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DAX // The last one of 2024Dear Traders, This is the last one this year. I want to have a break and detach from the charts for some time now. This is the time of love, family&friends. But this chart actually shows the market phases I define quite well!😀 Thanks for you support in the past couple of weeks, since I became actve here! @TradingView asks us wishes recently... My wish for you is: patience discipline balance focus & confidence And vast amount of pips in the piggy bank!💰 Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays!🎄 Peter from The Market Flow 🏄🏼‍♂️ P.S. you may want to check out some of my ideas to get familiar with the terminology I use. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
DAX - short term correction currently very Overbought!Hi guys, we are following up with our next opportunity DAX : Currently it has been perfoming fantastic as being part of the biggest Economy in Europe, and it reached a glorious All time High, following up with the western Indices , SP500,NASDAQ100 and Dow Jones. Currently the price has reached a very overbought level based on the RSI check on 1H time frame and 4H time frame, so for the time being I am looking into a short term correction with a follow up to maybe break down the current all time high and get passed it. Entry : 20,400 Target : 19,916 Let's see how things are going to formulate and move from there. As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
XETR:DAXShort
by DG55Capital
4
24-12-17 Dax: Dax the "Max" (20 337 EUR)DAX40 one of the most import Index beneath MSCI, SPX und DJIA und Nikkei. German economy leads the european economy. For shure, the DAX has not the performance like an SPX. But the 2024 rise is very impressive. And if I look, what germans politicians did the last years and also actually, i am still stunning what real economy does. But overall, big tasks ahead. And at the moment,no signs for a radical new direction for all these companies in Germany: Less regulations, less laws, lower taxes, more flexibility in labour things, high energy prices etc. Over all - I am not convinced, that actual prices in Dax will represent the real situation. A correction for about 10-20 Percent ist more expected, than a further rise for about 10 Percent. Dan, 14.12.24
XETR:DAXShort
by Flyerdan
1
DAX // Possible start of the CountertrendThe daily trend still holds at all-time highs and beyond every measurable target, but H4 has already turned south. The last clear breakout is on H1 at the countertrend line break, and the market crossed it by a couple of pips. Not significant, but still a close below the trigger level. The position should be closely watched at the daily impulse base. Either to close the trade, or to add to it. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by TheMarketFlow
DAX is showing a dangerous pattern‼️DAX is showing a dangerous pattern The german index, XETR:DAX has been in a strong bull market for a long timet, but recently we had a confirmation of a RISING WEDGE PATTERN (in blue). ✅ What does a RISING WEDGE PATTERN imply? Rising wedges are usually formed at the end of trends and when the price breaks below the blue support trendline, a fast decline happens. The fundamentals in germany are quite bad, and if there is no response from Europe, we could see a dangerous fall in the german index. Sometimes rising wedges break up, BUT this only happens in extremly greedy situations, like the tops in $NASDAQ:TSLA. If there is an upper break, means that we are facing the LAST rally, so again a brutal falldown is likely to occur. 💰 How to trade this chart pattern? You should wait for the break of the blue trendline to short the market and search for a fast but very profitable trade. I do not recommend trading it if the break occurs on the opposite side, because panic moments are much more profitable with less risk. 🛡️ The risk management strategy As we have done in so many previous ideas, remember you can split the position in 2. - 50% of the position in a take profits as large as your stop loss (adapt SL and this 1st TP to local supports/resistance levels). In this case, a 2% will be ok. - 50% of the position to a price as large as the previous pattern, which would mean a profit of 15 to 20%. Anyway, to increase our chances to arrive to the second TP, we recommend using a 10% take profits. The second TP is less likely to happen, but as soon as the first one has been reached (extremely high probability), this becomes a RISK-FREE TRADE. ✴️ ENJOY AND FOLLOW for more 😊
XETR:DAXShort
by TopChartPatterns
2
German Index (DE40) – Daily and Lower Time Frame AnalysisGerman Index (DE40) – Daily and Lower Time Frame Analysis Overview: As we have been covering the German Index (DE40) over the past several days, we are finally observing a shift in momentum. On the daily time frame, the overall momentum has turned bearish, and the price is clearly moving downward. Key Observations: Bearish Momentum: The price is trending lower, signaling a potential continuation to the downside. Lower Time Frame Confirmation: Drop down to the 15-minute or 20-minute time frame for a more refined view. Look for a break of structure and a clear change of character (CHoCH). Observe if the price is forming lower lows and lower highs, indicating bearish structure. Entry Considerations: If the conditions align on the lower time frames, you can look for a short entry. We are anticipating the price to head towards the key level of 19,675, which is a significant support zone. Important Notes: Do Not Follow Blindly: This analysis is for informational purposes only; always use your own strategies and confirm your setups. Protect Your Capital: Keeping your capital intact is far more important than chasing profits. Trade Smart, Trade Reactive: React to the price action rather than predicting future moves.
ICMARKETS:DE40Short
by KainT21
DAX // What needs to happen before the deep correction?The market has almost reached the daily target fibo 238.2 after an unbelievable run! But every impulse has a correction, so mabe it's time to be prepared. The H4 structure already broke, but there is no new wave, and there is a clear H1 breakout that may push the balance for the sellers. Smart money (my tick-by-tick volume analysis indicator) is selling for more than a week. The daily impulse base is very close, and may trigger sell orders. If there will be a huge fight, we may also see a sideways market for some time. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by TheMarketFlow
DAX // correction of the correction - neutralThe market turned south on H4 from the all-time highs and the H1 target fibo 138.2. As long as this short H4 countertrend is valid (the market is below the H4 impulse base), I'm waiting for a bearish H1 countertrend break to target again the correction fibo 23.6 The daily impulse base is in the way, so the trade has to be managed there - it may be a target or a scale-in opportunity. Of course, I'l try to publish how I pull my trigger line as the H1 countertrend develops. For me, long only above the highest clear breakdown (green). ——— Trading is just waiting "sometimes", but opportunities are endless, so why not wait for the right moment!🏄🏼‍♂️ We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
DAX at Critical Resistance – Bearish Crab Pattern Could Trigger The German FX:GER30 The German Dax has formed a bearish crab pattern at €20,442, at the 224% Fibonacci extension. This pattern could potentially bring the index back to €19,874, representing a 38.2% retracement from the recent rally between the weekly fractal support at €18,814 and the latest resistance at €20,529 (the historical highs above the daily fractal resistance). Currently, the daily fractal support is established at €20,265, and is under pressure. The question remains: will the index pull back before Christmas? Key Highlights: Bearish crab pattern formed at €20,442. Potential retracement to €19,874. Daily fractal support at €20,265 under pressure.
FX:GER30Short
by Andre_Cardoso
Mastering the German 40 Index: A Comprehensive Trading Strategy 👀👉 In this detailed video, I examine the complexities of trading the German 40 Index (DAX), sharing my personal trading plan and strategies aimed at identifying lucrative trade opportunities. Most importantly, my goal is to provide you with the essential tools to effectively navigate the indices markets. 📈✨ KEY HIGHLIGHTS: ✅ Trading Strategy Overview: I outline a structured approach to planning trades and identifying optimal trading opportunities. ✅ Technical Analysis Techniques: We explore concepts such as Wyckoff Theory and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) principles, emphasizing their application in real-world trading scenarios. ✅ Timeframe Analysis: The video guides you through analyzing higher timeframes to inform lower timeframe entries, ensuring a well-rounded trading strategy. ✅ Entry Points & Risk Management: Learn how to pinpoint entry points, set effective stop-loss orders, and establish profit targets to maximize your trading success. 🎯 ✅ TradingView Features: I highlight essential features of TradingView, showcasing two advanced indicators: the Volume Profile and VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), which are crucial for intraday analysis and understanding market trends. 📊 🔔 Disclaimer: Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough research and consider your financial situation before engaging in trading activities. Join me on this journey to enhance your trading skills and gain valuable insights into the German 40 Index! Don't forget to comment and if you found the info of value, giving this post a BOOST would be awesome! 🙏
THINKMARKETS:GER40Education
by fxtraderanthony
19
DAX H1 | Bearish downturn to extend further?DAX (GER30) could rise towards an overlap resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 20,321.48 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 20,380.00 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 20,200.37 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:GER30Short
by FXCM
GER40 - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of weakness, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Maks_Klimenko
Elliott Wave View: DAX Pullback Should Find BuyersElliott Wave view in DAX suggests that Index shows an incomplete bullish sequence from December 27, 2018 low favoring more upside. On the 1 hour chart below, we can see the rally to 13374.27 ended wave 3 and the pullback to 12890.56 on December 10, 2019 low ended wave 4. The Index has resumed higher in wave 5 with internal subdivision as a 5 waves Elliott wave impulsive structure. Up from 12/10/2019 low, wave (i) ended at 13219.03 and wave (ii) pullback ended at 13124.24. Index then extended higher in wave (iii) towards 13423.41 and wave (iv) pullback ended at 13255.55. The final leg wave (v) is proposed complete at 13407.66 and this ends wave ((i)) of 5 in larger degree. Expect Index to pullback in wave ((ii)) to correct the cycle from December 10, 2019 low before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling the pullback. As far as pivot at 12890.56 low stays intact, dips should continue to find support in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing. Potential target higher is 100% – 123.6% Fibonacci extension from December 27, 2018 low which comes at 13640 – 14204 area.
XETR:DAX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. *KEY Trend is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods Phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below) Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively. Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold). Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Germany 40 maintains its bullish momentum in an impulsive phase, currently trading at 20,324, slightly down from the highs but significantly above the VWAP (20) of 19,936. Support is positioned at 19,046, with resistance nearby at 20,825. The RSI at 66 indicates strong momentum, suggesting the uptrend could continue. UK 100 index remains neutral within a consolidation phase, trading at 8,272, slightly below the VWAP (20) of 8,303. Support is at 8,249, and resistance is at 8,357. With an RSI of 50, the momentum is balanced, reflecting a lack of directional bias. Wall Street has entered a correction phase within its bullish trend, trading at 43,850, below the VWAP (20) of 44,572. Support is at 43,800, with resistance ahead at 45,394. The RSI at 43 shows weakening momentum, suggesting caution as the uptrend may reverse in the short term. Brent Crude continues in a neutral consolidation phase, which now looks like a clear triangle pattern, currently priced at 7,376, slightly above the VWAP (20) of 7,270. Support is positioned at 7,063, while resistance is at 7,478. The RSI at 54 indicates moderate momentum, consistent with range-bound trading. Gold remains neutral in a consolidation phase with little change over the past week, trading at 2,658, near the VWAP (20) of 2,650. Support is set at 2,598, with resistance at 2,713. The RSI at 50 reflects balanced momentum, signaling indecisiveness in the market. EUR/USD continues in a bearish correction phase, trading at 1.0502, slightly below the VWAP (20) of 1.0520. Support is at 1.0444, and resistance is at 1.0601. The RSI at 42 indicates bearish momentum, hinting at continued downside pressure. GBP/USD is in a bearish correction phase, trading at 1.2653, back below the VWAP (20) of 1.2670 but inside horizontal VWAP bands. Support is at 1.2543, and resistance is at 1.2817. The RSI at 43 suggests mild bearish momentum, with potential for further downside. USD/JPY is bullish in a correction phase, trading at 153.83, now back above the VWAP (20) of 151.61 in what could be a sign the uptrend is resuming. Support is at 148.22, and resistance is at 154.99. The RSI at 60 reflects strong upward momentum, suggesting further gains are likely.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
#202450 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxtl;dr dax xetra: Market has printed the most shallow two-legged pullback imaginable and this is as bullish as it gets. Are bulls getting stopped by at least 2 upper trend lines which could continue to be resistance? I highly doubt it. If we get above 20600, there is no reason to not just go to 21000 or higher. I have two potential measured moves above 21000 but until we have a daily close above 20800, there is no reason to look for targets that high. Bears can only begin to dream again with a daily close below 20000. Quote from last week: comment: Late bull breakout during the week like the week before that. Another clear buying signal going into next week. There is not much to add from my tl;dr. Both of my upper bull trend lines run through 20k and I have multiple measured move targets there. More than enough reasons to be bullish and look for longs. Bears can do almost nothing to change my mind, unless we see on giant bear bar closing below 19100 on Monday. comment: Since the market did not go down even the slightest, we can not hold any other thoughts than bullish ones. I won’t do anything other than small scalps on this though. On my chart I have marked the most extreme cases to either direction for the next 3 weeks. I give the bearish one a chance of at max 30% while the bulls are heavily favored to either move higher or at least sideways only. I can’t really imagine reaching 21500+ but that’s the biggest measured move I have calculated. I do think 21k and then sideways is the most reasonable outlook. current market cycle: Bull trend - parabolic rally which is the very end. key levels: 20000 - 21000 bull case: Bulls send a strong message, closing Opex above 20000, so they remain in full control and 21000 has become a possibility for the next 3 weeks. We are still trading near at least 2 upper bull trend lines but since market is not showing big reactions to the downside, we can only expect higher prices. A daily close above 20500 brings 21000 in play. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: The pullback did not manifest at all and even if bears get this down to 20000 next week, I think we find way more buyers then sellers at that price. Bears really have no arguments at all on their side, besides the upper trend lines which are above us but at this point, I doubt they will be much resistance going into the next 3 weeks. Only thing that would make me more neutral would be a really strong bear bar closing below 20000 tomorrow. If bears somehow manage to do that, we could test down to my C target from last week, which is the breakout price around 19670. For now, I won’t look for shorts unless we see a huge volume increase on strong follow through-selling. Invalidation is above 20500. outlook last week: short term: No more bullish outlooks. I want to see big juicy red bars and people posting on x about “buying opportunity of a lifetime” while they double down all the way back to 19000. Neutral until bears come around. No interest in buying anything above 20100 as of now. 20k might be a decent long scalp for a quick bounce. → Last Sunday we traded 20384 and now we are at 20405. Perfect outlook, given I was neutral until bears would come around. They did not and market went nowhere on the week. short term: Given that we are in the most bullish season of the year and bears could not even get the market to drop into Opex, I can not hold any bearish wishful thought anymore and I will only look for small long scalps over the next 3 weeks. Daily close below 20000 would make me reevaluate. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-15: Will write a new outlook for 2025 next week. current swing trade : None chart update: Added potential measured move higher.
XETR:DAXLong
by priceactiontds
24-12-13 DAX 20405 EUR - Crash worlwide ahead!Maybe DAX will reach 21000 in the next 2 months, even SPX could rise up to 6400 USD, but one is for sure. Such a great disbalance in 40 years is incredible. Rising US Treasury yields up from o% to 4.5% and CPI by 2.7% with riskless 1,7% is wonderfull, but normaly not for the stock market. Every time, Fed rose the yields more than 2% within 12 months, stock market struggled. But here a now, yields up from 0% to 4.5% within a year… and what does the stock market ?
XETR:DAXShort
by Flyerdan
3