PEPSI LONG-TERM BUYS!!!This is another market opportunity that has been presented to us. Currently down 25% from all-time-high and we can expect this stock to recover in the future with the expected target at the all-time-high.
Good luck
PEP trade ideas
$PEP as a potential anti-cyclical buying opportunityFor conservative anti-cyclical investors seeking annual returns in the 8-12% range, PepsiCo NASDAQ:PEP is becoming very interesting
Bollinger Bands & RSI Signal (chart 1):
Late last week, the stock generated my favorite oversold signal at the weekly level
My personal Accumulation Strategy in three tranches:
- First Tranche: Buy at $144
- Second Tranche: Buy at $136 if price dips further
- Third Tranche: Consider buying at $132, supported by 2021 Order Block (Chart 2)
- Potential Crash Scenario: If a market crash occurs, I will buy at ~$110 for final position completion
Fundamental Insights (Chart 3):
- Current earnings yield: 4.7%; Dividend yield: 3.7%
- Dividend growth rate over last decade: 7.5% per year
- PE ratio around 21, low since the Rona crash
Reasons Recent Price Decline:
- Inflation impact: Consumers switching to cheaper alternatives
- USD Strength: Diminishing international profits
- Rising US Government Bond Yields: Competing with dividend stocks, though NASDAQ:TLT at 2007 Order Block support suggests possible reversal (Chart 4)
-> Political Influence:
- Trump's stance: High interest rates and inflation, aiming to address these issues could weaken USD, benefiting PepsiCo
Conclusion:
PepsiCo presents a compelling choice for steady, anti-cyclical investments, with technical support, dividend growth, and potential economic policy shifts
PepsiCo (PEP) Analysis
The price is approaching a strong support zone at $145–$150, which has acted as a key resistance in 2020 and a reliable support level during 2022–2023. This zone could trigger a bounce, but much will depend on the upcoming earnings report on February 4th. A positive report might drive a rebound toward $160 or higher, while disappointing results could lead to a breakdown toward $130. Monitor price action closely near the support zone and wait for bullish confirmation before making any moves!
Market Reversal or Just a Pause? PEPSI Faces a Pivotal MomentIs PEP Ready for a Breakout or a Breakdown?
NASDAQ-PEP finds itself at a crossroads, trading at $150.39, nearly 24% below its all-time high of $196.88 from May 2023. However, recent price action suggests that volatility is brewing. The stock has rebounded 6.2% from its absolute low of $141.51, recorded just 24 days ago, and is now hovering near key technical levels.
The 50-hour moving average (MA50) at $151.06 and 100-hour moving average (MA100) at $150.93 indicate that PEP is struggling to maintain upside momentum. Additionally, the RSI14 is at 39.18, signaling that the stock is nearing oversold conditions—historically a zone where buyers start stepping in.
Adding to the intrigue, a Buy Volumes Takeover pattern appeared on January 31, with an attempted push higher, but the main directional force remained bearish. Will buyers finally overpower the downtrend, or is this just another false hope before a deeper correction?
With resistance looming at $155.94, PEP needs a convincing breakout. Failure to reclaim this level could expose it to renewed selling pressure, possibly retesting lower supports at $149.14 and $146.45.
The question remains: Is this the last chance to catch an uptrend before PEP slips further? Stay tuned for the next move!
NASDAQ-PEP: Pattern Roadmap – The Market’s Hidden Clues
The market never moves randomly—every candle tells a story. Let’s break down the latest sequence of patterns that shaped NASDAQ-PEP’s price action and see which signals traders should have paid attention to.
January 27 - Buy Volumes Surge, Bulls Step In
Opening at $152.26 and closing at $153.57, PEP flashed an Increased Buy Volumes pattern, hinting at a bullish move. The next step? Confirmation was needed—would price hold above its recent lows and push higher?
January 28 - Bearish Shift as Sellers Dominate
Just a day later, the script flipped. A Sell Volumes Max pattern took over, pulling PEP down from $150.6 to $150.19. The abrupt reversal signaled a shakeout—weak longs got trapped.
January 29 - VSA Buy Pattern Brings the Bounce
The bulls fought back, forming a VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern. With a low of $150.23 and a push to $150.95, this setup hinted at smart money stepping in. The key was the low of the last three bars—a crucial trigger point for future movement.
January 30 - VSA Sell Triggers a Deeper Drop
Despite the previous day’s rally, VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd took control, closing at $152.01 from an open of $152.37. This was a textbook trap—prices moved up, only to be swept back down.
January 31 - Buy Volumes Takeover, Bulls Reload
After the prior day’s bearish push, another Buy Volumes Takeover emerged, attempting to shift control back to buyers. The range tightened, but was this a real reversal or another bull trap?
The roadmap shows a clear battle between buyers and sellers, with rapid shifts in direction. The market is at a tipping point—will bulls finally regain control, or is another sell-off looming? Stay locked in.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Every market move is a test—either levels hold, or they flip into resistance. Here’s where the real game is played:
Support Levels:
$149.14 – First demand zone. If buyers step in, expect a bounce. If not, it flips into resistance, trapping late longs.
$146.45 – The make-or-break level. A failure here could open the door for a deeper dive.
Resistance Levels:
$155.94 – First wall for bulls. Needs a solid breakout to confirm upside momentum.
$163.18 - $165.15 – Heavy supply zone. If price stalls here, shorts will pile in.
$168.7 - $170.83 – Stronger hands waiting to offload. Only a clean breakout can shift momentum.
Powerful Support Levels:
$169.2 – If price ever reclaims this, the game changes completely.
$196.57 – The final boss level.
Levels are only as strong as their reaction. If support fails, these same levels will act as magnets for sellers, creating resistance on any pullbacks. Stay sharp—this is where the market traps traders.
Trading Strategies with Rays: Precision Entry & Exit Points
The market moves through a dynamic structure of Fibonacci-based rays, where each interaction defines the next move. These rays, combined with VSA (Volume Spread Analysis) levels, create a predictive map—guiding trades from one ray to the next.
Optimistic Scenario: Bullish Ray Interaction
If price interacts with the $149.14 support level and shows buying volume confirmation, we look for a move toward the next ray. The key signals:
Moving averages (MA50 at $151.06, MA100 at $150.93) aligning with price movement.
First target: $155.94 – the first strong resistance where sellers may emerge.
Second target: $163.18 - $165.15 – a breakout here signals trend continuation.
Third target: $168.7 - $170.83 – a full bullish scenario unfolding.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bearish Breakdown Below Support
If price fails to hold $149.14 and sellers take control, we pivot to a short strategy:
Price confirms a breakdown below $146.45, signaling further weakness.
First target: $141.51 – the previous absolute low, critical for buyers to step in.
Second target: New breakdown structure, where price searches for fresh demand zones.
Key Trade Setups Based on Ray Interactions
Bounce Long from $149.14 → Target $155.94: If price interacts with the ray and moving averages turn upward, this trade has strong risk-reward potential.
Breakout Trade Above $155.94 → Target $163.18: Needs clear volume confirmation—watch for aggressive buy-side flows.
Short Below $146.45 → Target $141.51: A clean break and close under this level confirms bearish sentiment.
Every move starts with interaction with a ray, and the price will continue from one ray to the next—that’s the core principle. The market map is set—are you ready to play it?
Your Move – Let’s Talk Trading!
Markets don’t lie—price respects structure, and now you’ve got the map. Check back later to see how price follows these rays and levels—because that’s the key to understanding real trading setups.
Got questions? Drop them in the comments! Let’s discuss the setups, confirm levels, and make sure everyone gets clarity. If this analysis helped you, hit Boost and save it—you’ll want to revisit this as price plays out.
My ray-based strategy maps everything automatically, but it’s available only in Private. If you’re interested in using it, DM me—I’ll explain how to get access.
Need analysis on a specific asset? I can chart anything. Some ideas I post publicly, others we can discuss privately if you want exclusivity. Just let me know what you need.
And if you want more high-precision market breakdowns, follow me here on TradingView—this is where I drop all the insights. Let’s trade smarter together! 🚀
PEPSIIII - Long Term Super Over Sold ConditionsThis play does not make the much sense to me via a fundamental perspective regarding the economic outlook of companies like PEPSI, Coke and $KO. But, from an investment standpoint, they control the food/drink market and have seen stagnant numbers and low growth regarding there products. Our new leader RFK Jr. in the food industry might start a complete overhaul of the products forcing these companies to rethink there targeted audiences/ marketing campaigns and adapt to this generations pallet.
Short term it needs to build more structure and a foundation, on the other hand watch out for a V shaped reversal in the coming weeks.
Target #1 - $155
Target #2 - $160
Target #3 - $170
Stop Loss - $140
Stay tuned for option position longs, I will personally be investing money in them as well.
PEP - Stalking a potential Long in PepsicoSo far PEP reacted very well at the U-MLH.
Now price is trading below the Center-Line and is approaching the L-MLH.
Down there, price is heavily stretched. A good place to start looking for a long entry on the daily time-frame.
1/10/25 - $pep - Buy. low $140s...is obvious.1/10/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PEP
Buy. low $140s...is obvious.
- look at the green arrows when i've commented in the past. these were trading positions. in/out. it was cheap, but i simply saw more oppty to own/hold OTC:GDLC , NASDAQ:NXT , $tsm... you know if you follow me. and it's worked.
- but right now with 10Y rates headed higher we need to play a bit more defense and staples that are simply getting (seemingly) irrationally dumped are a great hiding spot.
- at current valuation you're getting 4.5% cash yield, dominant position in global snacks (read: pricing power and that's key in a rising rate environment)...
- and if you look at "PEP/M2" in trading view you'll see it's held this oscillating range for almost 40 years!!! we're at the lower end of this range. also interesting is if you just look the ticker, zoom out, with MONTHLY bars, you'll see we've last been *this* oversold on monthlies going back to 2008!!
- does it go lower? fam you know i like to saw... god knows. but this is a great defensive pickup with probably less tariff risk than discretionary and still solid in a weaker consumer? you bet. will FX matter? yes, it does for all staples. but units x pricing power up and to the right over the LT. it's a buy. only job we have here is the sizing.
i'm at 1.5% and looking to get bigger, otherwise i think i can just park it here and earn some good r/r yield.
have a good weekend
V
Daily PEPSI Bullish DivergenceBullish div on 1D, ticks all the boxes. Bullish div on MACD-H, EFI, macd lines, ATR price channel divergence, EFI ATR channel divergence, and divergence on Stochastic RSI. Impuls on 1W still read, but upwick bar and also EFI on -3 ATR which seems to be a turning point many times
TP1
157,95
TP2:
161,21
Entry
152,89
Stop loss:
149,33
Scaling out as I see fit. At least 50% on 1 ATR, ultimate target of 2 ATR, previous turning points, could be possible, but a bit far. Planning to scale out other half there, or earlier when I detect weakness.
Trade #00004
Hitrate until #00003:
66% (trade 3 still open, but nearing target )
Looking for a bounce on Pepsi for a nice swing trade! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
PepsiCo Limps at Key SupportPepsiCo has struggled all year, and some traders may think the food-and-beverage giant is breaking down.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the October 2023 low of $155.83. PEP bounced at the level in November and is now revisiting it. Is support giving way?
Next, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) recently crossed below the 100- and 200-day SMAs. The 100-day SMA is also below the 200-day SMA. That pattern (faster SMAs below slower SMAs) may be consistent with a longer-term downtrend.
Third, MACD is falling.
Finally, lower highs over the last three quarters may be consistent with bearish sentiment.
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PEPSI to $182 - Up to 14% ROI PossibleNASDAQ:PEP stock is currently trading at a discount to its fair value. That's why traders and investors should have a look at this bluechip, especially given its low beta statistic. Of course, macroeconomic uncertainties, such as the University of Michigan's latest consumer sentiment survey (which projects inflation to rise to 2.90% from 2.60% next year), could have an impact on consumer spending, which could squeeze margins. Nevertheless, given the undervaluation, Pepsi has a safety net for things like that under current circumstances.
When looking at the technical analysis we can se a big support zone at $158, where we are currently residing. The stock bounced multiple times from this zone in the past and could certainly do so again. Given the double bottom we have a good opportunity to get in the trade right now. Target one would be the descending trend line at $172 and target two would be the resistance zone at $183. That would give us a ROI of up to 14.24% in total. Closing below $156 on the daily would invalidate the trading idea.
Target Zones
$172.00
$183.00
Support Zones
$156.00
PEP: Distribution phase?PEP: Distribution phase?
-Head n Shoulder pattern on the top.
-Much supply vol their
-CHOCH signal, and Down Structure is confirming.
.
Now PEP is at the important level. Upon broken out of these supports, PEP may dump soon.
Wait n see!
PEP BUY 152 - 156 / Target 168A very clear weekly trend. Wait for the price to reach the support zone and check for an oversold signal on the RSI.
BUY: 152 - 156
Target:168
Plan to buy 2 CALL options.
PEPSI - Bounce TimeThe 200MA in red which I have shown using area shows consistent bull rejections off it on this Weekly timeframe extending way back.
Great time to buy PEP as this 200MA is currently being tested, a buy the dip scenario.
PEP bounce to $163MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
(4HR chart)
Price at bottom channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) near oversold level
VBSM is spiked negative
Price at near 3.618 Fibonacci level
In at $158.8
Target is $163 or channel top
Stop loss is $157
11/18/24 - $pep - LT valuation too cheap <$16011/18/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PEP
LT valuation too cheap <$160
- not going anywhere. snack king. 18x next year PE for that is, respectfully, Mr. Market, "too cheap".
- 5% FCF yield better than cash, and growing EPS in mid singles range.
- on it's SPXEW pair, holy cow - lowest ever - looks like this company is headed to oblivion (it's not)
- one of those rare period in mkt where stonks favor the energy + bitcoin + AI complex (and i don't disagree! i own bitcoin, utility solar and meta/tsm!), but AI is not coming to disrupt snacks anytime soon, ironically one of those weird long "hedges" i search for. it's a safety trade (staple, pricing power, global footprint, valuation cheap)
- cheap can always get cheaper, i'm no stranger to this
- so what i've done is taken long dated jan 17 2027 ITM $140C action in order to keep my size smallish near 1% but give myself the 4-5x leverage bump. my thinking is... any move higher and i probably just marinate and let this thing go to work and don't have to stress. any lower, and i can set that expiry lower and perhaps go larger, or even own shares (which i can sell calls on over time). but for now i want exposure at the current px but also want to keep my cash balance high.
Thoughts?
V
Pepsi Co to test 157$ resistance, what's next?Pepsi co had a steady bull run from March of 2020 to May 2023, where the price doubled in a span of three years after testing it's long term support line in March of 2020 at 100$.
Since May 2023, the price is in a downtrend and even Trump pump did not help it!
Currently price is about to test its short term resistance at 157$. This price coincides with 0.382 fibonacci retracement level. If the price holds there, there might be a chance for Pepsi co to break out of the downtrend and start a bull run.
However, if the resistance does not hold and price fall below 150$, we are probably going to test the long term trend line (green line) which has been a support since market crash of 2009. If that happens, then we will be looking at prices around 130$ per share. This price is retracement level of 0.618 of fibonacci level.
PEP eyes on 165.3x below, 171.48 above: Key levels into earningsPEP earnings report due today after hours.
Key support below formed by a double fib.
Proven resistance above will be a hard break.
$ 165.35 - 165.31 is the exact support
$ 171.48 will be strong resistance above.
$ 161.49 will be key uptrend support below.
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$PEP with a bullish outlook following its earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a bullish outlook for NASDAQ:PEP after a positive under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift A with an expected accuracy of 86.67%.
PepsiCo Stock Struggles Amid Weak Revenue and Guidance CutPepsiCo Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) has long been a staple of the food and beverage industry, with a reputation for consistent growth and strong brand recognition. However, recent performance suggests a slowdown in momentum, as both technical indicators and fundamental data point to challenges ahead for the stock.
Declining Revenue and Softened Outlook
On Tuesday, PepsiCo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) reported its fiscal third-quarter results, revealing a mixed performance that failed to meet Wall Street's expectations. The company posted earnings per share of $2.31, narrowly surpassing analyst expectations of $2.29, but its revenue of $23.32 billion fell short of the anticipated $23.76 billion ugh too bad. This marks a 0.6% decline in net sales compared to the same quarter last year.
The revenue shortfall is largely attributed to the impact of product recalls in its Quaker Foods North America division, a key segment of the company’s portfolio. Quaker Foods saw a 13% volume drop following recalls related to salmonella contamination and the subsequent closure of a production facility. The weakening demand in the U.S. market, alongside disruptions in international markets such as Latin America and the Middle East (Tensions between Israel, Iran and Lebanon), exacerbated PepsiCo's woes.
PepsiCo CEO Ramon Laguarta acknowledged the challenges, noting that weaker-than-expected sales, particularly in its snack and beverage divisions, have weighed heavily on the company's outlook. As a result, PepsiCo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) trimmed its full-year organic revenue growth forecast, now expecting only a low-single-digit rise, down from the previous 4% projection.
Moreover, despite some resilience in brands like Gatorade and Pepsi within the North American beverage segment, overall volume declined by 3%, underscoring the broader slowdown in consumer demand. Rising inflation and shifts in consumer behavior have prompted shoppers across various income levels to cut back on discretionary spending, especially on premium products.
Let's check out what the Technical data says
From a technical perspective, PepsiCo’s stock is reflecting the underlying weaknesses in its business. After consolidating within a tight range for much of the year, NASDAQ:PEP has now formed a bearish reversal pattern, signaling the potential for further downside.
As of the latest premarket trading, the stock is down 0.66%, and its technical indicators suggest that more selling pressure may be on the horizon. The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 32.74, inching closer to the oversold territory, which reflects a growing bearish sentiment. An RSI reading below 30 typically indicates that a stock is oversold, but NASDAQ:PEP is dangerously close to crossing that threshold, which could spur a wave of panic selling.
Furthermore, PepsiCo's stock is currently trading below its key moving averages, with the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages converging at a critical juncture. When these averages converge and begin to trend downward, it often signals that a stock could face extended bearish momentum. In this case, the bearish crossover suggests that NASDAQ:PEP may experience further downside movement in the near term.
The stock is also hovering near a crucial support level at $158, a pivot point that, if breached, could open the door to a steeper decline. Should NASDAQ:PEP break below this support, it may revisit its recent lows, potentially entering a more prolonged bearish trend.
Conclusion: A Cautious Outlook for PepsiCo Investors
PepsiCo's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) revised guidance for organic revenue growth indicates that management is bracing for slower growth ahead, and this cautious outlook has weighed on investor sentiment.
From a technical standpoint, PepsiCo’s stock appears vulnerable to further declines, with bearish patterns and weak momentum pointing to the possibility of additional downside. The stock's proximity to a critical support level at $158, coupled with a low RSI and downward-trending moving averages, suggests that investors should exercise caution.
PepsiCo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) may face headwinds in the coming months. While the company remains a long-term blue-chip investment, short-term traders and investors should monitor the stock closely for any signs of a reversal, particularly if the stock breaches its key support level. Until the company can demonstrate stronger revenue growth and address its operational challenges, NASDAQ:PEP may continue to underperform relative to market expectations.
Pepsico (PEP): Breakout or Rebound? Earnings Report IncomingThis week, Pepsico is set to announce its earnings, and we continue to monitor the same pattern that has persisted for a while now.
PepsiCo's recent $1.2 billion acquisition of Siete Foods is a strategic move to expand Frito-Lay's "better-for-you" snack segment. Although the near-term impact on revenue is expected to be minimal, Citi predicts a modest contribution to overall growth. The deal is anticipated to close in 2025, broadening PepsiCo's multicultural portfolio.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:PEP is still moving within the established range. We've added zones above and below the range and highlighted each instance when NASDAQ:PEP broke through the range. Except for one occurrence, all these breakouts provided good entry opportunities. The future direction remains uncertain, but the key is whether Pepsico can hold its level upon breaking through the range—it needs to hold to sustain momentum rather than falling back.
For now, we continue to keep a close watch on NASDAQ:PEP and are waiting for this week's earnings report to provide further clarity. ✅
10/7/24 - $pep - Swing long into print10/7/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PEP
Swing long into print
- Keeping it small (tue AM EPS), just keeping the knife sharp
- 20x NTM PE for a HSD EPS grower not "great" but this portfolio of brands and know Siete *tiny violin and salty tortilla-shaped tear* is a pretty good "LT" price
www.fdiforum.net
- the rub is stonk has been relatively flat for a while in an up market (red flag)
- i think the analysis is as simple as this - 20x and have pricing power, 2.5% fcf yield +HSD fcf growth is better than cash, "consumer" on it's back but staples seem to do being well (look at grocery). if it's off on the day - i'd probably dip buy it for a more YE style swing.
thoughts?
V
Pepsico #50 Market Cap worldwide still in BuyZoneHere is another company still in the BuyZone but notice it's now in the green of the buyzone so a little late but not to late before the BuyZone closes
companiesmarketcap.com
