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CANADIAN DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR

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CADAUD trade ideas

AUDCAD at Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:AUDCAD has reached a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a pullback if sellers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance, we could see a move lower toward the 0.90200 level, a logical target based on past price behavior and current market structure. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
5
AUDCAD: Bearish Cross kickstarting a decline.AUDCAD is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.879, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 33.394) and got rejected on both the 1D MA100 and MA200 that formed a Bearish Cross. The Channel Down mimics the June 30th 2023 Cross that then pushed the price to the bottom of the Rectangle on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. Go short, TP = 0.86600. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
AUDCAD Set for Bearish Correction After Struggling to RiseAUDCAD Set for Bearish Correction After Struggling to Rise The AUDCAD pair recently broke out from a bearish pattern, suggesting a potential downward movement. While further confirmation is needed to solidify this trend, the pair already appears poised for a continued decline. A minor support zone is located near 0.9010. However, this area may not hold, and there is a strong possibility that the price could breach this support and target the lower levels of 0.8993 and 0.8960. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
2
AUD/CAD "Aussie vs Canadian" Forex Market Bullish Heist PlanBased on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/CAD "Aussie vs Canadian" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Buy above (0.90600) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to placing the Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA (or) placing the Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.89900 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / Swing Low or High level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.92500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: ╰┈➤AUD/CAD "Aussie vs Canadian" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. ╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis Economic Indicators: Australia's GDP growth rate is expected to slow down to 2.2% in 2025, while Canada's GDP growth rate is expected to remain steady at 1.8% Monetary Policy: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to maintain its interest rates at 0.10% in 2025, while the Bank of Canada (BoC) is expected to raise interest rates to 1.50% Trade Balance: Australia's trade balance is expected to remain in surplus, while Canada's trade balance is expected to remain in deficit Inflation Rate: Australia's inflation rate is expected to rise to 2.5% in 2025, while Canada's inflation rate is expected to remain steady at 2.0% ╰┈➤Macro Economics Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for commodities, including those exported by Australia and Canada Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to rise by 5% in 2025, driven by increasing demand for raw materials Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for commodities Currency Flows: Currency flows are expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in currency exchange rates ╰┈➤COT Data Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional): Net Long Positions: 40% Open Interest: 80,000 contracts Commercial Traders (Companies): Net Short Positions: 30% Open Interest: 40,000 contracts Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders): Net Long Positions: 30% Open Interest: 20,000 contracts COT Ratio: 1.1 (indicating a neutral trend) ╰┈➤Sentimental Outlook Institutional Sentiment: 50% bullish, 50% bearish Retail Sentiment: 55% bullish, 45% bearish Market Mood: The overall market mood is neutral, with a sentiment score of +5 ╰┈➤Technical Analysis Trend: The AUD/CAD pair is experiencing a neutral trend, with the market respecting the 20-period Weighted Moving Average (WMA) as dynamic support. ╰┈➤Market Data Analysis Order Book Analysis: The AUD/CAD pair's order book is showing a neutral sentiment, with an equal number of buy and sell orders. Liquidity Analysis: The AUD/CAD pair's liquidity is expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in market participation. Volatility Analysis: The AUD/CAD pair's volatility is expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in market sentiment. ╰┈➤Positioning Long Positions: 50% of total positions Short Positions: 50% of total positions Neutral Positions: 0% of total positions Leverage: 1:1 (average) ╰┈➤Next Move Prediction Bullish Move: Potential upside to 0.92000-0.93000. Target: 0.93000 (primary target), 0.94000 (secondary target) Next Swing Target: 0.95000 (potential swing high) Stop Loss: 0.87000 (below the 30-day low) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 500 pips vs potential loss of 250 pips) ╰┈➤Overall Outlook The overall outlook for AUD/CAD is neutral, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected stability in commodity prices, neutral interest rate environment, and balanced market sentiment are all supporting the neutral trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential upside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
1
Bullish bounce?AUD/CAD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.9006 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.8976 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.9044 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUDCAD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCAD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.9015 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.8992 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
AUD/CAD (1H) – Bearish Wedge Formation & Sell SetupMarket Overview: The AUD/CAD pair is currently forming a rising wedge pattern, a bearish signal indicating a potential breakdown. The price is consolidating within support and resistance levels, showing signs of weakening momentum. Key Technical Observations: 🔹 Rising Wedge Pattern: The price is making higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), but the structure is narrowing, indicating a potential breakdown. 🔹 Neckline Support: The key level to watch is 0.8990—a break below this support will confirm the bearish move. 🔹 Breakout Confirmation: A break below the neckline will trigger a strong downside move, confirming the wedge breakdown. Trade Setup: 📌 Sell Stop Entry: 0.8990 (Below neckline support) 📌 Stop Loss: 0.9036 (Above resistance) 📌 Take Profit 1: 0.8944 📌 Take Profit 2: 0.8898 Trading Plan: ✅ If the price breaks below the neckline at 0.8990, a sell stop order will be triggered. ✅ A stop loss is placed above the recent resistance at 0.9036 to minimize risk. ✅ If the price reaches TP-1 (0.8944), consider securing partial profits and adjusting the stop loss. ✅ A further decline towards TP-2 (0.8898) is expected if momentum continues. 💡 Conclusion: A breakdown from this wedge structure could lead to a strong bearish move. Traders should wait for confirmation below 0.8990 before entering the trade. 📉 Stay disciplined & trade with a strategy! 🚀
Short
by Asif_Iqbal_chaudhary
AUDCADHere's how the anticipated Australian economic data releases may affect the AUD/CAD trade directional bias today by 4;30am Key Data Releases and Potential Impacts: (1)Cash Rate (Forecast 4.10%, Previous 4.35%): Lower than Forecast (AUD Negative): If the actual cash rate is lower than the forecast of 4.10%, it would indicate a more dovish stance by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), suggesting concerns about economic growth. This would likely weaken the AUD, leading to a potential decline in the AUD/CAD. As Expected (Neutral to Slightly AUD Negative): If the cash rate matches the forecast of 4.10%, the impact might be neutral, but the AUD could still face some downward pressure because it confirms the RBA is easing monetary policy. Higher than Forecast (AUD Positive): An unexpected hold or increase in the cash rate would signal a hawkish RBA, strengthening the AUD and potentially leading to an increase in the AUD/CAD (2)RBA Monetary Policy Statement & RBA Rate Statement: These statements provide context and reasoning behind the RBA's interest rate decisions and offer insights into the central bank's economic outlook and future policy intentions. Dovish Statements (AUD Negative): If the statements express concerns about economic growth, highlight downside risks, or signal further rate cuts, the AUD would likely weaken, pushing the AUD/CAD lower. Hawkish Statements (AUD Positive): If the statements convey confidence in the economy, emphasize inflation control, or suggest a willingness to raise rates if needed, the AUD would likely strengthen, potentially leading to an increase in the AUD/CAD. Upcoming Canadian CPI Data (2:30 PM) AND HOW IT WILL AFFECT TRADE DIRECTIONAL BIAS. CPI m/m (Forecast 0.1%, Previous -0.4%): Higher than Forecast (CAD Positive): If the actual CPI m/m is higher than the forecast of 0.1%, it would indicate rising inflation in Canada. This could lead the Bank of Canada (BoC) to maintain a hawkish stance or potentially consider future rate hikes, which would likely strengthen the CAD. Lower than Forecast (CAD Negative): If the actual CPI m/m is lower than the forecast, it would suggest easing inflationary pressures. This could prompt the BoC to consider a more dovish approach, potentially weakening the CAD. Median CPI y/y (Forecast 2.5%, Previous 2.4%): Higher than Forecast (CAD Positive): A higher-than-expected median CPI y/y would signal that underlying inflation is increasing, reinforcing the potential for a hawkish BoC stance. Lower than Forecast (CAD Negative): A lower reading would suggest that underlying inflation is easing, potentially leading to a more dovish BoC. Trimmed CPI y/y (Forecast 2.6%, Previous 2.5%): Higher than Forecast (CAD Positive): Similar to the median CPI, a higher-than-expected trimmed CPI y/y would strengthen the case for a hawkish BoC. Lower than Forecast (CAD Negative): A lower reading would support a more dovish BoC. Common CPI y/y (Forecast 2.1%, Previous 2.0%): Higher than Forecast (CAD Positive): An increase in the common CPI y/y would generally be seen as positive for the CAD. Lower than Forecast (CAD Negative): A decrease could weigh on the CAD. Core CPI m/m (Previous -0.3%): Higher than Previous (CAD Positive): If the actual core CPI m/m increases from the previous -0.3%, it would generally be seen as positive for the CAD. Lower than Previous (CAD Negative): A further decrease could weigh on the CAD. Impact on AUD/CAD: CAD Strengthening: If the CPI data is generally higher than expected, the CAD is likely to strengthen, potentially leading to a decrease in the AUD/CAD. CAD Weakening: If the CPI data is generally lower than expected, the CAD is likely to weaken, potentially leading to an increase in the AUD/CAD. Current Head of the Bank of Canada: The current Governor of the Bank of Canada is Tiff Macklem. He was appointed to the position effective June 3, 2020, for a seven-year term. RBA Policies: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policies will also influence the AUD/CAD. Trump's Tariff Threat: Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has stated that President Donald Trump's tariff threats are already having an impact. Economic growth forecasts: The Bank has adjusted its economic growth forecast down to 1.8 percent for 2025. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on forecasts and expectations and is not a guarantee of actual market movements. Trading currencies involves risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
by Shavyfxhub
Possible bearish breakout and whyMy analysis show that bears have the upper hand as the changed the trend a bit by breaking below the CHoC and currently the price is now in a range between support and resistance Since bears had a potential market control we can assume that the range is likely to be broken below(support) all the way to the Demand level and this will confirm bears are in control of the price and we should look for selling opportunities so all in all wait for a break below before entering, market confirmation is important
Short
by StarleXtheTrader
audcad idea if breakout *** We note that the price touched 0.8849 twice since August 8, 2024, once on the same date and once between January 10 and 13 of this year, forming a resistance area that the chart could not cross. *** In the event of a breakout from the top of the chart, we wait for the price to return from the BEARISH OB area, and in the event of a breakout, it will reach the highest area in this bearish chart HH POINT *** The price will reach the LL POINTS area to take its liquidity from it to reach HH POINTS ****Give me your opinion in the comments****
Long
by NABILFX_
Idea for FridayThe Canadian dollar strengthened against the greenback on Friday, and the yield on benchmark government debt slipped. The loonie was trading 0.2% higher at C$1.4163 to the greenback, or 70.61 U.S. cents, after trading in a range of 1.4156 to 1.4201. Canadian government 10-year bond yields fell 3 basis points to 3.087%. The yield on similar U.S. government benchmark debt fell to 4.4724%. U.S. March crude futures rose 20 cents to $71.49 a barrel on Friday. Canadian factory sales fell 0.3% in December from the previous month, Statistics Canada said. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected factory sales growth of 0.7%.
by EZIO-FX
AUDCAD Bullish Pennant Formation and Expected Breakout AnalysisAUDCAD BUY Entry Point= 0.90000 Stop loss = 0.89500 AUDCAD is currently trading at 0.90000, with a target price of 0.91500. This setup suggests an expected upward movement of 150+ pips. The market is forming a bullish pennant, a continuation pattern indicating potential for further gains. A breakout from this pattern is anticipated, which could drive prices higher. The breakout confirmation will strengthen the bullish sentiment, increasing the likelihood of reaching the target. Traders should monitor volume and momentum indicators for confirmation. Stop-loss placement is crucial to manage risk effectively. If the breakout is strong, the price could move swiftly towards the target. Patience and proper risk management are key to capitalizing on this setup. Overall, a bullish outlook is expected upon a successful breakout.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1