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UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC

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Opening (IRA): UPS June 20th 90C/March 21st -115C... for a 19.60 debit. Comments: Buying the back month 90 delta call and selling a front month that pays for at least all of the extrinsic in the long such that the break even is at or below where the stock is currently trading. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 19.60 Break Even: 109.60/share Max Profit: 5.40 ROC at Max: 27.6% I generally look to take profit on these at 110% of what I put them on for and/or roll out the short call if my take profit isn't hit.
NYSE:UPSLong
by NaughtyPines
1
UPS at a Make-or-Break Zone – Will Buyers Step In?Hi you all, United Parcel Service (UPS) has recently entered a potential buying zone. In its latest earnings report, the company announced a reduction in business with Amazon by more than 50% by the second half of 2026, aiming to focus on more profitable ventures. Despite a slight revenue miss, UPS beat profit expectations for the fourth quarter. From a technical perspective, several factors suggest a potential buying opportunity, so do your homework. If fundamentals will align then you should be ready... - Trendline: The stock is approaching a long-term trendline, third touch. - 50% Retracement: UPS has retraced approximately 50% from its all-time high. - Previous Yearly Highs as Support: Former resistance levels from previous years are now acting as support, indicating potential liquidity. - Psychological Support at $100: The round number of $100 serves as a psychological barrier, potentially providing additional support. Do your homework because this is just half of the story: technical analysis. From my side, this is inside a potential area, but do fundamentals support it? Good luck, Vaido
NYSE:UPSLong
by VaidoVeek
$UPS - DOUBLE BOTTOM UPS completed a double bottom pattern with a tight stop of a daily close below $122. Earnings are initially set for January 30th. I believe it should reach the targets (horizontal ray) before earnings and the ER will decide if it retraces or be a catalyst to brake the trend line. Proposed play: 7 FEB 25 130 C Currently @ 2.65 (Ask) If target reached before ER will consider closing partially and coninue with the rest for ER. Please do your DD and this is a personal play. Updates will follow. GLTA
NYSE:UPSLong
by BUMISHO
1
UPS - State of the EconomyUPS presents an interesting opportunity for investors looking for a potential rebound, especially if you believe there will be a turnaround in consumer demand due to looser financial conditions. The stock has dropped nearly 50% from its highs just a couple of years ago, presenting an attractive entry point for long-term investors. If financial conditions ease and consumer confidence improves, demand for shipping and e-commerce is likely to pick up, directly benefiting UPS's business. As we move more towards e-commerce and away from traditional shops, UPS is poised to benefit from this continued trend over the longer term. Additionally, UPS offers a strong, reliable dividend yield, making it an appealing safe compounder for those seeking stable income over the long term. As the company approaches key support levels that align with previous recession trendlines from 2008 and 2020, it could be poised for a recovery if economic conditions improve. The company’s ongoing automation initiatives, aimed at increasing efficiency and cutting costs, should also drive improvements in margins and earnings per share (EPS). Recent layoffs, while often a negative signal, may actually strengthen UPS’s financials by streamlining operations and reducing labor costs. These efforts are expected to contribute to increased profitability as the company works to optimize its operations. Even for those not directly investing in UPS, the stock remains an important one to monitor as it serves as a proxy for the broader economy. UPS’s performance is closely tied to consumer activity and global supply chains, making it a useful barometer for the health of the economy. If the company shows signs of improvement, it could signal a broader recovery, making UPS an essential stock for any investor keeping an eye on economic trends.
NYSE:UPS
by NoFOMO_
UPS Stock Analysis: Potential Long-Term Value Buy with Reversal The weekly chart for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) on the NYSE suggests that the stock may have found a strong support level around the $125-$127 range. The Ichimoku Cloud indicator shows that the price has been consolidating near the lower boundary of the cloud, which often acts as a support zone. Additionally, the volume profile indicates significant trading activity around this price level, reinforcing the support. A descending trendline has been broken recently, which could signal the end of the downtrend and the beginning of a reversal. The stock is currently trading at $127.29, with a recent high of $127.56 and a low of $125.551. The Ichimoku Cloud components (Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, and Senkou Span A and B) are showing signs of potential bullish crossover, which is a positive indicator for a trend reversal. Given the current technical setup, UPS appears to be at a good value buy point for long-term investors. The combination of strong support, volume profile, and potential bullish signals from the Ichimoku Cloud suggests that a reversal could be imminent1. Investors looking for a long-term position may find this an opportune moment to enter the market.
NYSE:UPSLong
by Lazyblob
UPS - Delivering A Trend Continuation...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 UPS has been overall bullish long-term , trading above the orange trendline. Currently, UPS is in a correction phase trading within the falling channel marked in black. Moreover, the zone marked in blue is a strong demand zone and round number $100. 🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and lower trendlines acting as non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #UPS approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NYSE:UPSLong
by TheSignalyst
1
TURN ME UP: $UPS FORECAST 🛡Analysis inspired by the Royal mail acquisition by Czech billionaire, Daniel Kretinsky I realised with e commerce growth delivery players are just as susceptible to growth you know what they say 🛡 During a gold rush sell shovels 🛡so when everyone selling things online we gone need delivery services for the various websites and who better than an established player with a global market already established SWOT ANALYSIS UPS Strengths Strong Global Presence: UPS expanded its UPS Worldwide Express and UPS Express Plus to 40 countries part and now offers time-definite delivery shipments to businesses across 140 countries and territories. Additionally, it operates small delivery services in more than 220 countries under International Package operations. Online Tracking: UPS has one of the most advanced online tracking capabilities in the industry, which tracks 295 million deliveries per day. SMART Network: Effective delivery operations relies on seamless integration of collection and distribution mechanisms. UPS invested $20 billion to build its Southeast Metro Automated Routing Terminal (SMART) logistics network facility in Atlanta, which connects all systems and equipment in its entire network. Excellent Customer Service: To attract, satisfy, and retain customers, businesses have to deliver high-quality service consistently, which is particularly important in the delivery service. UPS offers excellent customer service and has higher customer satisfaction than FedEx. Highly Innovative: Delivering parcels globally on time requires immense innovation. To deliver each package on time, the Chief Information Officer of UPS developed a smart logistics network and won the Forbes CIO Innovation Award. Fast Deliveries: Timely deliveries consistently is a major strength. UPS streamlines its operation with simple handheld devices for communication, scanning packages, customer signatures as well as complex automation like its GPS navigation and reroute technology. All these operational strategies ensure UPS delivers faster than competitors. Competitive Prices: Offering high-quality service at affordable prices is the most effective way to attract and retain customers. In the logistics and delivery service, UPS offers competitive prices for overnight shipping and across all other different categories. UPS Weaknesses Reliance on US Market: Even though UPS operates globally, it relies heavily on the US market. In 2019, US domestic package delivery and freight generated $58.6 billion while international delivery brought in $15.41 billion. If the US market slows down due to recession, UPS will be adversely affected. Adverse Financial Impact during Peak Holiday Season: For UPS to keep up with demand and deliver on time during high peak online shopping season, it has to spend way more than normal periods. The huge amount spent to handle as much as double the average daily package volume affects the profitability of the company to reap the maximum benefits offered by peak holiday seasons. Operational Issues: The management has been postponing upgrades of equipment and delivery systems for decades. Using 19th-century infrastructure to operate in the fast-moving world of the 21st century is increasingly becoming a challenge but upgrading the system costs $20 billion, which is about 5-year worth of UPS profits. Poor Employee Safety: Poor and unsafe work environment undermine the morale, efficiency, and productivity of employees. There are several cases of UPS employees being injured and one employee passed away after contracting the Covid-19 virus. Burdening Purchased Transportation Costs: The delivery business is influenced immensely by transport costs. Purchased transportation cost is incurred when UPS uses third-party transportation carriers. Around 19% of UPS operating expense is directed to purchased transportation in the fiscal year 2019. If transport costs continue to increase, UPS can lose its profitability. UPS Opportunities Drone Testing: UPS has been testing and expanding its drone delivery capabilities. UPS tested its drone delivery technology at Wake Med hospital campuses, transporting lab samples across different hospital campus buildings. Strengthen e-Commerce Operations: The E-Commerce sector is growing rapidly with new players getting into the business constantly. This sector relies on delivery services, which UPS can exploit by strengthening its e-Commerce operations and services. Expand through Mergers and Acquisition: Mergers and acquisitions allow companies to expand quickly into new markets. Even though UPS failed to capture the European market fully after the collapse of its bid to merge with TNT Express, it can acquire small European logistics companies to increase its market share. Diversify Portfolio: There are 3 primary business segments in UPS operations. For instance, it can diversify into the B2C ecommerce retail sector, supporting Small and Medium-sized Businesses (SMBs) and use its extensive global networkagainst competitors. Expand the target market: UPS operates primarily as a business delivery service (B2B and B2C) for online retailers like Amazon even though the number of ordinary consumers using delivery services is increasing rapidly. The company can fuel its growth by expanding its target market to include ordinary consumers. Expand to 7-Day Delivery: UPS has started a 7-day delivery service. Earlier, UPS pickup and delivery service operated for 6 days (Monday – Saturday). With the surge in online shopping and high customer expectations, now UPS has included deliveries on Sundays. UPS Threats Intense Competition: With stiff competition from FedEx, DHL, Amazon, YRC, Old Dominion, and many more, the market share and profits of UPS are always under threat. Over-reliance on one customer “Amazon”: Ecommerce giant – Amazon represented about 11.6% of UPS revenue in the fiscal year 2019. As Amazon is gearing up to compete in delivery and transportation service, UPS revenue can be at risk due to any change in their relationship. Trade Tensions: As a global operator, the stability, sustainability, and profitability of UPS rely on revenues from different regions. This makes trade tensions a major threat to the company. The threat of Strike: Even though UPS employees have not gone on strike since 1997, the risks and challenges of working through the pandemic coupled with several contractions are fueling anger and frustration in the workforce. Even a short strike can cost the company millions. Looming Recession: The pandemic has left devastation and destruction across the world with several countries already deep into recession. UPS pulled its 2020 earnings forecast after posting a 13% drop in profit in the first quarter. If the recession is severe, the company will experience a larger decline in profits. Global Pandemic: UPS earning is projected to decline by 7% in full year 2020 as the pandemic brought the entire world to a halt. If there is a second wave, UPS could lose even more. courtesy of: bstrategyhub.com
NYSE:UPSLong
by Bekiumuzi_Dube
Potential Downtrend in UPSUnited Parcel Service has been falling since the middle of last year, and some traders may see risk of another acceleration to the downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the arrangement of the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The faster SMAs have mostly remained below the slower ones, which is potentially consistent with a long-term downtrend. Second, the series of higher highs and higher lows since August may be viewed as a potential bearish flag. Further declines from here may suggest a breakdown is occurring. Third, UPS spiked toward $145 after the last quarterly report in October but quickly faded. That potentially confirmed resistance near the July 22 close, one day before a bearish earnings gap. Next, MACD is falling. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has also crossed below the 21-day EMA. Both of those patterns may suggest the short-term direction is growing bearish. We end with the weekly chart. The October 2023 low around $134 offered support in June. Prices tried to reclaim it last month but are now back below it. Is that longer-term level breaking? TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:UPS
by TradeStation
Is UPS only going to have ups from here?UPS august 2024 low looks to be the end of primary degree wave 2 of the cycle degree wave 3. The structure since then looks like a leading diagonal. That means, a sharp downward trend that we have seen today should take the price to retest the low again but should not break $123.25. But as long as price stays below $149, it will not be wise to jump on this freight train. If we see a strong bounce around $126, I will try to get in with a stop loss. But on a macro scale, no matter where the entry price is, it won't matter if the cycle degree wave 3 gets into gear. This ticker should deliver on time, every time :)
NYSE:UPSLong
by mukit1
UPS - Entry Guide with Max LTF ConfirmationThe key to a sustainable trading career is avoiding early entries that don't have the confirmation we require. I am a huge customer of this fault as are many traders. In order to start taking safer positions, we wait for further confirmations. Now these confirmations aren't just to inhibit us and stop of from taking trades to be more disciplined - we are crafting them specifically to be as helpful as possible across all charts while still being able to maximize the trade when we do get in. You may find better confirmations on your own and I would love to hear about them - this is something that I've been back testing for my own strategy and works well as long as the higher time frame context is sound and we are truly patient enough to wait for proofs on all sides. Happy Trading :)
NYSE:UPSLong
by ReigningTrades
UPS: A Hidden Gem in the Logistics SectorUPS stock has been decimated recently, but this presents a prime opportunity for savvy investors. If you, like me, believe in the future of e-commerce and global logistics, UPS is a stock you cannot afford to overlook. As a leader in the logistics industry, UPS is integral to the global supply chain. The stock is a key component in many ETFs focused on transportation and logistics, alongside giants like FedEx and DHL. With the growing demand for efficient delivery services, UPS's pivotal role in the supply chain ensures it is well-positioned for substantial long-term growth. Invest in UPS now to capitalize on the future of global commerce. Trading at 20% below estimate of its fair value Earnings are forecast to grow 15% per year Dividend of 5%. So holding for the long term. Profit margins down to 6% from 10% :(
NYSE:UPSLong
by Maximus20000
UPS looking DOWNSNice head and Shoulders on the United Parcel Service #UPS and FEDEX are the new dow transport indicator. An underlying determinant of how the consumer is faring Since the US is a consumer economy and Online shopping is the majority of retail if we see new highs on the Indicies, and the home delivery carriers continue to deteriorate it would give your non confirmation Top Similar to Dow theory of new High's in the Industrials , but the transports lagging and indeed falling.
NYSE:UPSShort
by BallaJi
14
UPS - Navigating the Evolving Delivery LandscapeUPS's recent earnings miss exposes a vulnerability in their logistics model. Consumers are prioritizing cost over speed, requiring a multi-tiered delivery system for sustainable profitability. Catalyst: UPS's Q2 2024 earnings report revealed a significant decline due to a shift in consumer preference towards lower-cost, slower shipping options offered by competitors. This highlights the need for UPS to adapt its traditional focus on expedited delivery. Price Movement: Upside Potential: Successful implementation of a multi-tiered logistics network catering to both speed and cost-efficiency could lead to a stock price recovery. Downside Risk: Failure to adapt to the changing consumer landscape could lead to continued decline and potential market share loss. Indicators: Monitor news and announcements regarding UPS's logistics network restructuring and investments in cost-effective solutions. Track consumer spending trends related to delivery options, particularly price sensitivity for non-urgent purchases. Analyze the performance of competitor stocks like FedEx, especially their response to the evolving market. Conclusion: The delivery landscape is undergoing a significant shift. UPS's ability to adapt to consumer preferences for cost-conscious options will be crucial for their long-term success. While the transition presents challenges, the successful implementation of a multi-tiered logistics network could unlock significant value for investors. Careful analysis of UPS's strategic moves and market trends is recommended before making any trading decisions.
NYSE:UPSShort
by signalmastermind
UPS - Buy the dip at this priceUPS just had earnings and hoping to catch the dip. There is a Weekly demand zone of more willing buyers between 116.61 & 120.30. The area showed a strong rally in price and took out 2 sellers' peak (in black arrows on the left) showing a great breakout and strength. I am predicting price will come down bounce from the demand zone (in green) and rally from there. If I'm wrong, I will get out at a small loss. Please note that I prefer to use stop losses on all of my trades to prevent myself from gambling. Entry: 120.30 Stop Loss: 116.61 T1 - 1:1 Reward to Risk (for break even): 124.35 T2 - 5:1 Reward to Risk 139.28
NYSE:UPSLong
by kinster5
1