D-WAVE QUANTUM INC Stock Forum (BX:QBTS)

2 days ago

thoughts on upcoming earnings?

4 days ago

Probability of QBTS Reaching $10 in the Next 180 Days (6 Months)
Current Position:
Current Price: $5.43
Target Price: $10.00 (+84% gain needed)
Recent High: $10.50 (December 2024)
Major Resistance Levels: $6.50, $7.74, $9.30, then $10.50
1. Technical & Market Factors
✅ Past Price Action:

QBTS hit $10.50 in late 2024, proving it can reach this level in a bullish run.
✅ Technical Setup:

Symmetrical triangle pattern suggests an imminent breakout or breakdown.
The next resistance zone is $6.50-$7.74, and a break above $9.30 could fuel a run to $10+.
✅ Volume & RSI:

RSI is neutral (~51), recovering from oversold (38) → favors upside potential.
If volume surges past 5M/day, momentum traders could drive it higher.
⚠️ Challenges:

Needs strong institutional buying and market-wide bullish sentiment.
If it fails to break $7.74, it may consolidate below $9.00 for a longer time.
Broader market correction could delay a breakout.
2. Probability Estimate
Scenario Probability of QBTS Reaching $10 in 6 Months Key Requirements
🚀 Bullish Breakout & AI/Quantum Hype ~50-55% Strong volume, breaks $9.30
📈 Gradual Uptrend (Slow Climb) ~30-35% Holds $7.74, builds momentum
⚖️ Sideways Trading ($5 - $8.50) ~20-25% Fails to break major resistance
📉 Bearish Case (Fails to Hold $5.00) ~10-15% Market weakness, stock dilution
📌 Final Takeaway:

Realistic probability of hitting $10 within 180 days: ~50-55% (if market remains strong).
Needs a breakout past $7.74 and $9.30 to gain momentum.
Lower probability (~10-15%) if it breaks below $5.00.
3. What Should You Do?
If it breaks $6.50+ with volume → Consider holding for $10.00+.
If it struggles at $7.74, consider taking partial profits.
If it drops below $5.00, reassess risk and consider stop-loss levels.
Would you like a detailed trade strategy for targeting $10+? 🚀

You said:
how will it be affected by tariffs
ChatGPT said:
How Will QBTS Be Affected by Tariffs?
Tariffs can have both direct and indirect impacts on D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS), depending on U.S. and global trade policies, particularly in semiconductors, quantum computing, and AI technology.

1. Direct Impact on QBTS
QBTS is a quantum computing company, which means tariffs could affect hardware costs, supply chains, and partnerships:

✅ Minimal Direct Impact (Software Focus)
D-Wave primarily focuses on quantum software and cloud-based quantum computing solutions rather than manufacturing its own quantum chips.
Most of its revenue is generated from cloud access to quantum processors, not from selling physical hardware.
⚠️ Indirect Impact (Supply Chain & Costs)
Quantum processors rely on specialized superconducting materials and advanced semiconductors, which could be affected by tariffs.
Increased costs of imports from China or the EU (if tariffs expand) could raise production costs for quantum hardware.
If U.S. bans or restricts trade with specific chip suppliers (e.g., ASML, TSMC, Chinese firms), sourcing quantum chip components could become more expensive or limited.
2. Indirect Market & Investor Sentiment Effects
Even if tariffs don’t directly impact QBTS, they could affect broader market conditions:

📉 Negative Market Reactions
If the U.S.-China trade war escalates, technology stocks (including quantum computing) could face volatility due to investor fears of supply chain disruptions.
AI, semiconductors, and quantum stocks could see short-term declines if tariffs increase chip manufacturing costs.
📈 Potential Upside (U.S. Investment in Domestic Tech)
If tariffs lead to increased U.S. government funding for quantum computing, companies like QBTS could benefit from grants and contracts.
U.S. CHIPS Act & Quantum Initiatives could result in government subsidies, which might offset tariff-related costs.
3. Long-Term Effects on QBTS Stock
Scenario Impact on QBTS Stock Price Effect
🚀 U.S. prioritizes domestic quantum funding More government grants, stronger tech sector Bullish 📈
⚖️ Tariffs raise hardware costs slightly Minor i