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DE40 trade ideas

DAX reached upper limit of rising wedge - reversal possibleWhen in doubt - zoom out On Thursday and Friday the DAX / GDAXI reached a high of 21800. Could this be a potential top ? Looking at the W and M chart (log) the DAX (XETRA) has been trading in a rising wedge since 2003. With reaching the 21800 level, the DAX has touched the upper line of this rising wedge again. The last time was in April 2015. The monthly MACD (5 30) has never been this high and the last time the RSI was this high (77) was in 2015 and 2007. Zooming in on the 5 minute chart (GDAXI), price touched the 21790-21800 region five times in the last two trading days, fell below the current trend line (since Jan 13th), retested it and was rejected to the downside. There are no certainties in the stock market, but this being at least a local top is quite probable.
XETR:DAX
by flightleader78
14
DAX Ultimate buy signal on the 1D MA200 approaching.DAX is having a brutal sell-off, which wasn't technically unexpected as the index made a Higher High on March 06 at the top of its 2.5-year Channel Up. The 1D RSI is already oversold (below 30.00), which is the initial long-term buy signal. Out of the last 3 times the 1D RSI was oversold only on September 26 2023 it extended the downtrend. The other 2 times, it was an immediate buy signal. The ultimate buy signal, if you want to wait for it, was last time (August 05 2024 Low) when the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) broke. The minimum rally DAX had following such a bottom was +11.73%, which gives us a short-term Target of 21900 and the maximum (but still the bad case scenario of the 3 Bullish Legs) +29.48%, which gives a long-term Target of 25400. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:DE40
by TradingShot
1
Bullish bounce?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 21,518.66 1st Support: 21,157.88 1st Resistance: 22,031.65 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by ICmarkets
DAX Bull Run Bubble Is Bursting.In 2025, the DAX is projected to experience a significant reversal following a bullish surge that peaked at 23,500 points. This anticipated downturn is expected to unfold in three distinct steps, marking a bearish correction. The first step in this decline would see the index retreat to 21,000 points, signaling the initial phase of selling pressure. The second step is forecasted to bring the index further down to 19,500 points, reflecting mounting concerns and potential profit-taking by investors. Finally, the third step is projected to culminate in a drop to 17,500 points, completing the retracement and potentially resetting the market for future movements. This three-step decline underscores the cyclical nature of financial markets and highlights the importance of strategic risk management during periods of heightened volatility. Investors should closely monitor macroeconomic factors and market sentiment and Candlestick patterns as these levels are approached.
FXOPEN:GDAXIM
by SEYED98
3
DAX The technical analysis of the DAX suggests a bearish pressure that, if confirmed, could push the market toward the target of 19,828 points. Here are some aspects to consider: Support and Resistance Levels: The target of 19,828 might represent an important psychological or technical support level. If the price falls below intermediate support levels, the bearish objective becomes more plausible. Patterns and Formations: The formation of bearish patterns (such as an inverted head and shoulders or a prolonged decline in highs) reinforces the idea of a continuing downtrend. Volume and Indicator Convergence: An increase in volume during the downtrend confirms the sellers' interest. help determine whether the bearish momentum is running out or if there is room for further corrections. Risk Management: It is essential to set appropriate stop losses to protect against sudden reversals. Monitoring price action around key levels can provide useful signals to adjust the strategy. In summary, if the intermediate supports do not hold and selling pressure continues, the DAX could indeed move toward the target of 19,828 points. However, as always, it is important to remain vigilant and use proper risk management.
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by Alessiocalabretta
DAX40 INTRADAY corrective pullback capped at 22144The DAX 40 remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action suggesting an oversold bounce rather than a structural reversal. Key Levels & Scenarios Resistance: 22144 (previous intraday consolidation zone) A bearish rejection from this level could resume downside momentum. Support targets: 21544, followed by 21300 and 21000 over a longer timeframe. Bullish Breakout Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 22144 with a daily close above this level would invalidate the bearish outlook. Upside targets: 22385 (next resistance), followed by 22685. Indicators & Market Sentiment RSI suggests the market was oversold, leading to the current bounce. Volume analysis indicates weak bullish momentum, reinforcing the bearish bias unless 22144 is breached. Conclusion The prevailing bearish trend remains intact unless DAX 40 breaks and holds above 22144. Traders should watch for bearish rejection at this level for downside continuation or a daily close above 22144 for a shift to bullish momentum. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
A high probability short setup on GER40! Hello traders, GER40 is flashing a prime shorting opportunity! On the higher timeframe, the index has formed a double top, a classic reversal pattern. The setup has been confirmed with a decisive neckline break, signaling strong bearish momentum. I'm watching for a slight pullback to the neckline, where I'll be looking to enter short positions. My initial target is 21,637, with an extended move down to 21,112 if sellers maintain control. Stay tuned for updates, and if you find this analysis valuable, give it a boost! Let’s catch this move together. 🚀🔥
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by AmaWina
DAX H4 | Downtrend to extend further?DAX (GER30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 22,277.36 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 22,640.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 21,746.73 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:GER30Short
by FXCM
Quarter Ends, Setup Begins: Long from DAX Support ZoneDAX returned to its major support zone around 22,000 after an extended decline through March. I’ve been triggered into a long position as we step into a fresh month and quarter. We’re sitting at strong historical demand with multiple macro events lined up this week—I’ll take what the market gives and manage it accordingly. No ego here, just flow with the setup. Let’s see where this one heads as NFP and PMI data come in. Technicals • Timeframe: 1H • Entry Zone: Strong support retest at 22,000 • Setup: Long triggered on reaction from major support • Target: Zone around 22,950 • SL: Below the support zone (~21,800) • Fibcloud: Still trending below, watching for reclaim • End-of-month rebalancing and Quarter close may add volatility. Fundamentals • DAX dropped nearly 2% on Monday, hitting its lowest levels since Feb 10, in line with global market weakness. • US trade tariff uncertainty under Trump’s “reciprocal” rhetoric weighs on sentiment. • Germany’s CPI eased to 2.2%, the lowest since Nov 2024, aligning with market expectations. • Q1 performance remains strong overall, up nearly 11%, supported by Germany’s spending plan. • Eyes on this week’s NFP and PMI data which could drive further price action. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by AR33_
Bullish rebound?DAX40 (DE40) has bounced off the pivot which is an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 21,775.24 1st Support: 21,501.86 1st Resistance: 22,374.35 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by ICmarkets
DAX Bullish ReversalDAX Index (GER30) Trade Setup – 1H Chart Analysis The DAX Index (GER30) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal from a key support zone. The price has reacted at 21,975.87, indicating a possible upward move. A retracement to the **62% Fibonacci level (22,534.21) presents an optimal buy entry with a well-defined risk-to-reward ratio. Trade Details: - **Entry:** **22,534.21** (62% Fibonacci retracement) - **Stop Loss (SL):** **21,975.87** (Below the recent swing low) - **Take Profit Targets:** - **TP1:** **23,476.14** (0% Fibonacci level) - **TP2:** **24,056.53** (38.2% Fibonacci level) - **TP3:** **24,995.45** (100% Fibonacci extension) Analysis & Justification: ✔ Key Support Confirmation** – The price bounced off **21,975.87**, a significant support level. ✔ Fibonacci Confluence** – The 62% retracement level aligns with historical reaction zones. ✔ Moving Average Resistance** – A breakout above **22,600** could confirm bullish momentum. ✔ Risk-to-Reward Ratio** – The trade offers a **minimum 1.7:1 ratio**, improving with higher TP levels.
BLACKBULL:GER30Long
by Sthesh_Don_Billiato
Paradigm Shift: Markets in Tension over Trump's New TariffsBy Ion Jauregui - Analyst at ActivTrades The recent announcement of tariffs by Donald Trump's administration has generated a wave of uncertainty in financial markets. This measure could trigger a forceful response from the European Union, marking a paradigm shift in global trade and in the European bloc's economic strategy. Reactions in Europe and the ECB Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), has stressed the need for Europe to move towards greater economic independence. Her statements suggest that the EU will not back down from protectionist measures and that its fiscal and financial policy will have to adapt to this new global context. It can be sensed from the statements that countries such as Germany and Italy, with a strong dependence on automotive exports, could be among the most affected. In addition, strategic sectors such as steel and aluminum would face an increase in production costs and possible interruptions in supply chains. Spain and Poland could be affected in the strategic raw materials sector as one of the most powerful net exporters in Europe. Especially Spain, given that it dedicates a large part of its aluminum exports to the North American country. Economic and Financial Impact A tariff-based trade war could slow growth, increase unemployment and generate a disinflationary or even deflationary environment not only in the United States but also in the European economic region. In this context, the bond market has begun to discount further interest rate cuts, reflecting declines in longer maturity yields and break-even inflation rates. Expectations of Europe, and even traditional allied countries Canada and its rapprochement with Europe, as well as Japan and Korea showing approaches to China, could be demarcating a red line for the White House in terms of its foreign policy form. What Trump will have to consider if the market begins to respond so negatively to such an “enemy of trade” attitude, and especially such a “bad friend” to his traditional allies. Another key factor to consider is the NATO-NATO section where Europe may eventually displace the US from the grouping. DAX Analysis (Ticker AT: GER40) The German index has started the Asian session with a sideways movement and 2 hours before the European opening there have been strong falls after the alliance comments in Asia. The situation of the index seems to have reached a floor around 22,241 points generating a possible support this Wednesday. If we look at the trend, the index has reached highs twice last month on March 6 and 18, marking on the second occasion a new milestone trading at 23,480.22 points, generating a return to a range where the index is comfortable this year between 22,918 points and 22,105 points, with the annual lows at 22,209.21 points. The current situation is indicating a possible golden crossover to reverse the current situation. The Current Control Point (POC) is located at 22,967.56 points, so it would not be unusual with the increase in volume and with an oversold RSI at 44.93%, it is possible that the index climbs to 22,522 points in its mid-range zone and try to pierce if the news accompanies the Euro zone and in particular Germany and the companies that make up the index. If this happens, we could see an advance to the upper part of the range slightly below the indicated checkpoint. Future Outlook If the Trump administration maintains its uncompromising trade strategy, pressure on European financial markets could intensify. The EU, for its part, will have to assess possible countermeasures to protect its economy and maintain stability in an increasingly challenging environment. At ActivTrades, we are closely following these developments and their impact on global markets. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:GER40Long
by ActivTrades
Trading GER30 on Tariff DayToday will be a big day for the stock market in 2025. The tariffs to be implemented promises to either make or break the market. Last week we saw a massive sell off and on Monday and Tuesday we have seen the markets gain a decent amount. However here is what needs to be noted for all indexes: 1) The Daily downtrend is intact 2) The H4 MA is pointing down 3) On GER30,we see a bat pattern to sell 4) H1, M30, M15 is OB and has a double top We should not follow the news, but instead focus on the charts. Based on this, we will enter a short position and expect the market to resume the downtrend. Stop loss will be 200 pips around 25700. Good luck!
BLACKBULL:GER30Short
by JavonDias_Trading
2
GER40 (DAX 40) AnalysisThe German DAX 40 index (GER40) recently tested key support around 22,063.63 and exhibited a bullish reaction.​ 📈 Bullish Scenario: If GER40 sustains above 22,063.63, it may push towards the 22,775.84 resistance zone.​ A break above 22,775.84 could open the way for a break and retest, potentially leading to a continuation towards the 23,395.75 resistance level.​ 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above 22,063.63, further downside towards 21,231.97 may be observed.​ ⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading signal. Market conditions can change rapidly, especially in light of recent geopolitical developments. Always confirm market conditions using your own strategy before making any trading decisions.
THINKMARKETS:GER40
by SPOT_FX
4-hr Germany 40: Price Meets Important Resistance in Down TrendOver the past week, the DAX has experienced a sharp decline, plunging by an astonishing 3,400 points. This downward movement is not isolated, as its international counterparts, such as the UK100 and US100, are also facing significant losses. This widespread market downturn suggests a prevailing risk-off sentiment among investors. Given the current conditions, we anticipate a further decline of approximately 700 points. Our outlook is reinforced by the appearance of the "death cross," a well-known technical pattern signaling a bearish trend. Historically, this formation has been a reliable indicator of continued selling pressure. To capitalize on this movement, we executed a sell trade at 22,490, a key level coinciding with the 38% Fibonacci retracement. This level has repeatedly acted as strong resistance in previous market cycles, making it a strategic entry point for our trade. Considering the heightened market volatility, we have implemented a stop-loss (SL) with a 2% buffer from our entry price. This allows for some flexibility while mitigating excessive risk. By combining technical analysis with prudent risk management, we aim to navigate the ongoing bearish momentum effectively.
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by Trendsharks
DAX INTRADAY at crossroads awaits US tariffs The DAX40 continues to exhibit bullish sentiment, breaking out from a period of sideways consolidation and pushing toward previous resistance and all-time highs (ATH). The prevailing uptrend supports further upside potential, with key resistance levels in focus. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23,446 Resistance Level 2: 23,815 Resistance Level 3: 24,000 - 24,420 Support Level 1: 22,575 Support Level 2: 22,204 Support Level 3: 21,814 Conclusion: The positive reaction to fiscal spending plans and geopolitical developments reinforces the bullish sentiment for DAX40. A sustained move above the nearest resistance at 23,446 could pave the way toward higher targets, while holding above support at 22,575 is crucial to maintaining the uptrend. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
The DAX is declining in an impulsive structureThe XETR:DAX appears to be tracing a five-wave impulsive decline from its recent high on March 18, 2025. In Elliott Wave theory, an impulsive structure consists of five distinct waves. Wave 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 as motive wave moves the direction of the prevailing trend, which in this case is downward. This pattern indicates a strong, directional move, with waves ((i)), ((iii)), and ((v)) being motive (driving the decline) and waves ((ii)) and ((iv)) serving as countertrend corrections. Starting from the March 18 peak, wave ((i)) likely initiated the downturn which ended at 22723.19. It was followed by a corrective wave ((ii)) rebound towards 23204.59. Wave ((iii)), typically the longest and most powerful in an impulsive sequence, should push the index lower with momentum. A smaller corrective wave ((iv)) is then expected to follow, offering a brief bounce. Then wave ((v)) should complete the structure, potentially finding a bottom. The impulsive nature suggests that each motive wave ((i)), ((iii)), ((v))) subdivides into its own five-wave pattern, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Key levels to watch include support zones where prior corrections have held. Exact targets however depend on the unfolding wave lengths and Fibonacci relationships. Expect further downside until the fifth wave concludes. Afterwards, a larger corrective rally could emerge. This view aligns with sentiment for a continued near-term decline in the XETR:DAX , driven by an impulsive bearish sequence.
XETR:DAX
by Elliottwave-Forecast