OHI Setting up for a Break out Not a lot of news on this one. But the chart is setting up for another Breakout.
On the daily it already hit bottom and Manipulated it so in my book its accomplished everything it needs to start a climb up.
Daily Chart
On the Hourly Chart it shows early signs of Volume pushes and Breaking out over my lines. Refer to the QS idea for a break down of how the indicator works pls.
In option calls on this Looking for it to Reclaim the $40-43 Range in the next 30 days.
by iCantw84it
01.02.25
WX4 trade ideas
OHI/SBRA: Potential Long OpportunityOHI/SBRA is showing a signal for a long position starting today, and all indicators support what appears to be a promising opportunity.
ADX: Indicates no prevailing trend in the pair.
Correlation: Remains high.
Price: Positioned in the oversold area.
I will monitor the market throughout the day and make a final decision on this trade by the day's end.
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OHI (Tentative Buy)Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. engages in the provision of financing and capital to the long-term healthcare industry with a particular focus on skilled nursing facilities. Its portfolio consists of long-term leases and mortgage agreements. The company was founded on March 31, 1992 and is headquartered in Hunt Valley, MD.
OHI has been in a selling trend for the last two quarters of 2021, and appears to be heading toward a price breakout of the current resistance.
Why? 3 Potential Indicators:
1) A bullish wedge is forming on the long-term daily chart.
2) RSI has crossed 50, is moving toward the upside
3) Candles in the last few days are trading above the Bollinger Bands, signaling price breakout to higher high and higher low in the coming weeks.
Entrance Strategy: When price breaks a current resistance level.
Exit Strategy: Take profits at new ATH or after 10% increase.
OHI Short Put Nov 19Sold OHI short put 42 DTE, Nov 19, 28 strike
5.72% from underlying price, 15.52% AROI
Assignment yield at strike is 9.57%, so I'd be happy with that.
Price is reacting to a zone where buyers have rallied from before. So I'm just at the Nov 2020 lows on strike.
I think about if I would've just bought OHI last Halloween and held it for 10% cash payout. I'd be right back to par today on capital value, but 10% more cash.
UGH, I regret not being more aggressive last year.
If OHI doesn't stick the landing below 28, then I'm happy with 15% AROI also and an extra 5%
Already have a bag of OHI in the Rollover IRA, but this is a taxable trade.
I like the high dividend yield, but with the whole Evergrande bullshit and Debt ceiling FUD, I am reluctant to take outright long positions, as is probably every fund manager in the world.
Overall, I think it's an asymmetric trade to the upside where I'm being paid 5% extra AROI to bid.
OHI - resolution of consolidation higher?OHI consolidating nicely in an ascending triangle which has a good chance of resolving higher. The upside target is 18% from the breakout (if indeed it occurs and does not fail). Omega is a real estate investment trust that invests in the long-term healthcare industry. Fundamentally, demand for those facilities is increasing with covid and ageing population in USA.
OHI PRICE FORECAST USING PAST CONVERGENCE PATTERNS & K-VARIANCE REFERENCE KEY:
Yellow Horizontal Lines = Key Support Intervals (K).
Orange slopes = Key Resistance Intervals based on convergence model.
White Regression trend represents a LOG/Linear slope equal to (((0.33X-1)T/V)^2)
Where,
0.33 = Series Conv {((Alternating Series Test),
If for all n, an is positive, non-increasing (i.e. 0 < an+1 <= an), and approaching zero, then the alternating series equals 1 },
T= Time-frame
V = %Change
X = Standard Div / Variance
Forecast Findings (95%):
This chart shows a mathematical and technical forecast for Omaha Healthcare Investors for the next 5 trading days.
Based on previous activity a sell-off of more than 5% yields a rapid rebound equal to previous support levels. Given that OHI saw a 6.11% correction, compounded regression show a standard procession of variance at $1.86 or 5.18% where in approximately 23 hours from the time of this writing the closing price will be equal to $38.33 on Wednesday Feb 13th. After the markets close. the buying activity will be followed by a convergence of sell-side activity reducing the daily price change from 1.86 to 1.13, the final percentage gain going into trading hours on Thursday will be %3.08 and the price at market open for OHI on Thursday Feb 14th will be $37.57.
Adjust your trades according to this forcast and use the model for future predictions and you will maximize your profits from trading OHI.
These variance metrics are extremely consistent and the convergence (K = 1+v^2) factorization almost never deviates outside of the provided Intervals.
FWYB,
DanOmun.
OHI in a D profile decline coming into symmetry at a Virgin HVNText in the chart.
OHI is exhibiting some predictable proportional growth projections down, with a nice corrective profile shape down.
And the volume story from the recession recovery rally reads like large buyers may step back in where they were previously active before in 2013.
The gamble is whether or not those large buyers show up to the party again, or if they've left the party.
I was personally nursing an OHI trade from higher up, looking for where I am dead wrong.
But when I worked up the entire weekly chart I see how things could play out, from where, why, and what must happen for the trade to succeed.