MSTR📊 MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) – Technical & Simple Fundamental Analysis
1️⃣ Technical Analysis
🔍 Overall Trend Analysis
Long-term uptrend remains intact, but the stock is currently in a pullback phase from its $500 peak.
Testing 50-day EMA support ($238.91) – a key level for bulls to defend.
Short-term momentum is bearish, with declining RSI and a bearish MACD crossover.
📌 Key Levels
✅ Support Zones:
$230 - $240 → Testing 50-day EMA, crucial support.
$180 - $200 → Stronger demand zone if $230 fails.
$120 - $140 → Near 200-day EMA ($118.00), deeper correction level.
Below $120 → Supports at $100, $80, $60, $40 (historical levels).
🚀 Resistance Zones:
$280 - $300 → Immediate resistance after rejection.
$340 - $360 → Next resistance from recent peaks.
$420 - $500 → All-time high resistance.
📉 Indicators & Volume
📊 Moving Averages:
9-day EMA: $297.18 (short-term resistance).
20-day EMA: $297.58 (confirming short-term bearish trend).
50-day EMA: $238.91 (being tested as support).
200-day EMA: $118.00 (long-term uptrend remains intact).
📉 RSI (43.94) → Approaching oversold territory.
📉 MACD → Bearish crossover, showing downward momentum increasing.
📊 Volume → Selling volume increasing, but not extreme yet.
🔭 What to Watch Next (Technical)
✅ Bullish case: Price holds $230-$240 & reclaims $280.
⚠️ Bearish case: Break below $230 → Potential drop to $200 or lower.
2️⃣ Fundamental Analysis NASDAQ:MSTR (Simplified)
📌 Revenue: $57.53M (-3% YoY), Net Loss: -$670.8M in Q4 2024.
📌 Bitcoin Holdings: 478,740 BTC (~$45.1B market value, acquired for $31.1 billion).
📌 Capital Raising: Issuing $21B in preferred securities to fund further Bitcoin purchases.
📌 Stock Performance: Down last 3 months
📌 Workforce Cuts: Laid off 20.7% of employees in 2024.
📌 Rebranding: Now officially called "Strategy", symbolizing its Bitcoin-focused direction.
🔭 What to Watch Next (Fundamental)
✅ Bitcoin price movement – heavily influences MSTR.
✅ Earnings improvements – need to reduce losses.
✅ Institutional buying trends – support or sell-off?
🔥 Final Thoughts: MSTR is at a critical support zone. If Bitcoin remains strong, a bounce is possible. However, a breakdown below $230 could trigger deeper downside. 🚀📊
