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NVD trade ideas

NVDA Slams into Key Gamma Wall After Tariff Shock. Cont. down?NVDA Slams into Key Gamma Wall After Tariff Shock – Breakdown or Bounce? 🧠 Macro Backdrop: Today’s broad market sell-off was triggered by news of Trump proposing tariffs, sparking risk-off sentiment, especially in tech and semiconductors like NVDA. The fear of supply chain inflation and global trade disruption hit momentum stocks hard. This news matters because: * NVDA is a major global chip exporter. * Tariffs = higher costs + weaker margins = bearish for NVDA fundamentals. * Institutions are rapidly de-risking, confirmed by volume + options flow. 📊 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) Structure: * NVDA broke back below the 108 support — now acting as resistance. * Price is currently sitting around 104.13, probing the gamma support band and near a key demand level at 104–105. * This level coincides with PUT Support and HVL zone, meaning dealers might defend here, if they aren’t forced to hedge further. Trend: * Short-term: Bearish. * Price rejected from the 114–115 CALL wall cluster (Gamma Ceiling). * Forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming distribution + breakdown structure. 🔥 GEX + Options Flow Analysis Dealer Positioning: * GEX: 🔴🔴 — strong negative gamma zone, meaning dealers short gamma and are selling into weakness. * As price drops, dealers sell more → amplifying downside moves. * Current GEX Setup: * Highest positive NETGEX/Call Resistance at 114–115 → unlikely to reclaim this without catalyst. * Put Support near 104.6, aligning with today’s bounce attempt. Options Data: * IVR: 23 → relatively low. * IVx avg: 54.5 vs current IVx = 23 → volatility is still compressed despite crash. * CALLS only 6.5% → very bearish skew. * Put Wall at: * 104.6 (support) — holding for now. * 100 — if 104 breaks, this is the next magnet. 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🐻 Bearish Continuation: * Trigger: Breakdown below 104 support zone. * Target: 100 psychological + PUT Wall (high confluence). * Stop: Close above 108. * Notes: Watch for macro headlines to further accelerate this breakdown. 🐂 Relief Bounce Setup: * Trigger: Strong bounce and reclaim of 108 with volume. * Target: 110 → 112 retest (low probability unless sentiment shifts). * Invalidation: New low below 104 with momentum. 📌 Commentary: This chart perfectly reflects a dealer-driven gamma crash fueled by a macro catalyst. NVDA was already in a downtrend, and today’s tariff news created the conditions for: * Breaking demand structure. * Triggering delta hedging from dealers. * Pushing price into low-liquidity zones near PUT walls. The bounce off 104 may be short-lived unless macro fear eases. ⚠️ Final Take: * Bias: Bearish below 108. * If 104 breaks, look for a flush to 100. * Volume confirms institutional exit, and options data shows dealers are selling rips, not buying dips. 📉 Trade Idea: Buy PUTS (1–2 weeks out) if price rejects 108 retest.
Strike: 102P or 100P
Stop: SPOT above 109
Target: $100–$101 zone This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
1
Phase 4 broken, the hyperwave will be completedWe've seen this cycle across more or less in all kinds of assets. the MAG7 is no exception. As today, we've broken down from Phase 4, despise you like it or not, once these structures break down, PA(price action) will always find its way back to its true fair value. Already called it, but this time, we get a closer look towards the TA in NVDA. Sequentials are settled in, we're going for a 9 monthly count of sequential bars down, the intensity of the moves is yet to be known, but alas, we will have to look at SMA's and the range of the monthly Linear Regression, they all have supports around 80, 40, 20. And as usual, be safe, don't long this.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by achh
1
NVDA rebound after PANIC SELLING This idea is a perfect example of how the market gives you different signs at the reversal points. Let's recap from the beginning: 1. First, there was the CRACK pattern of the support, which warns of a bearish move. 2. There was an attempt to go higher which did not work out. 3. There was a GAP DOWN, that needed to materialize the CRACK pattern to the downside, but it did not act right, and did not spill right away and there was a bounce above the broken pink support line. 4. After #3, you would expect a Bullish move, the BLUE trajectory, since #3 acted as a real-time lookalike of a SPRING by Wyckoff methodology. But the BLUE did not materialize, so it did not "act right" according to Jesse Livermore. 5. When we started going down again on wider and wider bearish candles, this confirms again the CRACK PATTERN. What is the CRACK PATTERN? The crack pattern is when there is a CLEAR support/resistance line, that has been "cracked", but then there is a "retest" a false move, to the other side, as if the CRACK is the false move, but the CRACK signifies the upcoming strong move. Once the CRACK is being CRACKED again, the big explosive move should come. 6. The CRACK pattern materialized, and we got the spilldown = STRONG SHORT MOVE. 7. See my educational idea about this CRACK PATTERN, as "found" before the fact, this time it was more tricky than usual since it did not follow "the right way" as right away as usually happens on a weaker stock since NVDA has a bullish outlook. So it "put out a fight. Or in the puppet master view... if the public want to buy higher before the fall... there is no reason to sell him lower... so the price rebound and the fall did not materialized right away. 8. The moral lesson from this, is that in realtime, you need to change your hypothesis as you go. Once a signs for strong movement happen, then you want it to "ACT RIGHT". If it does not act the way you know, you need to quickly change your direction.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ZoharCho
Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded. I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed. We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place. Ok, but what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news. While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace. I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong. NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters. The SPX and NDX is landline. Crypto is free wireless internet for all. The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control. Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom. Times change. The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term. Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up? I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows. But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up. It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up. The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto. People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all. Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value. At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money. The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more. If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money. Bitcoin is money for the new generation. The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place. Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same. Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow. After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure. Namaste.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by MasterAnanda
5
$NVIDIA ─ Wyckoff Distribution #4 aka Rising Wedge PatternVANTAGE:NVIDIA ─ Wyckoff Distribution #4 aka Rising Wedge Pattern Although Rising wedge turning into more like Rising Channel distribution idea is still valid. #2 Long Trade TP1 Hit so far 🔥 ------------ ------------ Note: This is the most positive outcome possible. As always, my play is: ✅ 50% out at TP1 ✅ Move SL to entry ✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs It's important to take profits along the way and not turn a winning trade into a losing trade.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Bulltro
NVDA Flash Crashed! Will $90 Hold or More Blood Ahead?The market took a violent turn after Trump’s tariff bombshell, and high-flyers like NVDA are now in a fragile freefall. Is this a dead-cat bounce or a rare buying opportunity? 📉 Technical Breakdown (1H Smart Money Concepts) * Bearish structure confirmed via BOS at $103 and $95. * Trading inside a well-defined downward channel—respecting trendlines. * Currently in a consolidation box near $92, inside potential demand. 🔑 Key Levels: * Support: $90 (must hold) → below that, $87 and $85. * Resistance: $95.60 (highest negative NETGEX), then $102–$104 (gap fill). * MACD & Stoch RSI showing early signs of reversal—but no confirmation yet. 🧲 Options Sentiment via GEX (1H) * Highest Negative NETGEX at $95.60 → massive short interest. * PUT Wall: $90 (crucial support), next level at $85. * CALL Wall: $108–$110 = strong rejection zone this week. * Options Oscillator: * IVR: 65.2 | IVx avg: 92.9 → volatility priced in. * Calls%: Only 8.7% bullish participation → extremely bearish positioning. * GEX color: 🔴🔴🔵 = bearish zone, but potential for volatility-based reversal. 🧠 Scenarios to Watch 🔻 Bearish Trade Setup: * Short rejection from $95–$96 * Target: $90 → $87 * Stop: $98 🔼 Bullish Scalp Idea: * Long on confirmed reclaim of $95.60 * Target: $102–$104 (gap-fill) * Stop: $92.50 🧳 Investor Perspective We’re entering accumulation zones. Start building long positions below $90 in steps. Major long-term support lies between $85 and $80. Use time-based entries, not emotion. 📌 NVDA Takeaway: * Market sentiment is fear-driven, but AI fundamentals are still intact. * $95 = battlefield. $90 = line in the sand. * Stay nimble. Be patient. Watch volume and flow. 🔔 Follow for daily TA with SMC + GEX setups
 💬 Drop a comment: Bullish or Bearish NVDA this week? ❗Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This post is for educational purposes only. Do your own research and manage your risk. 🧵 Hashtags: #NVDA #NVIDIA #OptionsFlow #GammaExposure #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #GEX #TradingView #StockMarketCrash #TariffNews #InvestorMindset #BearMarketBounce
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
1
NVDA Major Trend BreakNVDA finally broke down below its major uptrend it has been in since February 2024. It did move below briefly recently during the DeepSeek sell off, but quickly reclaimed. This time it has fallen much farther below so I'd say it's a bit more concerning for bulls. It did bounce and hold right around that low it made the last time it broke, but this looks like a stronger break that has a better chance of staying below. This is mission critical for the broader market and if it can't reclaim quickly, it is likely a signal of a longer term correction for the stock itself and the entire market. It will be very important to watch moving forward. First downside targets are 97.40 (previous double top and ATH) and 90.69 (August 2024 low).
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by AdvancedPlays
1
$NVDA | A Double Bottom in the Making? We’re spotting the early structure of a double bottom pattern forming on NASDAQ:NVDA — a classic bullish reversal signal. After a steep decline, price action is showing signs of stabilization, testing support twice, and trying to recover from the lows. But there’s a catch... 📌 No confirmation yet. The neckline still needs to be broken with strong momentum to validate this formation and trigger potential upside. ⚠️ Today’s tariff-related news could be the catalyst. A strong reaction may either confirm the breakout or invalidate the pattern entirely. What to watch: Break above the neckline with volume = potential entry ✅ Failure + breakdown = more pain to come ❌ This is a key technical level. Stay sharp and let price action lead the way.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SmartSignalss