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MICROSTRATEGY stock forum

3 hours ago

One of the best swing trades there is. Wait til Saylor dilutes or buys btc, be patient for the low, get in.

8 hours ago

💣 The Ultimate MSTR Trade? Leverage Their Own Leverage. 😎🔥 Let Saylor tank all the risk ❤️

MSTR is a ticking time bomb of leverage.

🔁 They issue convertible debt to buy BTC.
📈 BTC goes up? Everyone cheers.
📉 BTC goes down? They dilute or die.

But here’s the alpha:
Why not buy their convertible bonds (high yield, debt priority)...
📉 AND short the stock to hedge against dilution, downside, and mismanagement?

🎯 Why this works:
🪙 Convertible bonds = debt first, equity later (only if converted).
📉 Shorting MSTR stock gives you a clean hedge against dilution and volatility.
💸 If BTC crashes → MSTR tanks → short wins
🔐 If BTC moonshots → your bond still earns a fixed yield, and you manage stock exposure dynamically.
Let them fight the market while you front-run their collapse or squeeze.

You’re not just fading the trade.
You’re fading the Ponzi-style capital structure itself 😍

🧠 Real alpha is turning a hype stock into a free lunch risk arb.

#MSTR #Bitcoin #Convertibles #ShortSqueeze #CryptoEquities #MacroHedge #BTC #MichaelSaylor #TradingStrategy #WallStreetAlpha #AsymmetricTrade

steve66gibbs44

9 hours ago

and THIS is how they strip you of your money..... shake weak traders out in both directions... on and on.

besikmurjikneli

10 hours ago

300 loading

thelogman

12 hours ago

The mNAV is continuing to drop. To those that called Chanos an idiot and that he didn't know what he was getting into when he opened his position with mNAV at 2.30+, take note as you dine on your crow.

People don't become billionaires without looking at risk vs. reward from 360 angles on 100s of different stocks before deciding on where to deploy their capital. And MSTR rose to the top of his list.

Chanos took Saylor's model and modified it: Sell MSTR like Saylor does, and use proceeds to buy BTC leveraged 2x via BITX or 10x with synthetic long options. He profits if BTC goes up. If MSTR goes up, no problem.. Extra capital to deploy into BTC. If BTC trends sideway, dilution is his friend: When Saylor dilutes, Chanos' short position gains equity. If BTC goes down, loss is offset from MSTR going down in sympathy. Brilliant leveraged play that doesn't require bond market participation or long term debt. He let's Saylor do that part, needed to keep the balls juggling in the air.

Shareholders are left holding the bag: They have both Saylor and Chanos using MSTR like a spigot to generate free cash to reinvest into BTC. Shareholders are getting diluted on two fronts and the mNAV collapses.

Preferred shareholders make out like bandits collecting 10% dividends and then exercise their put option if MSTR tanks or doesn't rise to the conversion strike price.

When extracted using a double press, I hear Hopium juice goes well with crow.