Is DHL Group ready to break the long term triangle? 200dma is still acting as major resistance but approaching the end of the triangle. The chances might be high that breakout occur before the end of the year. 2nd quarter numbers were good. 6-6.5 billion EUR operating profit confirmed for 2024. Decent dividend of 4.5% at current prices.
Melanie Kreis, CFO DHL Group: "Thanks to our unique logistics portfolio we are well prepared for when global trade regains momentum."
DPW trade ideas
DHL: The low has been delivered 📦Due to the current upward movement of the DHL share, we now consider the low of the green wave (1) to have been reached. Consequently, the share price is currently already in the green wave , which is likely to continue for some time. We expect this wave to end below the resistance level of €47.05 and thus the start of a new downward trend.
Bearish ABCThe overall economic situation in Europe and even worldwide seems to be slowly but steadily deteriorating. However, if we are looking to short then deciding on a good target is very difficult, because it is difficult to anticipate which sectors might break first. For me, the most likely scenario will be that the consumer worldwide will slowly start running out of money to spend as loss of purchasing power due to prolonged inflation will start to bite. Hence, a global economic slowdown in shipping and distribution services, especially in and out of Europe seems to be likely.
Based on this fundamental hypothesis targeting XETR:DHL as one of the largest European transportation service providers is a logical choice.
Now all we are looking for is a technical signal to enter a bearish position and we believe to have identified a possible entry. It looks like there could be a bearish ABC pattern:
A - Bounce off 42 (done)
B - Rejection at 44
C - Breakdown to next support at 40
All possibly within the month of September.
We ride at dawn.