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NVD trade ideas

Disengage from the herd, Markets are not Rational places!“The prevailing wisdom is that markets are always right. I take the opposition position. I assume that markets are always wrong. Even if my assumption is occasionally wrong, I use it as a working hypothesis. It does not follow that one should always go against the prevailing trend. On the contrary, most of the time the trend prevails; only occasionally are the errors corrected. It is only on those occasions that one should go against the trend. This line of reasoning leads me to look for the flaw in every investment thesis. ... I am ahead of the curve. I watch out for telltale signs that a trend may be exhausted. Then I disengage from the herd and look for a different investment thesis. Or, if I think the trend has been carried to excess, I may probe going against it. Most of the time we are punished if we go against the trend. Only at an inflection point are we rewarded.” ― George Soros, Soros on Soros: Staying Ahead of the Curve Most people ask themselves why NVDA should lose 15% of its market cap on the news about a Chinese company that claims to have outperformed ChatGPT by spending 5.5 million USD on training their models. I do not care about if the claim is true or not, because I am confident ChatGPT was very hyped, and today the bubble burst. No matter how much everyone in the AI industry and GPU makers trying we will not gain back the trust of people who see their capital melting in front of their eyes!
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by Moshkelgosha
7
NVDA - Sellside Liquidity Run to Long ITM Calls >7 Days outI'm already long NVDA in a net profitable hedged position. I went long at 129 and overhedged at 151. The CES event stank of buy the rumor, sell the news. The chart structure also supported a clear buyside liquidity run to that level. The double wicks at the top of the range indicate an intent to run through buyside again. Before the CES run, a gaping block shaped void near ATH was clearly visible. This was a bearish selling block that has since been filled. That seller had to be bought out before NVDA could continue its run. There has been evident presence of sellside liquidity at ~129 since the beginning of the run. Initially I believed that would get run out before the buyside run, but I was wrong. Given the state of the VIX, TSLA, Silver, and Long term bond yields, a volatility spike capable of driving any weak hands (i.e. unhedged) out of NVDA feels imminent. I made a few mistakes on this run and my current NVDA position, though profitable and riskless is still at risk of being called away (at a profit). None the less, I intend to add onto my position if a volatility spike and liquidity run does occur and fix my risk using shorter dated ITM calls. A volatility expansion of this magnitude has the ability to run out even very conservatively placed stops, so ITM calls are the best bet I have to enter into a risk managed position. A large scale volatility bid will very quickly get sold by volatility sellers and traders (like myself) who mop up the blood in the streets. My short volatility positions are already hidden liquidity on the books.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by HundredLotTrader
NVDA Stock Update: Downtrend Alert!📉 NVDA Stock Update: Downtrend Alert! 🚨 Attention traders! As we analyze the current market structure for NVIDIA (NVDA), it's crucial to note the recent developments on the daily chart. Key Observations: Market Behavior Since December 20, 2024: NVDA has been in a ranging market, characterized by significant volatility. Bearish Signal: We witnessed a huge bearish engulfing pattern, indicating strong selling pressure. This is a critical signal for traders to consider. Break of Key Level: The recent higher high can now be defined as a Lower High (LH) as the base of the order block at $129.60 has been broken. Expected Support Levels: As we move forward, we anticipate the following support levels: $124.94 $120.33 $115.78 We are particularly focused on potential accumulation within this Demand Zone. It's essential to stay vigilant and adapt your strategies accordingly! Happy trading, and stay safe! 📊💼
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ICT_Trader_SB
NVDA Topping PatternUnlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective. This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern. From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal) If on the other hand, it pops above recent highs then no trade or an easy stop out. As you all know I don't do targets, I think they are silly and only used to pretend one has such insight not only can they call the move but also a "target" too. Yeah well, I'll leave that to the "experts" ;) Bulls don't be a dick for tick. Shorts take some early profits to improve cost basis but let this one ride!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by RealMacro
6
NVIDIA Slides 11.5% as China’s DeepSeek 3 Threatens AI Hardware NVIDIA is down sharply from Friday's close, roughly 11.5% in the pre-market. What's interesting is that the price is trading below the December 17 low of 126.78, marking a new 2025 low. If the market can't close above126.78 by the end of today, there is a risk that the price continues sliding, potentially down to around 120, and in the worst case, to the September 18 low of $113 per share. The reason for the move lower is that a Chinese company has launched DeepSeek version 3, which is similar to ChatGPT but free, open-source, and significantly cheaper to run. They also trained it much quicker and at a lower cost. If they continue on this trajectory, there will be less demand for ChatGPT and NVIDIA's hardware. What is your take? Are you buying the dip or is this the end for Nvidia? This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ThinkMarkets
Nvidia is NOT SLOWING DOWN!! 1-Month Chart: Pullback Zone: It seems like you’re identifying a pullback zone around $140.76 to $134.29. This is likely a key support area that you’re waiting for a potential retest. Target Area: The yellow zone you have marked could be where you expect the price to consolidate before possibly bouncing higher. Price Levels: The 0.236 level seems to be closely related to your retracement levels, with key support near $109.92. 12-Month Chart: Massive Price Surge: The sharp price movement on the right of the chart is significant, showing strong momentum recently. The yellow line marks the previous high, where the stock is facing some resistance. Pullback Zone: Similar to the 1-month chart, you are looking for a retracement, potentially to the $134.29 level. You’re positioning yourself for a longer-term pullback before seeing further price action.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MoNi_MoN
NVIDIA This is the final call for $240.NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) has been trading within a Channel Up for the past 2 years and just last Monday it made contact with its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). As long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) remains intact, the bullish trend will be maintained. On top of that, the price action has just completed a pattern, which in the last two times we saw it (Q3 2024 and Q4 2023), it initiated a rally. With the Channel's Bullish Legs being at least of a +86.50% increase, we expect NVIDIA to target at least $240 by May. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
7
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction: Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast. Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns: 1. Candle Pattern Analysis: From the provided patterns sequence data: January 13, 2025, 14:00: Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes" Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence. January 10, 2025, 16:00: Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over" Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking. These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits. 2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis: From technicals: Current Price: $135.19 Resistance Levels: Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart) Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100) Support Levels: Immediate: $127.30 Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30 Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement. Multi-Dimensional Analysis: 1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases. Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term. 2. Fundamental Insights: Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand. Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth. However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations. 3. Price Action Analysis: Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence. Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high). Projections: Short-Term (1 Week): Target: $138.50 Stop-Loss: $132.00 Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum. Mid-Term (1 Month): Target: $145.00 Stop-Loss: $130.00 Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support. Long-Term (3-6 Months): Target: $160.00 Stop-Loss: $125.00 Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery. Strategic Recommendations: Support Levels: - 1. 127.3 2. 123.69 3. 113.9 4. 90.4855 5. 87.88 Resistance Levels: - 1. 127.3 2. 123.69 3. 113.9 4. 90.4855 5. 87.88 Powerful Support Levels: - Powerful Resistance Levels: - 1. 89.599 2. 89.599 3. 63.974 4. 63.974 5. 48.462 Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections. 3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management: Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades. Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably. Tools and Insights: Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives. Call to Action: For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile. Concept of Rays Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept Core Idea My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns. Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement. Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence. Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by brandlabelden
1
NVDA Approaching Resistance! Key Trade and Options Setups. Jan. Technical Analysis for Trading: * Current Price Action: NVDA is showing bullish momentum, approaching a key resistance level at $153.13. * Trend: Uptrend on lower timeframes, with higher highs and higher lows forming. * Support Levels: * Primary support: $138.81 * Secondary support: $129.60 * Resistance Levels: * Immediate resistance: $147.03 * Strong resistance: $153.13 * Indicators: * MACD: Positive momentum but showing slight divergence. A pullback is possible if momentum wanes. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought (91.60), indicating the potential for a short-term pullback. Trade Scenarios: * Bullish Scenario: * Entry above $147.50 for a breakout move. * Target: $153.00 and $155.00. * Stop-loss: Below $145.00. * Bearish Scenario: * Entry below $144.00 for a retracement. * Target: $138.81 and $135.00. * Stop-loss: Above $147.50. GEX for Option Trading: * Key Gamma Levels: * Strong resistance at $153.00 (75.47% GEX). * Support at $138.00 (32.07% GEX). * Call Wall: $153.00 (Highest Positive NETGEX). * Put Wall: $129.00 (Strong support zone). * IV Analysis: * IV Rank (IVR): 6.8 (low IV, cheaper options). * Options Sentiment: Calls are dominant at 62.4%, indicating bullish sentiment. Options Strategy: * Bullish Play: * Buy Call Options with a $150 strike expiring in 1-2 weeks if NVDA breaks above $147.50. * Target premium increase as price approaches $153. * Bearish Play: * Buy Put Options with a $140 strike expiring in 1-2 weeks if price drops below $144. * Target premium increase near $138 support. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVIDIA's Momentum A Breakout Story in Progress1. Trend and Structure The chart showcases an upward momentum, breaking out of a prior resistance level, indicating bullish pressure. The breakout aligns with the upward-sloping trendline, which serves as a strong support structure. 2.Breakout Confirmation The price has successfully broken through a resistance level, confirming a bullish breakout. This signals potential continuation toward the marked target zone. 3.Entry Point The entry appears to have been taken near the breakout point, at approximately $141.60, aligning with the bullish momentum. 4. Target (Take Profit) The take-profit level is marked at $152.94, representing a reasonable upward move from the breakout point. This target aligns with the continuation of the trend. 5. Stop Loss The stop-loss level is placed at $133.46, below the recent support and trendline. This level ensures protection in case the breakout fails. 6.Risk-Reward Ratio The setup demonstrates a healthy risk-to-reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing the risks. This indicates a well-calculated trade. 7. Technical Indicators The momentum of the candles breaking the resistance shows strong bullish interest. No immediate signs of bearish divergence or reversal are visible in the chart. The chart reflects a bullish breakout setup in NVIDIA's stock price. With strong momentum and a clear trendline breakout, the trade aligns well with the current upward movement. The target and stop-loss levels are well-placed, adhering to a disciplined trading strategy.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by wolfchemist
1