Potential bullish rise?USD/CAD has reacted off the resistance level and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3603
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3540
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3704
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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CADUSD trade ideas
Oil Rises, Canadian Yields Surge: Can USD/CAD Rebound?USDCAD 17/06 – Oil Rises, Canadian Yields Surge: Can USD/CAD Rebound?
After a significant drop to the 1.355x area, USD/CAD is showing early signs of recovery. However, the pair remains influenced by strong macro headwinds—particularly oil prices and Canadian monetary policy signals.
🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview
WTI crude oil is rising due to ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran, which increase the risk of global supply disruptions. This supports the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as a commodity-linked currency.
Canada’s 10-year bond yields have reached their highest levels in 5 months (~3.4%), reinforcing expectations that the BoC may remain hawkish in the near term.
USD weakens slightly as traders await more clarity from the Federal Reserve about the next rate cut timeline, potentially in Q3.
📊 Technical Analysis (M30 Chart)
Price is printing higher lows above the key trendline.
EMAs 13–34–89 are tightening → sign of sideways pressure before breakout.
Short-term bullish channel still intact.
Key resistance zones: 1.3581 and 1.3605.
🎯 Trade Setup Scenarios
📈 Long Scenario
Entry: 1.3556 – 1.3560 (trendline bounce)
Stop Loss: 1.3535
Take Profits: 1.3581 → 1.3605
✅ Wait for M30/H1 confirmation like bullish engulfing or price-action breakout.
📉 Short Scenario
Entry: 1.3605 (if price rejects resistance)
Stop Loss: 1.3630
Take Profits: 1.3581 → 1.3556
⚠️ Trigger only on bearish rejection with strong candle and volume at resistance.
📌 Strategic Outlook
USD/CAD is caught in a tug-of-war: stronger Canadian fundamentals (oil + yields) vs. cautious USD movement post-FOMC. If oil prices and Canadian yields continue to climb, CAD may remain in favor. However, short-term technical rebounds toward 1.3600 remain valid if price structure holds.
USDCAD 15 MINUTEYour chart on USD/CAD (15-minute timeframe) clearly shows a bearish breakdown from the ascending trendline, and here’s a quick analysis based on what you’ve marked:
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📉 Technical Breakdown
🔻 Trendline Broken: Price has broken below the ascending trendline, indicating loss of bullish momentum.
🧱 Register Support (turned resistance): Price rejected after testing this area – confirms a bearish flip.
🧭 Support Zone (gray box): Price is currently testing this level. If it breaks below, continuation to TP is likely.
🎯 Target TP: Marked around 1.3625–1.3630, showing good confluence with prior swing lows.
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✅ Bearish Bias Confirmation
This looks like a textbook setup:
Break of trendline ✅
Retest of broken support (now resistance) ✅
USDCAD may hit bottom amid DXY declineThe dollar is weakening. Against this background, the Canadian dollar is strengthening, which puts pressure on the price of the currency pair.
The key support is 1.3566. Breakdown of the level will strengthen the sell-off
The price is descending by “steps”. Consolidation - distribution, consolidation - distribution.
From the current range of 1.365 - 1.3566 I expect the same thing: downward momentum.
Scenario: consolidation and price sticking to 1.3566, decrease in volatility and squeeze to the urvon may lead to a breakdown and a fall.
USDCAD Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.356.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.360.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCAD HAS BREAKOUT THE DOWN TREND BULLISH STRONGUSDCAD Breakout Alert! | 30-Min Timeframe 🔍
The downtrend is officially broken — bulls are in control!
Entry Level: 1.36400 ✅
🎯 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 1.36700 – Key Supply Zone
2nd Target: 1.36900 – Next Supply Level
3rd Target: 1.37300 – Major Resistance Ahead
Momentum is strong and favoring the upside. Watch these levels closely — perfect setup for intraday action. 📈
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— Livia 😜
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bearish drop?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3690
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3797
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.3555
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD – Long Bias LiveUSDCAD – Long Bias Live
🔹 Entered long near market open at ~1.36780
🎯 Target: 1.37112 (previous swing area highlighted)
⏳ Expect to hold into next London/New York session
After a sharp spike up into the yellow zone (~1.37283) and subsequent retrace, price has found support around 1.36780 (lower white curve). I’m anticipating a bounce back up toward the red resistance band at 1.37112 (former swing level).
• Entry: ~1.36780 support
• Target: 1.37112 resistance
• Timeframe: 15 min chart, swing through today’s London open
All setups can be replayed on TradingView for confirmation.
⚠️ Not financial advice—always trade with proper risk management!
#USDCAD #Forex #TradingView #PriceAction #SwingTrade
Is it too late for a TACO trade on USD/CAD? USD/CAD jumped nearly 900 pips on Monday after President Donald Trump announced he is “terminating” trade negotiations with Canada. But the surge didn’t stick. Within hours, the pair gave up most of its gains, slipping back below the 1.3700 breakout level.
There’s been no reversal from Trump — not yet. But price action suggests the market might be front-running one. Traders have seen this before: the “TACO” setup — Trump Always Chickens Out.
In that context, traders may be cautious about chasing the spike without confirmation that the trade breakdown will be long-lasting. The USD/CAD trade now hinges on updates from Trump for more TACO setups.
If USD/CAD stays below 1.3700, the focus shifts back to 1.3628 and possibly lower. Below that, the long-term structure suggests a broader range between 1.3500 and 1.3770.
USDCAD RT of Supply Zone then ShortPrice has retraced back into a key supply zone just under the June High. We are now watching for strong bearish price action (PA) to confirm a potential short entry from this area.
Key Zone to Watch:
Supply Zone: 1.3756 – 1.3796
Optimistic stops can be placed above the zone if strong rejection occurs
Plan:
Seek bearish PA within the highlighted supply zone
Wait for confirmation via a bearish candle close
Enter below the trigger candle once setup forms
Targets:
Target 1: 1.3622
Extended Target / June Low: 1.3543
If no rejection occurs and price breaks above the zone with conviction, the setup becomes invalid and we reassess.
Execution will be reactive, not predictive — we trade confirmation, not speculation.
Should we keep an eye on it?!Hello friends..
This week we should be more on the chart, because most of the charts are in an attractive range for trading.
What our team sees is that the chart (US Dollar to Canadian Dollar) has hit a good range that we previously identified in the daily time frame and has managed to change the trend from a bearish to an upward trend. In the 4-hour time frame, the price shows us the trend change. Now we have to wait and look for a buy trade in the specified range.
The target for this trade can also be 1.3924.
It should be noted that as long as the price does not break the swing low (the line at the bottom) with the candle body, the trend remains upward.
So this week you can put this chart on your watch list.
You can follow our page to see more analysis.
When Charts Lie: How Fundamentals Rescued My Forex TradingEvery trader knows the frustration: your analysis is technically flawless, but the market moves against you. I learned this brutally in Q1 2024 when my USD/CAD short—backed by textbook bearish divergence and order block rejection—got steamrolled by a 190-pip rally after Canada’s surprise oil export announcement.
The Blind Spot in Pure Technicals
Price action traders often dismiss fundamentals as "noise," but three scenarios consistently break chart-based systems:
Policy Surprises (SNB removing EUR/CHF floor)
Geopolitical Shocks (Rubles during Ukraine invasion)
Structural Shifts (BOJ abandoning YCC)
These events share one trait: they change the market’s fundamental DNA, invalidating historical patterns.
A Practical Filter
I need to train myself to do something like this: To overlay two fundamental checks before technical entries:
Central Bank Calendar
No trades 12 hours before scheduled meetings
Monitor yield spreads (10YR US vs. DE)
Commodity Links
AUD/USD: Iron ore inventories
USD/CAD: WTI backwardation
Case Study: April 2024 GBP/USD
Technicals suggested continuation above 1.2700
Fundamental red flag: UK real wages shrinking
Outcome: False breakout, 140-pip drop
Your Turn
Try this today: On your next trade, ask:
Is there scheduled event risk?
Does this align with rate expectations?
Are commodities/equities confirming?
The goal isn’t perfection—it’s avoiding obvious mismatches.
For me, I read my own words on what should be done, and most probably, I won't do it. I think the above is too much. I believe there must be an easier way to merge Technical and Fundamental Analysis.
USDCAD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDCAD is below:
The market is trading on 1.3649 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.3697
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3624
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD – Friday June 27th, 2025USDCAD played beautifully to our bias, breaking the 1.36647 safe sell level and delivering 46 pips clean before pulling back.
If you weren’t already in, the pullback offered a decent re-entry window — but at this point I’m not looking for new trades today.
📌 Still Bearish
Here’s what I’m watching now:
Retest of 1.36647 → possible add-on entry
Break and close below 1.35432 → continuation play
No need to force anything ahead of the weekend. Structure remains bearish and we’ll reassess post-weekend for continuation.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CAD is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3646
1st Support: 1.3555
1st Resistance: 1.3702
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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USD/CAD unclear, lower next weekAnalysing DXY the current daily candle is anticipated to be a consolidation 3rd candle. Although the retracement off the daily Fair Value Gap on USD/CAD looks like the last bearish argument to be removed, I don't expect follow through today.
Rather wait for a 3rd candle on DXY and trade lower from the new Fair Value Gap.