TSLA Still have room to go lowerTSLA is still have a bit room to go lower but i hope i can get a nice swing trade after it hits the target support
TL0 trade ideas
TSLA Monthly AnalysisTesla Monthly Analysis stills shows bullish.
Demand should step in between 271-291. If demand steps in, look for a BOS/CHOCH/reversal on a lower timeframe.
Tesla - The Failed All Time High Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) will reject the all time high first:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Tesla was actually not able to create a sustainable all time high breakout and if a stock doesn't move up, it will come down. However Tesla still remains absolutely bullish and is now starting to create a textbook break and retest which will eventually still lead to new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $400, $280
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Summary of Tesla (TSLA) *Summary of Tesla (TSLA)
Company Overview
*
Business Focus: Tesla designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles, as well as clean energy products such as battery storage systems and solar panels.
Market Presence: Widely considered one of the leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers, Tesla has a strong global footprint with multiple Gigafactories.
Revenue Streams: Primarily from EV sales (Model 3, Model Y, Model S, Model X, etc.), with growing contributions from energy storage and solar.
Market Cap: Generally among the largest automakers by market capitalization.
Investor Interest: Tesla tends to have high trading volumes and significant retail and institutional investor interest.
*Key Metrics Often Featured*
EPS (Earnings per Share) & Revenue: Monitored closely due to Tesla’s historically high valuations and the market’s focus on profitability.
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings): Can be relatively high compared to traditional automakers, reflecting growth expectations.
Analyst Ratings: Typically span a wide spectrum, from strong bullish (on growth and tech leadership) to bearish (on valuation concerns).
*Recent/Relevant News Themes*
Deliveries and Production Updates: Investors watch Tesla’s quarterly delivery numbers closely, as they are a direct measure of demand and production capacity.
Margin and Price Cuts: Over time, Tesla has occasionally adjusted vehicle prices, which may affect its profit margins.
Competitive Landscape: Increasing EV competition from legacy automakers and other EV startups.
_*Short-Term Outlook*_
Analysts watch each earnings report for guidance on deliveries, production ramp, and margin trends.
As per the text you shared, there’s mention of analysts having reduced the upcoming quarter’s EPS expectations from $1.01 to $0.52. This implies a roughly –48% revision, which could signal either near‐term challenges or conservative estimates for the quarter.
Q1 2025 earnings (on or around April 29, 2025) will shed light on Tesla’s ability to execute on its production and sales targets, as well as the broader macro environment’s impact on EV demand.
*Analysis of Chart*
chart highlights several potential price levels and a notional “wave” of upward movement. Here are the main points:
Current Price Region (Mid–300s)
chart shows the stock trading somewhere in the $340–$360 zone, near a “PIV Point” around $354. This pivot might be a psychological or technical level that traders watch for support/resistance behavior.
Potential Support Levels
$344–$345 area: Marked on chart as a lower boundary that might serve as support. If Tesla retraces, traders might look for a bounce here before any upward move.
$299 level: Although not shown as immediate support in wave projection, have highlighted in chart (orange line), suggesting a historically important region. A break below $300 would likely signal stronger bearish momentum.
Potential Resistance / Upside Targets
$384.72 and $414.24: Your next two labeled points—these presumably act as stepping‐stone targets if Tesla bounces from the mid‐300s.
$413.71–$414 range: identified this as another resistance. A sustained push above $414 would indicate bullish momentum.
$488–$520 range: While higher up, these levels (also indicated in chart with dotted lines) represent upper resistance zones from past price action or psychological round‐number resistance.
Earnings and the “Catalyst” Timeline
Marked an upcoming Earnings event (Q1 2025 on April 29). Earnings can spark higher‐than‐usual volatility. If results exceed or disappoint expectations (particularly on EPS and margins), it can cause a rapid move either up or down.
The chart’s green “wave” suggests you anticipate a slow climb into and after earnings, possibly fueled by bullish sentiment if Tesla meets or exceeds the newly lowered EPS targets.
*Technical Outlook*
In drawing, a short‐term pullback (dip to around $344) before reversing higher.
Breaking the $354 pivot convincingly could confirm a bullish move, aiming for $384 and ultimately $414.
Volume behavior is another key factor—chart shows moderate volumes, so a spike in buying or selling volume could confirm or invalidate the price wave .
*Concluding Remarks*
*Fundamental Context*
Tesla’s lowered EPS estimates for the upcoming quarter raise questions about near‐term profitability or potential one‐time items. The company often surpasses or misses Wall Street estimates in dramatic fashion, keeping investors on alert around earnings announcements.
*Technical Perspective*
The chart suggests a potential bullish structure if Tesla holds above the mid‐340s pivot and successfully tests higher resistance levels. Monitoring volume and price reactions around each support/resistance line is key.
*Long‐Term Factors*
Tesla’s share price movements can be quite sensitive to macroeconomic conditions, competition in the EV space, and developments in battery/energy technology. Earnings reports, guidance, and delivery numbers can quickly shift sentiment.
Stock movements depend on numerous unpredictable variables. Thorough research or consultation with a licensed financial advisor is advisable before making any trading or investment decisions. This overview is provided solely for informational purposes.
_Remember that stock movements depend on numerous unpredictable variables. Always conduct your own due diligence or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions. This overview is provided solely for informational purposes._
TSLA - Another trade of the year candidate!This short was almost too easy and we identified it in the last video after closing the cup and building just enough liquidity for a further dump.
It's been fun but I think I'm going to stop shorting for now and look for some buys
Happy Trading :)
TSLA Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26📌 Key Observations from the Charts
1. Market Structure & Price Action:
* TSLA had a major breakdown from 348-350, falling to 337.20 and consolidating.
* Support Levels:
* 337.20 (current price zone, high liquidity).
* 330.00 (negative NETGEX & next major put wall support).
* 320.09 (third put wall, high-risk breakdown level).
* Resistance Levels:
* 348.01 (prior breakdown level, first resistance).
* 356.76 (Value Area High & rejection level).
* If TSLA loses 330, expect sharp downside acceleration toward 320.
2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels:
* Point of Control (POC): 337.35 → High liquidity, potential reaction zone.
* Value Area High (VAH): 348.01 → Key resistance.
* Value Area Low (VAL): 334.42 → Must hold to avoid more downside.
3. Indicators Review:
* MACD: Bearish, with downside momentum still increasing.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold but not rebounding yet—no bullish reversal confirmation.
🛠️ Options GEX Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* 380-400 → High gamma resistance, strong call walls preventing upside.
* 450 → Extreme call wall unlikely to be tested unless strong bullish momentum returns.
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 330 → Highest Put Wall & Negative NETGEX Support.
* 320 → Critical third Put Wall—if lost, it could trigger a larger breakdown.
* Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx):
* IVR 37.1 | IVx Avg 70 → Higher volatility than previous stocks, meaning wider swings expected.
* Call Positioning 50.5% → Some bullish bets, but still overshadowed by put-heavy positioning.
📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup)
🔹 Entry: Short below 334 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 330.00 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 320.00 (Put Wall Break).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 342 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Buy PUTS 335/320 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms.
* Debit Put Spread (Bearish 335P/320P for risk control).
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 342-348, targeting 356+.
🔹 Target 1: 348.01 (first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 356.76 (major resistance zone).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 335 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Sell 320/315 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play.
🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions
* Main Bias: Bearish, unless 342+ is reclaimed.
* Gamma Risks: Below 330, strong gamma exposure can push TSLA lower quickly.
* Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TESLA ANALYSISI have used the depth analysis on price and time . And just used the trend & candle-stick pattern. It is in downtrend.
Tesla I Tipping Point: Short Opportunity with Head & Shoulders Short opportunity on Tesla
Based on Technical + Fundamental View
-market structure
-Head and shoulder pattern
-Double top
-Currently trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame
-Product Development Delays
-Margin Pressure
-Decreased average selling price
- Increased Competition
- Flat /Declining Sales
- Leadership Concerns: Elon Musk's polarizing political activities and his divided attention between Tesla and other ventures (such as his involvement with OpenAI) have raised concerns among investors. Some analysts suggest that Musk's public perception may negatively impact consumer sentiment towards Tesla, leading to decreased sales and loyalty among customers.
Technical view
Double top
Unlike the classic double top, where the second peak reaches or exceeds the height of the first peak, the Type III double top fails to reach the previous high. This failure signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and an increase in selling pressure than usal.
Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a Risk Reward ratio. (Approx 1:6.4)
Pro Tip
Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone.
Target 1 - 307$
Target 2 - 271$
Target 3 - 237$
Stop Loss - 380.21$
Fundamental View
Valuation Concerns: Tesla's stock is currently viewed as significantly overvalued, with a fair value estimate of $210 per share according to multiple analysts, including Morningstar and Firstrade. This valuation reflects a substantial premium over its current trading price, indicating potential downside risk for investors.
Earnings Performance: Tesla's Q4 2024 earnings are anticipated to show continued improvement, with expectations of gross profit margins exceeding 20%. Analysts believe that the automotive segment's performance has stabilized after a challenging first half of the year, driven by increased deliveries and lower production costs.
Market Dynamics: Despite strong demand for Tesla's vehicles, the company faces pressures from declining average selling prices due to price cuts implemented in 2023. This trend is expected to continue as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle (EV) market.
Product Development: Tesla is set to launch new models, including an affordable SUV (Model Q) aimed at increasing market share in the lower-priced vehicle segment. Additionally, advancements in autonomous driving technology are critical for future growth, with plans to roll out Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in select states and regions.
Analyst Ratings: The consensus among analysts remains mixed, with a combination of "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings. The average price target reflects a cautious outlook, suggesting that while there is potential for upside, significant risks remain due to valuation concerns and competitive pressures.
Not an investment Advise
TSLA: Buying opportunityOn TSLA as you can see on the chart we would have a high probability of having a buying opportunity depending on the configuration of the chart.
$Tesla at a Crossroads: $330 Recovery or $259 Drop?Following MARKETSCOM:TESLA 's recent drop to $300, this analysis examines the critical support level that has recently formed and highlights $312.50 that could determine whether the stock recovers toward $330 or continues its downward trend to $259.
Tesla AnalysisNext target for Tesla. I have analyzed it using Gann , wave, trend. Mantain 6-7$ stop loss.
TSLA support & resistant areas for today Feb 25, 2025NASDAQ:TSLA So these are the support and resistant points for TSLA. Bounce off on these areas can initiate long or short positions.
If yall want me to post this every morning 9.30am please boost and follow me, so i know it is valuable for yall. Thank you
TSLA Harmonic Elliott Wave and Hurst's Cyclic AnalysisI view the move from April to December 2024 as wave A of 3. Since then, we have been in wave B of 3, forming a double zigzag correction. Currently, we are in the final stages of completing this correction and preparing for a strong bullish move as wave C of 3.
To estimate the bottom, we analyze the retracement of wave A of 3. A 0.586 retracement suggests a level of 285, while a 0.618 retracement points to 274.
From a cycle perspective, the April 2024 trough marked an 18-month cycle low. We are now nearing the completion of the first 40-week cycle within this 18-month cycle, with the trough expected in the first week of March.
TESLA Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 022225Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 349/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
TSLA - support & resistant areas for today Feb 27, 2025Here are the key support and resistance levels for TSLA for today. These levels are crucial as they indicate areas where the price may reverse or consolidate. A bounce off these support or resistance zones can signal potential long (buy) or short (sell) positions for traders.
These levels have been calculated using mathematical models and forecasting techniques, ensuring their relevance for today's trading session. Please note that these levels apply only for today and may change in the future.
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TSLA - support & resistant areas for today Feb 27, 2025Here are the key support and resistance levels for TSLA today, which may indicate where the price could reverse or consolidate. These levels might signal potential long (buy) or short (sell) positions for traders.
Calculated using mathematical models, these levels are relevant for today’s trading session and may change in the future.
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TSLA - Starting to DCAI think we are in a good range to start accumulating, down 41% from the top and every indicator I test out seems to be oversold. Potentially it can go lower to ~$225 - this is why I'm not throwing all my money. Definitely a company of the future.
TSLA: Don't fight itWe're officially in correction territory of upward channel.
Long term investors rejoice.
TSLA Approaching a Critical Reversal Zone! Can $280 Hold? Feb.28Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Tesla (TSLA) remains in a strong downtrend, trading within a well-defined falling wedge pattern. The stock is currently testing a major support zone around $280, which aligns with the highest negative NETGEX and significant PUT walls. A breakdown from this level could open the door for a steeper decline toward $250, while a bounce could lead to a sharp reversal rally.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: TSLA is in a clear downtrend, but nearing exhaustion based on technical indicators.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $297-$300 (breakout confirmation level).
* Key Support: $280 → If this breaks, expect further downside toward $250.
* Breakout Target: $310 - $350 if momentum shifts.
* MACD Indicator: Showing a slight bullish divergence, which could signal an upcoming reversal.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold at 37.67, indicating potential upside pressure if buyers step in.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator suggests that TSLA is heavily weighted on the PUT side, with the highest negative gamma near $280. This implies that if $280 breaks, the next big support is around $250. However, if $280 holds, a short squeeze could push TSLA toward $300+ quickly.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 74, with IVx avg at 77.9%, showing high volatility expectations.
* Call Side Bias: 31.9% of options flow, indicating some bullish positioning.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $280 → A breakdown could bring $250 as the next stop.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $300 → A move above this level could send TSLA toward $350+.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $285 with strong volume confirmation.
* Target 1: $300
* Target 2: $310-$350 (Extended breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $278
📌 Bearish Breakdown Setup (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $278 with strong selling pressure.
* Target: $265 → $250
* Stop-loss: Above $285
Final Thoughts
TSLA is at a crucial inflection point, with $280 acting as the major battleground. If buyers defend this level, expect a short squeeze rally toward $300+. But if this level fails, the next leg down could accelerate toward $250. Volume confirmation is key before making a trade.
📢 Risk Management: Keep tight stop-losses, wait for confirmation, and be ready for volatility.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
TSLA at a Critical Level! Reversal or More Pain Ahead? Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Tesla (TSLA) has been in a sharp downtrend, breaking key support levels and forming a descending channel on the 1-hour chart. The stock is now testing a crucial demand zone around $300, which aligns with a major PUT wall and strong buyer interest.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: TSLA is currently in a falling wedge pattern, often a sign of potential reversal.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $320 (previous breakdown level).
* Key Support: $300 (PUT Wall and highest negative NETGEX).
* Breakout Target: $340 if TSLA regains momentum.
* MACD Indicator: Bearish but showing early signs of a possible crossover.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator reveals heavy PUT positioning near $300, making it a high-stakes level. A break below could trigger a gamma-driven sell-off, while holding above could fuel a short-covering rally.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 62, with IVx avg at 71.7%, indicating high volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 31.3% of options flow, meaning some traders are betting on a bounce.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $300 → Breaking below could see more downside toward $290-$280.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $340 → Breaking above this level would confirm a reversal.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Play (If $300 Holds)
* Entry: Above $306 with strong volume.
* Target 1: $320
* Target 2: $340 (CALL Wall breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $297
📌 Bearish Breakdown Play (If $300 Fails)
* Entry: Below $297 with volume confirmation.
* Target 1: $290
* Target 2: $280 (Potential next support).
* Stop-loss: Above $310
Final Thoughts
TSLA is at a make-or-break level, with $300 acting as the battleground. If buyers step in, we could see a relief rally toward $320-$340. However, if selling pressure continues, a break below $300 could lead to a further slide toward $280. High volatility means traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation before entering a position.
📢 Risk Management: Adjust stop-loss levels and position size accordingly. This setup has high risk but also high reward potential.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
