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JP225USD: Using Probabilities to Position for a Bearish TrendThe current global economic landscape presents several factors that align with a bearish bias for the Japanese stock market, particularly the Nikkei 225 index (JP225USD): Global Economic Slowdown: Concerns about a potential recession in major economies are weighing on investor sentiment. Bank of Japan Policy Shift: The recent rate hike by the Bank of Japan may impact the stock market as it moves away from ultra-loose monetary policy. Yen Strength: A stronger yen could potentially hurt Japanese exporters, affecting their profitability and stock prices. Utilizing Probabilities for Short Positioning I'm employing probability-based analysis on my charts to identify optimal entry points for short positions. By combining fundamental bearish factors with probability-based technical analysis, I aim to create a robust trading strategy for shorting JP225USD. 2W: 2H:
OANDA:JP225USD
by Jasminex1x2
Japan225 Daily Short: Targeting Downside After 0.7 Fib Retraceme This trade is based on the daily chart of Japan225, where the price has recently retraced to the 0.7 Fibonacci level, presenting a potential opportunity for a downside move. The current market structure indicates a possible reversal from the recent highs, with a key resistance area marked by the red zone on the chart. Key Levels: • Entry: The trade is entered near the 0.7 Fib retracement level, capitalizing on the potential for a pullback. • Target: The target is set at the lower green zone, aligning with a previous support level where buyers may re-enter the market. • Stop-Loss: A stop-loss is placed above the recent high, as indicated by the upper red zone, to manage risk if the price continues to climb. Rationale: The Japan225 has shown a significant retracement up to the 0.7 Fibonacci level, which often acts as a strong resistance area. The daily timeframe provides a broader perspective, suggesting that the price may now face downward pressure. This setup seeks to capitalize on the expected reversal, aiming for a move lower in the upcoming sessions. Risk Management: With a clearly defined stop-loss and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, this trade minimizes risk while allowing for substantial downside potential. As always, adjustments will be made based on market behavior. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by AR33_
4
Nikkei225:Adjustments&Subsidies to Toyota,Nissan,PanasonicToyota, Nissan and Panasonic are adjusting their electric vehicle production strategies, reflecting the complex situation in Japan's auto industry. Toyota will reduce its global production of electric vehicles in 2026 to around one million units, down from its original plan of 1.5 million, underscoring the challenges in the transition to greater electrification amid changes in demand and the supply chain. The Nikkei 225 index, one of the main indicators of the Japanese stock market, closed down 0.62%, influenced by these strategic moves and setbacks in key sectors such as mining, chemicals and precision technology. The Nikkei's volatility increased by 29.67% to 27.05, reflecting investor uncertainty. Looking at the Check Point (POC), it is around 38,520 points. The current range was between 39,450 and 36,650 points, above today's close of 36,422.50. Currently the RSI is at 39-40% so it could happen that on Monday the selling sentiment will continue to move higher at the open if there are no changes over the weekend. Toyota, Nissan and Panasonic are benefiting from government subsidies of up to US$2.4 billion to boost domestic battery production, with the goal of expanding capacity by 50% to 120 GWh. Nissan has received certification to manufacture lithium iron phosphate batteries with a production plan of 5 GWh by 2028. However, high competitiveness and challenges in electrification continue to generate volatility in the Nikkei, reflecting investors' response to these companies' strategies in an evolving market. Ion Jauregui - Activtrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:JP225Short
by ActivTrades
1
JPN225 Drops Back to Correction TerritoryThe benchmark Japanese index experienced a steep decline after the central bank stepped up is tightening efforts at the start of the month, but was able to cover the losses as investors calmed down. However, the BoJ is likely to raise rates again and along with the Yen’s rebound, JPN225 could face sustained headwinds. The index loses ground this week and falls back to contraction territory, as Nvidia’s slump amidst broader tech fears, spills over to Japan. Key Japanese chip manufacturing equipment companies and major Nikkei constituents like Tokyo Electron and Advantest suffered heavy losses. JPN225 is now exposed to the 38.2% Fibonacci of its recent rebound, which bring back the risk of a near market. On the other hand the RSI points to oversold conditions, while the stock market’s strength goes beyond monetary policy and weak Yen. Above the 38.2% Fibonacci, JPN225 can push for higher highs (39,204), although sustained advance has a higher degree of difficulty under current conditions. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”) (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:JPN225Short
by FXCM
1
JPN225 to continue in the upward move?NIK225 - 24h expiry The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows. Our short term bias remains positive. The primary trend remains bullish. Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. We look to buy dips. 20 4hour EMA is at 38645. We look to Buy at 38650 (stop at 38370) Our profit targets will be 39350 and 39480 Resistance: 38880 / 39000 / 39171 Support: 38750 / 38463 / 38250 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225USDLong
by OANDA
1
Nikkei to find buyers at market price?NIK225 - 24h expiry Our short term bias remains positive. There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. 20 4hour EMA is at 38333. We look to Buy at 38340 (stop at 38030) Our profit targets will be 39010 and 39190 Resistance: 38817 / 39000 / 39200 Support: 38500 / 38300 / 38000 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225USDLong
by OANDA
NI225 bull and bear counts, big pictureBullish (green) and bearish (red) counts for NI225. Both counts have primary (i) ending in December 1989. The bull count has wave (ii) ending in October 2008, and has price currently in wave ((5)) of (iii), with ideal target 70438.61. The bear count has price completing a b-wave with high of 42426.77, looking for c-wave below 6994.90. This c-wave would already have wave ((1)) completed. The bear count most likely would manifest with a large geopolitical event.
TVC:NI225
by discobiscuit
Nikkei 225 Falls 1% on Strong Yen and Rate HikesToday, Asian stock markets presented mixed results, driven by expectations of lower interest rates in the United States, with a strong emphasis on the Japanese market, where the Nikkei 225 and also the TOPIX fell by almost 1%. This decline was mainly due to the strength of the yen, which negatively affected export and technology stocks. The pressure on the Nikkei 225 reflects expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates, a move that could continue to weaken the index. Meanwhile, other Asian markets rose, driven by expectations of lower interest rates, following gains on Wall Street. However, in China, indices fell on concerns about the economic slowdown and liquidity withdrawal by the People's Bank of China. Currently the price is in the area of 37,980.44 slightly below the checkpoint (POC) 38,614.40 points. The current trading zone is in the range between 39,450 and 36,650 points. It has recovered the 2nd support that was fractured on August 2, it remains to be seen if the evolution of the yen negatively affects the index in the coming weeks causing the index to fall to the lower part of the range again or continue its recovery towards the highs. Ion Jauregui - Analyst Activtrades ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:JP225Short
by ActivTrades
JP225 / NIKKEI INDEX 225 Money Heist Plan On Long SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders, This is our master plan to Heist JAPAN 225 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent Swing Low Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style
FOREXCOM:JP225Long
by Thief_Trader