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Japan 225

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J225 trade ideas

JP225 - The cleanest P.A Ive seen in a hot minuteAlright, lets get to the point here and break this down cause this is way to clean to be right.. Firstly we see a Strong Bullish market which tells me.. BUY Secondly we have seen a strong 6H Demand zone get respected Thirdly.. Sell side Liquidity Sweeps are clean, we see almost every liquidity point has been collected on the sell leaving lots and lots of Buy side resting Fourth...ly lmfao, we have seen a Elliots wave pattern finish moving into a second wave starting with the 3rd Wave in our OTE zone The trade idea will be looking to buy from this Demand and ill be looking to hold possibly long term here. For confirmation I would like to see the Resistance zone be used as a support level of which I will look to add additional positions there Follow to stay Tuned!
OANDA:JP225YJPY
by jamesibartram
Nikkei 225, LongForecast for the Japanese Index (Nikkei 225, Long): Entry Price: 37400.0 Take Profit (TP): 38200.0 (8000 pips above the entry point) Stop Loss (SL): 37000.0 (4000 pips below the entry point) Rationale for the Forecast: Current Context: The index is near a support level, indicating a potential upward reversal. The Take Profit level (38200.0) is close to a key resistance level, which could be reached with improved economic data or positive corporate reports. The Stop Loss level (37000.0) is set below a key support level, minimizing risks in case of a downward breakout. Fundamental Factors: Japan: GDP growth and an improved business climate could support the index. Global Factors: Decreasing inflation in the US and stabilization in commodity markets could positively impact Japanese stocks. Technical Factors: The level of 37400.0 is a support zone where a bounce upwards is possible. The level of 38200.0 is a resistance zone where profit-taking could occur. The level of 37000.0 is a zone below key support where the Stop Loss would be triggered. Recommendations: Target (Take Profit): 38200.0 (8000 pips profit). Risk (Stop Loss): 37000.0 (4000 pips loss). Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (profit twice the risk). Scenarios: Optimistic Scenario: The index reaches the 38200.0 level, and the position is closed with a profit. This could happen if Japan's economic data improves or positive corporate reports are released. Pessimistic Scenario: The index breaks below the 37000.0 level, and the position is closed with a loss. This could occur if Japan's economic data worsens or negative global events take place. Conclusion: The current trade has a favorable risk-reward ratio (1:2). It is recommended to monitor Japan's economic data and global events, as they could impact the index's movement.
PEPPERSTONE:JPN225Long
by Oner
JPN225 D1 | Potential bearish reversalJPN225 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 37,727.50 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 38,550.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 35,170.92 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:JPN225Short
by FXCM
2
Nikkei 225 Drops Below Key Levels – What’s Next? The Nikkei 225 has broken out of its previous range, and key levels suggest potential downside risk. With Japan raising interest rates and Trump commenting on the yen, market dynamics are shifting. Technical analysis indicates a possible move lower, targeting the September 6th low. Should traders expect further declines, or will the index recover alongside U.S. stocks? Share your thoughts below! This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
THINKMARKETS:JPN225Short
by ThinkMarkets
NIKKEI - higher interest rate causing another crash ?This is a weekly chart of the NIKKEI 225. The Japanese index has been trading in a channel which was confirmed last summer with the massive swing up and down due to the unexpected increase of the interest rate by the BOJ. After that price continued above the midline and turned lower after the latest interest rate decision earlier this year. Another meeting of the BOJ is scheduled for March 18th, but the next raise of the interest rate probably won't happen before later this year. Just looking at this chart, the NIKKEI could be on its way to the lower trend line again and I am considering a buy in the 33-34k area.
SPREADEX:NIKKEI
by flightleader78
JP225/NIKKEI "JAPAN 225" Indices CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the JP225/NIKKEI "JAPAN 225" Indices CFD market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (38300) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 34000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook before start the plan. The JP225 (Nikkei 225 Index) is trending downwards due to a combination of economic, market, and geopolitical factors that are creating a bearish environment for Japanese equities. Below is a detailed explanation of the key reasons behind this downward movement. ⭐⚡🌟Weak Corporate Earnings Many companies within the Nikkei 225, such as major players in the technology and automotive sectors (e.g., Toyota and Sony), have reported disappointing earnings. Growth has slowed to just 2% year-over-year, far below the expected 5%. This weakness in corporate performance is reducing investor confidence and dragging the index lower. ⭐⚡🌟Rising Inflation and Slowing GDP Growth Japan’s inflation rate has climbed to 2.5%, surpassing the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2% target. This higher inflation is eroding consumer purchasing power, which hurts domestic spending and, in turn, corporate profits. At the same time, Japan’s GDP growth has decelerated to just 0.8% in the latest quarter, signaling a sluggish economy. A slowing economy is a strong bearish signal for the stock market. ⭐⚡🌟Stronger Yen Hurting Exporters The yen has strengthened to 142.00 against the U.S. dollar. Since the Nikkei 225 is heavily weighted toward export-driven companies, a stronger yen makes Japanese goods more expensive abroad, reducing competitiveness and cutting into profits. This currency movement is a significant factor pushing the index down. ⭐⚡🌟Global Economic Pressures U.S. Monetary Policy: The U.S. Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, with interest rates steady at 3.5%, has strengthened the U.S. dollar. This makes Japanese exports less attractive and reduces the yen-denominated earnings of multinational firms in the Nikkei 225. China’s Slowdown: China, a key trading partner for Japan, is experiencing economic contraction, with its PMI at 49.2. Weak demand from China is hurting Japanese exporters, adding further downward pressure on the index. ⭐⚡🌟Technical Weakness The Nikkei 225 is trading below its 50-day simple moving average (36,800) and nearing its 200-day simple moving average (35,500). It’s also struggling to hold support at 36,500. These technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, with the potential for further declines if key support levels break. ⭐⚡🌟Negative Market Sentiment Speculative Traders: Data shows speculative traders have cut their net long positions to 10,000 contracts from 20,000, signaling reduced bullishness. Meanwhile, commercial hedgers have increased net short positions to 30,000 contracts, indicating expectations of lower prices. Retail Investors and Analysts: Retail investor bullishness has dropped to 40% from 60%, and major analysts (e.g., Nomura) have lowered their year-end targets for the Nikkei 225 to 36,000 from 38,000. This shift reflects growing pessimism. ⭐⚡🌟Geopolitical and Policy Risks Regional Tensions: Recent missile tests by North Korea (March 5, 2025) have raised security concerns in the region, dampening investor sentiment in Japan. Bank of Japan Policy: The BoJ has hinted at potential rate hikes in late 2025. Tighter monetary policy could increase borrowing costs and weigh on stock valuations, contributing to the bearish outlook. ⭐⚡🌟Global Risk-Off Sentiment The S&P 500 has fallen to 5,800, reflecting a broader global shift away from risky assets. At the same time, gold prices have risen to $3,000, signaling increased demand for safe-haven assets. This risk-off mood is spilling over into the Japanese market, pushing the Nikkei 225 lower. ⭐⚡🌟Commitments of Traders (COT) Data COT data provides insights into futures market positioning for the Nikkei 225. Speculative Traders: Net long positions stand at approximately 20,000 contracts, up from 15,000 the previous month. This increase in bullish bets reflects growing confidence among speculators—a strong bullish indicator. Commercial Hedgers: Net short positions are at around 25,000 contracts, consistent with typical hedging activity. This stability suggests hedgers see current levels as sustainable—neutral. Open Interest: Total contracts reach approximately 50,000, an 8% increase month-over-month. Rising participation indicates growing market momentum—bullish. Summary: COT data strongly supports a bullish outlook. Speculative long positions and rising open interest signal upward momentum, while hedgers’ steady shorts indicate no imminent sell-off pressure. ⭐⚡🌟Future Trend Prediction Price projections for the Nikkei 225 across different timeframes. Short-Term: Range: 36,800 - 37,500 A breakout above 37,000 toward 37,500 is plausible if trade talk momentum persists. A pullback to 36,800 could occur on profit-taking. Medium-Term: Range: 36,500 - 38,000 Breaking resistance at 37,500 could propel the index to 38,000, driven by BOJ policy and trade developments. A drop below 36,500 might test 36,000 if global risks escalate. Long-Term: Bullish Target: 39,000 - 40,000 Achievable if the BOJ maintains easing, the yen weakens further, and global growth accelerates—60% probability. Bearish Target: 34,000 - 35,000 Possible if the BOJ tightens policy, the yen strengthens, or a global recession emerges—40% probability. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FOREXCOM:JP225Short
by Thief_Trader
JP225/NIKKEI "JAPAN 225" Indices CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the JP225/NIKKEI "JAPAN 225" Indices CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (37800) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 38500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 36500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: JP225/NIKKEI "JAPAN 225" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend., driven by several key factors. ➜Fundamental Analysis 1. Economic Indicators: Japan's economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace, driven by domestic demand and exports. 2. Monetary Policy: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained an accommodative monetary policy stance, with negative interest rates and quantitative easing. 3. Corporate Earnings: Japanese corporate earnings have been improving, driven by strong export growth and domestic demand. ➜➜Macroeconomic Factors 1. Inflation: Japan's inflation rate remains low, at around 0.5%. 2. Interest Rates: The BOJ's negative interest rate policy has helped to keep borrowing costs low. 3. GDP Growth: Japan's GDP growth is expected to be around 1.5% in 2023. ➜➜COT Data 1. Non-Commercial Traders: These traders hold a net long position in JP225 futures, with 52.3% of open interest. 2. Commercial Traders: Commercial traders hold a net short position in JP225 futures, with 47.7% of open interest. ➜➜Market Sentiment Analysis 1. Bullish Sentiment: 53.2% of investors are bullish on JP225. 2. Bearish Sentiment: 46.8% of investors are bearish on JP225. ➜➜Positioning Analysis 1. Long Positions: 56.1% of investors are holding long positions in JP225. 2. Short Positions: 43.9% of investors are holding short positions in JP225. ➜➜Quantitative Analysis 1. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 55.6, indicating a neutral market sentiment. ➜➜Intermarket Analysis 1. Correlation with Other Markets: JP225 has a positive correlation with other Asian markets, such as the Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite. 2. Commodity Prices: JP225 has a positive correlation with commodity prices, such as copper and oil. ➜➜News and Events Analysis 1. BOJ Meetings: The BOJ's monetary policy decisions can impact JP225. 2. Japanese Elections: Japanese elections can impact JP225, depending on the outcome. ➜➜Next Trend Move Based on the analysis, the next trend move for JP225 is likely to be bullish, with a potential target of 40,500. ➜➜Future Prediction Based on the analysis, the future prediction for JP225 is bullish, with a potential target of 42,500 in the upcoming months. ➜➜Overall Summary Outlook JP225 is expected to remain in a bullish trend, driven by improving corporate earnings, a moderate economic growth outlook, and accommodative monetary policy. However, investors should remain cautious of potential market volatility and economic uncertainties. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
ICMARKETS:JP225Short
by Thief_Trader
Nikkei to continue in the downward move?JP225USD - 24h expiry Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. A higher correction is expected. The primary trend remains bearish. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 37650 level. We look to Sell at 37650 (stop at 38290) Our profit targets will be 36000 and 34390 Resistance: 36790 / 38275 / 40675 Support: 35590 / 34390 / 32680 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by OANDA
#043 Trust The Process JP225USD Buy 1112SGT 04032025Made some adjustments. Instead of going for 1.5R SL to 1R TP, now I am going for 1.5R SL to 2R loss. Reason, I did an egg count and realised that more often than not, price that went in my favour in my opposite is true account overshot to 2R or more. So, I am leaving alot on the table. I am currently sitting on +1.5R profits(closed) over 20 trades in my opposite is true account. I am thinking to myself, if I were to take 2R instead of 1R, with my existing winrate of 8 losses and 12 wins 60%. I would have an additional 12R isn't it? I'm not sure, but I'm thinking that it should be as so. If my winrate is the same at 12 wins over 8 losses, cos I am just adding the additional R to my wins. Not sure. 1108SGT 04032025
OANDA:JP225USDLong
by goh8888lester
Nikki to enter bear market? wheres the bottom? 16,260? Fib 61.8 Bearish scenario - selling at the top - using TA - Fib based projection suggests a danger zone possible top around 40k specifically 40,379 - Overlaying the 2008-10 bear price structure coincidences with BAGL (bottom ascending grind lines) trend lines which could act as support. - Assuming this is major bear, from the top 50% or 61.8% fib retracement is appropriate and looking where the fib touches the BAGLs tells you where the bottom is in time. It suggests Summer 2026 following historical precedent we know bear markets are fast 18 months to 2 years are typical for corrections and fits to the KLOS too - There are no bears left - Retail is on record levels of margin - the 18.6 housing cycle is about to roll over - Trump put on tariffs - There is trillions of debt that needs to be rolled over we are out of control - Carry trade unwind leads to 3-4 T that will have to be written off as bad loans guys will keep this in Cayman islands and retire - US debt is being bought up by Cayman island accounts - no money left - China and oil countries are not buying US treasuries - All world indices divided by Gold are in down trend, topped out previously so if Gold is real money then we are already in a world wide bear market - The advances and decliners lines have broken BAGLs just like they did in the start of the last bear markets - The Nifty fifty Indian market is leading us down so is Malaysia & Turkey - NVDA looks weak as 14% of Nasdaq is it a canary ? - The old drivers of the bull become the bear targets? - USDJPY at KLOS going back 20 yr chart could be the breakdown signal - Trump wants weaker dollar to make USA great again for manufacturing This is quick look - you need to calculate out the exact bottom with care and accuracy as time moves closer
TRADU:JPN225Short
by William_Playfair
ShortI opened a short position this morning for the following reasons:  Weekly: 1) The price closed below 38,113 (key support area) with a large bearish engulfing candle. 2) The candle closed below EMA 21. 3) MACD is still in the bull zone, but the lines have crossed and clearly pointing to the downside. Daily:  1) The price broke below the ascending parallel channel. 2) MACD has been showing negative divergence for a while. 3) The price is clearly below 39,000 which has been working as major support/resistance in the daily chart. My overall bias for Japan 225 is bearish and I can see the price can move to 33,000.   However, my first trade set up is as below: Entry:  38,170S/L: 38,965Target 1: 37,145 Risk:Reward: 1:1.35 It would have been better to enter when the 1H candle closed below EMA 21 on Friday but i was asleep.   I am hoping 38,300 area works as strong enough resistance to keep the price down. 
PEPPERSTONE:JPN225Short
by EbonyFalcon
Nikkei forming a bottom?NIK225 - 24h expiry Daily signals for sentiment are at oversold extremes. This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher. We look to Buy at 38080 (stop at 37643) Our profit targets will be 39330 and 39660 Resistance: 39660 / 40720 / 42155 Support: 37705 / 36330 / 34955 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225USDLong
by OANDA