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DXY trade ideas

BULLISH REVERSALThe frame of a possible trade On the Daily time frame, going back to what we can identify as the parent move price gapped to the upside, filled with wicks and candles, price moves to the upside leaving short-term lows(STL) Price retraced and took liquidity at STL On the Daily time frame, price expands violating a Daily Sell-side Imbalance Buy-side Inefficiency 05/29/25 Price gapped up, taking out liquidity at a STH If this price action implies bullishness, then price will have to take/deliver some form of sellside This is happening ahead of the Core PCE Price Index Data release on Friday 30/05/25
EIGHTCAP:USDXLong
by iseetrades
DXY 15-Minute Technical & Fundamental AnalysisDXY 15-Minute Technical & Fundamental Analysis DXY has reclaimed momentum, trading at 99.300, after strong U.S. economic data and a hawkish tone from Fed officials signaled policy stability — boosting short-term confidence in the U.S. dollar. On the 15-minute chart, we’re seeing a bullish structure reinforced by clean liquidity manipulation and institutional flow. Price confirmed bullish intent after breaking above minor key resistance at 99.250, triggering a wave of buy-side momentum. A brief liquidity hunt below 99.250 followed — a textbook manipulation phase — before buyers stepped back in. DXY then formed Higher Highs and Higher Lows, indicating a well-supported uptrend. Price is now sitting inside the liquidity zone, where smart money often positions for the next leg up. 📊 Trade Setup 📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 99.140 (Buy Limit) 🛡 Stop-Loss: 98.990 (Below liquidity grab and minor support) 🎯 Take Profit: 99.610 (Next minor resistance / 1:3 RR) This setup aligns with institutional behavior, offering a high-probability entry for short-term trend continuation. 📰 Fundamental Outlook 🇺🇸 USD Strength Backed by Short-Term Fundamentals Resilient U.S. Data: Retail sales and durable goods orders beat forecasts, signaling economic strength and limiting downside for the dollar. Fed Stays Hawkish: Policymakers have reiterated their "higher for longer" stance, reducing expectations for rate cuts and supporting the dollar. Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical concerns and weak economic data abroad have driven flows back into the USD as investors seek stability. Yield Support: Elevated U.S. bond yields continue to attract foreign capital, giving additional strength to DXY. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by RebornFXTrader
Dollar Index Dips – All Eyes on 97.600?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading just below the 100.000 🔼 resistance area, following a series of lower highs and lower lows that reflect a clear bearish trend. Price is now approaching the 97.600 🔽 level, which has previously acted as a key turning point and could influence the next directional move. Support at: 97.600 🔽 Resistance at: 100.000 🔼, 101.500 🔼, 102.812 🔼, 104.223 🔼 🔎 Bias: 🔽 Bearish: The trend remains bearish while price stays below 100.000. A break below 97.600 may lead to further downside continuation. 🔼 Bullish: A bounce from 97.600 followed by a move back above 100.000 could open the door for a recovery toward 101.500. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by SPOT_FX
Bond Market Breakdown: Why Yields Are Surging and What It Means 🚨 Market Recap – May 2025 Edition This week, markets sent a clear message: rising yields are shaking the foundation. In this video, I break down the key events driving the spike in U.S. Treasury yields — the highest in nearly two decades — and what that means for major assets like: 💵 DXY (U.S. Dollar) 📉 XAU/USD (Gold) 🟠 BTC/USD (Bitcoin) We unpack: Why the dollar is showing strength despite long-term fiscal concerns How bond market stress is impacting investor sentiment across all asset classes What rising yields mean for your portfolio — in plain language Why this might be the most important macro signal traders are missing right now If you’re a trader, investor, or just trying to understand what’s really moving the markets, this recap connects the dots. 📊 Watch now to stay ahead. 🔁 Feel free to share or comment with your thoughts! #MarketRecap #BondYields #DXY #Gold #Bitcoin #MacroAnalysis #TradingView #InvestorInsights #FX #Crypto #TradingStrategy
TVC:DXY
by DeanMuller
DXY demonstrates the USD is in troubleThis week's selloff has a chance of validating last week's Shooting Star candle. It's only Tuesday, so there's still much time left, but if the DXY does fall here, the next stop is 97.50, and then 94.75. I don't consider 97.50 a strong level, so somewhere near 95 is more likely. Thursday's PMI numbers could push the USD in either direction. The last print was 50.6, and anything below 50 is considered a contraction, so little room for downside is available. This report will be more carefully watched I believe than usual.
TVC:DXY
by positionforex
1
DOLLARThe relationship between the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury bond yields in May 2025 reflects a complex and evolving dynamic influenced by fiscal concerns, trade policies, and investor sentiment: Recent Trends: U.S. Treasury yields have risen, with the 30-year yield briefly touching 5%, and the 10-year yield climbing above 4.5%, driven by concerns over rising U.S. debt and fiscal deficits following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating. Despite this rise in yields, the U.S. Dollar Index has weakened, dropping about 4% year-over-year, reflecting reduced confidence in the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Typical Relationship: Normally, higher Treasury yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns, which supports a stronger dollar. The dollar and bond yields often move in tandem, showing a positive correlation (around 0.5 over recent months). This was evident recently as the dollar strengthened alongside rising yields following a preliminary U.S.-China trade truce. Current Anomalies: However, in early 2025, this relationship weakened significantly. The dollar declined even as Treasury yields rose, signaling a loss of confidence in U.S. assets amid escalating trade tensions and concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy. This decoupling suggests investors are reconsidering the dollar’s role and are diversifying away from U.S. assets. Market Sentiment and Risks: The downgrade and rising deficits have increased fears about U.S. fiscal health, prompting some investors to sell U.S. assets, which pressures the dollar despite higher yields. Meanwhile, tariff policies and geopolitical risks contribute to volatility in both yields and the dollar. Outlook: The dollar and Treasury yields have recently realigned, moving more in sync again as trade optimism returned and the Fed maintained a steady policy stance. However, ongoing fiscal challenges and geopolitical uncertainties mean this relationship remains fragile. Summary Aspect Current Observation (May 2025) Treasury Yields Rising (10-year ~4.5%, 30-year ~5%) U.S. Dollar Index Weakened (~4% decline YTD) Typical Correlation Positive (~0.5 correlation between dollar and yields) Recent Anomaly Dollar fell while yields rose (early 2025) Drivers of Anomaly Fiscal concerns, Moody’s downgrade, trade tensions Market Sentiment Reduced confidence in U.S. assets and dollar Outlook Re-alignment underway but fragile due to fiscal risks In essence: While U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar usually move together—higher yields supporting a stronger dollar—recent fiscal concerns and geopolitical tensions have caused periods of divergence. Rising yields amid a weakening dollar reflect investor worries about U.S. debt sustainability and a potential shift away from the dollar’s reserve currency status. However, improving trade relations and Fed communication have recently brought the two back into closer alignment, though the relationship remains sensitive to evolving economic and political developments.
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
US Dollar Index Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 051925Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 100/61.80% Chart time frame:B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
TVC:DXY
by fibonacci6180
DXY May 20 IdeaDXY May 20 Parent range discount Previous range discount Parent sentiment Bullish May 19 Delivery *Sunday's delivery we gap open sending price lower from premium to a discount. *Asia opened and expanded lower and then consolidated *London price rallied to take equal lows, inefficient delivered prices, stopping within pips of May 8 lows. *NY retraced 50% of the run closing in a consolidation. Did we make the low of the week? Was this a run on sell stops cause this pair is bull bias? May 20 Idea Logic says price cleared out sell side liquidity, it should gravitate to inefficient delivered price from yesterdays delivery, it is in a double discount, I suspect today could be a buy day. Considerations 1 huge range could see price in consolidation day, choppy price action, yuck 2 no news can sometimes be days where you can get chopped up too Stay sharp read what the chart is giving to me NO NEWS M/T/W
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
USD Bulls Battle at SupportThe U.S. Dollar dropped into support early in the week at 99.95-100.15- a region defined by the 50% retracement of the late-April advance, the 2023 low-day close, and the 2024 low. Note that the 100% extension of the decline rests just lower at 99.55 and losses would need to be limited to this level IF Euro is heading higher on this stretch. Initial resistance is at with the Friday close at 100.98 with a breach / close above the September high / high-day close (HDC) at 101.77/92 needed to fuel the next leg of the advance. -MB
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
US DOLLLAR INDEX - BY RICKO MMFXHumble greetings. the above instrument is looking like a accumulating Bullish model, considering the recent fundamentals and catalysts behind the instrument I stalk longs in logical areas of the provided Weekly to Daily nearby structural ranges. Should price in the 30 to 15 minute chart print out a Bullish Choch/Bullish playbook below the 4 hour internal low structure within the FVG and/or below for areas of origin I will be more confident going in for the kill.
TVC:DXYLong
by RickoMillenialMarkits