USDCADHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDCAD?
This pair found support at the bottom of the channel and a key support zone, triggering the beginning of a bullish move.
We now expect the price to consolidate briefly within this support area, and then continue moving upward toward the specified targets.
Will this support hold and drive the next leg higher? Share your thoughts below!
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CADUSD trade ideas
USDCAD: Bullish Wave on the Horizon?USDCAD: Bullish Wave on the Horizon?
From early April to early May, USDCAD moved within a broad accumulation pattern without a clear direction.
However, in the past week, the pair made its first bullish wave, climbing nearly 260 pips.
Now, USDCAD appears to be accumulating once again, potentially setting up for another bullish wave.
If this momentum continues, the price may extend toward the 1.4100 and 1.4200 levels.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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USDCAD Consolidation Within Bullish Flag – Targets 1.4130USDCAD is consolidating inside a descending flag structure following a strong impulsive rally earlier in May. The current pullback is orderly and corrective, indicating potential for continuation higher. If price breaks above 1.3960, this flag breakout could extend toward 1.4130 and possibly 1.4225. With CAD weakening on soft oil prices and USD regaining strength from yield-driven flows, the bias remains bullish while price stays above 1.3870.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Pattern: Bullish flag forming after a strong rally
Support Zone: 1.3870–1.3900 → base of flag
Resistance/Breakout Zone: 1.3960–1.3980 → upper flag line
Structure:
Higher lows holding firm
Fib confluence near 1.3933 (23.6% retracement)
Target Levels:
1.4130 – 50% fib level + previous structure resistance
1.4225 – 61.8% fib zone from March–April high
📈 Bias: Bullish continuation on breakout
🌍 Fundamental Context
🇺🇸 U.S. Dollar (USD)
Supported by:
Higher bond yields
Fed expected to hold rates higher for longer
Safe-haven inflows post-Moody’s downgrade fading
USD Index recovering broadly across majors
🇨🇦 Canadian Dollar (CAD)
Oil prices softening due to global demand concerns (China slowdown, US inventories)
BoC likely done hiking — no fresh bullish catalysts
CAD correlation with crude oil adds downside risk if energy markets weaken further
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Break and close above 1.3960
Stop Loss: Below 1.3870 (flag support zone)
Targets:
TP1: 1.4130 (structure resistance + fib level)
TP2: 1.4225 (swing high + golden ratio)
⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch
If USD sentiment shifts (e.g., dovish Fed speaker) → breakout may fail
Crude oil rebound would support CAD and cap USD/CAD upside
False breakouts common near 1.3960 — wait for confirmation (strong candle close)
🧭 Conclusion
USD/CAD remains in a bullish consolidation phase with a clear continuation setup. A break above 1.3960 would confirm a flag breakout targeting 1.4130 and 1.4225. With the macro backdrop favoring the USD and energy-linked CAD weakening, this setup offers clean structure and potential for follow-through.
USD/CAD: The US Dollar in a Trap! Ready for a Rebound?Technical Overview:
The monthly chart of USD/CAD shows a weakening phase of the US dollar against the Canadian dollar. Currently, the price is located at a key support zone around 1.3800. The RSI suggests a potential technical rebound, but the bearish structure remains intact until the resistance at 1.4000 is broken.
Seasonality:
According to seasonal trend data, the month of May historically shows a slightly positive trend for USD/CAD:
20 years: +0.0017
15 years: -0.0027
10 years: +0.0014
5 years: +0.0039
2 years: -0.0020
This trend highlights a historical short-term weakness (2 years), while over longer periods, the movement is marginally positive.
COT Report:
COT data shows an increase in long positions on the dollar (+2,158 contracts), while short positions also increased (+2,817 contracts). This suggests uncertainty among institutional traders, with a slight inclination towards short positions.
Market Sentiment:
Data indicates that 65% of retail traders are short on USD/CAD, while only 35% are long. This could signal a potential squeeze if the price breaks above resistance levels.
Operational Conclusion:
Considering the bearish pressure and technical structure, a prudent strategy could include:
Long Entry: Above 1.4000 with confirmation on lower timeframes.
Stop Loss: Below 1.3800 to minimize exposure to false breakouts.
Primary Target: 1.4200, then 1.4400.
Alternative Strategy: If the price rejects the 1.4000 resistance, consider shorting towards 1.3700.
USDCAD Is Bullish! Long!The USD/CAD exchange rate consolidated near 1.3980 during the European trading session, after the Canadian dollar (CAD) came under pressure due to falling crude oil prices, enabling the pair to recover earlier losses. Given that Canada is the largest crude oil exporter to the U.S., declining oil prices typically dampen CAD sentiment.
USD/CAD is displaying a complex technical trend. On the daily chart, the price is currently consolidating around the 1.3980 level. The pair has rebounded from a recent low of 1.3749 and is now attempting to break through the key psychological barrier of 1.4000. If it can surpass both the 1.4000 psychological level and the 1.4050 resistance, further upside toward 1.4150 could be possible. On the downside, key support lies at 1.3890 (the lower edge of the recent consolidation range) and 1.3749 (the recent low).
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
XAUUSD and USDCAD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Bullish momentum to extend?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3893
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3837
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.4061
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅4 Hour order block
✅4 Hour 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
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Target 🎯: Aim for 1.42500
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USD-CAD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD is trading beneath
A wide strong horizontal
Resistance level around 1.4027
So after the retest we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish pullback and
A move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance>The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3904
1st Support: 1.3781
1st Resistance: 1.3988
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WHO LOVES A HPT? USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25
WHO LOVES A HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE ? THIS HAS A LOT OF CONFLUENCES GOING FOR IT FROM THE HIGHS!
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25 W&D 50EMA, Ooooh Soo Powerful !USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25 W&D 50EMA, Ooooh Soo Powerful !
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD/CAD Coiled for Breakout Ahead of Canada CPIThe USD/CAD rally failed into confluent uptrend resistance at the 200-day moving average last week with price breaking below the median-line today in early U.S. trade- threat for a deeper set-back here towards the 2022 high close / 2023 high at 1.3881/99 and the 61.8% retracement at 1.3852.
Losses would need to be limited to this slope IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the 200DMA (currently ~1.4016) needed to fuel the next leg of the advance. Keep in mind we have Canada CPI on tap tomorrow.
-MB