NVDA A Bounce in the Making? Key Levels to Watch for Nov. 19, 24NVDA has been in a short-term downtrend, with declining momentum as it approaches a key support zone. Currently trading near $140, the price action suggests a potential reversal or continuation setup, making it an exciting candidate for both scalping and swing trading strategies.
Price Action Insights:
Trendline Break Alert:
NVDA has respected a descending trendline, but the recent consolidation near $140 hints at a potential breakout. Look for price action around $142-$143 for confirmation of a trend reversal.
Support and Resistance:
Key Support: $137.10 (recent low) — this level must hold to prevent further downside.
Immediate Resistance: $143.30 — a breakout above this level could push the price toward the next supply zone at $149.
Supply and Demand Zones:
Demand Zone: $135-$137 — expect buying pressure in this area if the price revisits.
Supply Zone: $148-$150 — sellers may step in here, making it a logical swing trade target.
Order Block:
The $137-$140 range shows signs of institutional accumulation. Monitor volume and candlestick patterns for further validation.
Indicator Analysis:
EMA Strategy:
9 EMA vs. 21 EMA: The moving averages are flattening, signaling potential consolidation. A bullish crossover will confirm upward momentum.
MACD:
MACD histogram shows reducing bearish momentum. A bullish crossover on the hourly timeframe would strengthen the case for a move higher.
Game Plan for Scalping:
Entry Points:
Go long above $143 on a confirmed breakout with volume.
Short below $137 if the support breaks with momentum.
Exit Points:
Take profits near $145 for long scalps.
Cover shorts near $135.
Game Plan for Swing Trading:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Above $143 with strong confirmation.
Target 1: $149; Target 2: $155.
Stop Loss: Below $137 to limit risk.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Below $137 on a breakdown.
Target: $132.
Stop Loss: Above $143.
Thoughts and Suggestions: NVIDIA is in a pivotal zone. A break above $143 could signal the start of a reversal, while a failure to hold $137 may lead to further downside. For scalpers, focus on intraday levels and quick profits. Swing traders should wait for confirmation of the breakout or breakdown before entering.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
NVD trade ideas
Get ready get set for Nvidia's earningsIn the lead-up to its earnings report on Thursday morning AEDT, Nvidia's stock pulled back 1.29% to $140.15 overnight. Expectations are high, and the market will go into the announcement positioned long, looking for a fifth consecutive quarterly earnings beat.
If Nvidia's results beat expectations, its shares could climb above $150 in the sessions ahead. Conversely, disappointment could prompt a swift downturn toward the critical support level at $130.00.
CEO Jensen Huang's commentary on the call will be particularly important regarding expectations around the Blackwell launch, supply, and Hopper shipments.
Given Nvidia's significant impact, its performance will undoubtedly drive sentiment in the tech sector and the broader market into year-end.
For the record, there is a range of expectations out there.
- Eikon has an EPS of $0.72 and Revenues of $32.1 billion expected which seems on the low side.
- A large US broker is forecasting EPS of $0.79c and Revenues of $38.8 billion.
- Earnings Whisper has EPS of $0.78c and Revenues of $32.81 billion.
WYSWYGThis week, NVDA reports earnings, confirming a couple of things: 1) whether it can sustain its sales, 2) whether it can increase them, and 3) who is distributing its chips( NASDAQ:SMCI , NYSE:DELL ). Similarly, today it signed an agreement with Google to develop quantum computing chips, a revolutionary step in the field of technology.
Technically speaking, we have a large symmetrical triangle(D) that has just invalidated any possibility of a drop. Right now, micro-patterns are forming(B,C), pushing the price up and down within a large descending flag(A). If the flag plays out, we could return to the resistance of the massive symmetrical triangle at $122 USD, which would then act as support. On the other hand, this flag could break, as there are several patterns that could quickly invalidate it. Therefore, I believe we’ll see movement in both directions on Wednesday, but ultimately trending higher and the symmetrical end price is $173
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 137.39
Hello, traders.
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(NVDA 1W chart)
This is the stock with the highest trading volume among NAS100 stocks.
It showed a downward trend near 1 (150.20), which was expected to be touched.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 141.98.
If not, it is possible that it will fall to around 123.54.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 137.39 and rise above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
Accordingly, it is expected to continue the upward trend if it rises above 0.886 (143.44).
If not, if it falls below 137.39, it is likely to fall near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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NVIDIA in a Channel – Key Levels to WatchHey trading family, NVIDIA is moving in a channel, and the next breakout could set the tone. Here’s what I’m seeing:
Break below $137: This could trigger a correction down to $134, $132, $129, and possibly $120.
Break above $143: If we clear this level, NVIDIA could push up toward $154.
This channel setup gives us a clear roadmap for both upside and downside potential. What’s your game plan?
Like, comment, and share your thoughts! Got your own ideas or questions? Send me a DM – let’s chat about it.
Mindbloome Trading // Kris
Trade What You See.
Nvidia RETRACEMENT Imminent to $105-110 per shareNvidia recently reached an all-time high of $149.76, marking a 50% increase since my analysis on August 2, 2024. With earnings due in three days, I believe the current price already reflects market expectations.
Looking ahead, the upcoming release of Blackwell GPUs, likely in early January, and before the CES tech event (largest international tech event: 7-10 January), sets the stage for a strong 2025. Given the anticipated demand in AI and gaming markets, Nvidia's growth trajectory will likely remains strong.
In the short term, I expect the stock price to retrace to the $105–$110 range. While a correction is not guaranteed, such a pullback would open the door for an excellent buying opportunity and I will be going 'all in', if this occurs.
By the end of 2025, I estimate Nvidia’s stock to reach $200 per share, representing a potential 100% gain from the anticipated dip. This forecast is based on strong fundamentals, and increasing demand of GPUs for large datacentres for AI.
Nvidia Earnings Next Week: Key Insights for Traders
- Recent Performance: In the lead-up to its earnings report scheduled for
October 20, Nvidia (NVDA) has experienced significant market volatility,
closing at approximately $142. The stock has oscillated within a range of
$140 to $158, reflecting broader semiconductor sector trends. Despite a
recent downturn of around 3%, Nvidia remains a standout performer,
benefitting from strong investor interest in AI technology.
- Key Insights: Traders should remain cautious as Nvidia's upcoming earnings
could significantly influence market sentiment. If the stock sustains levels
above $140, it may present a solid buying opportunity. However, a drop below
this level could trigger further declines, marking a shift towards a bearish
trend. It is crucial to watch Nvidia's earnings closely, as this could
define short-term price movements and longer-term trends in the
semiconductor industry.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts predict that Nvidia's earnings will demonstrate
impressive growth, estimating revenues of around $33 billion, but they
caution against underestimating the potential for supply issues. Traders
generally view the upcoming report as a critical moment for both Nvidia and
the broader tech market, stressing the importance of the guidance given
during the earnings call. The sentiment appears cautiously optimistic,
though uncertainty looms about immediate post-earnings volatility.
- Price Targets: Based on the wisdom of all professional traders, the next week
targets for NVDA are as follows:
Target 1: $145
Target 2: $155
Stop 1: $140 (support level to monitor for long positions)
Stop 2: $135 (critical low to signal a bearish trend)
Longer-term targets include a potential price of $175 within the next two to
three months if Nvidia successfully navigates this earnings season and continues
to capitalize on AI demand.
- News Impact: Nvidia's earnings report is drawing particular focus, as the
company plans to unveil projected revenues and expectations tied to its new
Blackwell chips. Furthermore, the semiconductor sector's dynamics will be
under scrutiny, especially following recent negative sentiment surrounding
other key players. Any weak guidance or disappointing results could prompt a
broader market sell-off, particularly affecting related tech stocks.
This succinct analysis should equip traders with essential insights and
actionable strategies as Nvidia approaches this pivotal earnings report,
enabling informed decisions within a volatile market landscape.
NVIDIA's Price Action: The Strat Analysis & Key Levels (4-Hour)Candlestick Patterns:
The chart shows 4-hour candlestick patterns with colors corresponding to price movement:
- green fill and green outline indicates price closed above candle open price
- green fill and red outline indicates price closed below candle open price
- red fill and green outline indicates price went below previous candle low but closed above current candle open
- red fill and red outline indicates price closed below previous candle and current candle low
- yellow is the color for a consolidated candle (aka "1" or inside bar)
- blue is the color for the "3" candle that went above and below previous' candle high and low
The numbers "1," "2," and "3" likely represent The Strat methodology, a popular trading framework:
1 (Inside Bar): Price action is contained within the previous candle's range.
2 (Directional Bar): Price breaks either high or low of the previous candle.
3 (Broadening Formation): Price takes out both the high and low of the previous candle.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Multiple horizontal lines represent key support and resistance levels:
- Yellow lines indicate historical highs/lows or significant levels (e.g., "Previous All-Time High Zone").
- Red and blue lines mark specific levels like the "Open WK" or "ABR1 Upper,"
- Labels such as "High of Day," "Previous Weekly High," and "Previous Daily Low" provide context for recent price action.
Broadening Formations:
- Diagonal white lines identify broadening formations, consistent with "The Strat." These formations reflect expanding ranges, suggesting increased volatility or market indecision.
Key Dates and Events:
- Specific dates and times, such as "4hr Mon, Nov 11 @ 1:30 pm," appear next to significant price levels, helping to pinpoint areas where the stock reacted strongly.
Indicators:
- ATR (Average True Range) and DTR (Daily True Range) values are shown at the bottom right:
- ATR: 4.58 — Indicates the average price movement range over a period.
- DTR: 5.16 — Suggests the range within the day (113% implies higher-than-average volatility).
Directional Signals:
- Green and red arrows identify potential buy and sell signals based on the methodology applied, likely aligned with price action breakouts or reversals.
Analysis:
- Trend: The stock has moved from consolidation (inside bars and 2s) to a broader upward trend with several green directional bars (2-ups). However, recent candles show retracement and potential consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $148.68 ("Open WK") and $149.77 ("Previous Weekly High").
- Support: $140.08 and $137.33 ("Low of Day, Tuesday, Nov 5").
- Volatility: Broadening formations and ATR/DTR metrics suggest significant volatility in the price action.
Potential Trading Setups:
- Look for directional moves off major levels (e.g., $148.68 and $140.08).
- Monitor broadening formation boundaries for potential reversals or breakouts.
NVDA Technical Analysis for Nov. 18, 2024NVIDIA (NVDA) is showing signs of a potential reversal after a sharp pullback, presenting interesting opportunities for both scalping and swing trades. With price action testing critical levels, this analysis outlines key zones, potential setups, and actionable insights for traders.
Technical Overview:
Market Structure:
Trend: Short-term downtrend with signs of bullish recovery.
EMA Levels: The 9 EMA and 21 EMA are narrowing, suggesting a possible crossover if bullish momentum builds.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones:
$146.00 – Major supply zone from previous highs.
$149.00 – Psychological level and upper resistance.
Support Zones:
$142.00 – Immediate demand zone where buyers stepped in.
$140.00 – Strong support tested multiple times in the last session.
Order Blocks:
Bullish Order Block: $140.00–$142.00 (highlighted by high volume on prior bullish candles).
Bearish Order Block: $146.00–$149.00 (supply-heavy zone with rejection candles).
Supply and Demand Zones:
Demand Zone: $140.00–$142.00
Supply Zone: $146.00–$149.00
Indicators:
MACD: Bullish crossover forming; histogram increasing.
Volume: Uptick in volume on green candles suggests growing buyer interest.
Game Plan:
Scalping Plan (1-Min and 5-Min Timeframe):
Entry for Long:
Watch for price holding above $142.70, confirmed by bullish engulfing candles or breakouts on higher volume.
Target 1: $145.50 (scalp to supply zone).
Target 2: $146.00 (extended scalp).
Entry for Short:
If price rejects $146.00–$149.00 supply zone, enter short below $145.50.
Target 1: $143.00 (mid-range scalp).
Target 2: $142.00 (demand zone retest).
Stop Loss:
Long: Below $141.50 (below immediate demand).
Short: Above $146.50 (supply rejection invalidated).
Swing Trade Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above $142.00 and reclaims $146.00 with conviction, initiate a swing trade toward $149.00.
Extended target: $151.00 (gap fill above $149.00).
Stop Loss: Below $141.00.
Bearish Scenario:
If $146.00–$149.00 is strongly rejected, consider shorting for a retest of $140.00 demand zone.
Extended target: $137.00 (new low formation if $140.00 fails).
Stop Loss: Above $149.50.
My Thoughts:
For Scalping: NVDA is perfect for short bursts of momentum plays within the $142.00–$146.00 range. Patience is key to waiting for clear confirmations, especially near supply and demand zones.
For Swing Trades: The broader structure is setting up for a potential reversal, but the $146.00 level is critical. A sustained breakout above this level could spark a bullish continuation.
Directional Bias:
Short-term: Neutral-to-bullish. A clean breakout above $146.00 signals strength.
Mid-term: Slightly bullish, contingent on holding $140.00 as support.
Actionable Suggestions:
Monitor $142.00–$146.00 for scalping setups with volume confirmation.
Place conditional swing orders above $146.00 or below $142.00 based on rejection or breakout.
Avoid trading in the middle of ranges ($143.00–$145.00) to reduce noise.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ensuring proper risk management is in place.
Between 124-129 for support based on a few different indicators The trendline bottom Bollinger pinch always retraces back to the center. With SMA readings of 124-129 and the trendline at 130s, there's quite an infinite difference in the measurement of 3 enormous indicators that offer insight into a moving average as big as this to confirm with other vital indicators.
NVIDA what next..!The chart displays NVIDIA (NVDA) stock on a daily interval with several indicators and clear support and resistance levels. Here is a detailed technical analysis:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
Nearest Resistance Level: $150 (above the closing price).
Key Support Levels:
$140.75 (immediate support level).
$130.62 (secondary support level).
$127.21 (critical support level for the medium term).
2. Ascending Channel:
The chart shows movement within a clear ascending channel, with the stock nearing the lower boundary of the channel.
A drop below the lower support line of the channel (around $140) could indicate a trend reversal.
3. Indicators:
Moving Averages:
The 50-period moving average (green) is above the closing price, supporting the continuation of the uptrend.
The 150-period moving average (dark green) is far below the current price, indicating strong long-term support.
CCI (14):
The current value is -2.96, indicating a nearly neutral state but slightly leaning bearish.
Volume:
Higher-than-average volume on the last day suggests significant selling pressure.
4. Candlestick Analysis:
The last candlestick is a large red bearish candle, reflecting a strong daily bearish sentiment.
The candlestick formation shows bearish pressure but is close to a significant support level.
5. Risk Assessment:
The risk level is moderate since the stock is near a clear support level but experiencing strong selling pressure.
Position Recommendation:
Entry: Around $140.75 (near the immediate support level).
Stop-Loss: Below $138 (approximately 2% below the entry point).
Profit Target: $147 (around a 5% increase from the entry point).
Summary:
The stock's trend over the past two weeks is bullish, but the last day indicates a potential correction.
It is recommended to monitor the price reaction near the $140.75 level and evaluate the strength of the support.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NVDAForex trading involves higher leverage (up to 50:1) and 24/5 market access, focusing on currency pair movements affected by economic data, interest rates, and geopolitical events - the key risk is that high leverage can quickly amplify losses, plus overnight positions face swap fees and gap risks during major news. Stock trading typically offers lower leverage (2:1 to 4:1), operates during exchange hours, and focuses on company fundamentals, earnings, and broader market sentiment - main risks include earnings surprises, market volatility, and lower liquidity in individual stocks compared to major forex pairs, while key advantages include better transparency through public financial reports and generally lower spreads than exotic forex pairs.
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip recently:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NVDA NVIDIA Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 150usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-22,
for a premium of approximately $3.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NVDA Approaching Key Support Levels: Potential Pullback AheadFor NVIDIA (NVDA), heading into Monday, 11/18, the key support level to watch is $140.31. If the price breaks below this level, it could signal further downside, with the next significant support zone around $133.46. This would be a critical area for bulls to defend in order to prevent a deeper correction.
On the technical side, NVDA's recent price action suggests overbought conditions, as indicated by various momentum indicators such as the RSI and possibly the MACD nearing a bearish crossover. This setup raises the likelihood of a pullback or a consolidation phase as traders lock in profits or await fresh catalysts.
NVIDIA - Bullish in Short TermNVIDIA showed clear signs of recovery in the last hour of trading on Friday. Ahead of the quarterly figures, it can be assumed that the share will rise moderately (in line with the overall market). As we are unable to assess the market's reaction to the figures, open long positions should be closed before publication.
11/08/2024 NVDA harmonic pattern Hello traders,
It appears that NVDA has reached its peak according to harmonic pattern analysis. The daily chart illustrates a beautiful butterfly pattern that could possibly signal a reversal from the $150 area. If it declines from here, we might see $90 in the first quarter of next year.
Good luck, and may trends be with you.
Short NVDA?I took a short out on Monday against NVDA. Almost got stopped out yet still there for now!
The reason for the short was :-
1. MACD diverging on the weekly and Daily Time frames
2. Last earnings release the stock started to roll over the week prior and continued down even with Beats.
With the above in mind, I will be holding my position until post-earnings. if its bearish ill keep holding!
Trade Safe.
Nvidia Reports Earnings Next Week. What Does Its Chart Say?More than 90% of S&P 500 stocks have already reported quarterly earnings, but tech giant Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA is set to release results next week. Let's see what NVDA's technical and fundamental analysis says heading into its fiscal Q3 earnings report next Wednesday (Nov. 20) after the bell.
Nvidia's Fundamental Analysis
As I write this on Tuesday (Nov. 12), the Street is looking Nvidia to report $0.74 in adjusted earnings per share on nearly $33 billion of revenue. That would amount to 100% earnings growth and 82.3% in revenue gains year over year.
But as incredible as such gains would seem, that would actually represent a deceleration of growth for Nvidia -- probably due to the simple laws of scale. CEO Jensen Huang has said that demand for Nvidia's products remains "over-subscribed," but large year-over-year gains are impossible to match forever.
Nvidia saw 152% in year-over-year earnings growth in its fiscal Q2 after four successive quarters of 440% or more in annual gains. Revenue growth likewise fell to "only" 122% year on year in fiscal Q2 after three successive quarters of 206% or more in annual gains.
In fact, of the 36 sell-side analysts that I've found who cover NVDA, 31 have revised their earnings estimates higher since the current quarter began. (The remaining five revised their forecasts lower.)
Looking at Nvidia's fiscal Q2 financials, the company had $48.7 billion of trailing-twelve-month operating cash flow as of July 28. That included $1.9 billion of capex (capital expenditures), leaving $46.8 billion of free cash flow.
The firm used $26.4 billion of that free cash to repurchase common stock, plus another $540 million for dividends to shareholders.
All in, Nvidia had a $34.8 billion cash position as of July 28, as well as $59.6 billion of current assets. Current liabilities added up to $14 billion, making for a seemingly robust 4.27 current ratio.
The company had no short-term debt on its books, while total assets amounted to $85.2 billion (of which goodwill and other intangibles only made up a seemingly conservative 6.5%).
Meanwhile, total liabilities less equity came in at $27.1 billion, including $8.5 billion of long-term debt. Nvidia could have paid that out of pocket more than four times over out of its available cash.
Nvidia's Technical Analysis
Here's NVDA's chart as of Nov. 12 going back roughly one year:
Readers will see that the stock rallied from late October 2023 to June 2024, as denoted by the green and red vertical lines above.
If we apply a Fibonacci model (the shaded-blue above), we can see that Nvidia found support at about $90 -- its 50% retracement level -- in very early August.
Next, going back to the start of the Fibonacci model and applying an Andrews' Pitchfork model (the purple line above) shows that NVDA has developed a tight pattern since leaving its Fibonacci period in August.
But heading into next week's earnings report, NVDA is threatening to take the Pitchfork's upper trendline (the black line at the chart's upper right). The upper trendline serves as Nvidia's moving pivot, which the above chart projects will stand at about $155 by Nov. 20.
Meanwhile, readers will see that Nvidia's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the above chart's top) looks strong, but not overbought.
The stock's daily Moving Average Converge Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) appears ever-so-slightly bullish as well.
Of the MACD's three components, the 12-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by the black line at the bottom of the chart) is above the 26-day EMA (the gold line). At the same time, the histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars at the bottom) is just above zero. All of that represents an historically bullish signal, although not an overwhelming one.
The Bottom Line
Add all of the above up and Nvidia looks about as fundamentally sound as a firm could be. Projected demand for its products also looks intense enough for the firm to keep growing sales and perhaps even margin.
What the stock does next week will likely depend on the guidance provided and how well the company's analyst conference call goes.
True, NVDA looks expensive at 37x forward earnings, but it's pretty much always been on the expensive side. The stock's forward price-to-earnings ratio is actually down from 44x this past summer and 63x the summer prior to that.
(Moomoo Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long NVDA as of the time of writing this column.)
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