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CADJPY trade ideas

CAD/JPY Short SetupTechnical Analysis: CAD/JPY has surged to a resistance level around 107.75, which previously acted as a significant barrier. The pair is exhibiting signs of overbought conditions, and a pullback towards 105.50 is plausible.  • Fundamental Factors: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to announce a rate hike soon, with markets already pricing in two 25bps increases by the end of 2025. This anticipation strengthens the JPY, potentially leading to a decline in CAD/JPY.  • Market Sentiment: Recent statements from the U.S. administration suggest plans to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico. This development could pressure the CAD, particularly against the JPY, as investors seek safe-haven assets. 
Short
by WisdomTrader_MS
USD/JPY Trade Recap, AUD/JPY Long, AUD/USD Short & CAD/JPY ShortAUD/JPY Long Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse up above area of interest. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. AUD/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart. • If tight structured 1H continuation follows, 1H risk entry within it. CAD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
by StewySongs
CADJPYThis is what I would consider a "B" setup for myself. Second time this year I'm going for it. Although we are near a strong support level, I would like to see if price could retest the previous support range (color box on chart). Although price has been falling with the bearish activity simmering down a bit, maybe we have bears in the market that haven't fully closed and are still testing the lows before a true move up. Looking for a small target range as listed on the chart.
Short
by Redimere_91
CADJPY bias to the upside Beautiful shift of structure Weekly, I expect to form the weekly wick by retracement of 2h structure to the AOI Daily and then continue to the major trend just broken. Also I expect to form a zone of positioning and liquidation in this zone from my xp, so I will watch closely what is going to happen and react by the move formed. DISCLAIMER! The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by me
Long
by snapfx24
CAD/JPY Short – Commodity Currency Struggles vs. Safe HavenWe propose a short position in CAD/JPY, capitalizing on the renewed downtrend. An optimal entry would be near the channel resistance if another uptick occurs – e.g. around ¥104.4 – ¥104.5 (current market around ¥104.36 is already in this zone) Technical Analysis: CAD/JPY’s technical picture has flipped bearish after a relief rally in April. Not long ago (earlier Q2), the pair formed a double bottom near a key support (around ¥101–102, likely the April low). That drove a rebound to a peak in late April, but the recovery stalled below ¥105. In fact, price failed at ¥104.90, which corresponds to the descending channel resistance on the daily chart. We propose a short position in CAD/JPY, capitalizing on the renewed downtrend. An optimal entry would be near the channel resistance if another uptick occurs – e.g. around ¥104.4 – ¥104.5 (current market around ¥104.36 is already in this zone). A protective stop can be placed at ¥105.10, just above the recent swing high and the critical 105 handle. This stop is tight enough (about 70 pips risk) to invalidate the setup if hit (as it means a breakout of the bearish channel). The profit targets are ¥102.20 initially (just above the ¥102.9 support and ahead of the big 102 figure) and an extended ¥100.00 on a multi-week horizon if downside momentum persists.
Short
by TerraBullMarkets
CAD/JPY – Trendline Breakout and Retest (Daily Timeframe)CAD/JPY has successfully broken above a long-standing descending trendline, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish structure. The pair is now showing signs of pullback or retest of this trendline, which could act as a launchpad for a fresh bullish wave. The major support zone near 101.50–102.00 continues to hold strong, and the breakout aligns with bullish market sentiment. If the retest confirms, price could rally toward the 106.50–107.00 region. 🔼 Bullish Setup Highlights: Breakout confirmed above descending trendline. Strong demand zone still valid below. Retest in progress – eyes on bullish engulfing or confirmation candle. 📈 Watch for bullish continuation if price holds above the trendline and support zone.
Long
by rubinasaifi2013
CADJPY BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 CADJPY SWING BUY TRADE PLAN 🔥 
📅 Date: 5 MAY 2025
 📋 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW: * Type: Swing * Direction: Buy * Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (86%) * Risk:Reward: 3.8:1 * Status: Waiting 📌 Guidance Note:
This is the Primary HTF Buy Plan based on the D1 bullish continuation structure after CHoCH and iBOS confirmation. Risk priority: 1.0%. Execution on H4 structure or confirmed H1 sweep + breaker block. 📈 MARKET BIAS & TRADE TYPE: * Bias: Bullish 📈 * Trade Type: Continuation (HTF swing leg continuation off deep retracement) 🔰 CONFIDENCE LEVEL: * ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (86%)
Confluence Breakdown: * H4 BOS + CHoCH: ✅ 28% * Deep Discount OB Zone: ✅ 22% * Multi-Liquidity Sweep Trap Potential: ✅ 18% * Sentiment/Macro Alignment: ✅ 18% 📍 ENTRY ZONES: * 🟩 Primary Buy Zone:
103.850 – 103.550
(D1 OB + 70.5% FIB + internal liquidity pool) * 🟨 Secondary Zone (less aggressive):
104.050 – 103.950
(H4 FVG + minor sweep inducement) ❗ STOP LOSS: * SL: 103.150
(Below OB wick + 1x H4 ATR)
ATR-adjusted for mid-volatility conditions 🎯 TAKE PROFITS: TP Target R:R Notes TP1 104.950 2.3:1 Internal H4 liquidity pocket TP2 105.780 3.8:1 Full bullish continuation leg target TP3 106.900 5.2:1 D1 cleanout of March supply high 🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY: * Risk: 1.0% * SL to BE: After TP1 hit (breakeven +10 pips) * Scaling: * 50% at TP1 * 30% at TP2 * 20% runner to TP3 (trailing logic engaged) ⚠️ CONFIRMATION CRITERIA (OPTIONAL FOR SNIPERS): * H1/H4 bullish engulfing OR pin bar from zone * Volume spike confirmation * Breaker block trigger OR iBOS inside zone ⏳ VALIDITY: * Plan Type: Swing * Expiry: 72 hours * Auto-expire if structure breaks or invalidated macro shift ❌ INVALIDATION: * H4 CHoCH against bullish bias * D1 closes below 103.100 * Macro reversal (JPY strength surge + risk-off flow + DXY spike) 🌐 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT: * COT: Net JPY short bias remains, CAD neutral to mild bullish * Retail Sentiment: 72% short = bullish contrarian signal ✅ * DXY: Consolidating — risk-neutral, supporting risk pairs * VIX: Stable sub-16 (risk-on supportive) * Macro: Oil stable; Canada correlation supportive * Sentiment Score: +7/10 ✅ 📋 FINAL TRADE SUMMARY: We are executing a high-confidence CADJPY swing buy from D1 structural continuation zone. Market has swept prior lows and returned to premium discount OB zone. HTF structure is bullish with multiple liquidity traps below. Risk-on sentiment and macro fundamentals support CAD. We scale in with full precision management and SL protections. "Execute on structure, not impulse. Confirmed. Blueprinted. Disciplined."
Long
by jibkhan111
CADJPY Wave Analysis – 1 May 2025- CADJPY broke the resistance zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 106.00 CADJPY currency pair recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 104.00 and the resistance trendline of the Descending Triangle from February. The breakout of this resistance zone continues the earlier sharp upward correction from the major long-term support level 102.00, which has been reversing the price from August. CADJPY can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 106.00 (top of the previous minor correction 2 from March).
Long
by FxProGlobal
CAD/JPY 4-Hour Short – Fibonacci RetracementWe’re fading the recent CAD/JPY rally with a sell-limit at the 38.2% retracement (≈103.60), anticipating a continuation of the larger down-impulse. • Entry: 103.597 (Sell Limit at 38.2% fib) • Stop Loss: 103.982 (just above 23.6% fib) → 37.5 pips / 0.36% risk → $2.70 at 0.01 lots • Take Profit: 102.514 (78.6% extension) → 109.3 pips / 1.05% reward → $7.58 at 0.01 lots • Risk-Reward: ≈1:2.9 The custom RSI (with its configurable moving average) is turning lower below 60, aligning momentum with a bearish bias. Position sizing is handled by the “Sniper Lot Size Calculator” to cap risk at 1% per trade. This clean, macro-to-micro approach keeps us surgical—waiting for the pullback, then striking with precision.
Short
by Arturo77