NVIDIA to ATH $153 until end of 2024 (16% ROI)With NASDAQ:NVDA , we are currently in a promising position to see a final exaggeration into the end of the year. The stock has risen over 180% percent in 2024 and I think we have a good chance to make 200% out of that. Looking at the chart we can see a clear uptrend trendline starting in August this year with multiple touchpoints along the line. Since October we're consolidating within the range from $131 to $153. After touching the trendline on thursday last week we're good to go higher (at least for now). Resistance will be the current ATH at $153. If we fail to hold the level at $131 on the daily chart the trade will be invalidated. That leaves us with 16.54% ROI in total.
Target Zone
$153.00
Support Zone
$131.00
NVD trade ideas
$NVDA H&S, Potential Correction?Seeing this H&S forming on NVDA. Technicals showing a potential correction down to $110. This price prediction was made by measuring from the head down to the neckline. With recent FOMC reaction will this be possible? If anyone has fundamentals of the overall AI market for the short term id love to hear your input.
NVDA Analysis in Three Trading Strategies1. GEX Analysis for Options Trading
Gamma Levels and Key Insights:
* Support Levels:
* $130: Major put support, showing strong downside protection.
* $128: Next support level (3rd Put Wall).
* Resistance Levels:
* $134: HVL (High Volatility Level) and pivotal gamma level for upside moves.
* $136: Highest NET GEX, indicating a strong resistance zone.
* $137–$140: Major call wall resistance.
* IV and Sentiment:
* IVR: 38.9, suggesting moderate implied volatility.
* Calls %: Moderate at 37.3%, indicating mixed sentiment.
Options Strategy:
* Bullish:
* Buy calls above $134 with a target at $136 and $137.
* Use $132 as a stop-loss.
* Bearish:
* Buy puts below $130 with a target of $128 and $126.
* Use $132 as a stop-loss.
2. 1-Hour Chart for Swing/Day Trading
Key Observations:
* Trend: Downtrend with lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish sentiment.
* Support and Resistance:
* Support at $130, aligned with gamma levels.
* Resistance at $134.
* Indicators:
* EMA (9/21): Bearish alignment with price below both EMAs.
* MACD: Bearish crossover, confirming downside momentum.
Swing/Day Trading Setup:
* Bullish:
* Entry: Above $134 with volume.
* Target: $136 and $137.
* Stop-loss: Below $133.
* Bearish:
* Entry: Below $130.
* Target: $128 and $126.
* Stop-loss: Above $132.
3. 2-Minute Chart for Scalping
Key Observations:
* Trend: Strong intraday selling pressure with no significant recovery.
* Scalping Levels:
* Resistance: $131.20.
* Support: $130.00.
* Volume:
* Selling pressure increased during the latter half of the session.
* Indicators:
* EMA (9/21): Dynamic resistance, confirming bearish structure.
* MACD: Bearish divergence with no signs of reversal.
Scalping Strategy:
* Bullish:
* Entry: Break above $131.20.
* Target: $132.00.
* Stop-loss: Below $131.00.
* Bearish:
* Entry: Break below $130.00.
* Target: $129.00.
* Stop-loss: Above $130.20.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
Staying calm and buying NVDAThe world is not ending (yet). NASDAQ:NVDA is down a little over 12% since the beginning of November and everyone acts like it didn't have drops of 20+% in August/Sept and 25ish% in July.
Normal state of affairs for NASDAQ:NVDA , so I'm a buyer here. Beware, though. While my algo is historically undefeated on NVDA, it has also gotten me into FAST, APD, CR and some others lately that are acting like absolute dogs. I'm sure they will work out in the end, but these trades would test the patience of most - they're testing me and I know how the story ends already. I'm hoping this trade breaks that ugly streak I'm on rather than joins it. Fingers crossed...
I'm adding as long as the algo says it's a buy and I'm selling any lot on its first profitable close. Same plan as usual. Side note: most of the trades shown on the chart used a more aggressive exit strategy than this does. Closing out on the first profitable close for a lot works especially well when a trade entry is part of a downtrend. The trade should close more quickly, but generate a smaller win when it does.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Post-Earnings Battle Between Bulls and BearsIt is getting harder for $NVDA. Nvidia's earnings appear to have produced a muted market reaction for once. The chip maker's blowout quarterly report was good enough to support the stock but not provide another leg to its stunning rally. By any normal measure Nvidia's third-quarter numbers were stunning, as it nearly doubled its revenue from the prior year. However, its guidance wasn't as strong as some analysts had expected. Which is incredibly if you think that doubling its revenue is not enough for Nvidia to surge higher once more. Attention will now turn to the rollout of Nvidia's Blackwell artificial-intelligence chips
Our attention will stay on the chart and we can see this kind of market behaviour in the chart really well. It seems as if bulls and bears are now battling about this earnings report and there are definitely some people trapped with option calls on NVIDIA that they have bought before the earnings.
NASDAQ:NVDA has build somewhat of a trend channel and keeps on defending the lower edge of it very well in the past. The question now is if the wave ((iv)) is already finished or not.
With the fact that NASDAQ:NVDA is loosing momentum on the RSI but still being able to reclaim the VAL and putting in higher highs we think is is very likely that we are seeing some kind of pullback/blowout of those positions that have been opened and trapped at the all time high now. Still NASDAQ:NVDA is a stock that can put in 10% next week and nobody would be astonished. Therefore we are moving our stop loss from our current open position to 114.50$ and setting alerts for a possible buying opportunity again on $NVDA.
NVDA is coming backWent below the earnings low but the stock has a strong support around 127 and 132 range. Relative strength is pretty good and it seems like is trying to come back. The fundamentals are still good.
Therefore, I have this trade idea to buy the stock of the 130 with a very tight stop at 125 and my target is 165.
Is NVIDIA Ready to Break Out or Break Down?Good morning, trading family!
How’s everyone feeling today? Got your coffee? Charts ready? It’s time to dive in and see what the market has in store for us.
Here’s the vibe: NVIDIA’s setting up for something big—are we aiming for $142 or sliding to $119? It’s like a game of tug-of-war, and the market’s holding the rope.
Quick Tip: Remember, trading is about patience and discipline. If you’re feeling stuck, step away, take a breath, and come back with a clear head. The market’s not going anywhere.
If you want a closer look at these setups or other ideas I’m watching, feel free to check out my profile or send me a DM—I’m always happy to share insights or answer questions. Let’s make it a great day!
Kris /Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #1 - NVDA Head and ShouldersThis is looking like an epic setup for NVDA, make or break here. Recently we had a shorter term inverse H&S that failed, but the longer term H&S remains valid for now. We have several things going on here, all of which looks pretty clean.
To summarize:
- Major support at $131.50 that was previous resistance from August.
- Head and Shoulders with the neckline right at said support.
- Ascending wedge starting at the August low, price just barely broke below and closed below.
- Major pattern is still riding momentum off of the big triangle breakout, projected target of ~$170 has not been hit.
- Recent weakness, I'd call it extreme weakness considering what the mag 7 and names like AVGO have done while NVDA continues to fall.
So how do I intend to play it? The great thing about this setup is how clean everything is, should be fairly straightforward to trade. If the neckline/support at $131.50 doesn't hold, it's a short down to a retest of the triangle at minimum. If neither trendline from the triangle holds, next target is at $90. I'd call it good and reassess at that point, but eventually I expect $70 to hit and finally we'll see it move down to about $50 which will probably be near the major bottom.
If $131.50 holds, then the dump will be delayed to a future date, will look for longs instead. If it can bounce and reclaim the trendline from the August low, I'd look for longs on a retest there or any decent dips really. We may end up making a new ATH and hitting that $170 target from the triangle breakout. Should be a big move either way, definitely worth watching as it will have a big impact on the broader market as well.
NVDA - momentum down; price down or rangingNVDA:
Weekly:
-the momentum broke below a steady uptrend line
-price can still go sideways even when momentum goes down
-my s/r area is around 140; if NVDA pulls back, the 90 area may still hold
Note:
-I'm still not in nvda - I just like it as a proxy for the market
NVDIA: Eyes on the long term picture. $400 by end 2025.NVDIA is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.887, MACD = -1.990, ADX = 34.084) but still neutral on 1W (RSI = 54.240), which outlines a strong long-term buy opportunity on this temporary medium-term weakness. The current situation is best viewed on the 1W timeframe where NVDIA has been experiencing since the June High a pause to its bullish trend as the price action turned sideways. This is a situation that the stock is familiar with as it has happened on every Cycle in the last 10 years.
The two past Cycles you can see on the chart had the same mid-way sideways consolidation, while at the same time the 1W RSI formed a Channel Down. In both cases the 1W MA50 supported, as it has now. With that trendline holding, NVDIA was able to resume the bullish trend to the 3.5 Fibonacci extension from the consolidation Rectangle. That Fib is now at $400 and that is technically this Cycle's target towards the end of 2025.
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NVDA - Morning Star Reversal pattern at HnS necklineLower High and Lower Low -> Downtrend and Bearish.
Slow Turtle Sell signal (Based on daily chart)
FiFT is -ve (Stronger Bear)
MCDX Institutional volume is high but not active.
However, there's Morning Star Pattern (Bullish Reversal pattern) at Head and Shoulder neckline support zone 126-135.
Need to move above 140 in short term to regain bull strength otherwise, breaks below neckline will expose next support zone at 115-120 and 1x HnS Target at 100-105
Currently no buy signal yet. Morning Star pattern still in motion. Need confirmation.
MONITOR for BoD at 100, 120 or 140
NVIDIA Breaks Key Support: H&S Pattern Targets $116.10NASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA just broke the $131.80 support zone, acting as the neckline for a head and shoulders pattern . Default targets for this pattern are now projected at $116.10, aligning with the 200% Fibonacci extension level and a convergence cluster of Fibonacci levels.
With the bearish butterfly pattern failing by just a few points, a further correction seems likely. As we approach the holiday season, watch for a potential upward trendline support below the convergence cluster—could this be the calm before a deeper dip?
NVIDIA (NVDA) broke the $131.80 support zone.
Default targets for this pattern are now projected at $116.10,.
As we near the holiday season, watch for a possible ascending trendline support below the convergence cluster, which could signal a reversal or continued downside.
[NVDA] Is Nvidia bullish?
In the short term, if it holds the 131-133 range after today's gap up, we can expect an uptrend. If it is not bullish, it will likely break below 130 and continue to move sideways and weaken. In other words, we should prepare for an investment plan when it breaks below 130.
Is the AI Revolution Built on a House of Cards?In the treacherous landscape of technological ambition, Nvidia emerges as a cautionary tale of unchecked corporate hubris and potentially unsustainable growth. What appeared to be an unstoppable technological juggernaut now reveals deep fissures in its seemingly impenetrable facade, with mounting challenges threatening to unravel its carefully constructed narrative of AI dominance. Specific challenges underscore this fragility: comments from Microsoft's Satya Nadella suggest a potential moderation in AI chip demand, while Alphabet's Sundar Pichai has highlighted that "the low-hanging fruit is gone" in AI model development.
Beneath the glossy veneer of technological innovation lies a troubling reality of regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. Nvidia faces a perfect storm of challenges: a potential slowdown in AI chip demand, an aggressive antitrust investigation by Chinese regulators, and growing skepticism from industry leaders. The competition is intensifying, with Amazon developing its own Trainium AI chips, and Broadcom positioning itself to capture significant market share with custom AI chip solutions projected to reach $90 billion in the next three years. OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever's stark statement that "we've achieved peak data" further undermines the narrative of unbridled AI growth.
The broader implications are profound and deeply concerning. Nvidia's struggles represent a microcosm of the larger technological ecosystem—a world where innovation is increasingly constrained by geopolitical tensions, regulatory challenges, and the harsh economic realities of diminishing returns. Despite massive capital expenditures by tech giants—with Microsoft nearly doubling its spending to $20 billion and Meta increasing expenses by 36%—only 4% of US workers use AI daily. This stark disconnect between investment and actual utility exposes the potential fragility of Nvidia's market position, with analysts suggesting that 2024 may have been the peak in terms of percentage increase for AI-related infrastructure spending.
NVIDIA's Declined over 10%, Why? When will be the Buy timing? NVIDIA fell nearly 4% today before narrowing the loss to 1.22%. Since hitting a record closing high of $148.88 in early November, the AI chip maker's stock has dropped over 10%.
So, what is causing NVIDIA's decline?
Firstly, Supply Chain Issues and Challenges
NVIDIA faces multiple challenges in its supply chain, a significant factor in its stock decline.
First, according to the latest data, the order volume and schedules for the GB200 and GB300 have been adjusted. Particularly, the mass production and shipment of GB series products have been postponed until after the Lunar New Year in February, increasing market uncertainty. Additionally, the small-scale production plans for GB300 face tight deadlines, putting pressure on GB200's mass production.
Specific supply chain issues include CoWoS-L packaging technology, heating problems, copper cable connections, and leakage issues. These not only affect product yield rates but also increase system integration time costs. Consequently, NVIDIA has suggested customers purchase the B200 8-card HGX as a transitional solution, and clients like Microsoft are considering switching their orders. These supply chain issues affect NVIDIA's product delivery capabilities and reduce market expectations for its future performance.
Secondly, Market Competition and Narrative Changes
ASICs are gaining market recognition as a competitive narrative.
ASICs are chips designed for specific tasks, akin to custom running shoes for a race. For certain tasks, ASICs outperform NVIDIA's GPUs (widely used for computing tasks) and are potentially cheaper.
OpenAI co-founder Ilya and industry leaders like Microsoft's CEO Satya have started discussing the importance of not only training AI models but also ensuring they can quickly and accurately make decisions in real applications. This shift in perspective gives ASICs an advantage in some scenarios, as they are designed for rapid, precise execution of tasks.
This raises questions about the cost of NVIDIA's GPUs. While powerful, they are expensive and require significant electricity and cooling. As ASICs perform better at lower costs for some tasks, there's consideration of replacing NVIDIA's GPUs with ASICs.
Additionally, changes in scaling law narratives and the strengthening of inference narratives pose threats to NVIDIA.
Scaling laws suggest that increasing AI model size (e.g., more neurons or layers) typically improves performance, but these gains are not infinite and require significant computational resources. This means NVIDIA must continually invest resources to improve product performance, potentially increasing costs.
Moreover, companies like BTC, Tesla, and Google are investing heavily in their own AI chips or solutions. This intensifies market competition and challenges NVIDIA's leadership.
Thirdly, Market Sentiment and Capital Flows
Market sentiment and capital flow significantly impact NVIDIA's stock price. As the year ends, retail investors, ETFs, and institutions adjust their portfolios. Fluctuations in tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google affect tech stocks like NVIDIA. Investors are more cautious, favoring stable, promising companies.
Given these conditions, NVIDIA faces pressure on its stock price due to supply chain issues and competition. Lowered expectations for NVIDIA's future performance lead to capital outflows and stock price declines.
Fourthly, Future Outlook and Catalysts
Despite current challenges, NVIDIA has opportunities for a turnaround.
First, NVIDIA needs to resolve supply chain issues, improve product yield, and delivery capabilities. Second, strengthening its presence in software and applications is crucial to addressing market competition. Additionally, NVIDIA should explore new computing narratives to expand its computing potential.
Fifthly, Technical Analysis and Price Divergence
Previously, prices rose continuously, but volume and KDJ began to decline, showing divergence. Without capital support, upward momentum was insufficient, leading to a short-term adjustment and a break below the mid-term trend line, resulting in a mid-term callback.
When Might a New Rally Occur?
From a technical analysis perspective: After two prior mid-term adjustments, breaking the downward trend line may signal the start of a new rally. Thus, this new rally must first break the resistance line.
From a catalyst perspective: While January's CES and the earnings release in late February may not bring major surprises, March's GTC is worth anticipating. NVIDIA needs to showcase new technologies and products at this event to restore market confidence. If NVIDIA can introduce groundbreaking innovations, a stock rebound is possible.