$TTWO potential future leader ideaBeautiful looking chart post correction. Could be potential leader coming out of market correction. Notes are listed on chart, lots of reasons to like this name as it pulled back less than SPX itself showing powerful Relative strength.
Top of watchlist with a few other names that standout NYSE:BJ NASDAQ:OLLI NASDAQ:PLMR NASDAQ:SFM NASDAQ:ADMA NASDAQ:NFLX
#Stocks
TKE trade ideas
Take-Two (TTWO): Video Game Giant Enters Momentum ZoneTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) is a major player in the video game industry, known for publishing blockbuster franchises like Grand Theft Auto, NBA 2K, and Red Dead Redemption. Through its Rockstar Games and 2K labels, the company blends storytelling, graphics, and online engagement to create immersive experiences for players. With gaming demand growing and new titles on the horizon, Take-Two continues to benefit from digital sales, in-game purchases, and a loyal fan base.
The stock chart recently showed a confirmation bar with increasing volume, moving into the momentum zone—when price rises above the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the current trend. This signals renewed investor interest and suggests the possibility of further gains as buying pressure builds.
$TTWO SHORT NO Correction, No BUYAlright, so we’ve had a decent earnings report with no official confirmation of a GTA 6 release, which I suspect is the ultimate retail trap being set by hedge funds. I'm positive it wil be delayed. Exit liquidity for highs is more lucrative when there are big shakeouts preceding it. If its to good to be true it is.
With that said, I have filling the gaps below before heading towards new highs.
gl, trade safe.
End of the Ride for Take Two Interactive. TTWOLooks like an end to an Elliott impulse, with the standard 2-4 line and momentum divergence intact. Posing an entry as MIDAS line along with BB%PCT were crossed and crossed the zero line respectively. VZO and Stoch RSI are unreliable because they do not reflect price action here, probably due to all that recent barbwire trading.
Take-Two: Continued Sideways MovementSince the beginning of February, Take-Two Interactive has been moving mostly sideways with a slight downward bias. Currently, the ongoing beige wave b should continue upward, driving the stock into the beige Target Zone between $241.59 and $257.87. There, this corrective rally should conclude, setting the stage for a sharp downward move. However, if the stock breaks below the support at $135.62, this will signal a premature correction low of the blue wave alt.(II) in the blue Target Zone between $107.47 and $46. We assign this scenario a 33% probability.
$TTWO SHORT, GTA 6 Delay Bearish double top here with a clear gap below. I suspect there could be a trap leading up to earnings so there no reason for us to be bullish just yet. Jason Schreier predicts that GTA 6 will be delayed and his track record has been impeccable. Highly recommnend we open short or stay on the sidelines.
Take-Two: Target Zone in Focus!Although a slight downward tendency has been observed in TTWO’s sideways phase, the stock has recently shown new motivation on the upside. While short-term pullbacks cannot be ruled out, we still expect the beige b-wave to extend into our beige Target Zone (coordinates: $241.59 – $257.87), where we anticipate a significant trend reversal. This outlook remains intact as long as the support at $135.62 holds fast. An early sell-off below this level would trigger our alternative scenario of a premature correction low within our blue Target Zone between $107.47 and $46 (33% probability).
Take-Two Rallied. Now It’s Pulled BackTake-Two Interactive Software jumped in November and now some traders may see potential for upside continuation.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price gap on November 7 after earnings and revenue beat estimates. The videogame developer proceeded to multiyear highs after the report, which may reflect bullish sentiment.
Second is the $177.62 level. It was a weekly close on November 15 and the lowest daily closing price after the bullish gap. TTWO probed that level by $0.27 on Friday but has stayed above it. Is support in place above the previous 52-week high?
Next, stochastics have hit an oversold condition and prices are holding the bottom of the Keltner Channel.
Finally, the stock moved sideways between July 2023 and October 2024. But then the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crossed above the 100- and 200-day SMAs. They’re now in a potentially bullish sequence, with faster SMAs above the slower. That may suggest an uptrend is resuming after more than a year of consolidation.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Flight Boarding - Grand Theft Auto 6Hey fellow gamers and number-crunchers, gather 'round! 🎮
Big news alert: Rockstar Games is dropping the first trailer for Grand Theft Auto 6 on December 5, 2023! twitter.com
Now, for those who live and breathe gaming, no further explanation needed. But hey, to the data lovers and boomers in the house, let me break it down for you.
Rockstar is the genius behind hits like Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, Bully, and La Noire. Flashback to 2013 when they unleashed Grand Theft Auto 5, which turned out to be the best-selling console/PC-only game EVER. Talk about a gaming legend!
Fast forward to now, and GTA 5 has racked up a mind-blowing 185 million units in sales by August 2023. That's across three console generations and PC, making it the cash cow of the entertainment world.
Hold on to your controllers because Grand Theft Auto 6 is gearing up for launch, and the prediction is a whopping $1 billion in sales from the get-go! 🤑 Experts are betting on at least 25 million copies flying off the shelves on release day.
For the financial gurus out there, I've got the deets on TTWO Rockstar Games history prices in my previous analysis. And if you're eyeing the market, the sweet spot for entering the trade seems to be at that red horizontal line at 146 - 150. But here's the cherry on top: I believe we're aiming for a new all-time high beyond 210! 🚀
So, who's ready for the next gaming revolution? 🌟 Share your thoughts below and let the positive vibes flow! 🚀🎉
TTWOThe TTWO stock shows strong indicators on the weekly and monthly timeframes, including moving averages and MACD. The stock has formed a triangle pattern on the daily chart, which has been activated with a breakout above the last high. Additionally, it's forming a descending channel on the weekly timeframe, and is currently near its upper boundary. We're preparing for a potential breakout.
There are two scenarios:
Enter directly with the breakout of the descending channel.
A weaker scenario: we wait for a possible pullback from the upper boundary of the channel to test the triangle's lower boundary, then enter a buy position with a stop loss placed below the triangle's last low.
Our price targets are between $17.90 - $179.90, with the possibility of exceeding this range to reach $189.22. It might extend further to $247. The stop loss is set at $145.
TTWO pullback to $165MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play.
I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price above channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM spiked positive
Price at 3.618 Fibonacci level
In at $176
Target is $165 or channel bottom
Stop loss is $178
TTWO heads up at $163: Major Hurdle to Break-n-Run or Pop-n-DropTTWO earnings popped it into a serious resistance.
Bulls should look for a Break-and-Retest entry here.
Bears should look for a Ping-Rejection to go short.
$ 177.21 - 178.53 is the resistance of concern.
$ 166.78 - 167.49 is the first support below.
$ 197.54 - 198.92 is the optimistic bull target.
=============================================
.
Take Two (TTWO) & ROCKSTARTakeTwo Intractive's costs are rising as fast as revenues, and the Zynga acquisition has yet to prove itself. Of course, GTA 6 is an excellent argument, but even this is not without risk; after all, it is not guaranteed that every new GTA is of the highest quality. Overall, it seems that an investment in the company is currently a pure bet on the massive success of GTA 6. But if that's the investment thesis, why invest now?
TakeTwo has an excellent reputation in the industry and trades with a premium valuation compared to the competition. But several points do not look entirely positive. Costs are rising as fast as revenues, and the Zynga acquisition has yet to prove itself. At the same time, shareholders are slowly but steadily burdened by stock dilution and stock-based compensation. Plus, the CEO sold 21% of his shares in April. Yes, eventually, GTA 6 will be released, but if that's the main argument for the investment, you might as well wait another six months and possibly get in at a cheaper price.
The last quarter was not very successful for the company. Revenue was $1.4B but missed expectations by $140M. On a GAAP basis, there was a significant loss per share of -$1.54. They also lowered FY 2023 revenue guidance from $5.8B to $5.4B. The chart below shows the evolution of some metrics over the last five years. Here we see that revenues are increasing strongly, but costs are increasing almost at the same rate, so real profits are not growing.
The company is currently valued at an enterprise value of $19B. The market cap is $16.9B, and the total debt is $3.7B. The P/S ratio is 4.4, and the forward P/E ratio is approx. 25. The share is thus more cheaply valued than the last few years' averages
this year we going to see GTA6 first trailer and probably release data announcement, plus a next gen update for Red dead redemption2
TTWO under 99$ is a buy zone , I managed to buy some shares at 94$ and will buy more if back to 90-80$ zone again
Still bullish and moving!After my first long trade hit its stop loss today, I opened a second trade at a slightly higher level (see chart image). All bullish indicators are in place—the SMAs are supporting the price movement, and a new local high was recently made, confirming bullish momentum.
I expect this stock to continue rising through the end of the year.
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
* Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
* Weekend Crypto Session
# Trend | Time Frame Conductive | Weekly Time Frame
- General Trend
- Measurement on Session
* Support & Resistance
* Trade Area | Focus & Motion Ahead
# Position & Risk Reward | Daily Time Frame
- Measurement on Session
* Retracement | 0.5 & 0.618
* Extension | 0.786 & 1
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software Take-Two Interactive SoftwareAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TLRY Tilray Brands prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 155usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $6.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Take Two | TTWO & GTA VIIs TakeTwo Interactive Software Fairly Valued?
We use what is known as a 2 stage model, which simply means we have two different periods of growth rates for the company's cash flows. Generally the first stage is higher growth, and the second stage is a lower growth phase. To begin with, we have to get estimates of the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years.
Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = US $9.1b
The second stage is also known as Terminal Value, this is the business's cash flow after the first stage. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (2.2%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 8.5%.
The total value, or equity value, is then the sum of the present value of the future cash flows, which in this case is US$27b. The last step is to then divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding. Compared to the current share price of US$139, the company appears about fair value at a 14% discount to where the stock price trades currently. Valuations are imprecise instruments though, rather like a telescope - move a few degrees and end up in a different galaxy. Do keep this in mind.
We would point out that the most important inputs to a discounted cash flow are the discount rate and of course the actual cash flows. You don't have to agree with these inputs, I recommend redoing the calculations yourself and playing with them. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Take-Two Interactive Software as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 8.5%, which is based on a levered beta of 1.071. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business.
Valuation is only one side of the coin in terms of building your investment thesis, and it shouldn't be the only metric you look at when researching a company. DCF models are not the be-all and end-all of investment valuation. Instead the best use for a DCF model is to test certain assumptions and theories to see if they would lead to the company being undervalued or overvalued. For example, changes in the company's cost of equity or the risk free rate can significantly impact the valuation. For Take-Two Interactive Software, we've put together three pertinent items you should explore:
Risks: To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Take-Two Interactive Software
Future Earnings: How does TTWO's growth rate compare to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the analyst consensus number for the upcoming years by interacting with our free analyst growth expectation chart.
Other High Quality Alternatives: Do you like a good all-rounder? Explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!
long story short
Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Take-Two Interactive Software fair value estimate is US$162 and with US$138 share price, Take-Two Interactive Software appears to be trading close to its estimated fair value
Take-Two: Tug of warTake-Two has continued to move sideways above the $130.34 mark over the past two weeks. We primarily expect a resumption of the rise into our beige Target Zone (coordinates: $241.59 - $257.87) to end the beige wave (B) there. However, an alternative scenario (33% likely) will come into play if the stock falls below support at $130.34 which calls for a direct drop to end blue wave alt. (II).