Controversy Over Fundamentals May Push CADCHF UpwardsIn today's trading session, we are closely monitoring CADCHF for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.91650 zone.
Technical Outlook: CADCHF has recently formed a double bottom pattern and is now approaching a key support area near 0.91650. This zone is expected to act as a strong level, providing a solid foundation for a possible reversal or continuation to the upside.
Fundamental Outlook: On the fundamental side, inflation in Switzerland is softening, and the SNB’s monetary policy remains dovish, which should lead to further weakening of the CHF. Meanwhile, inflation in Canada remains a significant concern. With that, the BoC is reportedly leaning towards a 50 bps rate hike, as per expectations from Goldman Sachs, which could strengthen the CAD further.
Keep this setup on your radar and monitor for price action signals around the 0.91650 level. Always remember to trade what you see, not what you think.
Trade safe,
Joe
CADCHF trade ideas
CADCHF-bias long Bullish indications:
Trend line support respected in daytime frame.
AB=Cd is complete indicates bullish move.
Major support respected at 0.62222
1 hr MA indicates bullish move.
Inverted head and shoulder from support.
Trend line resistance is broken.
Bearish indications:
MA is getting respected in 2 hr time frame.
LLLH
Trade plan bias long @ 0.6225
SL:0.6213
TP1:0.6233
TP2:0.62448
Trade management, confirmation sell, example/execution — CADCHFHere's a so-called rising wedge pattern. It may look a bit tricky because it broke above at first, but in my opinion it was just a false breakout. Afterwards, price made a breakout below the wedge, then after, it broke completely below to the horizontal side. Now, to confirm that this wasn't another false breakout, we'd just have to wait for a pullback with a continuation down which it made, and it's a confirmation to sell. Now all that's left is to place a limit entry where price last began showing momentum down.
CADCHF: Long Signal Explained
CADCHF
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long CADCHF
Entry Point - 0.6230
Stop Loss - 0.6204
Take Profit - 0.6276
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
CADCHF Smart Money Concepts (SMC)n modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each:
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1. Order Blocks
An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement.
Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement.
Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement.
How to use:
Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend.
Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones.
Example:
If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block.
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2. Imbalances
An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure.
These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third.
It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement.
How to use:
Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones.
Enter a position when the gap is filled.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area.
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3. Breaker Blocks
A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken."
Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement.
They can also be used to filter valid order blocks.
How to use:
After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest.
Used to identify trend reversals.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block.
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4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap)
An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement.
An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal.
It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap."
How to use:
Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal.
Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses.
Example:
In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward.
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Conclusion
Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market.
Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply.
Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
These elements are especially useful for traders following SMC principles, as they provide a deeper understanding of the actions of major market participants.
Institutional Demand: CAD/CHF longshey,
the rest of my watch list besides safe heaven pairs as chf and jpy is focused at CAD.
expecting cad strenght against GBP/CAD and here at CAD/CHF.
price is sitting in demand and I'll be waiting again for the 4-hour chart to shape up.
same stuff, different chart.
kind regards,
Max Nieveld
CADCHF - Short from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CADCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is price to fill that huge imbalance and to reject from trendline.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Wednesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Interest Rate on CAD and on Thursday Interest Rate on CHF. News with high impact on currencies.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Monthly CLS range. AMD playing out. Short in distribution phaseMonthly CLS range. AMD playing out. Short in the distribution phase
you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion.
What is CLS?
This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets.
CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing.
Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become a better trader
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
CADCHF Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for CADCHF.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 0.620.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 0.627 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAD CHF Sell
**c OANDA:CADCHF Trade Idea: Bearish Bias**
**Summary:**
This setup indicates a **sell** opportunity for CADCHF, driven by seasonal trends and exogenous factors favoring CHF over CAD.
**Key Points:**
- **Seasonality:** CHF exhibits bullish momentum from Nov 18 to Dec 29, while CAD remains neutral, favoring CHF strength.
- **Commitment of Traders (COT):** Both CAD and CHF are near their bottoms, indicating a neutral bias from this perspective.
- **Exogenous Factors:**
- **Balance of Payments (BOP):** Negative for CAD, positive for CHF, favoring CHF.
- **GDP Growth:** Negative for CAD and positive for CHF, adding to the bearish outlook for CADCHF.
- **Stocks:** Negative for CAD and positive for CHF, supporting CHF strength.
- **Interest Rates (IR):** Neutral for both currencies but does not offset the bearish sentiment for CADCHF.
- **Exogenous Score:** CHF (60.5) strongly outperforms CAD (1.5), supporting a sell bias.
**Trade Bias:**
Sell CADCHF, as seasonal and exogenous factors significantly favor CHF over CAD.
**Risk Disclaimer:** Apply proper risk management, and account for potential volatility in the pair.
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CAD/CHF Reversal Opportunity with Target ZonesThis 4-hour CAD/CHF chart depicts a potential bullish reversal setup at a key support zone, where the price has reached a marked "Buy @ CMP" level near 0.6200. The chart highlights two take-profit levels (TP1 at 0.6260 and TP2 at 0.6320), suggesting a potential upside from the current market price. A stop-loss is positioned below the support level at 0.6180 to minimize risk. This setup indicates an opportunity to capitalize on a rebound from the support level, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio targeting the identified profit zones.
CADCHF On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
CADCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.6216 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 0.6192
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6261
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADCHF - Short supported by fundamentals and technicalsFundamental Analysis:
Key indicators, including the LEI and both Endogenous, and Exogenous factors, have been steadily declining on a weekly basis. This indicates a weakening outlook for the CAD against the CHF, supporting a bearish perspective on the pair.
Seasonality:
Historically, CADCHF shows a bearish tendency between December 2nd and December 16th, pointing to a potential seasonal opportunity for short positions.
COT Report:
CHF is near its lows, while CAD remains neutral. The report indicates a sell bias for CAD and a buy bias for CHF, suggesting potential opportunities in favour of CHF
Technical Analysis:
CADCHF has been in a downtrend and forming lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) on the 1H timeframe. Currently, it’s displaying a bearish flag pattern, signalling the potential for the downtrend to continue. This presents a shorting opportunity if the price breaks below the most recent lower low."
Conclusion:
Consider shorting CADCHF, as a combination of seasonal trends, fundamental factors, and technical indicators strongly support CHF over CAD.
Entry Price: 0.62559 (Sell Stop)
Stop Loss: 0.62700
Take Profit 1: 0.6242
Take Profit 2: 0.6228
Heading towards 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?CAD/CHF is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.62799
1st Support: 0.62399
1st Resistance: 0.63072
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