will be shaped by traders who learned to read beyond lines and candles.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
Apple on sale who said Wall Street has no discountsOn the NASDAQ:AAPL 1W chart, the price has dropped sharply, likely due to recent trade tensions with China, but it is now approaching a key support level that previously acted as resistance and triggered a strong rebound. The Ichimoku cloud (10, 20, 40, 10) indicates a bearish trend, although there are early signs that selling pressure may be weakening. At the same time, the Trend Strength Index (20, 10) is in oversold territory, suggesting that bearish momentum could be fading. If lower timeframes begin to show signs of reversal, this may signal the beginning of a long-term recovery. A possible entry between 200 and 175 with a stop loss below 163 could offer a favorable risk to reward opportunity for long-term investors.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
AAPL About to CRACK!Without Question, AAPL is the best company in the world and the most valuable. However, it means little in this economic landscape.
AAPL is about to start cracking here. I usually do not post them ahead like this, but in this situation, I will break my own rules.
Take your money and RUN!!!
WARNING!! GTFO!
4/8/25 - $aapl - why it's the main stock to watch4/8/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AAPL
why it's the main stock to watch
- up until recently the TVC:TNX (10Y) was headed lower. this changed in the last few sessions. let's leave the various "explanations" beyond this (perhaps the comments) and simply focus on price.
- the reason NASDAQ:AAPL is of particular importance is given it's supreme weighting in the SP:SPX (up until recently the largest cap, now NASDAQ:MSFT as of today), but more importantly it's bond-like cash flow stream and high ROE's given strong brand. this affords investors (even those who eschew tech generally, like uncle warren) the ability to "look through" various disruptive and often more terminal-weighted names, even if they're megacaps as well, like $nvda. the current fcf yield on NASDAQ:AAPL is almost identical to the 10Y.
- when you look at the above chart which plots NASDAQ:AAPL vs. the NASDAQ:TLT (price of apple divided by the 10Y), you'll notice two obvious things (and i've used heikin ashi candles to further underscore the points).
1/ aapl has consistently outperformed the long bond in the last decade+
2/ period of multi-month drawdown vs. the 10Y have averaged about 80 days and ~30% lower, nearly identical to where we are today
- when we consider the "reinvestment risk" of something like the 10Y for something like aapl, and considering the historical parallels, one would ask the question "is this over". and that's why this is so interesting/ important to watch $aapl.
- beyond it's growing digital services contribution to the business, the core product (which delivers these services) is still mainly based in the "china complex", whether that's assembly, or within a headline's scare away in Taiwan (w/ their chips). so it's *very* exposed to what's happening here and a liquid canary for sentiment as to what's happening.
- and beyond a resolution to the tariff debacle (if i may be so polite to call it that and stick to the points I'm trying to make in this post), the 10Y is behaving in a way where confidence might be shifting more toward a pseudo-sovereign LIKE APPLE given it's bond-like characteristics (points above) versus this gov't issued IOU. In other words, would you trust NASDAQ:AAPL stock (or even their bonds for that matter) to appreciate (or the yield to decline) versus the US 10Y. And there is the funny conundrum... and the paradigm shift happening in real time.
Said another way:
1/ if the 10Y starts to behave, it's likely because there's some market belief of tariff resolution and a path forward (let's call it "look thru" or "reduced uncertainty") and in this scenario NASDAQ:AAPL like outperforms any benefit to lower yields given the recent pullback and given the chart/ comments above.
2/ and if the opposite is true, and the market continues to call BS on this whole ordeal, the 10Y is likely to dramatically underperform NASDAQ:AAPL 's stock price and/or the bottom for NASDAQ:AAPL one could argue is much more limited (perhaps 10-15%, at most 20%) vs. the 10Y (TLT), and from there the risk-reward (the second-order implication of this) is still an NASDAQ:AAPL share price that, again, dramatically outperforms the 10Y.
While is all to say: I am closely watching NASDAQ:AAPL as if it were the most important economic variable in this whole equation and believe it's much closer to not only a trade-able bottom but potentially a multi-year floor price than the market's current sentiment would lead you to believe. And without getting too long winded (which this already is), the similar logic applies albeit to a slightly lesser degree for NASDAQ:AMZN , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:MSFT and a few other mega caps ( NASDAQ:META , NASDAQ:GOOGL ) each with their own quirks/ "features" or "drawbacks" in the current climate/ topic.
So while I'm still packing 25% cash on the books, eventually this old man is going to call BS. And the big liquid stuff will be a good place to re-accumulate before we can distribute into the slightly more nuanced names (of which I own a few - if u follow u know).
Let's see. Hope it helps your mosaic. Lmk (and especially) if you disagree.
V
AAPL 4/8/25Gotta love it when a plan comes together so perfect!
Tried to rebound and could not, shooting right to the 165-169 range im looking to load up in
End of month or sooner?
I like the 8th and 28th as my days to DCA.
Tempted today w it being down around 5% but discipline builds portfolios.... right?
AAPLAAPL price is in the correction period. If the price cannot break through the 258.56 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Apple Inc. (NYSE:$ AAPL)Drops $300B+ in Tariff- Fueled Sell-OffApple Inc. (NYSE:$ AAPL) faced a massive sell-off on Thursday, April 4th 2025, with its stock closing at $188.38, down $14.81 (7.29%). This marked Apple’s worst trading day since March 2020. The steep drop came after former President Donald Trump announced a new set of tariffs targeting 185 countries, including major U.S. trading partners.
As a result, Apple’s market capitalization fell by more than $310 billion in a single day. These newly imposed tariffs, effective April 9th, include a 10% blanket duty on all imports, with higher rates applied to specific countries. China, Apple’s primary manufacturing hub, will face a combined 54% tariff—34% newly imposed, added to an existing 20% rate.
Other affected regions include the European Union (20%), Vietnam (46%), Taiwan (32%), and India (26%). Analysts consider Apple especially vulnerable to these policies due to its heavy reliance on overseas production, especially in China, where nearly 85% of iPhones are manufactured.
According to Dan Ives of Wedbush, future exemptions to these tariffs may depend on Apple’s efforts to localize its operations within the U.S., a move hinted at by the company earlier this year. However, no details have been confirmed regarding whether Apple’s U.S. expansion plans will qualify for tariff relief. The timing of the policy combined with Apple’s exposure to international supply chains, led to a bear shift in market.
Technical Analysis: Apple Breaks Below Key $197 Support
Apple’s price action shows an impulsive breakdown below the key $197 strong support level. The price is currently trading around $188, trading towards next support at $167 as the immediate support.
A drop below $167 could push the stock lower to a long-term support around $125, which was lastly retested in Dec 2022. On the upside, any recovery would first need to reclaim the broken support at $197, which now acts as resistance. The all-time high around $260 remains far away from reach unless the overall stock market sentiment improves.
Looking ahead, the chart outlines two likely scenarios. In the bullish case, Apple may find support around $167, bounce back and attempt to break above $197, possibly re-establishing it as a support zone.
In the bearish case, failure to hold $167 could push the stock lower to test $125, and if that level breaks, the price may continue downward. The current market outlook suggests a wait-and-see approach, to what happens at key level, as both macroeconomic news and technical levels continue to drive Apple stock lower.